SUI TRADE IDEA SUI has performed remarkably this Bullrun and it doesn't look to be slowing down. This is just some thoughts on the low timeframe:
Bullish scenario -
A retest of the green zone which is a clear bullish orderblock and the last local high would be an ideal place to get into a Long to then fill the wick up to local high. The general rule of thumb is that wicks get filled and this move would be a near 20% with good R:R. A poor reaction/ no reaction in the green zone would void the trade idea and the Daily support is the next area of interest.
Bearish scenario -
A SFP once the wick gets filled would be a potential bearish trigger with the midpoint and green zone providing areas for the bulls to fight back. SUI is very overbought on the higher timeframes so a larger cool down could be triggered by this pattern playing out. I do also think BTC would have to pullback in order to drag SUI down with it as SUI is just so strong at the moment.
So far a strong start from the US market with the first meaningful day back since the holidays providing strong volume and a bullish bias.
Altcoins
06/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,987.05
Last weeks low: $91,544.67
Midpoint: $95,265.86
2024 is over, 2025 has begun...
Bitcoin ending the year at its highest point since its creation after an impressive rally mainly at both ends of the year with a cool off in the middle.
Now that 2025 has started Bitcoin is looking to break $100,000 once more and begin what many believe to be the final year of the bullmarket. With the holidays now over and year open window dressing now done I would expect volume to return to the markets. Last week we saw a steady climb from the $92,000, whipsaw PA at year end and then a move up to just under $100,000. All that on very low volume which does make me a little worried, similar to weekend moves it's hard to know if they are true moves or just the result of a thin orderblock, this week will answer that question.
Some important data releases for this week include:
Tuesday - Euro CPI
Wednesday - US ADP Nonfarm employment, FOMC minutes
Thursday - CNY CPI & PPI, US Jobless claims
Friday - US Unemployment rate
As we get closer to president Trumps inauguration and the shift in the US from an anti crypto approach to a pro crypto approach, this week should be in preparation for that and could be reactive to news of Trumps administration choices and updates on the "Strategic bitcoin reserve" etc. These reactions could be positive or negative so getting a read on the market in the opening few days maybe wise.
The chart shows and early break above weekly high, this opens up the opportunity for a SFP if the weekly high is lost, if that is the case a drawdown towards Midpoint is on the cads, however if the weekly high is held as support a move towards $100,000 once again is the bullish target. Increased volume would cement either move as the weekly bias.
Good luck to all this year!
Ripple: Another Dip Ahead?In the opening hours of the new year, XRP made a solid effort to recover from the minor weakness of the past two weeks. While the price surged over 25% between December 30 and the following five days, we classify this brief rally as a temporary counter-move, which should shortly transition into the final sell-off of the corrective magenta wave (4). Once the wave (4) low has been settled, the magenta impulsive wave (5) should break above the resistance at $3.28. However, if the price fails to sustain its next upward move and retreats significantly from this green line, the magenta wave alt. (4) will form another low before paving the way for the next upward impulse. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
Technical Analysis of WAGYUSWAP (WAGYU/USDT) Technical Analysis of WAGYUSWAP (WAGYU/USDT)
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Structure: WAGYU/USDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal pattern. The narrowing of price action indicates reduced volatility, often leading to an upward breakout.
Support: The green trendline represents strong support, with multiple touches confirming its validity.
Resistance: The red trendline represents descending resistance that needs to be broken for bullish confirmation.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Bullish divergences observed with higher lows in the indicator and lower lows in price. This supports a potential upward momentum.
RSI (14): Currently near neutral levels (~45), indicating room for upward movement before becoming overbought. A breakout of the wedge may push RSI above 50, strengthening the bullish scenario.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Fluctuating near 50, suggesting balanced buying and selling pressure. A spike above 60 would indicate increased buying momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels (25.35), aligning with the potential for a price rebound. A crossover to the upside would be a confirmation signal.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
$0.0005847: Immediate support level.
$0.0005000: Strong psychological support.
Resistance Levels:
$0.0009113: First target upon breakout.
$0.0013197: Strong mid-term resistance.
$0.0015666 - $0.0019185: Long-term targets, contingent on market sentiment and volume.
Volume Analysis
Volume Decline: Falling wedge patterns often witness declining volume. An increase in volume during a breakout above resistance will confirm bullish momentum.
Trading Plan for WAGYU/USDT (Spot Trading Only)
1. Entry Strategy
BUY IMMEDIATELY
2. Exit strategy
OUT at 0.1 usdt
Market Sentiment: Monitor Velas ( LSE:VLX ) price movement, as the analysis mentions its correlation with WAGYUSWAP's performance.
Volume Confirmation: Entry and breakout trades must be supported by a significant volume increase to validate the move.
Macro Conditions: Keep an eye on overall cryptocurrency market trends, as they can impact price dynamics
KASPA - IT'S TIME TO RISE (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA/USDT
Chart Overview
Formation: The price action indicates a descending trading channel transitioning into a falling wedge pattern, which is typically bullish and suggests a potential breakout.
Support Levels: There are key horizontal support zones within the orange-shaded areas (~$0.120-$0.125). These levels have historically provided strong demand and buying pressure.
Resistance Levels: Resistance is observed near $0.135 and $0.145. Breaking above these levels will confirm the bullish breakout.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI: At 37.25, indicating oversold conditions. A potential reversal upwards is imminent.
Stochastic RSI: Showing upward momentum, confirming a likely breakout soon.
Volume: A significant volume spike near support zones suggests accumulation by bulls.
Money Flow Index (MFI): A positive divergence indicates that buyers are entering the market.
Wave Market Cipher: Shows bullish divergence with green dots on the oscillator, further validating a potential move upward.
Pattern Breakdown
Falling Wedge: A bullish continuation pattern that implies a breakout in the upward direction. This is supported by the narrowing of price movements and lower volume, a precursor to significant price movement.
Trading Plan for KASPA
Entry Strategy:
Primary Entry: Enter near the current price level (~$0.124) within the wedge, as this is close to strong support.
Secondary Entry: Place buy orders near $0.120 in case of a short-term dip.
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss just below the wedge support ($0.115) to manage risk, as breaking below this invalidates the bullish setup.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $0.135 – the upper boundary of the current wedge.
Target 2: $0.145 – a resistance level aligned with historical price action.
Target 3: $0.160 – an extended target if momentum continues post-breakout.
Risk-Reward:
Risk: $0.124 to $0.115 (~7.3% downside).
Reward:
Target 1: 9% gain.
Target 2: 16.9% gain.
Target 3: 29% gain.
Confirmation Strategy:
Wait for a confirmed breakout above $0.128 (wedge resistance) with strong volume before adding to positions.
Use a trailing stop-loss to secure profits if the price moves significantly upward.
Timeframe:
Monitor the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes for confirmation signals. Breakouts from falling wedges typically occur within 1-2 trading sessions.
Market Sentiment: Ensure the broader crypto market sentiment remains positive or neutral to support bullish momentum.
News Events: Monitor any fundamental news or updates regarding KASPA that could affect its price action.
XRP Long to 6.66Observing the fractal pattern on XRP, we see a potential setup similar to AVAX's previous price action.
The price seems ready to expand soon and is likely to dip into the orange demand zone, creating a buying opportunity. The demand zone is crucial, much like it was on AVAX's chart before its massive move upward.
Entry Zone : Look for a dip into the orange demand zone around $2.21 - $2.41.
Target: $6.66 – A potential long-term target based on the fractal comparison with AVAX.
Key points:
The price structure shows a similar pattern of consolidation before a major price breakout.
Timing will be critical as we expect the price to dip into the demand zone before moving up.
Stay vigilant for entry confirmation within the demand zone.
If this fractal plays out as expected, XRP could see significant upside potential, following a path similar to AVAX's recent price action.
DOGE Paws and Reflect: corrective or new impulse?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
DOGE’s recent price action has us wagging our tails in anticipation. However, the current pattern suggests that the bulls might need to sniff out some serious momentum to keep upward continuation on track. With the potential triangle pattern now behind us, here’s where DOGE stands:
### Key Levels to Watch
1. **0.35 - The Ideal Bone to Chew On:**
This level is the sweet spot for maintaining a bullish outlook. If DOGE can hold 0.35, it keeps the door open for a potential rebound and a chance to bark back at resistance.
2. **0.30 - The Last Leash for Bulls:**
Should 0.35 slip through the paws, 0.30 becomes the final defense. A drop below this level could leave the bulls chasing their tails as bearish momentum takes hold.
3. **0.41 - The Alpha Level:**
This is the key resistance zone. If DOGE can break above 0.41, it could mark the start of a new upward sprint. A rejection here or below the level, however, might have the bears howling with delight.
### Scenarios to Consider
- **Bullish Continuation:**
DOGE breaks free above 0.41, signaling that the bulls are back in the driver’s seat, possibly targeting new highs.
- **Bearish Breakdown:**
A failure to hold 0.35 or a deeper slip below 0.30 would likely mean DOGE is heading into a doghouse of corrections, with bearish momentum wagging its tail all the way down.
### Final Thoughts
The DOGE pack is at a critical crossroads, and the next moves will define whether the bulls can retrieve control or if the bears are about to sink their teeth into the action. Stay sharp, keep your levels in focus, and don’t let this market collar you.
Altcoins by the Example of FIL and BTCThis chart compares the price structure of FIL (left) with BTC (right) from 2015/2016 to highlight similarities in price behavior.
The key observation is the accumulation phase where the price trades within a defined zone for an extended period, eventually breaking out with significant volume, indicating strength and demand.
After breaking out, the price typically retraces into an orange zone, a phase where many participants get burned due to their unrealized gains being lost quickly, often causing panic and liquidation. This retracement is frequently mistaken for a "suckers rally."
However, this orange zone marks the re-accumulation phase , where smart money enters again before the real price expansion begins. The current chart shows similar price behavior to what we saw in BTC in 2015/2016. Despite differences in liquidity and volume back then, the same pattern is visible.
As for a potential selling point, we are looking at May 2025 , although it's difficult to predict the exact peak of altcoins during this phase. The FIL chart essentially represents the broader altcoin market, as most altcoins exhibit similar structures and price movements.
FARTRCOIN losing...steam?..no... gas!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
#Fartcoin Analysis: Key Levels and What’s Next
When it comes to Fartcoin, the recent price action has been, well, a real gas. There are several ways to interpret the current move, but one thing that stands out is the sharp swing up from the 0.773 level. With in this move we can see good separation between corrections, catching the eye as a potential impulse. But if this swing was the orthodox end of a larger degree downtrend, we might still expect one more wave 4 and wave 5 to complete the structure.
The 1.30 Level: Breaking Wind or Breaking Through?
The key area to watch is 1.30. Historically, this level served as resistance but flipped to support during the last leg up. Recently, however, Fartcoin has broken structure by dipping below this level, taking out the previous wave 4. While this isn’t a confirmed game-over moment for the bulls, it’s not exactly a breath of fresh air either. To keep the momentum alive, the bulls need to retake 1.30 and push upwards decisively. Otherwise, this rally might just be running on fumes.
What Happens If 1.30 Fails?
Should Fartcoin fail to reclaim 1.30 and instead break further below, a retest of this level from the underside would likely solidify the bearish case. In this scenario, it might be time to consider a short position, as the rally could officially let one rip—straight to lower levels.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Redemption: Price retakes 1.30, flipping it back to support, and continues upward. This scenario would validate the potential for further impulsive moves and a continuation of the uptrend. In other words, Fartcoin could blow past expectations.
Bearish Breakdown: Price breaks below 1.30 and retests the level from the underside. This would indicate a loss of bullish control and a potential shift to a deeper correction or a full reversal. It’s the kind of situation where the market might just leave bulls holding their noses.
Final Thoughts
While Fartcoin’s recent moves have been impressive, the current structure is at a critical juncture. Whether it’s going to explode back upwards or blowing the rally to pieces, the 1.30 level will be pivotal in determining the next direction. Bulls need to regain control, but if they fail, it could be time for the bears to toot their own horn.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
RENDERUSDT: Strategic Support Zones at the Blue BoxesIn this analysis, the blue boxes stand out as potential support areas worth close attention. These zones are significant for two key reasons:
They align with demand areas, where buying pressure is likely to increase.
They act as first lines of defense, offering a possible halt to further downside movement.
Trading Plan
Focus on Lower Time Frame Reactions: Observing price behavior within the green line and the blue box zones is essential. Key indicators include bullish candlestick patterns, volume surges, or other signs of reversal.
Long Trade Opportunities: If positive reactions occur in these areas, long trades can be structured with well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels.
Summary
The blue boxes in RENDERUSDT represent high-probability support zones, combining technical demand with structural significance. By analyzing the lower time frame reactions, traders can position themselves for potential upside opportunities while managing risks effectively.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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#VOXEL/USDT Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Long Setup#VOXEL is breaking out of a symmetrical triangle, signaling potential bullish momentum. The entry is around $0.1983, with a stop loss at $0.1523 and a target of $0.3643, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Watch for volume confirmation to validate the breakout. This setup has the potential for a 2X move if the momentum sustains. Keep it on your radar!
DOT is going up really fast - Act quickly!BINANCE:DOTUSDT is on fire 🔥
Don't miss out! As soon as the price goes above the ichi's cloud then there is basically nothing stopping it from reaching higher targets and Polkadot would reach $11 in no time. If the sentiment is still bullish and the altcoin season happens it can reach $15
XRP/USDT Bullish Pennat Breakout LoadingXRP/USDT, Bullish Pennant Formation in Progress
The chart displays a Bullish Pennant, signaling potential upward momentum. However, the price is currently rejecting near the upper trendline, indicating that the breakout may take some time.
Key Insights
1. The pennant structure remains intact, but consolidation might continue before a decisive breakout.
2. Watch for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline before considering a long trade.
3. Once the breakout occurs, the target range is $2.8 to $3.0.
Patience is crucial as the price may test the trendline support or consolidate further before breaking out.
Altcoins Have Broken Out - In Case You Didn't Notice.Crypto Fam,
In case you didn't notice, altcoins have officially broken out of our bearish descending wedge. I am expecting 2025 to be a bull year and through April you should really see some massive pumping take place, especially with high MC memecoins.
Don't forget that my cycle theory is different this bull market but so far has proven correct. That is: BTC is bullish first often in sync with Solana, Solana Memecoins, and often accompanied by AI based alts/memecoins. The we see other memecoins pumping with continued strength from AI based coins. And finally we see the OG classic ALT follow the train. This seems to be the trend. I don't expect anything different this year.
As it pertains to ALTS on this chart, you can see I have drawn some resistance right around 1.13T MC. I would expect some pause here and maybe a slight pullback before the bulls gain enough momentum to break through. Then onward and upward we should proceed through April. I'll re-assess the macro outlook for all of crypto at this point.
✌️ Stew
ARB breaking up from a bullflag that can take it above necklineArbitrum looks like it has probably founded the lowest depth of the right shoulder of it’s inverse head and shoulders here as it has now broken upward from this purple bullflag here and is now back above the 1 day 50ma(in orange). The breakout target of this flag will take price action above the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern if it hit its full breakout target. We can also see that the bearish h&s that we were under the neckline of for several daily candle closes never progressed into getting validated as is often the case with bearish patterns in this phase of the bull market. I suppose there’s still a chance we could head bck under that light colored tannish neckline again but probability favor the upside at this point. *not financial advice*
SUI Wave 4: Pivots, Patterns, and PossibilitiesIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The cleanest conservative count, in my opinion, suggests that we are still within a wave 4 or possibly a diagonal. This conclusion is based on the 3-wave move up that has printed so far, which aligns with the characteristics of corrective wave structures.
Wave 4, according to Elliott Wave principles, often presents as a more complex corrective pattern, and this appears consistent with the current price action. However, the situation remains dynamic, and key levels will play a crucial role in determining the next steps in the wave count.
### Key Levels to Watch
1. **4.92**: If price action fails to generate further upside momentum and drops below this level, it would indicate potential weakness and could lead to a revisit the 3.95 level.
2. **3.95 Pivot + Price Action (PA)**: This level will be pivotal in determining where we are within the broader wave count. A hold above this level could maintain the possibility of the current count, whereas a deeper breach could suggest a shift in the structure.
### Scenarios to Consider
- **Bullish Continuation**: If price action remains above 4.92 and generates impulsive moves, it may signal the end of wave 4 and the start of wave 5.
- **Extended Correction**: A drop below 4.92 and a test of the 3.95 pivot could indicate a continuation of wave 4 or a diagonal pattern. An impulsive breach would lend to a flat.
### Neutral Perspective
This analysis remains neutral, focusing on the possibilities rather than definitive predictions. The next moves around these levels will provide important clues about the broader structure and potential directional bias. As always, flexibility and attention to evolving price action are essential when navigating corrective waves.
By monitoring these critical levels and patterns, traders can better position themselves to adapt to the unfolding price action.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
SNX LongThe Accumulation Phase (2023-2024) is marked on the chart, showing a period of consolidation where price moves within a range. This phase indicates that buyers and sellers are reaching equilibrium, setting up a strong foundation for future price movement.
The Demand Zone (2025) is represented by the blue dashed area, a key level of support where price could experience a bounce. This zone is crucial as it could offer an entry point for long trades before a potential breakout.
The chart projects a Bullish Breakout (2025 and beyond) , where the price is expected to rise significantly after the accumulation phase.
Potential Target: The price is projected to rise significantly after the breakout, potentially reaching targets as high as $16 based on the breakout from the demand zone.
Overall Outlook: The chart suggests a well-planned accumulation phase with a likely bullish breakout in 2025. Keep an eye on the demand area for potential entries and watch for upward momentum as price breaks above key resistance levels.
LRC Long -> 1.36$Long Position on LRC/USDT
We have entered a long position at the current price of 0.1348 USDT. Based on our chart analysis, we expect the price to soon reach the marked levels.
At each target, we suggest taking partial profits to secure gains and reduce risk.
Targets:
0.50 USDT – First target, take partial profits here.
0.80 USDT – Second target, take more profits.
1.40 USDT – Final target, exit the remaining position.
A stop-loss should be placed below the recent low to manage risk effectively.
VRA LongThe Demand Zone (2023-2024) is showing a significant area of support where price has previously bounced. This area is crucial as it forms a base for future price movements.
The chart projects a Bullish Breakout (2025), where the price is expected to experience a sharp upward movement. The projected path indicates a series of strong rallies after the initial breakout from the demand zone. The price could reach higher levels, as indicated by the upward arrows.
The Time Exit is marked with the red text, which suggests a time window when it might be ideal to exit the position.
Potential Target: The price is projected to rise significantly after the breakout, with potential targets near the higher levels indicated by the chart's upward arrows.
Overall Outlook: The chart reflects a well-formed demand zone with an expected bullish breakout in 2025. Keep an eye on the demand area for potential entries, and monitor the time exit for possible profit-taking after the anticipated rise.
ETC LongThe Accumulation Phase (2023-2024) shows a significant period of consolidation between late 2023 and 2024, where the price remains within a range. This phase suggests a buildup of buying pressure, indicating a potential breakout.
The Re-Accumulation Phase (2024-2025) shows further consolidation after the initial movement, preparing for the next upward move. This phase is important as it forms a solid base for potential price advancement.
A break above the MSB level could signal stronger upward momentum.
Potential Target: The chart projects that a breakout above the MSB could lead to a sharp price movement, with potential targets near $65
Overall Outlook: The chart reflects a well-planned accumulation phase with an expected bullish trend if price can surpass the MSB level.