ALTS
Analyzing Liquidity Dominance: Key Data Insights
The chart provided offers a comprehensive view of Liquidity Dominance within the cryptocurrency market, showcasing pivotal relationships between market activity, trading volume, and liquidity flow. This analysis dissects the chart and explores key patterns, trends, and their implications for traders and investors.
Understanding Liquidity Dominance
Liquidity dominance represents the proportion of trading volume, capital flow, or liquidity concentrated in specific assets or market sectors. It serves as a barometer for understanding market behavior, as it highlights where capital is being deployed or withdrawn. On my chart, liquidity dominance provides a lens into the dynamics between:
Stablecoins (e.g., USDT): Representing safety and risk aversion.
Altcoins: Capturing speculative capital.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Indicating market confidence in Bitcoin versus other assets.
Key Observations from the Chart
1. Stablecoin Liquidity Dominance (USDT.D)
Current Trend:
A noticeable decline in USDT.D suggests that capital is moving out of stablecoins, signaling increased risk appetite among traders. This typically aligns with bullish sentiment in the broader market, as investors allocate funds to Bitcoin or altcoins.
Market Implications:
If USDT.D continues its downward trajectory, we could expect a rally in cryptocurrencies, particularly in altcoins, as traders seek higher returns.
A sudden reversal in USDT.D (spiking higher) could signal market uncertainty or panic, as investors flee to stable assets.
2. Bitcoin Liquidity Dominance (BTC.D)
Current Trend:
The relatively stable BTC.D indicates that Bitcoin retains its share of liquidity without significant outflows to altcoins. This suggests that while altcoins may rally, Bitcoin remains a primary safe haven for large capital.
Market Implications:
A breakout to the upside in BTC.D could signal a Bitcoin-led market cycle, often observed during early bull markets.
A breakdown in BTC.D could indicate the onset of an "altseason," where altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
3. Altcoin Liquidity (TOTAL2 - Altcoin Market Cap)
Current Trend:
The chart indicates increasing TOTAL2 dominance, showing growing interest in altcoins. This suggests speculative capital is rotating from Bitcoin or stablecoins into altcoins, likely driven by expectations of higher returns.
Market Implications:
A continuation of this trend supports the idea of an emerging altcoin season, especially if TOTAL2 outpaces BTC.D consistently.
If TOTAL2 stagnates or declines, it may signal profit-taking or reduced confidence in altcoin performance.
Key Data Insights
1. Divergences Between USDT.D and BTC.D
A strong divergence between USDT.D and BTC.D often highlights market turning points:
Bullish Divergence:
If USDT.D declines while BTC.D rises, it suggests strong confidence in Bitcoin leading the market, often a precursor to a bull run.
Bearish Divergence:
If USDT.D increases while BTC.D falls, it indicates risk aversion and capital flight to safety, hinting at potential market downturns.
2. Correlation Between TOTAL2 and USDT.D
The inverse correlation between TOTAL2 and USDT.D is a critical marker:
As TOTAL2 rises and USDT.D declines, it signals risk-on behavior with a focus on altcoins.
If TOTAL2 falls alongside a rise in USDT.D, it could indicate market-wide selling pressure.
3. Price Action Confirmation
The interaction of liquidity dominance with price action across key support and resistance zones provides confirmation of market sentiment. Key observations include:
Strong resistance in BTC.D coinciding with declines in TOTAL2 could signal a Bitcoin-led consolidation phase.
Support in TOTAL2 while BTC.D declines suggests capital rotation into altcoins, supporting a rally.
Predictions Based on Current Trends
Short-Term Outlook:
With USDT.D trending downward, the market appears to be in a risk-on phase.
If BTC.D remains stable while TOTAL2 gains dominance, altcoins are likely to experience significant upside.
Medium-Term Outlook:
A breakout in TOTAL2 above key levels would confirm altseason momentum, particularly if USDT.D continues to decline.
However, if USDT.D rebounds sharply, expect market-wide corrections, with Bitcoin potentially absorbing most of the liquidity.
Long-Term Outlook:
Sustained declines in BTC.D combined with TOTAL2 growth could indicate prolonged altcoin outperformance.
Conversely, a reversal in BTC.D dominance with stable USDT.D suggests a return to Bitcoin-led cycles.
Strategies for Traders
1. Monitor Liquidity Flows
Use the interaction between USDT.D, BTC.D, and TOTAL2 as a guide for market sentiment.
Look for divergences between these metrics and price action to spot potential reversals.
2. Align with Dominance Trends
If BTC.D is rising, focus on Bitcoin as the primary trade.
If TOTAL2 gains dominance and USDT.D declines, shift focus to altcoins for higher returns.
3. Risk Management
During periods of rising USDT.D, reduce exposure to altcoins and focus on stablecoins or Bitcoin.
Use liquidity dominance trends to time entries and exits at major support and resistance levels.
Conclusion
My Liquidity Dominance chart provides a powerful framework for understanding capital flow dynamics across cryptocurrencies. The current trends suggest a risk-on environment favoring altcoins, but the stability of BTC.D implies Bitcoin remains a key player. Monitoring these metrics closely will help you navigate market cycles effectively, identifying both opportunities and risks as they arise.
TOTAL 3 is ready to BLOWUSDT, recognized as the first stablecoin, did not achieve widespread adoption even as late as 2017. Had it been more prevalent, I would have incorporated USDC and DAI into this analysis.
Nonetheless, I trust that you will find this chart beneficial for the upcoming #Altcoin season.
The total market capitalization of USDT relative to that of Bitcoin reveals a distinct correlation.
This relationship has historically indicated significant technical peaks characterized by bearish divergence, as well as bullish divergence at market bottoms, as observed in the RSI versus ratio score.
Additionally, we have established a clear target level to pursue.
Is it time for alts?When secondary trendline us briken it is nice to see change of structure. Last time (red lines) it failed. This time we are close to break new secondary trendline. I can se two tops to overcome (yellow horizontal). I don't like this one higher because alts can run really hard really fast. So this one feel late to the party. I will use the lower one to change a bit of BTC into high/medium caps.
IQUSDT | Smart PlanThis is a good place to join if we continue to rise, but if we are to see a pullback, it could come below $0.70.
I don't overcomplicate things and add a ton of dirty crap to my charts, but you can check out the success of my analysis below.
I approach trading with confidence backed by experience and past success in identifying high-probability setups.
While I don’t claim to be the best, my track record speaks for itself, and I strive to let my analysis and results do the talking. Watch these levels closely—markets can confirm what charts already whisper. Let’s see how this plays out together.
My Previous Ideas
DOGEUSDT.P | 4 Reward for 1 Risk much more if you hold it.
RENDERUSDT.P | HTF Accuracy
ETHUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it.
BNBUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it.
Bitcoin Dominance | Great Characteristic Detection and Accurate Analysis
Heading Back to the topsideSimply put, every time we've traded under .70 , it has been to accumulate size. And, every time we have traded above, its been 100% plus move.
We are seeing multiple different types of setups right at this major .70c level right now. This is Priming up for a spicy move.
The last peak was 150% away from 70c. Now, if this bull run sustains bitcoin over 100k as we have seen historically, then we might just see a little more than the prior peak this go around.
ALTCOINS | FRACTAL | Can ARB DOUBLE ?ARB has only recently established a clear bottom pattern, and unlike other alts it hasn't quite yet seen the usual parabolic increases.
Previously, ARB established a similar W-Bottom patter, which led to a new ATH. Is it possible that after forming a similar patter, ARB could make a new ATH again?
Don't miss yesterdays update on BTC and ALTSEASON , and why we can still see rallies across the alt market:
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BINANCE:ARBUSDT
Off to Sol we goSol = Sun
Past the moon.
In a galaxy far far away.
Look, We are nearing a major backtest point. Taking a look at the left chart, on the 2 day timeframe, weekly/monthly, whatever you want to use. IT was a MAJOR range. And when you get a multiday/week breakout of a major range like this, AND you come back to test it, confirming support, and confirming that traders like the price above the range, you get a MASSIVE move.
KEEP IN MIND - Its a multiday/week breakout. Meaning it will take weeks and months to play out. This is a long swing. Maybe even stake your SOL and come back at the end of next year.
UNI - Big time upsideThis "company" has maintained billions of dollars of volume for a long long time now. Through multiple market cycles, they have weathered the storm and continued to upgrade their systems and offerings.
I put "company" in quotations to get you to think about the stock market. Most companies that have been managing many billions of dollars of the volume tend to be doing much better, technically on a price chart.
And it's about time for Uniswap to make catch up move. Being a beneficiary of both the bull market and a bear market, this has very long term value.
Prior highs at 17 are the first target of this initial breakout through 12. Beyond that, We shall reassess. I do not foresee this making ATH in one fell swoop. But this next breakout could be a big one, which, may allow for some consolidation right below ATH before the big break.
TOTAL2 - Monthly MA Intact Each move in white is the beginning of a bull run, a move that shows strength followed by a short term move back down towards the 50MA.
The MA acts as support and allows the TRUE breakout to be revealed, we will see the bullish action for real in 2025.
What are your thoughts on how high this altcoin chart will go on this Monthly chart?
ALT SEASON #3After years of waiting, countless false starts, and more hopium than a bull market BBQ, we’re finally here: Alt Season 3 is upon us—or so my trusty weekly Bitcoin dominance chart is screaming.
For the uninitiated, this chart is basically the ancient oracle of crypto, and it’s saying, ‘Hey, Bitcoin, take five. It’s time for the alts to shine.’
Zoom in close and you’ll see the subtle shift—the kind of shift that makes your favorite meme coin go from $0.00001 to ‘retire on a yacht’ territory (not financial advice, obviously).
TL;DR: Pack your bags, but don’t forget to double-check the fundamentals of the random farm token you’re YOLO-ing into. Alt Season 3 is here to remind us all that dreams are made… and sometimes rugged. Stay sharp, my friends. 🚀
The Largest Liquidity Provider - Will it offer a large trade?AAVE being a well known and historically safe bank for capital, this thing simply attracts money by itself, regardless of what the price chart looks like. With that said, now that we also have a beautiful price chart, and major major lows being tested as resistance right now, a breakout here will cement a huge bullrun.
AAVE's protocol is available on nearly every single chain, expect the meme coin crap. It's coin is also traded on every single exchange as well, so naturally money will easily flow into it. Will i be enough to shoot this chart up and above the 300 level? We shall find out soon enough.
Can't forget that this is going to be included in the top 50 index and certainly in any other index that comes out for crypto.
Triple Top - Ready to popLooking on the left 2 day chart, you can see this is the main support/resistance level from prior run ups. Ideally we get a breakout through this resistance and a retest of this level, confirming support, and buying pressure above.
This will send it over 7 easily, and to stay conservative, my first target is 7.5. Beyond that will be runners and dip buying.
Looking for Bitcoin to consolidate after its recent ATH break through 94k today. Consolidation will allow money to flow around through alts. With this one being so tight, we only need a little bit of that volume to breakout.
ALT Season AheadHey,
I wanted to share some thoughts on the current market dynamics and what I’m observing in BTC dominance.
If you’re invested in ALT coins—especially legacy coins like ETH, XRP, or even RUNE—you might feel like your returns are lagging significantly. The truth is, they are. Let me break down the relationship between ALTs and BTC dominance to give you some context.
I use TOTAL3 and BTC dominace charts, check them out.
There’s a strong inverse correlation between BTC Dominance and TOTAL3. Historically, when BTC Dominance trends downward, ALTs begin to outperform, experiencing substantial growth relative to BTC. This shift often marks the period when ALT coins start “shining.”
Interestingly, during the last cycle, BTC didn’t peak at the height of BTC Dominance. Instead, BTC peaked after ALTs had a massive rally, during a period when BTC Dominance ranged in the 40-50% zone.
Currently, BTC Dominance remains in a strong uptrend with no clear signs of slowing. For this reason, before heavily shifting into ALTs or taking profits on BTC longs, I’m waiting for a momentum shift in BTC Dominance. Even a simple trendline break to the downside could signal that capital is flowing out of BTC and into ALTs. This doesn’t necessarily mean BTC will lose value; in fact, it might continue climbing. However, it does indicate a tipping point where ALTs could begin to significantly outpace BTC, offering much greater upside potential.
That said, it’s important to consider the growing institutional interest in BTC. Unlike retail investors, institutions are less likely to pivot into ALTs (except for ETH, which benefits from its status as a leading crypto ETF). As a result, BTC Dominance could climb past 70% and may not see a sharp decline even when ALT coin momentum begins.