BOND/USDT: PSR Flips Green—Degen Play or Conservative Stay?**BOND/USDT Analysis (Daily Chart)**
1. **PSR Turned Green:**
- The **Parabolic SAR (PSR)** flipped bullish today, indicating a potential **entry signal at the daily close**. This signal reflects growing short-term bullish momentum.
2. **200-Day MA:**
- The price remains **below the 200-day MA**, which is a significant resistance zone. This keeps the long-term trend bearish, and traders should be cautious about overcommitting until this level is cleared.
3. **Entry Signal Commentary:**
- The **PSR-based entry** is suitable for **high-risk (degen) traders** seeking early opportunities.
- **Conservative traders** may prefer to wait for confirmation, such as a breakout above the **200-day MA** or sustained price action above $1.776 (local top).
4. **Oscillator Insights:**
- **OBV:** Trending upwards, confirming accumulation by buyers during recent upward moves.
- **RSI:** At **60.62**, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought.
- **CMF:** Positive at **0.16**, reflecting strong buying pressure.
**Summary:**
- **Degen Traders:** A PSR flip today signals a potential entry at the close for risk-tolerant traders, but the price still faces significant resistance.
- **Conservative Approach:** Wait for confirmation via a breakout above the **200-day MA** or strong price action above $1.776.
**Outlook:**
- A daily close above $1.776 could pave the way for further upside toward **$2.000**, while failure to sustain above today’s levels might signal a pullback to **$1.584 support**.
Altcoins
1000RATSUSDT: Breakout Watch – Will Bulls Take Charge ?!?!?!?!?!This chart shows a potentially bullish setup but with important caveats to consider:
- The **Parabolic SAR (PSR)** has flipped green, signaling bullish momentum.
- The price is trading above the **200-day MA**, a strong indicator of a potential trend reversal. However, this signal will be more significant if confirmed by today's **daily close**.
The **descending trendline resistance** remains intact and is yet to be broken. A breakout above this trendline would confirm further bullish continuation and strengthen the overall setup.
**Oscillators** add further insight:
- The **RSI** is above 50, suggesting growing positive momentum but still leaving room for a stronger move.
- **CMF** has turned positive, indicating buying pressure and healthy money flow.
- **OBV** is trending upward, showing steady accumulation and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
While the current setup offers an **entry signal** based on the PSR and 200-day MA, traders should watch for a breakout above the descending trendline for stronger confirmation. Volume will also play a critical role in validating any breakout.
ADA | ALTCOINS | Altseason Approaches AN ENDA quick look into Cardano after a near 330% increase, there seems to be room for further growth.
Key Fibonacci levels are a great watchpoints, especially the 618's.
Two other coins that pumped recently :
Just remember that after the pump, comes the DUMP. Almost every time .
Here's my thoughts on the BTC ATH being in:
Analysis of 10000SATS/USDT (Daily Timeframe)**Market Structure:**
The price has decisively broken out of the **descending channel**, showing early signs of a bullish reversal. This breakout occurred above the **0.786 Fibonacci retracement level**, a critical area that now serves as immediate support.
**Key Observations:**
1. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels**:
- The **0.786 level** has been reclaimed, signaling a potential reversal from the extended bearish trend.
- The **0.618 Fibonacci level** serves as the next target, with **0.382** being a longer-term bullish objective.
2. **Volume Analysis**:
- A spike in **volume** confirms the validity of the breakout, as smart money appears to be entering the market.
- Typical of breakout setups, volume dropped prior to the move, consistent with a consolidation phase.
3. **Momentum Indicators**:
- **RSI**: At **67**, the Relative Strength Index signals strong bullish momentum but approaches overbought territory, suggesting the possibility of near-term consolidation.
- **CMF (Chaikin Money Flow)**: Positive at **0.16**, indicating steady accumulation and buying pressure.
4. **On-Balance Volume (OBV)**:
- OBV has consistently risen, reflecting increasing buyer participation and a strong bullish foundation.
5. **200-Day Moving Average**:
- The price remains slightly below the **200-day MA**, an important level for confirming the long-term trend shift.
**Key Levels to Watch:**
1. **Immediate Support**:
- **0.786 Fibonacci level**: Must hold for the breakout to sustain its bullish momentum.
2. **Immediate Resistance**:
- **200-day MA**: A close above this level would solidify the bullish trend.
- **0.618 Fibonacci level**: A breakout above this level could accelerate bullish momentum.
**Scenarios**:
1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- A **close above the 0.786 Fibonacci level** will confirm the breakout's strength.
- Sustained buying pressure could push the price toward the **0.618 Fibonacci level**, aligning with the next major resistance.
2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- Failure to hold the **0.786 Fibonacci level** may lead to a retest of the descending channel's upper boundary or lower support levels.
**Conclusion:**
The breakout from the descending channel and the move above the **0.786 Fibonacci retracement level** mark a pivotal moment for 10000SATS/USDT. Traders should focus on whether the price can sustain above the **0.786 Fib** and gain strength toward the **0.618 level**.
**Recommendation:**
- **Swing Traders**: Enter on a confirmed **daily close above the 0.786 Fibonacci level** to validate the breakout.
- **Day Traders**: Watch for volume and RSI dynamics to time entries around current levels.
IOTA Soars 56% as Rebased Upgrade Voting BeginsIOTA ( FWB:IOTA ) has experienced a remarkable surge, climbing over 56% to $0.5780. This leap follows the initiation of voting on its groundbreaking Rebased upgrade, positioning IOTA as one of the top performers among the 100 largest cryptocurrencies by market cap. Let's explore the driving forces behind this rally from both fundamental and technical perspectives.
Fundamental Drivers: The Rebased Upgrade
The primary catalyst behind IOTA's surge is the launch of voting for the Rebased upgrade. This upgrade represents a transformative shift for the IOTA L1 mainnet, introducing features aimed at enhancing decentralization, scalability, and utility:
- Staking Rewards: Users can now earn IOTA staking rewards, with an initial target inflation rate of 6% to 7%.
- Move-based Smart Contracts: Support for deploying smart contracts based on the Move programming language expands IOTA’s capabilities.
- Reduced Transaction Costs: Adaptive fee-burning and sponsored transactions aim to lower costs, fostering broader adoption.
- Full Decentralization: The upgrade aims to fully decentralize the IOTA ledger, enhancing trust and transparency.
Voting will continue until December 9, with the counting process concluding on December 16. The upgrade has heightened investor optimism, evident in IOTA's soaring futures open interest, which reached a record $87.89 million—more than tripling from last week’s $26.27 million.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, IOTA is exhibiting strong bullish momentum:
- Price Action: The altcoin has surged 55% in 24 hours, hitting a six-month high of $0.5780. Its monthly gains now exceed 350%, with daily trading volume spiking by 83% to over $705 million.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 89, indicating overbought conditions. Despite this, there are no immediate signs of a cool-off, suggesting sustained buyer interest.
After a prolonged six-month consolidation phase, IOTA's breakout signals a potential continuation of the uptrend. The consistent series of green candlesticks confirms strong buying pressure.
Broader Market Context
IOTA's rally aligns with broader altcoin market momentum. The Altcoin Season Index at 81 indicates that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin, reflecting growing investor appetite for high-potential projects. Additionally, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 76 underscores prevailing bullish sentiment.
Conclusion
IOTA's surge is underpinned by significant fundamental advancements and robust technical indicators. The Rebased upgrade promises to transform IOTA into a more decentralized and utility-rich network, while technical patterns suggest further upside potential. As the voting process unfolds, IOTA remains a standout asset in the altcoin market, capturing the attention of both retail and institutional investors.
Can ETH Cause ALT Season? MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on ETH here.
ETH is looking BEARISH near term, but very strong chart for more upside on larger time frames
Very similar to past bull market
Do not miss out on ETH as this is a great opportunity and can later cause a real ALT Season
Watch video for more details
TRX on the RiseThe recent surge in the price of TRON ( CRYPTOCAP:TRX ) has set the digital asset space abuzz, which has now caught the market's eye more than ever following bold statements from its founder, Justin Sun. Sun's comparison of TRX to XRP, especially in the wake of XRP's significant rally, has not only sparked investor interest but also reignited discussions about TRON's potential in the altcoin market. Here, we delve into both the technical and fundamental aspects that are driving TRX's current market dynamics.
Fundamental Analysis:
Project Vision and Utility: TRON was conceived to revolutionize digital content ownership by empowering creators directly with blockchain technology. Since its inception in 2017, TRON has evolved from an ERC-20 token on Ethereum to its own independent network. This transition underscores its commitment to providing a platform where content creators can earn directly from consumers without intermediaries. This model of direct-to-consumer interaction could be pivotal as digital content consumption grows exponentially.
Market Position:
With a current market cap hovering around $20 billion, TRX ranks among the top cryptocurrencies, indicating robust investor confidence. The platform's focus on decentralized applications (dApps) and its support for smart contracts places it in competition with giants like Ethereum, yet TRON distinguishes itself by targeting the content creation sector, potentially carving out a unique niche.
Leadership Influence: Justin Sun's active engagement on social platforms, where he likened TRX to XRP, plays a significant role in shaping market sentiment. His vision for TRON as the "next XRP" taps into the current narrative where XRP has shown substantial growth due to legal clarifications and market sentiment shifts. Sun's comparison might not just be about price but also about TRX's potential role in the global financial ecosystem.
Technical Analysis:
Price Movement: TRX has experienced a notable rally, with a 17% increase in a single day, pushing its price to $0.236. This surge has been accompanied by a dramatic rise in trading volume, up 116% to $2.49 billion, demonstrating strong market interest. Over the past week and month, TRX has shown gains of 23% and 44%, respectively, illustrating a consistent upward trajectory.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 80, the RSI suggests that TRX is in overbought territory, which might hint at an impending correction or consolidation. Investors should watch for potential pullbacks to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level as a buying opportunity if the selling pressure subsides.
Three White Soldiers: The recent chart pattern, known as 'Three White Soldiers', indicates a strong bullish trend, where three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks signal a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, reinforcing the current momentum.
Market Sentiment: Despite signals of potential overbuying, the market sentiment around TRX remains bullish, fueled by Justin Sun's statements and the general altcoin market dynamics. The increase in futures open interest to $184.82 million suggests that traders are betting on further price increases.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook:
Speculation and Hype: The market's reaction to Sun's statements has been immediate and positive, with investors jumping on the bandwagon, speculating that TRX could indeed follow XRP's path. However, the sustainability of such a surge depends on more than just hype; it requires continuous development and adoption of TRON's ecosystem.
Challenges Ahead: While the comparison with XRP is compelling, TRX must navigate its challenges, including competition from other blockchain platforms, the need for more widespread adoption of its dApps, and maintaining its technological edge.
Investor Strategy: Given the technical indicators, short-term traders might look for entry points during any dips or consolidation phases. For long-term holders, the focus should be on TRON's adoption rate, partnerships, and the expansion of its DeFi ecosystem as these will likely be the true drivers of sustained value growth.
Conclusion:
TRON's recent rally, bolstered by Justin Sun's provocative comparison to XRP, has indeed placed it under the spotlight. While the immediate future might see some volatility due to overbought conditions, the fundamental vision of TRON, coupled with its technical performance, suggests a cryptocurrency with significant growth potential. Investors and traders should keep a close eye on both the technical charts and the broader market trends, as well as TRON's strategic moves in the blockchain space, to make informed decisions. However, as always, the crypto market's unpredictability requires caution and a well-thought-out investment strategy.
Arbitrum is back!ARB (Arbitrum) is making a major comeback, climbing back to the $1 mark!
After facing turbulence in the market, ARB is showing signs of resilience and strength. But here's where it gets even more exciting — we're potentially witnessing the formation of a *Golden Cross*!
For those who are familiar with technical analysis, a Golden Cross occurs when a short-term moving average (like the 50-day) crosses above a long-term moving average (such as the 200-day), signaling a possible breakout and a bullish trend ahead.
Could this be the start of a new uptrend for Arbitrum? With growing interest in Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, ARB's return to the $1 level could just be the beginning of something much bigger. The network’s speed, scalability, and low transaction costs continue to make it a standout player in the Ethereum ecosystem.
As more users flock to decentralized applications (dApps) and DeFi platforms, Arbitrum is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand. If the Golden Cross plays out as expected, we might see a surge in price momentum, attracting more investors and traders looking to ride the wave.
While the market is still volatile and unpredictable, ARB's return to $1 is a promising signal of potential bullish action in the near future. Keep an eye on the charts, because things could heat up fast!
Analysis of TOTAL2 TargetsAs we can see, the overall trend is bullish. After breaking the March high, the only remaining step for the market to truly thrive is to break the most recent peak and form a new high. There is only one direction now: upward.
The potential paths for this upward movement are as follows:
Scenario 1:
A pullback to the 1.27T level followed by a strong continuation to the upside.
Scenario 2:
A direct upward move without any significant correction.
Potential Milestones After Breaking the All-Time High:
2.11T
3.57T
11T (final target)
The market is showing promising signs of strength, and these key levels could be the focus for the next phases of growth.
Let’s keep a close eye on price action and prepare for what’s coming!
Capital will rotate back into Solana and Solana coinsWithout a doubt in my mind Solana was the altcoin that led crypto out of the bear market. In many metrics it has become the best performing chain. Raydium, Jito, Jupiter and others inc Phantom have be key players in this.
Now capital is clearing rotate away from the gains made in Solana to non Solana areas. Perhaps we see further rotation throughout crypto before either rotation to BTC or USD. Should rotation be BTC then I believe Solana could follow closest. Moving into prime position as leading altcoin in rotation this cycle.
Of course should Solana get this position again for next BTC leg up (whenever that is) then the Solana coins like RAY, KMNO, MNDE and others are likely to follow.
FET - Artificial Superintelligence Coin With BIG BIG Upside MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on FET .
FET Is an Artificial Superintelligence Coin
FET is looking beautiful ,large bullish structure. Very nice chart for more upside.
Very similar to RSR back in 2020 which is up nearly 10x gain
Do not miss out on FET as this is a great opportunity
Watch the video for more details
AVAX SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON AVAX is one of the most well-known coins, with strong fundamentals. I believe it will perform well during the 2024-2025 bull run.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone, showing solid rejection and strength. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish trend. The weekly momentum is strongly bullish, and the daily momentum is also bullish, supported by Bitcoin's strength.
The price may form a small range here before taking off straight toward the purple targets.
I’ve bought a spot position here and will be holding it all the way to new highs and targets above.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is in a strong bullish trend and has reached the 60% level. This means that Bitcoin alone holds 60% of the total crypto market value. In other words, the entire altcoin market, including ETH and other large-cap coins, represents only 40% of the market. Considering the crypto market has over 2,500 different coins/assets, it’s notable that all of them combined only account for 40% of the total market value, while Bitcoin alone makes up the other 60%.
In previous bull market cycles, this chart typically shows initial bullishness, followed by a strong reversal to the downside after a few months, which brings the largest returns in the altcoin market.
A bullish trend in BTC Dominance indicates that Bitcoin will outperform altcoins, whereas a bearish trend suggests the opposite.
Currently, BTC Dominance is moving within a parallel channel driving its bullish movement. It has reached the weekly supply level and is now approaching the monthly supply level. I expect BTC Dominance to hit this monthly supply level at the top of the channel, experience rejection, and start moving lower. Eventually, I anticipate it will break below the entire channel, signaling a large influx of capital into altcoins. This shift has the potential to create significant returns for altcoin investors.
I believe this scenario is likely during the 2025 bull cycle, so be prepared to build generational wealth.
Nothing New Here With XRPThis thing has been trading in a giant range against Bitcoin. It has been exploited as an accumulation tool, with very specific and seemingly coordinated price action. I'm honestly a bit surprised Ripple got away with their shenanigans and that their court case went the way it did. The result left the doors open for this thing to fly. It's important to pay attention to the token supply - it is primarily used to enrichen its founders during price bumps. At one point, I was bullish on it, but after observing this behavior over and over again, I caught on.
Interestingly, it almost seems like XRP and XLM were repressed a little bit during the last cycle due to the court case, and now they've got a bit less sell pressure. XLM is associated with XRP, due to its founder having been originally part of the Ripple project.
These coins can be extremely volatile during period of price appreciation. Just look at those spikes and retraces. Best not to get caught off-guard. All I can say is, I'm happy for those who held this long and are able to skim some profit today.
A note of caution: Explosive price behavior from XRP often precedes a broader shift to the downside for the market. This can come in the form of an extended correction or the end to a bull market.
Looking at XLM/BTC, price has only reached levels seen not too long ago. In 2017, the ratio exploded 30x once it hit those sub 200 sats levels. So, in theory, price has a lot of room for upside...it's just that once the end of the pump is reached, it could be many years before it sees prices that high again, particularly in Bitcoin valuation.
XLM/BTC for reference:
Though I also suppose, if I'm going by my previously held opinions on XLM, its applicability as a currency is far superior to Bitcoin, so, in a world where cryptocurrencies exist AS CURRENCIES, I'd rather XLM win out in the end. I don't mind the project so much as its price action appears somewhat manipulated and unpredictable.
That's it from me! Thanks for reading as always. And of course this represents my opinion only, and is not meant as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
Epic #Altseason vibes!#Altcoin follows 2016-2017 simulation!
#AltSeason is inevitable and here are the do's and don'ts! 🧵
What to Do and Avoid During #Altcoins Season.
Things You Should Do:
1.Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
•Study the project’s technology, team, use case, and roadmap.
•Be cautious of low-volume projects that are susceptible to manipulation.
2.Practice Risk Management
•Don’t invest your entire capital in a single altcoin. Diversify your portfolio.
•Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
3.Follow Market Trends
•Monitor indicators like Bitcoin dominance and total market volume.
•Evaluate the level of hype in social media and communities.
4.Plan Your Profit-Taking Strategy
•Don’t assume prices will rise indefinitely.
•Take profits at predefined targets.
5.Stay Calm
•Avoid panic selling due to sudden price movements.
•Focus on logic rather than emotions when making decisions.
Things You Should Avoid:
1.Don’t Fall for FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
•Avoid chasing rapidly rising prices. This often leads to buying at the top.
2.Don’t Invest with Borrowed Money or Credit
•While altcoin season offers high returns, losses can also be significant.
3.Don’t Put All Your Funds into a Single Coin
•No matter how promising a project seems, risks are always present.
4.Don’t Blindly Believe in Hype
•Projects heavily hyped on social media are often manipulated by whales or pump-and-dump schemes.
5.Don’t Deviate From Your Plan
•Never trade without an exit strategy. Stick to the goals you’ve set for yourself.
6.Don’t Lose Sight of the Long-Term Perspective
•Many altcoins undergo significant corrections after the season ends. Ensure you convert your gains into real value when possible.
#Alts season presents great opportunities, but careless actions can lead to substantial losses. Adopt a balanced strategy, and only risk what you can afford to lose.
POL/USDT: The Perfect Short-Term Play?POL/USDT – Demand Zone Opportunity with Caution
Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) is approaching a demand zone that aligns with a Fibonacci retracement level, offering a potential short-term bounce. However, since this is not a high-timeframe (HTF) level , traders must exercise caution and manage their risk effectively.
Buyer Activity : The demand zone reflects a lower timeframe area where buyers have stepped in previously, indicating potential short-term interest.
Fibonacci Confluence : This zone aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement level (e.g., 0.618 or 0.786), which could enhance its strength for a short-term reaction.
Why Traders Must Be Careful
LTF Nature : This is a lower timeframe (LTF) level, making it more vulnerable to volatility and false breakouts compared to HTF zones.
Limited Strength : Since it lacks the institutional significance of HTF zones, the level may not hold as strongly.
Breakdown Risk : LTF zones are more prone to invalidation, so risk management is crucial.
How to Trade POL/USDT Safely
Wait for Confirmation : Only enter after bullish signals like candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) or volume spikes indicate buyer strength.
Set Tight Stop-Losses : Place a stop-loss just below the demand zone to minimize potential losses.
Monitor HTF Context : Align your trade with the HTF trend. If the overall structure is bearish, this LTF zone may not hold.
Use Smaller Position Sizes : Reduce position size compared to HTF levels to account for the increased risk.
Summary :
The POL/USDT demand zone and Fibonacci retracement setup present a short-term trading opportunity. However, the lack of HTF validation means traders should proceed with caution, use tight risk management, and wait for strong confirmation signals.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. Trading doesn’t have to be overly complicated, and I enjoy sharing setups that have worked well for me.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. It’s all about learning and growing together as traders, and I’m here to share what I see.
The markets can confirm what the charts whisper if we’re paying attention. I hope these levels help you as much as they’ve helped me in the past. Let’s see how this plays out!
My Previous Hits
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
1.5 Year BTC Dominance Wedge Finally Breaks!Traders, for a year and a half we have lived inside of this bearish BTC.D wedge. Well, last week it finally broke. This week it looks like we'll get our confirmation of this break. This means altcoin season is officially underway (if you haven't had proof enough already).
As BTC continues its sideway price action, various alts have been taking their turn playing catch up. I expect this type of price action to continue through December for alts though they may incur a bit of a pull back at some point as BTC.D heads back up to retest the underside of that wedge. Once hit though, expect our alts to run again.
✌️ Stew
A8USDT: Trendline Breakout with Bullish Confirmation Ancient8A8USDT:Ancient8: Trendline Breakout with Bullish Confirmation 🚀
- **Key Breakout:** Price finally breaks the descending trendline after multiple rejections (red circles).
- **Volume Spike:** Confirming buyer strength on the breakout (green circle).
- **Parabolic SAR Flip:** Bullish momentum is intact.
- **RSI:** At 69.85, showing strong momentum but nearing overbought.
- **OBV:** Trending upward, indicating steady accumulation.
- **CMF:** Positive, confirming capital inflows.
If the price sustains above the breakout area and the 0.236 Fibonacci level, further upside potential is in play. Watch for volume and momentum to hold!
XLM | STELLAR | Can XLM go HIGHER?All the bottom feeders are pumping - XRP, XLM and ADA. This goes to show to that if it can be traded, it will be traded.
I have some thoughts on this (the unpredictability of these coins) . As they do not follow traditional market patterns, it makes them very hard to read and harder to predict - this significantly increases the risks associated in trading these coins.
I will admit I did have some XRP this cycle - but not ADA or XLM. Looking at the char prior to the pump, it was a dead coin - and there was no reason to anticipate such a huge increase.
Yesterday's update on XRP here:
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BINANCE:XLMUSDT