Alt Season: When’s the Big Boom?TOTALE100 refers to small caps or the total market capitalization of the top 100 cryptocurrencies , excluding stablecoins. It is part of the CRYPTOCAP series.
It measures the total combined market cap (price × circulating supply) of the top 100 crypto assets by market cap.
Useful for:
* Gauging overall market strength or weakness.
* Spotting macro-level trends or capital inflows/outflows into the crypto sector.
Technical Outlook:
On the weekly chart, the price is facing rejection at 16B, forming a triple-top distribution pattern.
For positioning in small caps, we should wait for a price pullback to the key support zone between 5B and 3B.
ALTS
Altcoins: Warning. Check this chart!On the weekly timeframe, I’ve noticed a striking similarity between the 2021 cycle and the current one.
Take a close look at the chart—once you see it, you can’t unsee it.
Are we at the same point we were in March 2022?
The MACD is nearly identical
The RSI mirrors the same pattern
The Vortex Indicator stands at a critical crossroad
The only difference: trading volume is significantly higher
This setup resembles a potential triple top formation. If it confirms, it could completely contradict the bullish forecast I’ve held for months—or it might just be a fakeout.
We're at a decision point for altcoins: either the altseason kicks off in September and invalidates this bearish pattern, or we're headed toward a dot-com-style crash for most altcoins—excluding the top 10.
Keep a close watch on $OTHERS. History tends to repeat—let’s hope not this time.
DYOR
#Crypto #Altseason #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #BitcoinDominance #Altcoins #TradingView #TripleTop #CryptoCrash #Blockchain #CryptoCycle #MarketAnalysis
$INJ to re-enter my buy zone? $11.12 must hold!Altcoins are experiencing another pullback.
CRYPTOCAP:INJ had a solid pump recently, but it’s now facing a significant drop.
This could be a good buying opportunity — assuming we’re not entering a bear market.
Key level: $11.12 must hold.
If it breaks, the next major support is around $9.10.
While the macro trend remains bullish, this retracement is concerning.
Set your stop losses accordingly.
DYOR.
#INJ #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate #CryptoAlert #BuyTheDip #DYOR
ADA | Liquidity Drain or UPSIDE POTENTIAL??ADA is lacking behind in terms of altcoins this season. We've not yet seen the new highs or parabolic increases that is due for a new BTC ATH.
We're seeing higher highs, and higher lows in the macro which is a bullish sign - indicating the trend is still BULLISH
From the macro, we do see a better picture.. at least THIs time around, the accumulation cycle isn't in such a tight range, and you could day trade / swing trade:
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
Ethereum Is About to Start Making Its Move to $4100Trading Fam,
Lot's of good patterns occurring on the crypto charts recently, Ethereum is no exception. Here you can see a valid inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed. 85% of the time, these patterns play out.
If we do break that neckline to the upside, I would suggest that $4100 will come fairly quickly. We do have a few resistance areas ahead of us where I expect some pause. But this will only give the market enough time to recognize they may be missing the rocket ride and hop in.
If we don't break that neckline this week, we could pull back for another week. But I think by the end of June our neckline will break and we'll be on our way.
Best,
Stew
BTC.D forecast until Autust 2025This is an update of previously made forecast.
Now is a reversal week. Some alts may start running this week. But the main alts bullrun will start next week. Altseason will come in waves as usually with main events happening in July-August 2025.
Some lagging altcoins in the outskirts of crypto markets may show incredible profits in the end of August and will mark the end of 2025 summer altseason.
Don't get driven away, don't use leverage. In September we may see DXY reversal and bear market start. This will be epic for leverage and making fortunes.
For 1D charts look my Profile 'Also on'
BTC Dominance looking real heavy up hereWouldn't be surprised in the least if we see a freefall on BTC Dominance over the next few months.
Of course there is no guarantee, and things may look different in a month, however as it stands, I think there is a potential ALT cycle on the cards for 2025.
RSI needs a reset, amongst other things.
New cycle growth - GTFO moment soonNo analysis, simply an observation of what the market has been preparing for for many years. Since 2017, the ICO era, since then the market has matured to a completely new level.
Be careful with following Ben Cowen and other social influencers.
Given the market maturity since 2017, I believe what we call alts season will turn into a slow steady growth, last time it took a year, this time I think it will be the entire Trump's term if not longer.
GRT | Altcoins | MASSIVE UPSIDE Potential on The GraphAnother altcoin that has great upside potential is the Graph BINANCE:GRTUSDT
The Graph from a weekly perspective may seem like there's not much action, but if you zoon in to the daily timeframe we see a different picture.
WEEKLY:
VS DAILY:
We can see anything from a +40% increase to a -30% dip in just a few days; a picture that is lost when we look at the weekly. This is IDEAL for swing trading.
Once you've established the general direction from the MACRO, swing trades become very viable (spot). If your patient enough to wait for a few days, a +30% could easily be achieved within a two week timespan.
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
ALTCOINS made a 1D Golden Cross. First since U.S. elections.Crypto Total Market Cap just formed the first 1D Golden Cross ince November 6th 2024, which was right after the U.S. elections. The rally that followed made new highs. Since the Bear Cycle bottom, that is the 4th 1D Golden Cross and the minimum the market surged around such formation was +73.10%. This means that we can expected a 4.03T market cap at least.
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TOTAL3 – Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH) Weekly TF 2025Summary
TOTAL3 is currently in a macro bullish cycle and undergoing a mid-cycle correction. The chart presents a Fibonacci-based structural roadmap with 3 Take Profit zones, identifying both correction supports and breakout targets. There is a high probability of short-term downside before a significant altcoin rally.
🌈 Chart Context
Fibonacci Retracement (Primary Leg):
100% = 285.3B
0% = 1.16T
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
A = 285.3B
B = 775B
C = 464.11B
Price as of analysis: ~845.62B
Key Technical Observations
Support Levels:
61.8% Fib Retracement = 618.5B
Strong Confluence Zone: Fib Retracement 48% + Fib Extension 50–61.8% (highlighted on chart)
38.2% Fib Retracement = 824.38B
Resistance Levels:
951.73B: 23.6% Retracement + 100% Extension – strong resistance zone before $1T psychological level
Take Profit Zones:
1 TP (1.1T) = 127% Fib Extension (Upper leg of parallel extension)
2 TP (1.28T) = 161.8% Fib Extension
3 TP (1.7T) = -61.8% Fib Retracement and 261.8% Extension confluence zone
Pattern & Projection:
The structure suggests a possible correction phase to lower support before continuation.
Bullish continuation expected after corrective phase, shown by the projected dotted path.
Structure: Bullish structure with healthy correction in mid-phase of the macro uptrend.
Fundamental Context
Altcoin Lag: TOTAL3 remains ~40% below its ATH, while BTC and ETH have already hit new highs.
Liquidity Shift Expected: Altcoin capital rotation tends to follow after BTC dominance stabilizes or drops.
Macro Backdrop:
Fed expected to cut rates later in 2025
Stablecoin legislation and ETF narratives building altcoin trust
Institutional inflows are slowly diversifying from BTC to ETH and large-cap alts
These suggest a possible shakeout or deeper correction before altseason breakout gains strength.
Bias & Strategy Implication:
Bias: Bullish Mid-Term – Correction Before Continuation
Expected Scenario: Pullback to strong support zones (824B–733B–618B), followed by a sustained breakout toward 1.1T–1.7T.
Invalidation: Weekly close below 618B may delay bullish structure and extend correction.
Strategy:
Long entries at support zones with tight invalidation
Scaling out near TP1, TP2, TP3 based on market momentum
Philosophical View
Patience is the virtue of the second leg in a macro trend. The correction serves to eject the impatient, reprice risk, and strengthen conviction. When TOTAL3 rises from deep support, it will be not just price but confidence that rallies.
Related Reference Charts
TOTAL Market Cap Structural Breakout:
TOTAL2 Altcoin Chart with Fibonacci Path:
✅ Tags
#TOTAL3 #AltcoinMarket #Fibonacci #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #CryptoMacro #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishOutlook #MidCycleCorrection #Crypto2025
⚠️ Notes & Disclaimers
This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Markets are inherently risky. Do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
ATOM | Sleeping GIANT Altcoin Gem 1️⃣ATOM is probably one of my favorite altcoins at the moment.
If you look at ATOM from a macro timeframe such as the weekly, it seems like there is barely any hope and that it's just been one big liquidity run.
And although ATOM has retraced nearly 92% since it's ATH, we see a much brighter picture when we look at the daily, or 3D timeframe.
______________________
BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
3️⃣ Altseason and the US "Crypto-Reserve"3️⃣ Altseason and the US "Crypto-Reserve"
❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link:
1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
TradingView recently added an interesting new ticker: $CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSBTC. It represents the ratio of the total market capitalization of the top-125 cryptocurrencies, excluding the top-10 by capitalization (OTHERS), to the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC).
What does it measure?
OTHERS (Total capitalization of other altcoins): This is the aggregated market capitalization of cryptocurrencies that are not in the top-10 by capitalization. In other words, it's a metric that allows tracking the dynamics of "small" and "medium" altcoins, excluding the influence of the largest players (such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other large altcoins in the top-10).
BTC (Bitcoin Market Capitalization): This is a standard metric showing the total value of all circulating Bitcoins.
Thus, OTHERSBTC shows how "small" and "medium" altcoins generally relate to Bitcoin in terms of market capitalization. Why is this needed? This ticker is an important indicator for assessing the "altcoin season" and the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market:
⬆️ Growth in OTHERSBTC: Means that the market capitalization of "other" altcoins is growing faster than Bitcoin's market capitalization (or falling slower). This often indicates the beginning or continuation of an "altcoin season," when investors start shifting funds from Bitcoin to riskier but potentially more profitable altcoins. This can be a sign that the market is becoming more risk-on.
⬇️ Decline in OTHERSBTC: Indicates that Bitcoin is growing faster (or falling slower) than "other" altcoins. This may suggest that investors prefer safer assets, or that Bitcoin's dominance is strengthening. This often happens during market corrections or when investors seek refuge in Bitcoin.
📈 Analysis of the main chart: OTHERSBTC
The fact that the OTHERSBTC index has been in a downtrend since the beginning of 2022, I think, is not difficult to understand:
A decline in OTHERSBTC directly means that the "altcoin season" has not fully arrived or has been absent since the beginning of 2022.
For a full-fledged "altseason," OTHERSBTC should show sustained growth, meaning that "small" and "medium" altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin in terms of capitalization growth. This is not happening yet.
Current market state: The decline in OTHERSBTC since 2022 confirms that the market has been in a bear phase, and after that – in a recovery phase where Bitcoin leads, and altcoins (especially those not in the top-10) are recovering slower or not at all.
Thus, the decline in OTHERSBTC since the beginning of 2022 is a direct reflection of the bear market, decreased risk appetite, and increased Bitcoin dominance during a sideways period for the rest of the crypto market. For a potential "altseason," we will need to observe a change in this trend, when CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSBTC begins to show sustained growth.
✴️ The Concept of a US "Crypto-Reserve": Not Exclusion, but Absorption
In the face of an impending economic storm and the inevitable "cleansing" of the crypto market, it becomes clear that the US government does not intend to completely destroy digital assets. Instead, a multi-step strategy is being developed for their integration and subordination under its control. This involves not just a set of rules, but the formation of a full-fledged "National Crypto-Reserve."
This concept is not new. The history of finance shows that "private currencies" that do not meet reliability requirements always lead to instability and ultimately are either absorbed or replaced by regulated government equivalents. (As TBAC notes, "history shows that 'private money' that does not meet the requirements of NQA leads to financial instability and, as such, is highly undesirable" – DA&TM, p. 3). When Bitcoin collapses under the pressure of a global economic crisis and massive liquidations in 2025, and "high-beta" altcoins bleed out, the US government and its affiliated institutions will begin to buy them up at a discount. The goal is not to destroy digital assets, but to accumulate them in this "National Crypto-Reserve" .
And here lies another, deeper meaning: this process is not just about buying assets; it's about testing and mastering new technologies on "live hamsters," meaning the current participants of the crypto market. This entire "Wild West" of decentralized finance, DeFi, NFTs, and rapidly changing altcoins serves as a giant laboratory. It is here, under real market conditions and the pressure of huge capital, that the system studies how blockchains, smart contracts, consensus mechanisms work, how quickly "digital" infections spread, and how effectively to manage liquidity in decentralized environments. All these experiments are, in essence, paid for by the crypto- hamsters -enthusiasts themselves, while the state and the global establishment receive invaluable data for building their future digital economy.
This "soup-kit" of digital assets for the US Crypto-Reserve will include, first and foremost, Bitcoin as the primary "digital gold" – an asset that TBAC itself already calls a "store of value." This will allow the government not only to control a significant portion of Bitcoin but also to use it in future "tokenized" financial products. In addition to BTC, the reserve will include carefully selected altcoins under US jurisdiction or of strategic importance for the new, controlled digital landscape. Theoretically, these could be assets that have clear issuers or are centralized enough for easy "absorption" and regulation. This list may include: ETH, XRP, SOL, HBAR, XCH, LINK, UNI, DOGE, OP, AVAX, MATIC, AAVE, LDO, BAT, NEAR, SUI, ALGO, ADA, and others that may be deemed "best of the best" in their understanding.
Thus, the "crypto-reserve" will become the foundation for a new digital financial system , where control and stability will first be ensured by the "nationalization" of key digital assets. This will allow the state not only to manage significant volumes of digital funds but also to use them for future "tokenized" financial products that will be issued on "private, permissioned blockchains managed by central banks" (see DA&TM pp. 7 and 14). This is how "wild" crypto will be tamed and integrated into the traditional system, losing its decentralized essence but gaining "legitimacy" under state supervision.
📈 Analysis of the chart: OTHERS
In this capitalization index, the value of the top-10 coins was removed from the top-125. It is also quite informative and convincing, showing that the capitalization is -50% below its 2021 highs.
I will also add a few altcoin charts here, namely: DOT, NEAR, ETH. For all charts, a further decline of another -70% from current levels is expected, approximately by early 2026.
📈 ETH Chart. Forecast 2025-2028
📈 NEAR Chart. Forecast 2025-2028
📈 DOT Chart. Forecast 2025-2028
📊 General chart description
Ethereum and NEAR behave very similarly, only CRYPTO:NEARUSD is more volatile and does not hold up as well as ETH. INDEX:ETHUSD today is -47% below its ATH, while NEAR is -88%. Nevertheless, they are at least roughly in the middle of the trading range since 2021, whereas CRYPTO:DOTUSD look much weaker than the top coins, and have been languishing at the bottom for about two years.
Moreover, after a thorough analysis of current prices and historical highs of 2021-2022 for coins from the top-100 that existed during that period, very few of them are trading today above or near their 2021-2022 peaks. List of coins from the top-100 that existed in 2021-2022 and whose current price has updated the ATH of that period:
XRP (Ripple): Its current price of $2.2 exceeds its 2021 ATH (~$1.96).
UNUS SED LEO (LEO): Price $8.65 exceeds its 2022 ATH (~$8.14 in Feb. 2022).
TRON (TRX): Price $0.266 exceeds its 2021 ATH (~$0.18).
BNB (Binance Coin): Price $660 is very close to its 2021 ATH (~$690).
SOL (Solana): Because the list is so small, I had to partially count Solana, as it indeed updated its 2021 high at $260, but today trades at -45% lower, around $160.
Thus, if we strictly adhere to the criterion of "trading above 2021-2022 highs," then out of the top-100 that existed during that period, it's only five, again, FIVE alts! The bottom line is that Bitcoin, two native exchange tokens (BNB, LEO), the "Ethereum killer" TRON, the Trojan horse XRP, and let's include SOL, have updated their 2021-2022 ATHs and are trading above or near their historical highs out of ALL TOP-100 coins. Only some alts from the top-100 are somewhere in the middle of the three-year trading range, and the rest have been looking for the bottom for two years.
While influencers have been talking about some altcoin season for the third year, ATOM today is -90% below its 2022 ATH! And NEAR is -88%, DOT is -92%, and CHIA is -99% from its ATH, and this list can go on and on. That's all you need to know about the so-called "alt season" and "bull market" in crypto over the last three years.
❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link:
1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
Sol, setting!? or will it rise!
In our last Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) update, we discussed the potential for a bounce and posed the critical question: would it be a retest or a reclaim? That distinction is now front and center as price action unfolds.
The 141 area remains the level bulls must defend. A clean reaction here, ideally with a supportive pattern, would create favorable conditions for upside continuation. However, if price returns above 169 , the current impulsive structure downward would be invalidated and a recount would be warranted, that could also be the end of the correction.
Zooming out, the bigger question is whether we are in the C wave of a flat correction. If that’s the case, then this impulse Should be the final move before a change in trend. Conversely, an impulse shouldn't be taken for granted nor lightly, I could set the stage for further down side. If a C wave, this pattern could set the stage for a powerful move after it completes.
In simpler terms:
If bulls hold 141 and reclaim momentum, the structure could shift bullish quickly.
If this is a flat, the C wave down is still unfolding, and we may need to endure one more leg lower before a true trend reversal.
Either way, patience is key. Let the chart print clarity.
Can JTO pull a BNB All-Time-High Move??BNB made a similar pattern that led to it's previous ATH.
Since we are still waiting on the new ETH a time highs, followed by altseason, we can expect to see altcoins beginning to increase when ETH trades sideways. More on that here :
We can also expect to see rallies across other altcoins:
and
But before we see a glorious altseason, ETH needs to start moving to the upside as a starting point.
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BINANCE:JTOUSDT
BINANCE:BNBUSDT
$ETH Analysis — Correction Incoming?Summary:
After a strong ~100% rally in ETH, price hit a major resistance zone near $2734.78, triggering a significant sell-off, likely driven by algorithmic profit-taking. Now, the market is poised for a healthy correction before another potential leg up.
📉 What's Next for Ethereum?
🔍 Expecting a Correction of 7% to 25%
Based on technical structure and indicator behavior, ETH is likely to retrace to one of the two key zones:
✅ Primary Buy Zone ("Most Likely"): $2297.20
This zone aligns with previous structure support.
It’s where the price may form a higher low and resume its upward trend.
Ideal for opening a swing long with a tight risk-reward ratio.
🔥 Deeper Correction Opportunity: $1779.58
While less likely, a drop to this level would be a major long opportunity.
Aligns with historical demand and long-term support levels.
Also intersects with the yellow trendlines suggesting trend-based support zones.
📊 Why This Correction Makes Sense:
Weekly Money Flow Index (MFI) is Dropping:
MFI divergence suggests money is flowing out, weakening bullish momentum.
A trigger wave is forming, often preceding price corrections.
Algo Profit-Taking is Done:
Smart money likely exited around $2734.78 (highlighted in chart).
They’ll need to accumulate again at lower levels before the next rally.
📈 Potential Upside Targets:
If ETH respects the structure and finds support around $2297 or deeper, we could see a rally toward $3296.85 — a key Fibonacci extension and psychological level.
🧘♂️ Reminder:
No emotional entries. Let the price come to you. Trust the setup and stick to your plan.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a breakdown of my trading thesis. Always manage your risk.
AKT/USDT Analysis💥 CSEMA:AKT - Swing Long Plan After 30% Correction 💥
AKT faced heavy selling pressure around the weekly pivot at $2.0640 , leading to a significant correction of nearly **30%**. The big question now: **Is it time to open a swing long?**
Here’s my take👇
Although we’ve already seen a 30% drop, that doesn’t mean the downside is over . For a high-conviction swing long, patience is key. I’m watching **three key levels** to build a position safely — no FOMO here.
🔹 Long Area 1 : $1.1291 (25% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 2 : $0.9722 (35% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 3 : $0.8234 (40% allocation)
💡 This is my ultimate swing long setup . Scaling in at these levels provides a better risk-reward profile rather than chasing the bounce.
But what if price only taps **Long Area 1** and then reverses? That’s fine too. The priority is **capital preservation and strategic entries**, not catching every single move.
✅ Focus: Make more with less risk
❌ Avoid: Emotional entries and overexposure
📌 Not financial advice. Do your own research. Trade safe! 🧠💰
#AKT #SwingTrade #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy #DYOR #Altcoins
Altcoins The Moon AwaitsLike always, everything is clearly outlined on the charts :
- As a trader, it's crucial to follow logic and technical analysis. If you get caught up in the news and listen to everyone on Twitter, you won't last long.
- The first major altcoin rally was in 2018, pushing the market to $300 billion. This level later acted as a key support throughout the 2022–2023 bear market.
- The last all-time high for the crypto market (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached $1.15 trillion in 2021. ( blue doted vertical line )
- This all-time high was retested in December 2024, with this ATH acting as strong resistance. ( second blue doted vertical line )
- The next move could be a breakout above this resistance. According to Fibonacci projections, the altcoin market has the potential to reach $4 trillion.
While the spotlight remains on Bitcoin and ETFs, altcoins could catch up with a sudden and powerful surge, so make sure you’re not left behind.
Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding !