Phemex Analysis #44: VIRTUAL’s 6775% Surge and What's Next?In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, one story stands out: the remarkable journey of VIRTUAL. Since its debut on the Phemex Perpetual USDT market, PHEMEX:VIRTUALUSDT.P has soared an astonishing 97%, climbing from $1.68 to $3.32. But this is just the tip of the iceberg; since its initial launch on February 15, 2024, it has skyrocketed a staggering 6775%, leaping from a mere $0.049 to its current price of $3.32.
As we delve deeper into VIRTUAL's performance, a closer look at the technical analysis reveals intriguing patterns. The 4-hour chart shows that the price is forming a second top, accompanied by an RSI divergence—where the price reaches higher highs while the RSI remains stable. This divergence hints at a potential weakening of momentum, at least within this timeframe.
On the fundamental side, VIRTUAL continues to shine brightly in a competitive landscape filled with formidable challengers like ELIZA Protocol (AI16Z), Alchemist AI, and MyShell.AI. Despite this fierce competition, VIRTUAL's innovative approach and unique offerings position it as a promising player in the AI Agents Protocol space.
Potential Scenarios
As we look ahead, we can envision several potential scenarios for VIRTUAL in the coming days, shaped by key support and resistance levels:
1. Continued Rise
Should the price maintain its upward trajectory, it is likely to consolidate between $3.2 and $2.6 to build momentum before embarking on another climb. However, if it fails to do so, this rise may not hold.
2. Retrace then Rise
After such significant gains over the past two months, a retracement to support levels seems probable before any further ascent. Key support levels at $2.56, $2.33, and $1.88 could provide excellent buying opportunities for those looking to capitalize on dips.
3. Reverse & Keep Dropping
As with many narratives in the crypto world, we must acknowledge the possibility of a reversal once the initial excitement fades. If this occurs, prices could continue to decline—a scenario we’ve witnessed too often in this volatile market. Therefore, setting stop-loss orders is crucial for risk management, particularly if prices dip below $1.8 with high trading volume.
Conclusion
In conclusion, VIRTUAL's journey has been nothing short of extraordinary, marked by impressive growth and resilience in a competitive arena. As traders navigate this dynamic landscape, careful monitoring of technical indicators and market conditions will be vital. The scenarios outlined above serve as a roadmap for potential price movements ahead, underscoring the importance of strategic risk management in this thrilling yet unpredictable market environment.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Altcoins
Renzo (REZ)REZ Analysis
🔹 Overall Status:
After an initial drop, REZ coin has been fluctuating within a range box (yellow zone) between 0.03070 - 0.05034 and has recently broken above the upper limit of the box, moving upwards. Currently, the price is pulling back to this broken range zone.
🔹 Key Levels:
1️⃣ Support Levels:
Bottom of the range box: 0.033 - 0.030
0.618 Fibonacci retracement: Current potential support area
2️⃣ Resistance Levels:
Daily resistance zone (red): 0.065
Bullish Targets:
First Target: 0.17279 - 0.21604 (1 Fibonacci level)
Second Target: 0.40065 - 0.50092 (1.618 Fibonacci level)
Third Target: 2.09323 - 2.61712 (2.618 Fibonacci level)
🔹 RSI and Entry Signals:
RSI is currently in an ascending channel on the daily timeframe and is at the bottom of the channel, suggesting potential support and continuation of the uptrend.
A move of RSI into the overbought zone, along with a breakout of key resistances, could signal a stronger entry point.
🔹 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If the price stabilizes above the 0.065 daily resistance (red) with increasing trading volume, a move towards Fibonacci targets becomes more probable.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to stabilize above resistance, a correction towards the range box bottom (0.033 - 0.030) could occur.
🔹 Trading Volume:
Monitoring the increase in volume when breaking the daily resistance is crucial, as it could signal a sharp move.
🔹 Conclusion:
Safe Entry: After price stabilizes above the red resistance zone with increased volume.
Risky Entry Zones: Near the range box support levels and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
📊 Confirmations:
Breakout of daily resistance with high volume
Support from RSI at the bottom of the ascending channel
Reaction to Fibonacci levels
🔑 Recommendation: Always prioritize capital management. Set a stop-loss at the breakdown of the 0.030 support zone.
LINK | ALTCOINS | Chainlink pushes towards 40$Link has seen some great increases after another bump on BTC.
It's likely that this will lead to another mini-cycle, and push the price of Chainlink even higher towards 40$ which is the next major resistance mark.
I'm especially optimistic for Link and other alts once Ethereum has made a new ATH. More on that thought here:
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88
Last weeks low: $94,177.33
Midpoint: $100,413.61
A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year.
This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price.
Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top.
This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
Wagyuswap ($WAGYU/USDT) MAX POTENTIAL PREDICTIONCurrent Situation:
The Wagyuswap price currently sits at $0.0009969, indicating a significant decline from its historical all-time high (ATH). The technical chart shows clear historical price action where the market witnessed substantial upward momentum in the past. Volume remains moderate, which suggests liquidity but also reflects the cautious sentiment of current investors.
Key Resistance Levels:
$0.1326939 – Initial resistance.
$0.3240766 – Strong psychological barrier.
$1.3830605 – Key mid-term resistance.
$2.7354979 – Previous ATH level, which marks the peak price potential.
Maximum Price Potential:
According to the chart and analysis, $3.0759730 is projected as a maximum possible surge in price ( 275,802% increase ). This aligns with the potential recovery to the previous all-time high and beyond, provided market sentiment turns hyper-bullish.
Investment Prognosis (simulation):
If you invest $1,000 today at the current price of $0.0009969 , and Wagyuswap reaches the maximum projected price of $3.0759730 , the calculation is as follows:
Number of WAGYU Tokens Purchased (simulation):
WAGYU
Tokens= $0.0009969 * $1,000 ≈ 1,003,100 WAGYU
Value at Maximum Potential:
Future Value=
1,003,100 × 3.0759730 ≈ $3,086,000
Summary & Conclusion:
Wagyuswap has significant upside potential if it manages to retest its previous ATH or surpass it, with a projected maximum target of $3.0759730.
An investment of $1,000 today could theoretically yield over $3 million if Wagyuswap reaches this level.
This prognosis represents a maximal price potential, requiring ideal market conditions, strong community hype, and significant trading momentum to materialize.
While this analysis demonstrates the possibility of extraordinary returns, investors must exercise caution, as the crypto market is highly volatile, and such exponential gains come with substantial risks.
This is not a financial advice. DYOR! It is just a simulation.
VELAS is a true sleeping monster ATM (TA + TRADE PLAN)Trend Analysis
Current Price:
The price is hovering around 0.0117 USDT, which shows a small upward movement (+1.31%) in the current time frame (4-hour chart).
Trendline: The chart shows a downward channel (red arrow) where the price has been moving lower. However, the price is now approaching a key support level and showing signs of potential reversal.
Resistance Levels:
The resistance level is marked by a horizontal red line, indicating significant selling pressure at around 0.0160 USDT. The price must break this resistance to signal a potential upward trend.
Support Levels:
A key support zone is located between 0.0100 USDT and 0.0132 USDT (marked with green), indicating that the price has been consolidating and could bounce back from this level.
Indicators
VMC Cipher B-Divergences: The indicator is showing divergences, suggesting potential reversal points, especially as the market is showing bullish divergence at lower price points.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 38.94, which indicates that the asset is in neutral or slightly oversold territory, suggesting that it could be poised for a bounce upwards if buying pressure increases.
Art Money Flow Index: This indicator is currently low (around 23.60), suggesting that the money flow is weak. However, it is not in extreme oversold territory, which gives room for potential growth if momentum picks up.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic indicator is in oversold territory (around 35.39), signaling that a bullish reversal is possible if the trend picks up.
Volume Analysis
Volume: Current volume is 3.39K, which is relatively low but has been increasing recently. Higher volume during upward price movement would confirm the continuation of a bullish trend.
Key Patterns & Signals
Bullish Reversal Setup: The chart shows a potential bullish setup with increasing buying pressure near support. The presence of bullish divergences in the VMC Cipher and the RSI is an early indicator that the market could reverse to the upside.
Breakout: The chart suggests that once the price breaks through the resistance level at 0.0160 USDT, it could accelerate towards the 0.0200 USDT level.
Professional Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
Primary Entry: Wait for a clear breakout above the resistance zone (0.0160 USDT). A confirmation of this breakout on higher volume would present a strong entry signal.
Secondary Entry: Enter near the support level around 0.0100–0.0130 USDT, particularly if there is a reversal candle pattern or other confirmation of bullish momentum.
2. Target Price Levels:
Short-Term Target: 0.0180–0.0200 USDT as the next resistance zone after a successful breakout from the current resistance.
Long-Term Target: 0.0280 USDT, assuming further strong upward momentum.
3. Stop-Loss Levels:
Primary Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss at 0.0100 USDT (below the support zone) to limit downside risk in case of a breakdown.
Tight Stop-Loss: For more conservative traders, place the stop-loss just below the immediate support zone near 0.0120 USDT.
4. Risk Management:
Allocate a small portion of the portfolio per trade, and use appropriate position sizing based on risk tolerance. For example, 1–3% of the total portfolio per trade.
Monitor volume spikes and price action for any signs of reversal or trend exhaustion.
5. Trade Monitoring:
Regularly check the key technical indicators (RSI, Stochastic, Art Money Flow) for shifts in momentum.
Be aware of any external news or market events that could impact Velas’ price action.
The market for Velas (VLX) shows potential for a reversal upward, especially as it tests key support levels and the RSI enters neutral territory. The breakout above resistance would be the key confirmation for further bullish movement, and traders should be prepared for a possible rally towards 0.0200 USDT. Keep an eye on the trading volume and price action for confirmation.
Compound (COMP)
🔢 COMP Analysis
🔹 Overall Status:
The COMP coin, after following an ascending channel, successfully broke above the channel’s ceiling. At the PRZ zone (which includes the ascending channel ceiling and weekly resistance), selling pressure led to a price correction, pushing the price down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
✅ Key Point:
Stabilizing above the PRZ zone can accelerate price growth toward Fibonacci targets.
Trading volume in this area is crucial as it can provide stronger signals about the buyers' or sellers' dominance.
🔹 Support and Resistance Analysis:
1️⃣ Support Levels:
First Support: 0.382 Fibonacci level around $79-$81.
Second Support: 0.5 Fibonacci level around $68-$71.
Third Support: 0.618 Fibonacci level near $60-$62.
2️⃣ Resistance Levels:
PRZ Zone: Weekly resistance and broken ascending channel ceiling (around $92-$103).
Bullish Targets:
First Target: 1.618 Fibonacci level (already achieved).
Second Target: 2.618 Fibonacci level near $300-$330.
Third Target: 3.272 Fibonacci level around $500-$550.
Final Target: 3.618 Fibonacci level near $720-$750.
🔹 Price Movement Prediction:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (if price stabilizes above PRZ):
If the price stabilizes above $140 (PRZ zone), it may head toward the 2.618, 3.272, and 3.618 Fibonacci levels.
Increased trading volume above PRZ will confirm buyers' dominance.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario (if the correction continues):
If the 0.382 Fibonacci level is broken, the price correction could extend to the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
These levels could offer attractive opportunities for re-entry via laddered buying.
🔹 RSI and Entry Signals:
The RSI indicator on the weekly timeframe is at 72.71 (overbought zone), indicating possible selling pressure.
Positive Note: A bullish divergence between the price and RSI suggests the uptrend may resume after a correction.
The ascending RSI trendline can act as support.
✅ Conclusion and Recommendations:
1️⃣ Key Levels:
Supports: $79-$81 (0.382), $68-$71 (0.5), and $60-$62 (0.618 Fibonacci).
Resistances: $130-$140 (PRZ) and higher targets at $300-$330, $500-$550, and $720-$750.
2️⃣ Entry Strategies:
Laddered buying near 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci support levels if the correction continues.
Entry after price stabilizes above the PRZ zone ($130) with rising trading volume.
3️⃣ Risk Management:
Pay close attention to trading volume and price action near critical levels.
Monitor the RSI indicator to assess trend strength and identify potential corrections or continued growth.
💡 Final Recommendation:
In the current conditions, wait for technical confirmations (such as stabilization above resistance or corrections to lower levels) before entering. Prioritize capital management to minimize risks.
Variation of last chart but daily. Alt scenario guess from here This here is a variation of my last but just on the daily instead and another wishful thinking price scenario guess for the altcoins from here. Came up with this scenario guess by using an amalgamation of different ta principles i picked up here and there like described on last chart mixed with a little bit of just intuition guessing, moon cycle theories, and real world time events. Could be totally wrong, not an expert, just throwing my guess based on my level of knowledge, just in case it turns out to be spot on.
ARB | ALTCOINS | Can ARB see a new ATH?With BTC trading above 100k, it's only a matter of time before liquidity rotates back into alts.
This usually happens in a very specific order, with ETH being first, and then other alts by higher market caps, and then random parabolic rallies across the smaller market cap coins - such as Arb.
I'm anticipating a new ETH all time high, because there is just no way BTC makes such a significant new ATH and ETH stays behind However, we may need to have some patience for ETH to get to this point. And after that - we can expect everything else to have their share of the limelight.
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BINANCE:ARBUSDT
SEI SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - SEI NETWORKSEI created a weekly demand zone by tapping into the monthly demand. We observed an impulsive bullish trend that broke out of the consolidation zone we've been in since September 29th. The breakout was exceptionally strong, with a daily close above the range. Because of this, I don't anticipate the price dropping back to the range low of the consolidation any time soon.
I expect a retracement to retest the range high of the trend, marked as the weekly demand (purple zone). This aligns with a key Fibonacci level, providing further confluence that the maximum discount zone (blue box) could be where the price reverses.
I will look for LTF confirmations before initiating the trade.
My expectation is a direct move toward the all-time high. I plan to carry this position as a swing trade until the end of the bull cycle.
SL: $0.28 (Below the daily close)
TP: $1.14 (All-time high
Altcoin Market Cap - Target - 2.5 TrillionHow do determine if its the right time to out on Alt Coin trades? Easy. Look at total Crypto Market Cap, less ETH & BTC. Long term uptrend. Market Cap Just held support on long term up trend and If we are to truly enter the Banana Zone, I’m looking to $2.5 Trillion as the top end target. Once we are at higher timeframe oversold conditions (Weekly, Monthly) average out and take profits.
This could be where the $$$ is made…
USDT Dominance Reversal: Key Levels for Altcoin Long SetupUSDT Dominance (USDT.D) is showing signs of a potential reversal after an extended uptrend, which could provide a significant opportunity for altcoins.
I’m watching the 618 and 786 Fibonacci retracement levels, as well as a down-sloping trendline in the same area. If USDT.D tests and rejects these levels, we’ll likely see a downtrend, which historically leads to a rise in altcoins.
Additionally, an inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) has appeared, confirming the bearish scenario. Once all confirmations are in place on the 4-hour chart, we will look to long altcoins carefully, using leverage while staying disciplined.
Risk Management: Max risk is 5% per trade, aiming for at least a 5x reward. Leverage will be used cautiously, with a focus on emotional control to avoid fear and greed.
%570 Daily Volume Increase, Huge Opportunity
MDTUSDT is showing a 570% increase in daily volume, indicating a surge in trading activity and presenting a huge opportunity. The blue boxes highlight the best demand zones, where strong buying interest is expected.
Monitor these zones for price reactions or lower time frame market structure breaks to confirm entries. Always trade with proper risk management.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
Heart going to pump?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Held up through the flash crash and looking like a sideways correction here.
Possible 1 more offset W4 here.
Want to see it stay sideways and move up.
If it rolls, I would like to see 0.03 hold as support.
if not then 0.025... so keeping it on the watch list and looking for clarity.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
JTO | ALTCOINS | Mixed Signals in BEARs vs BULLsJTO was a hot topic when it was first released and there was a hype surrounding it, like many newly released altcoins (got to get that marketing right 😉)
However, it's been trading very "wicky" over the past few weeks, and the price seems indecisive as a pennant pattern forms. This could play out two ways, and it's likely that the next week will give clearer directions.
I'm largely watching Ethereum, King of the Alts, to make a move before expecting more upside on smaller cap altcoins.
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BINANCE:JTOUSDT
BTC Update: What’s Next for Bitcoin?Bitcoin is heating up, and all eyes are on the next big move. Here’s what we’re watching:
If BTC climbs into the $105K-$108K range, we might see a small correction before it gears up for a push to $116K or higher.
But if it struggles and breaks below $105K, we could dip to $101K. A break below that level might bring some bearish vibes to the market.
This is a critical zone for BTC, and how it reacts here could set the tone for what’s next.
Want to dive deeper? Drop the name of your favorite altcoin in the comments, and I’ll create a video analysis just for you. Let’s figure out the market together!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Velodrome Finance: Key Levels and the Calm Before the Break!!Imagine standing at the edge of a quiet lake in the early morning. The water is still, but you can feel something brewing—a ripple, a shift. That’s where Velodrome Finance (VELO/USD) is right now, hovering around key levels, poised for its next move.
If the price dips to the 50% retracement at $0.23-$0.21, it could find the momentum to push higher. A deeper move to the 61.8% retracement at $0.1770 might still hold promise for a rebound, but if it falls below this level, it’s best to step back and wait for a clearer setup.
On the upside, the target is clear: $0.50. It’s a move that could bring big opportunities, but only if VELO holds strong at these key levels.
This is the kind of moment that defines trading. It’s not about rushing or forcing a move—it’s about watching, waiting, and being ready when the time is right.
Wellness Tip: When the market feels uncertain, take a moment to reset. Step away from the screen, stretch, or just close your eyes for a minute. Trading isn’t just about the moves you make—it’s about staying calm and clear-headed no matter what comes next. 🌿✨
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See