Altseason Index Proxy (TOTAL3 / BTC.D) Weekly TF
Symbol & Timeframe:
* **Symbol**: CRYPTOCAP\:TOTAL3 / CRYPTOCAP\:BTC.D
* **Timeframe**: Weekly (1W),
* **Purpose**: A clean, data-driven proxy for detecting altseason momentum
Technical Structure:
✅ Key Support Zones
* **13.47B (61.8% Fib)**: Critical golden zone; current price consolidation area
* **12.45B (50.0% Fib)**: Lower bound of golden zone
* **11.00B**: Historical support zone
* **8.15B (0.0%)**: Absolute bottom of retracement range
🔹 Hidden Bullish Divergence
* **MACD Histogram & Signal Lines** show hidden bullish divergence
* Price action forming **higher lows** while MACD makes **lower lows**
* Indicates trend continuation potential
🔢 Fibonacci Targets
TP1: 16.8B (100.0%)
TP2: 22.2B (161.8%)
TP3: 30.7B (261.8%)
🔄 Expected Path
* Potential short-term correction toward 12.4B followed by a breakout
* Bullish continuation path sketched with progressive Fib targets
📈 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
📉 Liquidity and Monetary Easing
* Global monetary policy is easing (e.g., Fed pivot expected mid-2025)
* Increased liquidity historically precedes strong altcoin rallies
BTC Dominance Decline
* BTC.D rolling down from long-term highs
* Signals beginning of capital rotation into altcoins
🚀 Emerging Narratives
* Rise of L2s (e.g., Base, zkSync), AI tokens, real-world asset protocols
* Fresh narratives tend to amplify altseason rotations
💼 Institutional Tailwinds
* Spot ETH ETF approvals pave way for alt ETF flows
* Regulatory clarity expected to reduce uncertainty in late 2025
Related Reference Charts:
🌐 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH)
📊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
These charts offer standalone confirmation of:
Altcoin strength forming on TOTAL3
BTC dominance facing structural resistance
Composite Altseason Thesis:
1. Liquidity injections + halving = BTC rally
2. BTC.D breakdown + TOTAL3 support = altcoin strength
3. Technical confirmations: hidden divergence, fib confluence
4. Narrative and regulatory catalysts = widespread rotation
**Conclusion**:
We are entering a prime zone for altseason acceleration. Price reclaim above 13.47B and continued BTC.D drop will validate bullish thesis. Monitor closely for breakouts past TP1 and momentum into TP2/TP3.
📌 Current status:
- Price rebounding in the 12.45–13.47B Fibonacci zone (50–61.8%)
- Hidden bullish divergence on MACD + ascending price structure
- BTC.D has rolled off 65% resistance — suggesting capital rotation
📊 Altseason Thesis:
1. Post-halving BTC rally → profit dispersion into altcoins
2. Macro conditions (Fed pivot, record liquidity) enabling risk-on environment
3. Technical confirmation via index momentum and fib structure
4. Narrative tailwinds: Layer-2 adoption, AI-crypto, altcoin ETF catalysts
📈 Targets:
- TP1 @ 16.8B (100% Fib)
- TP2 @ 22.2B (161.8% Fib)
- TP3 @ 30.7B (261.8% Fib)
🟢 Key support: 12.45–13.47B zone; breakout + BTC.D collapse = altseason trigger.
Altindex
Altseason on the Horizon? 🌕Exciting times are upon us in the world of cryptocurrencies! Ethereum (ETH) has recently broken out of a significant triangle pattern, and there's a compelling possibility that a similar pattern may soon emerge in the ETH/BTC pair. This development could signify the beginning of a mini altseason – an exciting prospect for crypto investors. 🎉
ETH's Triumph:
Ethereum's breakout from a long-standing triangle pattern has sent ripples through the crypto market. It's a bullish move that indicates renewed interest in the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. 📈
The ETH/BTC Pair:
Now, let's turn our attention to the ETH/BTC trading pair. Historically, altcoins tend to flourish when they outperform Bitcoin. A breakout of a similar triangle pattern in this pair could potentially signal a shift in market dynamics. 🔄
Implications for Altseason:
Here's why this matters: if Ethereum, often seen as a bellwether for altcoins, starts to outperform Bitcoin, it could mark the beginning of a broader altseason. During an altseason, many alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) experience significant price surges, presenting intriguing opportunities for investors. 🚀
Trading Strategy:
Keep an Eye on ETH/BTC: Watch for signs of a breakout in the ETH/BTC pair. Look for increased trading volume and clear confirmation of an upward trend.
Diversify Your Portfolio: If altseason does materialize, consider diversifying your portfolio to include promising altcoins that align with your investment strategy.
Stay Informed: Keep abreast of market news and developments that could impact cryptocurrency prices.
Conclusion:
While crypto markets are inherently volatile, technical patterns and market dynamics can provide valuable insights. Ethereum's breakout from the triangle pattern and the potential ETH/BTC breakout are exciting indicators.
Remember, cryptocurrency investments carry risks, so always exercise caution and perform thorough research before making any decisions.
Could this be the start of an altseason that leads to new opportunities and gains? Stay tuned, and let's see where the crypto journey takes us! 🌟
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