BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone.
This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
Altcoins
IOTX/USDT on the Edge Will the Triangle Break ?IOTX/USDT Technical Analysis Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown in Sight
Key Insights
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: Price has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, creating lower highs and higher lows, signaling a potential breakout.
Critical Support Zone: The price is currently testing the lower trendline at $0.0378.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below this trendline support will trigger a short opportunity, aligning with the bearish market sentiment.
Target Levels
Primary target: $0.0300
Final target: $0.0250
Monitor closely for a breakdown confirmation. A close below support with increased volume could validate a downward move. Managing stop-losses above $0.0450 upper triangle boundary is recommended to mitigate risk.
Alt Coins - one more correction likelyThis is the chart of TOTAL3 market cap - all coins excluding BTC and ETH (essentially market cap of all alt coins).
As we can see, price action is within a larger bull flag (yellow parallel channel) but within it, there is a bear flag (red parallel channel).
Market cap is currently at 950 bn. We are likely to see one more correction where market cap is likely to touch 800 bn market cap. This is because if market cap breaks down from the bear flag, on the basis of measured move, market cap is likely to touch 800 bn. This is also a fib retracement level of 50% and a strong support zone on Weekly timeframe.
Once market cap hits 800 bn zone, there is likely to be a bounce which could pierce the yellow parallel channel as it will be the 3rd hit on the upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, market cap could negate bear flag to hit upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
ATOM LongThe price has recently reclaimed a key level around $7.349, which now serves as a strong level of support.
A demand zone is marked on the chart around the $6.596 level, where previous price action suggests strong buying interest.
The current market structure shows a possible continuation upward after reclaiming the key level, suggesting a move toward higher targets.
The "Buyside Liquidity" area, indicated near $9.352, is the next significant target where the price might aim after breaking above the current resistance.
Be Careful Now!Crypto Trading Fam,
It's time for me to put out a note of caution. I have been bullish but a few days ago while doing my video, I spotted this pattern mid-session, hoping I would be wrong. Looks like I was not. The H&S pattern has now formed. This means we have an 85% probability that we'll drop to our next support of 75k. Yikes!
Now, 15% of the time a H&S pattern can fail. We can only hope this will be the case. But while hoping, prepare your SLs. Could get ugly for those alts!
✌️ Stew
Update the scenario for BTC.Dom - When might Altseason actually?Currently, BTC.Dom CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is following the second scenario I mentioned in my previous post. This is the only scenario I can think of right now.
According to this scenario, I predict that from now until Trump's inauguration, it will remain quite challenging for Altcoins.
To determine whether Altseason will occur, it’s best to wait until the beginning of February to make an informed decision about deploying capital.
The image below shows instances of the M-pattern , where the second peak is higher than the first, followed by significant **Altcoin growth** in previous seasons.
If this second scenario doesn’t play out, my concern is that BTC.Dom could return to the 70 region. In that case, Altcoins would be completely crushed, and I truly hope this worst-case scenario doesn’t happen. :(
bad outlook for alts very short termnext levels to hold for others3:
965 would be good to hold here (given how violent the leg down has been, seems unlikely to hold)
if not, more alts bloodbath and we go down to 905 (seems like most likely scenario)
905 must hold or else there is no altseason and bullmarket is over (extremely unlikely)
SOL - SECRET PATTERN That Nobody Is Talking AboutMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on SOL here.
SOL is looking beautiful , very strong chart but is into double top.
Very similar to LTC when it crashed in the last cycle
Do not miss this important video on SOL as this is a great opportunity
The bull market is very short and we need to make the most of it
Watch video for more details
Phemex Analysis #50: How to Trade SOLANA Like A ProSolana ( PHEMEX:SOLUSDT.P ) has been relatively subdued during the recent November and December 2024 bull run, rising approximately 100%, a stark contrast to its explosive growth of over 1000% during the October 2023 to March 2024 rally. However, the fundamentals of Solana remain robust, with its Total Value Locked (TVL) increasing from $0.3 billion in October 2023 to an impressive $9.5 billion today—a staggering 3166% rise. This demonstrates that Solana’s ecosystem is stronger than ever.
In this article, we’ll analyze possible scenarios for SOL’s price movement over the next few days and provide actionable trading strategies to help you trade like a pro.
1. Bullish Breakout Scenario
Since January 1, 2025, SOL has rebounded by 17%, currently consolidating around the $210 level as it gathers momentum for its next potential move. If SOL manages to break through the $234 resistance level and subsequently surpass $247, there’s a high probability that it could continue its upward trajectory and form a new all-time high (ATH). This bullish momentum could be fueled by developments such as the launch of Solana ETFs or advancements in AI agent integrations within its ecosystem.
Trading Strategy:
If SOL breaks above $234 with high trading volume, consider opening a Long position. And set your stop-loss at $210 to manage risk effectively.
Remember to monitor key news or announcements that could act as catalysts for further price surges.
2. Bearish Drop Scenario
On the downside, if SOL fails to hold above $210 and breaks below this level with significant volume, it could trigger a drop toward the $180 or $175 support levels. Should overall market sentiment turn bearish—especially if Bitcoin also declines—SOL might test deeper support zones at $155 or even $135.
Trading Strategy:
For advanced traders, consider opening a Short position if SOL drops below $210 with substantial volume. Take profits at key support levels such as $180 or $175.
For long-term holders, these levels ($180, $175, $155, and $135) present potential buy-the-dip opportunities based on your risk tolerance.
Key Considerations for SOL Traders
I. Fundamental Strength: Solana’s growing TVL and ecosystem development are strong indicators of its long-term potential. Keep an eye on updates such as ETF launches or institutional adoption.
II. Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently above the midpoint, signaling potential bullish momentum. Watch closely for price action around key resistance levels ($234 and $247) and support levels ($210, $180).
III. Market Sentiment: Recent data shows a net inflow of $224 million in SOL to centralized exchanges over the past week—a trend that could signal increased selling pressure or preparation for derivatives trading. Be cautious of sudden shifts in sentiment.
Conclusion
Trading SOL like a pro requires adapting your strategy to evolving market conditions. Whether you’re aiming to capitalize on a bullish breakout or hedge against a bearish drop, understanding key price levels and market dynamics is crucial. Always combine technical analysis with fundamental insights and practice disciplined risk management.
By staying informed and prepared for multiple scenarios, you can navigate Solana’s market movements with confidence and precision.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
XRP/USDT Bullish Pennant Formation in ProgressThe chart illustrates a textbook Bullish Pennant pattern, suggesting the potential for upward price movement. Currently, the price action is encountering resistance near the upper trendline, indicating that a breakout may require additional consolidation.
Key Observations
1. The pennant formation remains structurally intact, with the price consolidating within a narrowing range.
2. A confirmed breakout above the upper trendline is essential to validate the bullish thesis and initiate a sustainable upward move.
3. Upon a successful breakout, the projected target lies between $2.80 and $3.00, aligning with historical resistance levels.
Strategic Implications
Patience and discipline are paramount. Monitor closely for a decisive breakout with strong volume confirmation. Until then, be prepared for further consolidation or a potential retest of the lower trendline as the market gathers momentum.
$TRVLUSDT : A Deep Dive into Travel and Blockchain
🔎 TRVLUSDT, a cryptocurrency reshaping travel payments, stands out as a niche player in the blockchain ecosystem. Let’s break it down!
1️⃣ Market Overview
What is MIL:TRVL ?
TRVL is a crypto token enabling seamless travel payments, paired with USDT for stability.
📊 Performance Highlights:
Price: $0.043 CRYPTOCAP:USDT
24H Change: +2.84%
Volatility: 5.14% (high but expected in crypto).
Why it Matters: With 100.24% yearly growth, TRVL is positioning itself as a niche leader with untapped potential in travel-specific blockchain solutions.
2️⃣ SWOT Analysis
💪 Strengths:
Unique focus on travel payments with minimal direct competition.
Opportunities for integration with loyalty programs and payment systems.
Potential to streamline payments in a fragmented global travel industry.
🧩 Weaknesses:
Lack of clarity on tokenomics, including total and circulating supply.
Adoption is limited without significant partnerships in the travel industry.
No clear roadmap updates or community-driven growth initiatives.
🌍 Opportunities:
Partnerships with airlines, hotels, and travel platforms could drive adoption.
Post-pandemic recovery in global travel provides fertile ground for innovation.
Growing demand for blockchain-based payment solutions in traditional industries.
⚠️ Threats:
High volatility poses risks for both investors and real-world adoption.
Competing solutions could gain an edge if they secure partnerships first.
Regulatory shifts in either crypto or travel sectors could derail progress.
3️⃣ Market Risks
⚠️ Regulatory Concerns: The dual exposure to crypto and travel regulation increases risks.
⚠️ Volatility: With a 5.14% daily swing, TRVL’s price movements require a high-risk tolerance.
⚠️ Adoption Barriers: Without meaningful partnerships or increased user traction, adoption may stall.
4️⃣ Investment Thesis
💡 Opportunities:
TRVL’s travel-specific focus gives it a unique market position. Strategic partnerships and growing blockchain adoption could unlock substantial value.
🔮 Scenarios:
Best Case: Partnerships drive mainstream adoption, pushing TRVL to new highs.
Base Case: Organic growth with steady adoption in niche travel services.
Worst Case: Limited adoption and regulatory hurdles slow progress.
5️⃣ Conclusion
💼 Recommendation: TRVLUSDT is an intriguing investment with high growth potential but significant risks. It’s ideal for investors with a high-risk tolerance and interest in niche crypto markets.
👀 Key Watch Points:
Stay alert for partnerships with airlines, hotels, or travel agencies.
Watch for regulatory developments affecting crypto adoption.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The markets are volatile, and this post is for educational purposes only. Do your own research before investing.
My Current Market Sentiment Through March 2025 Hello Trader Fam,
In this video I am covering my current market sentiment through March or even April of this year. Along with this, we'll take a closer look at the dollar, the vix, the spy, NVIDIA, U.S. Oil, and Crypto - (Bitcoin, Dominance, Solana, Solana memecoins, AI genned memecoins, etc.). We'll talk a bit about my indicator and what it is showing us and why it has me leaning bullish but why I am cautious with Bitcoin in the lead.
✌️Stew
ARB LONGThis analysis compares the current price action of ARB/USDT (left chart) with the previous Bitcoin cycle (right chart). The price action suggests a potential setup for a long position at a favorable discount, identified around the 0.382 retracement level (shown in red on the ARB/USDT chart).
Key observations:
We expect a significant pullback towards the 0.382 level, which has previously acted as a key support zone, creating a potential buying opportunity.
Similar to the previous Bitcoin cycle, the current price structure shows a sharp retracement followed by a possible continuation to the upside.
The next potential resistance zone, or "buyside liquidity," is marked on the chart, which could act as a target for the upcoming move higher.
Trade Plan:
Entry: At the 0.866 level or lower, near the 0.382 retracement zone.
Stop Loss: Below 0.7558
Take Profit : Target the next resistance zone near the 1.10 level, aligning with the buyside liquidity area or higher.