Altcoins Rise Again – Off to 1.07T and 1.51T?🌊🚀 Total Market Cap (excluding BTC & ETH) is showing strength again, pushing off support and heading back into the heart of the channel.
💥 The bullish structure has been respected beautifully:
✅ Double bottom near channel base
✅ Clean bounce and new higher low
✅ Momentum building on macro trend
📈 As long as this channel holds, we're eyeing the next targets:
🔹 Mid-channel target: $1.07 Trillion
🔹 Channel top extension: $1.51 Trillion
From the "Escape" back in late 2023 to the clean retest — it’s now about confirmation and continuation.
This could be the altseason move everyone forgot about...
🛑 Long bias stays intact as long as the bottom channel support is respected.
Time to respect structure over noise.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
ALTS
Bitcoin Dominance Rebounds – Bad News for Altcoins??📊⚠️ Bitcoin Dominance Rebounds – Bad News for Altcoins? 🧨💣
Today’s chart says it clearly: Bitcoin Dominance is bouncing off support at the edge of its ascending channel. This rebound zone around 64.58–64.64% has been critical — and the move up confirms it’s holding… for now.
❗ With Bitcoin itself facing heavy resistance, this dominance bounce is not good news for altcoins. In fact, it's a classic setup for capital rotating into BTC and out of alts — not the other way around.
📌 Chart Breakdown:
Biggest alt bull runs have started when BTC.D failed here — not when it rebounded
Breakout above 71.3% = serious risk of altcoin extinction
Breakdown below 62.3% = green light for altseason
🧠 As I’ve written on the chart: the END of alts comes not just from price — but from meme culture, utility decay, and market maker manipulation. That zone? 97% BTC.D. We’re not there, but we’re not heading toward freedom yet either.
🎥 Want to see how this fits into the full market picture? Watch the July 10th macro update:
👉 July 10th Market Outlook – Uncharted Waters, Uncertain Momentum
The market’s pressure is rising.
No good news from BTC.D today.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
#OTHERS.D ~ Do you believe in Castles in the SKY?I believe that the Others dominance metric divided by an ounce of real money #Gold gives us a valuable insight into the fabled altseasons.
Because as this chart shows theres only been 4 in actuality
and you normal get a double bubble in a cycle.
So I believe we are at the cusp of turning things around as most people have given up on the concept of altcoins ever pumping again.
But it was just the business cycle #PMI that has depressed prices for the past few years.
True altcoin-to-BTC strength indicator(CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3-CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C)/CRYPTOCAP:BTC
This formula strips out the noise and gives a true altcoin-to-BTC strength indicator.
STABLE.C removes all major stable coins (USDT, USDC, DAI, etc.).
The chart clearly shows previous capitulation zones and launch points for altseasons since 2017
Current formation – potential triangle:
Market makers appear to be coiling price action, forming a triangle-like structure.
This often precedes a volatile breakout — likely to the upside if history repeats.
Market psychology:
Many traders are already heavily positioned in altcoins, which suggests we could be nearing final capitulation.
Historically, altseasons never began with euphoria — but rather fear, exhaustion, and apathy.
BTC halving occurred in April 2024, and typically, the peak of the altseason follows 12 to 16 months later.
The seasonal strength of Q4, often fuels altcoin rallies.
!!! A final washout into a key support zone (on this ratio) could mark the trigger for the next major altseason — possibly starting around August 2025 !!!!!!!!
JUP Main trend. Channel. Wedge. Double bottom. 06 07 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Decline from the maximum -84% (this is not enough), but given the capitalization of 59th place, if the market is positive in the near future, then it is quite possible to reverse this cryptocurrency through a double bottom.
All long-term consolidation above with high volatility is the distribution of ladies and gentlemen. Also study the vesting of this cryptocurrency. There are less than half of the tokens on the market, and there are also pauses for 1 year, which is good.
Jupiter (JUP) is a key player in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space, especially in the Solana blockchain.
Main trend is downward. Descending channel.
Secondary trend is downward. Descending wedge.
Local trend is sideways. Potential double bottom in case of a breakout.
The price will move in the corridors of this descending channel from the dynamic lines of its support/resistance. Remember this and use it in your trading strategy, observing money management.
Local breakout zone
Understand where the zones are cheap, and where, on the contrary, the zones are expensive. If you work (tear out movements, there should be short-term or conditionally medium-term transactions, with very mundane goals) conditionally in expensive zones, then limit losses. Do not let yourself be fooled by news noise and the opinions of the majority.
Altcoins Near Key Support, Possible -20% Drop before reversal ?Sharing my analysis on the altcoin market cap (excluding BTC, ETH, and stablecoins) compared to BTC over the past 10 years
I have marked important zones (yellow circles) where altcoins have historically bounced after strong corrections.
Current Outlook:
- I expect a possible -20% more downside, bringing it near 0.22, which aligns with a key historical support zone.
- This level has acted as a strong base multiple times, in 2018, 2020 and 2021
What I’m Watching:
- If price reaches that zone and holds, it could signal the start of the next altseason.
- Past patterns show similar moves before big reversals.
- However confirmation through volume and market sentiment is important before making any move
Final Note:
Not financial advice, just sharing what I see on the chart. If the ratio hits 0.22 and shows strength, it could be a key level to watch. Thanks
$AAVE Going Through a Major Bullish Trend Shift!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to outperform on pumps and retracements this cycle after being beaten down for many years!
Price consolidated below the weekly pivot and found support, only retracing to the .618 Fibs.
Wave 3 of iii pf a new Elliot Motif Wave looks well underway with the next price target being the R1 weekly pivot High Volume Node at $448.
Long term outlooks is very bullish for AAVE with a terminal target of the R5 weekly pivot £1155
Safe trading
$ETH Wave 3 of 3 Underway?CRYPTOCAP:ETH is back into the range EQ as alt coins pump on the back of CRYPTOCAP:BTC breakout
Price caught a strong bid after testing quadruple support: the major High Volume Node (HVN), daily 200EMA, 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement and daily S1 Pivot. Last week I posted about this area holding to kick off wave 3.
There is still work to do to overcome the recent swing high at HVN major resistance but things are certainly looking bullish. The daily pivot point sits at $3150 as the next target.
Long term terminal target for wave 3 is still the R4 daily pivot at $7340, I don't expect the terminal wave 5 to extend much beyond this, perhaps a wick above to trap retail at the top with a lot of media hype attached.
Analysis is invalidated if we fall below wave (2) swing low $2050.
Safe trading
MEW Main Trend. Memcoin. 2025 07 02Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Cat in a dogs world (MEW)
X -133 thousand subscribers (this is not enough).
Reduction from the maximum -87%. For such assets, this is not enough.
I imposed a descending channel on the chart (current descending trend of the main trend), and a horizontal one, if by some miracle this local Ross hook is broken upwards (not forming a local head and shoulders), not only to the resistance of the secondary trend (red line), but to break through it. Percentages to key zones of support/resistance levels are shown for clarity.
After the downward trend is broken, such "psychological-fundamental" assets are usually pumped up by +800-1000% from the minimums or more. Low liquidity, and the contingent of people who subscribe to these projects, allows this to be done easily at the right time: "the hamster is not scared". After pumping — a slow death, with pumps an order of magnitude smaller. Therefore, do not forget to sell in the alt season.
When working with such cryptocurrencies by liquidity, observe money management, use partial entry or on a breakout. Do not use margin leverage, as there may be snot in any direction for a large percentage, which will lead to liquidation "out of the blue".
SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support.
Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement.
If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range
Safe trading.
AAVE Ready For New Highs?AAVE is breaking out of its descending trendline after several tests as resistance.
Wave 2 appears complete at quadruple support: Daily 200EMA, daily pivot, .382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node (HVN). If an Elliot Wave (3) of 3 is underway, price should move strongly sooner rather than later with extended price action.
The next major resistance and partial take profit is at the December swing high range $460.
Analysis is invalidated below $210.
Safe trading
SPA - Next Alt to MOON ??SPA is an altcoin that could make great increases in the near future.
Even though it's currently still trading under the moving averages in the Daily, once it turns there is good upside potential for this alt.
On the bright side, we observe higher lows for SPA:
One should also consider that this may be as good as it gets in terms of a low after the big dip, because a 47% correction is quite something:
IF that diagonal trendline of higher lows doesn't hold, I'd look at these zones next even if just for a wick:
And from here, we can really start to see BIG increases, IF you have the patience:
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COINBASE:SPAUSD
AEVO Main Trend DEX L2 Listing 212 X !) Decrease -98% 06 25Logarithm. Term 3 days.
Asset super hype in the past, listing with overly positive and aggressive marketing at 212X!
1️⃣Q1 2023 Private Seed $0.0185 / $1.85 million
2️⃣10 05 2023 Private Series A $0.13 / $6.01 million
3️⃣Q4 2023 Private Series A+ $0.25 / $8.75 million
4️⃣13 03 2024 Listing on the Binance exchange on the day of the secondary market trend reversal (I missed it, and it happens).
26 06 2025 now -98% decline after listing, which is 4.2X from the last prices of scammers, who gradually distributed, maintaining liquidity and the news background all this time their huge profit. Most of the coins are redistributed. You can think about collecting in this sideways, on a breakout of a local wedge (local trend), or on a breakout of a descending channel (reversal of the main trend).
Those who are far from trading can buy in equal parts (3 parts). From the position of the main trend and potential, the prices are now acceptable (you can buy the first part), so to speak (former "hype investors" are in wild horror).
Exit zones will be zones of previous consolidation, that is, those who previously bought on the hype will not be able to make a profit. In fact, it is always like this ... There are no “passengers”, then they will pump up well. As a rule, +800-1000% such assets of the previous excitement and such liquidity.
Local reversal zone.
What Is The Market Waiting For?Good Morning Trading Fam,
Our stock and crypto markets seem to have stalled. You may be wondering what they are waiting for. Quite simply, the S&P 500 has reached a double-top. That's all. There may be some more pause here for the next week or so. Barring any significant bearish geopolitical or other events, I expect us to move higher. Any FUD at all will send the market back down again. So yes, unfortunately, the next move(s) will be mostly predicated on news. Traders are rather fragile rn. Trade accordingly.
Best,
Stew
Mr. Rusell (Small Cap index) & Altseason go hand in hand. That's right it does.
Why?
Because small businesses employ nearly half of the workforce of the United States.
So when financial conditions exist for confidence to grow at this level of the economy expressed via hiring and expansion of said businesses the ripple effects are huge.
Which can be seen during Altcoin boom's (banana zones)
This cycle especially as one whole Bitcoin is out of reach for the common man. When Retail hot money does return to crypto expect small cap low numerical valued coins to really start outperforming BTC
LINKUSD Paths on OfferPretty clear accumulation stages going on and so I am inclined to think we head towards the Bullish path to ~$100
Bears will want to buy LINK at massive discounts and so perhaps we do see some capitulation before our next mark-up phase.
However, the current Total Market cycle patterns, along with the BTC pairing, almost rule out the possibility of further downside, or at least major downside.
How to Tell BITCOIN is BULLISH using MOVING AVERAGES OnlyBTC is trading sideways and it sparks a lot of debate whether or not we are at the beginning of a new bearish cycle, or if there is still a push upwards waiting to happen.
Here's how you can use the Moving Averages to determine whether or not BTC is bullish.
Don't miss this update on my stance on the market and why I think ALT Season is waiting:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Altcoin Season - Just around the corner!!!In this analysis I share my hypothesis on #OTHERS CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as to why the big awaited alt season is right around the corner !
After analysing how the Trump mania season unfolded, I could see plenty of similarities:
1. Price filled the supply before the last retrace - gray rectangle
2. Then it broke the downtrend line and made a decent move up - red dot
3. Price correction to the 618 retrace on fib AND in the supply -> became demand from #1
4. RSI formed a hidden bullish divergence, marking a potential start of the rally
5. Time passed from #2 trendline breakout to the big impulse -> around 50 days
-> now we are around 60 days, which means more time to accumulate, bigger impulse
In an ideal scenario, the total OTHERS cap (all crypto excluding top 10) should at least reach the last high of 450 billions, and to pour some hopium, to around 600-700 billions...
So if you filled your bags around recent prices on your alts, you should expect at least 10-20x imo!