Altcoins
Reason to worry on Alts?With Bitcoins huge institutional backing seeing it far surpass $100k and reaching a new high of $108k, it's easy to say that the biggest cryptos future looks bright, but what of altcoins? Looking at the TOTAL3 chart there are a few key points I'd like to highlight, some positive and some negative:
4H 200 EMA - This moving average is so important for the short/mid term bias. In a bear market we very rarely see trading above the 4H 200 EMA and vice versa in a bullmarket. Currently TOTAL3 is retesting the MA as support, with first tap wicking below and then a move back above, this is positive so far showing that buyers are willing to step in at this level. Bullish.
Bearish structure forming? - At its core, trading is simple. You buy low and sell high, now we all know there is more to it than that but the basics are still the most important. The trend is your friend, so lets analyse the trend.
Clear Higher high and Higher lows ever since the US election result, bullish structure/trend. However, we recently got our first Lower high since then and now the question is will we get a Lower low to flip the structure bearish? So far that is not the case ass the 4H 200 EMA swooped in to save the day but if price were to dip below the Daily support we'd have a trend flip on the 4H.
Since that is an IF, lets see what is happening now, a tightening of the highs and lows would equal an accumulation phase and in this instance an accumulation phase after a strong rally is a setup for the next leg which is bullish. Just got to keep an eye on that structure for now.
The formation of a downtrend - This ties into the structure point, like how we saw 8 months of "chop" on BTC which in reality was a downtrend after a strong rally, this chart pattern is looking similar to 4H TOTAL3 we see now. If we see a new LL at the downtrend support level I will switch to trading TOTAL3 as a range until proven otherwise.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
"We had a great projection regarding the Bitcoin Dominance bearish shift around the 60% level, and it played out perfectly. I’ve linked that projection to this post for reference.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is testing the weekly supply zone as a bearish retest. This aligns with the premium side of the Fibonacci, adding to my conviction that we’re likely to see a bearish reversal from here, forming a lower high. This lower high could potentially trigger another leg down in dominance, setting the stage for a strong altcoin season.
I expect this shift to happen very soon.
Are You Scared About Altcoins? Huge Pump Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we focused on Bitcoin and Dominance analysis because it's much more important than analyzing any particular altcoin. Growth on altcoins cannot be counted a right prediction without Bitcoin Dominance drop. Today we are going to look in details on the wave 5 of CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D which we have already considered in our previous analysis on the higher time frame.
Today let's take a look at the daily time frame inside the global wave 5. It has pumped in November and it was just the wave 1, which has been finished with the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
This wave 2 has the ABC shape and finally it touched 0.61 Fibonacci. Now it's forming the green dot and if this signal will be confirmed with daily candle close our scenario is likely to be valid. OTHERS.D is going to print the wave C which has the target between 16% and 20%. This is huge potential gains for all altcoins you have.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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KASPA - Poised for an Upward Trajectory (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA (KAS/USDT)
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price is approaching the breakout point where resistance has converged with support, as marked on the chart.
The breakout above the resistance line suggests a potential upward trend.
Volume Analysis:
A spike in trading volume near the breakout area confirms increased interest and possible momentum shift.
Momentum Indicators:
VWMCipher B Divergences: Displays bullish divergence, supporting a potential price increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At ~27, indicating oversold conditions. This signals a potential upward price movement as the asset appears undervalued.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI): At ~24, indicating an oversold condition with possible accumulation.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels at 32.5, crossing upwards, indicating a buy signal.
Potential Targets:
Short-Term Target: $0.14 (breakout confirmation).
Mid-Term Target: $0.18 (previous resistance level).
Long-Term Target: $0.22–$0.24 (major resistance zone from earlier trends).
Risk Level:
Support at ~$0.12. A breakdown below this level invalidates the bullish thesis, making this a critical stop-loss level.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Initial Buy Zone: Enter near the breakout point (~$0.128-$0.132) to capitalize on bullish momentum.
Confirmation Entry: Add to the position once price closes above $0.14 with strong volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.12 (e.g., $0.118) to limit downside risk if the breakout fails.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
First Take-Profit (TP1): At $0.14 (~10% gain) to secure initial profits.
Second Take-Profit (TP2): At $0.18 (approximately 40% gain from entry).
Final Target (TP3): $0.22-$0.24 for long-term holders seeking maximum gains.
Position Sizing:
Allocate 2–5% of your portfolio, depending on your risk tolerance. Keep capital reserved for potential averaging down if needed.
Trailing Stop:
Implement a trailing stop once the price exceeds $0.18 to lock in profits while allowing room for further upward movement.
Risk Management:
Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:3. Adjust trade size to manage risk effectively.
Monitoring:
Regularly check volume trends, RSI levels, and significant market news affecting KASPA.
Be cautious of overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, as broader trends often impact altcoins.
This falling wedge setup, combined with oversold indicators and volume confirmation, suggests KASPA is primed for a bullish breakout. Stick to the trading plan and employ disciplined risk management to maximize returns while minimizing potential losses.
"ALTCOINS: HOLD OR SELL? BTC Dom at a Critical Turning Point!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If this analysis resonates with you, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for premium setups that actually deliver results! 💹🔥
🔥 Market Recap
Last night, we witnessed a massive liquidation cascade across the entire crypto market. Altcoins took a heavy hit, with many dropping 20-30% overnight, wiping out billions of dollars.
🔑 Key Takeaway:
This is why I always stress—never trade leverage without a stop-loss. Protect your capital first. Hope you all followed this golden rule!
📊 Market Outlook: Where Are We Heading?
BTC Dominance:
Breaking down from a rising wedge on the weekly time frame—a classic bearish signal.
Currently retesting the breakdown zone, indicating a potential sharp decline ahead.
🌟 What This Means:
If dominance drops further, spot altcoin holdings will likely surge.
This is the time to accumulate, not panic-sell.
💎 Opportunities Ahead
Many altcoins are retesting key support levels after breaking out on the daily time frame:
FET, W, PEPE, LTC, APT, RENDER, and more.
Patience is key here. Hold onto your spot bags and use this dip as an opportunity to accumulate strong projects.
🚀 The Road Ahead
Over the next few days, we anticipate a strong recovery across the market, with alts pumping hard. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and ride this wave.
💬 Your Move:
What’s your strategy for this phase? Are you accumulating or waiting for more clarity? Drop your thoughts in the comments below—we’re in this together! 🌊🔥
👉 Follow us for more timely updates and winning trade setups. Let’s crush it! 💪
Ethereum Name Service Launches Namechain on Linea’s zkEVMThe Ethereum Name Service ( NYSE:ENS ), a pioneer in decentralized identity and blockchain-based naming systems, is taking a bold step forward with the launch of Namechain, its own Layer 2 (L2) solution. Powered by Linea’s zkEVM technology, Namechain is poised to revolutionize blockchain address management, offering enhanced scalability, reduced costs, and expanded functionality for the Web3 ecosystem.
Why Namechain and Why Now?
NYSE:ENS has long been at the forefront of simplifying blockchain interactions. By converting complex Ethereum addresses into human-readable names like "john.eth," ENS has made the decentralized web more accessible. However, as the protocol has grown to support decentralized identity, user profiles, website hosting, and DNS interoperability, the need for a more scalable infrastructure has become evident.
Enter Namechain – a strategic response to these challenges. Built on Linea’s zkEVM, Namechain combines cutting-edge technology with ENS’s robust naming protocol to deliver unparalleled performance.
Technical Foundations: Why Linea?
The decision to build Namechain on Linea’s zkEVM followed a rigorous evaluation by ENS Labs. Two standout features of Linea made it the ideal choice:
1. Type 2 zkEVM Compatibility: Linea’s zkEVM ensures seamless bytecode compatibility with Ethereum, enabling the reuse of existing smart contracts and tooling without modifications.
2. High-Performance Prover: Linea’s rollup architecture offers fast state confirmation, ensuring reliable and efficient name resolution.
Moreover, Linea’s multi-client compatibility with Ethereum execution clients like Geth and Besu enhances ecosystem resilience, ensuring robust infrastructure for ENS’s evolving needs.
Proven Collaboration and Ecosystem Benefits
ENS and Linea share a strong history of collaboration. Notably, Linea was the first L2 team to implement CCIP-Read (ERC-3668), enabling decentralized cross-chain name resolution for over 530,000 linea.eth subnames. This partnership validated ENS’s L2 integration capabilities and demonstrated Linea’s technical prowess.
The move to L2 addresses several key challenges:
- Higher Throughput: Increased transaction capacity enables faster registration and renewals.
- Cost Efficiency: Significantly lower fees make ENS services accessible to a broader audience.
- Extensibility: Advanced naming features and complex resolution logic become feasible on L2.
Namechain’s Impact on Decentralized Identity
ENS’s role extends beyond address resolution; it underpins decentralized identity across Web3. Namechain amplifies this mission by offering a scalable solution that supports:
- Permissionless User Profiles: Enabling decentralized identity systems to flourish.
- Decentralized Hosting: Facilitating censorship-resistant websites.
- DNS Interoperability: Bridging traditional and blockchain-based naming systems.
Market and Technical Outlook for NYSE:ENS
Despite the groundbreaking announcement, NYSE:ENS is currently trading at $42.17, down 2.17% in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $1.48 billion. Technical indicators suggest a potential bullish reversal:
- RSI at 48: Indicates steady momentum.
- Key Resistance Level: A breakout above the 1-month high of $50 could confirm a bullish reversal pattern.
Fundamentally, the launch of Namechain positions ENS as a critical player in the evolution of decentralized identity, aligning with the growing demand for scalable and efficient blockchain solutions.
A Vision for the Future
The partnership between ENS and Linea represents a significant leap forward in blockchain technology and decentralized identity. By combining ENS’s innovative naming protocol with Linea’s advanced zkEVM architecture, Namechain promises to set new standards in scalability, cost-efficiency, and functionality.
ENS Labs invites the broader technical community to participate in this journey through open-source contributions and feedback. Together, they aim to shape the future of decentralized identity and blockchain-based naming systems, paving the way for a more intuitive and accessible internet.
About Ethereum Name Service (ENS)
ENS is a distributed, open naming system built on Ethereum. It simplifies blockchain interactions by converting machine-readable addresses into human-readable names. With its decentralized and extensible framework, ENS is a cornerstone of the Web3 ecosystem, driving adoption and innovation in blockchain technology.
3 Altcoins Approaching The Lower Bound!Since you enjoyed my previous post about 3 Altcoins Rejecting the $5 mark!
Here's an interesting one about altcoins retesting the lower bound of the wedge pattern:
BINANCE:PYTHUSDT
PYTH has been in a correction phase and currently approaching the lower bound of its rising wedge pattern marked in blue. As long as the green structure holds, I will be looking for trend-following longs on lower timeframes.
KUCOIN:GLQUSDT
GLQ has been in a correction phase and currently approaching the lower bound of its rising wedge pattern marked in blue. As long as the green structure holds, I will be looking for trend-following longs on lower timeframes.
COINEX:AEROUSDT
AERO has been in a correction phase and currently approaching the lower bound of its rising wedge pattern marked in blue. As long as the green structure holds, I will be looking for trend-following longs on lower timeframes.
Which altcoins would you like me to cover next?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Expect Volatility for Altcoins: Key Levels to WatchTOTAL3 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently oscillating between $1 Trillion and $1.1 Trillion, presenting a tight range that traders are closely monitoring. Here’s what could happen next:
1. Range Rebound: A dip to $1 Trillion with a strong bullish rejection at this support could drive the market to test the top of the range at $1.1 Trillion.
2. Breakout Opportunity: A successful breakout above $1.1 Trillion would signal bullish momentum, potentially lifting Altcoin Market to $1.2 Trillion and marking the continuation of Altseason.
3. Bearish Scenario: Failing to hold the $1 Trillion support level would likely trigger short-term bearish sentiment, pushing Altcoin Market cap down by approximately 10%, targeting $0.9 Trillion.
BTC DECEMBER FOMC Going into FOMC the consensus is we'll see a 25bps cut from the FED (95% chance), this would take interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5%. Because the expectation of a cut is so certain, we can assume that the markets have priced this in so baring any craziness in the form of a different result we should see market sentiment remain the same, bullish.
A FED pause,(although unlikely according to data) would be very bearish in the the short term in terms of volatility. I would expect to see price revisit the $98-99K mark where the 4H 200EMA would roughly be. In a bullmarket the 4H 200EMA can be used as a great support level often bouncing off of it.
For a 25bps cut which is the expected outcome, we have two paths IMO. The bullish path is consolidation under the ATH then a break above, retest and off we go towards $110,000. The bearish path is a loss of this key S/R level after a consolidation above support and break under with a confirmed retest of new resistance. I know it's typical "could go up, could go down", however it's the context that matters here.
Alts have taken a back seat for the last week or so, BTC.D at a key level and a rejection off this level would mean alts can play catch-up while as BTC consolidates. We very rarely see BTC drop and altcoins pump so this is the most likely outcome to me baring no upsets in FOMC.
When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum.
This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases.
In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025.
However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle.
By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026.
All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀
What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
FTX Can Explode Higher In January MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on FTX here.
FTX is looking beautiful , very strong base for more upside
Very similar to RSR which is up nearly 170% increase in a similar base
Do not miss out on FTX as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
ALTS aiming for an explosive rally.The Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin) has a red 1week candle last week after 5 straight green ones.
This is the first consolidation that all Altcoin Cycles had in December-January months of Halving years, following the breakout over the mid Cycle bull flag.
This is the time to buy heavily into altcoins.
The expected cap for this Cycle is 11 Trillion, which is the 5.0 Fibonacci extension (2.0 Fibs lower than the previous Cycle, which in turn was 2.0 Fibs lower than the one before).
Previous chart:
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BTC manipulated as fuck...... so, you can see how price move, big players ( Binance futures, whales,...) squize out our money, throw out leverage traders and many more... because of BTC altcoins bleed too...
... and now BlackRock and GaryScale wanna have inpact control too, so, they buy BTC cover under ETF... so, in long run, price will go up... my opinion
Ripple's RLUSD Launch: A Catalyst for XRP's AscentRipple has launched its stablecoin, RLUSD, which has immediately spurred a notable increase in XRP's price. This launch not only marks Ripple's strategic expansion into the stablecoin arena but also positions XRP for potential new highs, catalyzed by both technical and fundamental advancements.
Fundamental Impact:
RLUSD's Design and Utility: RLUSD is designed to be fully backed by US dollar deposits, US government bonds, and other cash equivalents, ensuring stability akin to traditional currency. Monthly third-party audits further enhance its credibility and transparency, making it a trusted bridge between fiat and crypto. Its multi-chain support allows for broader adoption and integration, particularly in cross-border payments and DeFi applications. This aligns with Ripple's vision to improve the efficiency of global financial transactions, thereby directly benefiting the XRP ecosystem.
Enhancing XRP's Ecosystem: The introduction of RLUSD is seen as a vote of confidence in CRYPTOCAP:XRP and the XRP Ledger (XRPL). By providing a stablecoin that complements CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Ripple aims to increase the liquidity and utility of CRYPTOCAP:XRP , potentially attracting more institutional investors wary of cryptocurrency volatility. The stablecoin's launch is expected to integrate more seamlessly into Ripple's existing payment solutions, enhancing both the XRP Ledger's utility and Ripple's service offerings.
Regulatory Approval: RLUSD has received approval from the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS), adding a layer of regulatory compliance that could further legitimize Ripple's operations and XRP's use in broader financial systems. This approval is pivotal for Ripple's expansion in the regulated US market, a move that could set a precedent for other stablecoins.
Technical Analysis
Price Movement: Following the announcement and launch of RLUSD, CRYPTOCAP:XRP has seen a significant uptick, with its price jumping to $2.66, marking a 12.61% increase in the last 24 hours. This surge has pushed XRP past critical resistance levels, breaking a wedge pattern and setting sights on $2.65 and $2.91 as the next possible resistances. The high trading volume accompanying this price rise, up by over 100%, reflects strong market interest and confidence in XRP's direction.
Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for$ XRP currently stands at 82, indicating an overbought market which suggests caution for short-term traders. However, for long-term holders, this surge from $0.69 to $2.698 in just two months underscores a robust bull market trend, potentially fuelled further by the RLUSD launch.
The technical outlook, with the RLUSD news acting as a catalyst, suggests a trajectory towards $5 before Christmas, fueled by both the intrinsic value of the XRP Ledger and the new stablecoin's impact.
Conclusion
Ripple's strategic introduction of RLUSD is not just a step towards diversifying its offerings but a significant leap in enhancing the XRP ecosystem's robustness and utility. From a fundamental standpoint, RLUSD offers stability and regulatory compliance, which are pivotal for mainstream adoption in financial services.
Technically, the stablecoin's launch has propelled XRP's value, with market indicators suggesting continued growth. As Ripple continues to navigate the complexities of crypto-finance integration, RLUSD and XRP together are poised to redefine how digital assets can be leveraged for global payments, potentially setting new benchmarks in the crypto industry before the year's end.
ALT COINs breaking the almost 2 year descending channelI made an interesting comparison between the TOTAL3 (ALT COIN Market Cap, i.e, excluding BTC and ETH) and the BTC Market Cap.
As you can see this ratio just broke the 2 year descending channel with big volumes, projecting a 1:1 capitalization between the two.
Heres are some key notes:
The RSI and MACD bullish divergences also suggest a strong trend reversal.
BTC Market Cap can easily reach 3 trillion dollars , the 2.618 fibonacci extension. This is a reasonable assumption since, in the last run, it reached the 4.236 extension quite fast. If both market caps should match - and my projection gets it's way - that means a 2 trillion dollars increase in the ALT COINs market capitalization (almost 3x)
I've been accumulating on a couple of alts since the end of last year, and I hope now is the time to bring some returns on that.
Stay safe!