WIF - Barking Towards New Highs - Last Shot! Alright, let’s dive in.
With everything in a crucial area, September is shaping up to be a volatile month for the markets, especially with upcoming US jobs data and the FOMC meeting. We might see the first rate cuts. While caution is definitely warranted, there are still opportunities worth pursuing.
With that in mind, invalidation points are crystal clear. Both $POPCAT and NYSE:FET have specific levels where they would turn bearish if things don’t go as planned.
I'm considering a long position here, aiming for higher highs and potentially new peaks if CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s low is confirmed.
Of course, everything depends on how the upcoming events unfold. But giving it another shot seems worth the risk.
MAX LONG NOW :)
Altcoins
The Altcoin Market Is Now Flirting With The 350 DMA ...Again!Here's what that means. A long-term view.
Traders,
The pressure is on for these altcoin bulls to run through the end of the year. However, we are flirting with disaster this time around. Here's why?
From the beginning, the 350 DMA (or 50-week MA) has always told traders whether we were in a bull market or a bear market. Though periodically, the price did stick its proverbial head above the 350 DMA during mid-cycle tops, these were always very short-lived. And it's always been the case that when we've remained above the 350 DMA for this length of time, in this case since Nov of 2023, it signaled we were in a bull run, as opposed to a mid-cycle top. Could this time be different? Well, of course. And I think from looking at the charts, it already has proven it is. This whole run is different.
I won't get into the many ways this cycle is different, but a big one has to do with how the 111 DMA is diverging from the 350x2 DMA (not pictured here). That's never happened before along with a multitude of other occurrences. So, let's explore this thought experiment a bit further. There are several outcomes that we most probably are looking at.
The first outcome could mean that this run was simply an extended mid-cycle top. If true, then this is a much longer mid-cycle top than we have ever witnessed in the history of crypto. And if that is true, the bull run that is coming will melt faces. But it probably would not arrive until next year or even 2026 and it probably means that we dip back under that 350 DMA again for a while. Nobody wants this to happen and nobody seems to be expecting this outcome. Could this then be the strongest possibility? If we anthropomorphize the market a bit, we can observe that it is rather sadistic in this regard. It always has been and probably always will be. The market just enjoys hurting the largest crowd. This is why it's often beneficial to entertain contrarian thought and not to simply dismiss it altogether.
The second outcome is not so good. It could mean that we skipped our mid-cycle top completely and that our bull run is about to end if we dip below that 350 DMA. Now, there is still hope here because we haven't done that yet. But I certainly do not like the looks of how we have been flirting with that line for these last several months. This moving average is critical! Watch it closely on both the daily (as a 350 DMA) and on the weekly (as a 50). The weekly will confirm whether we drop or not. It must be confirmed with two candle closes below on the weekly.
There is a third possibility. This is the one that I think we are all hoping for and, tbh, most are expecting. It also indicates that we skipped our mid-cycle top and are in a bull run that will not end until late this year or into the next. This would mean that we will remain above that 350 DMA (though, there could be a few candle closes below) and that we should see some new highs being made through the end of the year.
I kept our chart on the daily view as opposed to the weekly because I wanted you all to track that bullish triangle with me. Notice how we are retesting the top of it as we should after a breakout. This is technically very sound. But also notice how that 350 DMA is moving up to lend some support. What a beautiful area of confluence! But also, scary. Because if it's broken to the downside, it may indicate either another Black Swan event on the horizon OR we don't get the bull run alts were expecting.
It is do-or-die time now. Let's go.
Stew
Hamster Combat (HMSTR) Analysis: Acc, Dist & Whale Activity
💡 Overview :
Hamster Combat BITGET:HMSTRUSDT.P is currently presenting some strong opportunities for both accumulation and distribution . Based on key technical indicators and on-chain analysis, we have identified significant support zones for buying, as well as resistance levels for taking profits.
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Price and Market Dynamics:
📊 Current Price Levels : HMSTR has recently traded between $0.0045 and $0.0065 , showing that the market is cycling between accumulation (buying) and distribution (selling).
- Accumulation Zone : This is where buyers are entering the market, typically in the price range of $0.0045 - $0.0055 . This zone is a support level , meaning the price tends to bounce off these levels because there is high buying demand.
- Distribution Zone : This is where sellers (including large holders or whales) are exiting their positions, pushing the price down. For HMSTR, this zone lies at $0.0060 and above . This is a resistance level , meaning that as the price rises, it tends to hit this ceiling and fall back down due to increased selling pressure.
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📈 Accumulation Strategy:
- When to Buy : Accumulate HMSTR in the range of $0.0045 to $0.0055 , where it's supported by buy orders and the market sees it as undervalued.
- Why this matters : This is a low-risk entry point because the downside is limited by the strong support here.
- How to do it : Place buy orders in the accumulation zone and plan to hold through the coming upward move.
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### 📉 Distribution Strategy:
- When to Sell : The distribution zone lies at **$0.0065 and above**, where whales start to exit their positions. If you're holding, this is an ideal zone to take profits .
- Why this matters : Selling in this zone locks in profits before the price faces resistance and selling pressure pushes it back down.
- How to do it : Sell a portion of your holdings as the price approaches $0.0065 - $0.0070 , where we see heavy whale activity.
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### 🐋 Whale Activity:
- Whales (large holders) have been accumulating between $0.0050 and $0.0060 , signaling their belief in the asset's long-term value. When whales accumulate, it typically means they expect the price to rise.
- However, whale outflows are being observed near $0.0070 , meaning these large holders are taking profits here. This creates strong resistance at that level.
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⚙️ Key Technical Indicators:
1. MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) :
- Low MVRV signals that HMSTR is undervalued , a prime accumulation opportunity.
- Action : Buy when MVRV is low for long-term growth.
2. NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transaction Volume) :
- A declining NVT means the network is growing faster than the transaction volume, often signaling a bullish market.
- Action : Look for long positions as network strength increases.
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📊 Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels:
- Take Profit :
- Short-Term : Sell at $0.0065 (previous resistance).
- Medium-Term : Sell more at $0.0070 (whale exit point).
- Stop Loss :
- Conservative traders should place a stop loss at $0.0047 .
- Aggressive traders can place it at $0.0050 for tighter risk control.
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Derivatives and Open Interest Analysis 📈:
- Open Interest is rising, indicating that more traders are entering the market, particularly in the derivatives space .
- Positive funding rates further suggest that long positions are dominating .
- Action : Expect potential price volatility due to this interest; ensure you're managing risk with stop losses and setting take profits at key resistance zones.
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Mini Report:
Hamster Combat (HMSTR) is showing clear accumulation and distribution patterns based on whale activity and technical indicators. Accumulation is ideal between $0.0045 and $0.0055 , where whales and long-term holders are buying in. The distribution zone begins around $0.0065 , with selling pressure intensifying near $0.0070 due to whale outflows.
Key technical indicators, such as the MVRV Ratio (signaling undervaluation) and the NVT Ratio (reflecting network growth), support a bullish outlook in the short term. However, risk management is essential, with stop losses recommended at $0.0047 for conservative traders.
Actions Explained: :
- 📉 Accumulation (Buying) : This is when you want to enter at lower prices, like the $0.0045 to $0.0055 range, because the market sees value here. The price is supported, and there's more buying pressure.
- 📈 Distribution (Selling) : Here’s where you take profits as the price hits $0.0065 - $0.0070 because whales are selling, creating resistance.
- 🐋 Whale Activity : Whales are big players who can move markets. When they accumulate, it’s a bullish signal, but when they sell at $0.0070 , it creates resistance .
- 💰 Take Profits and 🛑 Stop Losses : Set take profits at key resistance points to lock in gains and use stop losses to protect yourself from market drops.
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This detailed plan, backed by on-chain data and whale activity, offers a roadmap for navigating the HMSTR market. 📊 Follow the price zones and manage your risk , and you'll be set up for a successful trade... TradeGod_1111...
BTC BULL to $101k - $125kIf the Bearish chart of Bitcoin won't play out, this is the bullish possibilities.
It does look like we will go up. Indicators on Daily timeframe just reset indicating bullishness.
Altcoins look very bullish and are ready for another 100% leg up or even bigger run this time.
Th only thing that doesn't let me freely believe this bullish chart is that BTC have not crashed yet and usually it does crash before thee big run, but this cycle is already different having new ATH before the halving which did not happen previously.
BNB - BEST Buy ZonesHistorically , large wicks usually get filled almost in the same way that a gap gets filled. It may not be soon, but if you're willing to wait a few weeks (or even a few months) you could get in lower and buy at a more ideal price.
(see Warren Buffet's trading philosophy on Buying at the RIGHT PRICE👇)
The particular wick in reference is the following one. The range is extremely wide, and there's a $100 gap where you could possibly dollar-cost-average:
Even if we would fall this low in the SHORT term, the price would still be bullish - we are evidently still trading in a bullish cycle, as this is likely a multi-month corrective pattern paying out. If you've been following for a while, you'll know i have been referring to this multi-month cycle on numerous occasions; anticipating the final impulse wave up according to Elliot Wave Theory (wave 4-5).
In the meanwhile, you could get lower entry prices on your favorite altcoins.
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BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Ethereum (ETH) - Crabs remain in control!It remains anemic.
For me it is not a trading zone and should be treated with caution. As it keeps making lower highs and trend is down on the daily
Weekly is holding by a thread. Take action if it breaks below
Below 2,300 = Red button.
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Most altcoins look like this. Only a few are still somewhat attractive, but unless this low holds. I see no reason to blindly bid on “support”.
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Safest entry above $3k.
Treat everything as resistance until that level is recovered.
CAT - Eyeing the Next ATH MilestoneI have enough data to try this new setup. We expect to see a pullback this week; it would be ideal to enter below $0.00003. If the price continues to rise, we should act, but with a smaller position.
Overall, it's a solid setup in case of a dip. It has shown more strength compared to other coins, which is why I continue to trade it. Stick to $VELO, NYSE:CAT , $POPCAT, and $REEF—these are showing strength, while others are still in limbo.
Hamster Kombat Roadmap!!!Today, I want to analyze the $HMSTR token belonging to the Hamster Kombat telegram game for you.
The Hamster Komba project has been active for more than 6 months and has managed to attract a large number of users, but unfortunately, it could NOT meet the expectations of its users in the Airdrop .
As I said in the " Telegram Games==>Share your experiences " post, most of the tokens that are listed as airdrops in the exchanges will initially be accompanied by selling pressure . The HMSTR token followed the same procedure.
The Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) is currently moving in the Resistance zone($0.0064-$0.0060) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) is completing main wave 4 (downward), and we should wait for the start of main wave 5 .
I expect Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) to fall at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) after breaking the Support line (🚨 -15% 🚨).
Note: If the Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) can break the Resistance zone($0.0064-$0.0060), we can expect a rise of $0.0068 and attack resistance lines.
Hamster Kombat Analyze (HMSTRUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
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Followed the count up and hit the target box.
Now
Support Zones:
$1.450: Immediate support level if the price pulls back.
$1.161: A deeper support level, which coincides with significant previous price action.
Elliott Wave Structure: The chart shows a potential completing wave 3, and a potential corrective wave 4 before possibly moving into wave 5, which might bring a new high.
Outlook: The overall trend is bullish but it is getting extended.
Breaking the higher low pattern may be the signal a correction at the larger degree is coming.
Trade Safe.
Trade Clarity.
From Breakout to Boom: The Future of Bitcoin and AltcoinsNow price created H&S with means the price can react to this situation and breaks the neckline and will go up. and also , the price can follow the butterfly pattern and go up.
The cryptocurrency market is growing as expected, with the overall market value (covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins) indicating a breakout. This development paves the way for a major upward trend in the coming months.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
17 Years Experienced Trader Talks About PEPE Hey guys , MartyBoots here I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on PEPE
PEPE is BNBs mini me or its little brother (for now at least )
It looks strong and should move well
Watch for more info and hit me up if u need help or have any questions
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Bullish Scenario:
Price Holds Above $4.945: If the price holds above this interim high and continues to follow the Elliott Wave structure, it may head toward the next Fibonacci extension target of $6.50 and beyond.
Bearish Scenario:
Price Breaks Below $4.945: If the price drops below the $4.945 support level, it would indicate a deeper correction or possible invalidation of the current bullish count.
Invalidation Below $4.565: If the price falls below $4.565, the current bullish wave count would be invalid.
In conclusion:
Bullish if price holds above $4.945, targeting $6.50 and higher.
Bearish if price drops below $4.565, indicating further downside potential.
Trade Safe.
Trade Clarity.
Ethereum : ETH still BULLISH - Here's WhyFrom a macro analysis, ETH is very clearly in a bullish season. Apart from the obvious (following Bitcoin) there are a few other factors from which we can deduce that ETH is gearing up for another impulse wave UP.
👉 Higher lows
👉 Diagonal trendline acts as macro timeframe support
👉 Currently Three-White-Soldiers in the weekly - Bullish candlestick pattern
From a technical indicator perspective, we can see a healthy bounce on the lower white trendline. We can expect the rally AFTER the price reclaims the now upper red trendline (at which point it will turn GREEN).
The price is about to reclaim the 50d Moving Averages which, in the weekly timeframe, signals a bullish move:
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT