ALTCOINS testing the 1W MA200. Is the Altseason alive?The Crypto Total Market Cap excluding the top 10 coins hit this week the 1W MA200 for the first time since the week of the U.S. elections in early November. Last time that was a huge buy entry. One more rebound here will be in our perspective the decisive one to start the usual Altseason of the last year of each Cycle. A +931.44% rise as in the last Cycle would put the market over 2 Trillion in capitalization and won't even be on the top of the 7 year Channel Up.
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ALTS
BTC.D Capitulation Liquidation candle. Bitcoin's price hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday, following a 3.5% drop the day before. David Sacks, President Trump’s crypto czar, has announced plans to assess a Bitcoin Reserve. Meanwhile, traders on the Bitcoin CME are adopting a cautious stance, advising investors to steer clear of leverage at all costs. As uncertainty and volatility rise in the wake of Trump’s supportive crypto regulations, the potential for a Bitcoin reserve is emerging, yet the market remains turbulent due to tariffs and broader economic challenges.
Additionally, Bitcoin is bracing for fluctuations as FTX prepares to start repaying creditors on February 18. The beleaguered exchange, which filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 with debts estimated at $11.2 billion, is set to disburse payouts that could reach up to $16.5 billion. To facilitate this, FTX is actively selling assets and investments in tech companies. This development is pivotal for those impacted by the FTX collapse, sparking significant interest within the cryptocurrency community.
In 2018 and 2019, the BTC.D chart faced rejections from the 60% resistance zone during the bearish years that followed the explosive bull run of 2017.
Now, we find ourselves in a different scenario, with a retest happening in a bull run year post-halvening. While it’s too early to declare the end of the rally, the usual indicators for a BTC bull peak have yet to signal a positive trend.
From a technical standpoint, BTC.D has the potential to climb to 63.84% and possibly reach as high as 72.5%. This development could spell great news for Bitcoin while casting a shadow over the altcoin market.
This shift might be driven by consistent demand from ETFs and institutional investors for Bitcoin, leaving altcoins in the dust until later in the year.
However, some speculators believe that the recent liquidations over the weekend may have drained enough leverage, allowing altcoins to begin their recovery and, at long last, outshine Bitcoin. We await the unfolding drama with eager anticipation.
DOMINANCE - the manipulation!The weekly chart clearly shows a confirmed breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Everyone was waiting for a retest to buy in, expecting dominance to drop and altcoins to rally—but that never happened.
Why?
Because when everyone expects a move, the market does the opposite.
What actually happened?
-The market shocked everyone with a parabolic dominance surge to 64%.
-Over $182 billion was drained from the market in just two days.
-Altcoins suffered a brutal crash, with some dropping over 50%.
-Most assets hit extreme lows, forcing mass panic selling at heavy losses—which we predicted a week in advance.
-A sharp altcoin rebound happened the same day, while dominance dropped from 64% to 61%, stabilizing at this level.
What’s next?
The rising wedge pattern is still in play, but its targets won’t be hit without manipulation.
I expect heavy market manipulation in the coming days, with dominance fluctuating between 60% and 63%, designed to drain traders’ portfolios—especially futures traders.
The expected price action is outlined in this chart. Take a look, and you'll clearly see how manipulation operates in this market.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
TOTAL2 / BTC ALTS Should be Close to BottomingWho remembers this chart I posted a month ago on TOTAL2 / BTC ?
This was the one that TradingView shared of mine on 12/31/24
Called the double bottom here. My squiggles are undefeated.
Alts should be close to the end of bleeding.
One last flush I presume (hope) 😂
Ethereum Has Broken The Point of Control -3700 Next- Alts FollowTrading Fam,
This Ethereum pullback since December has been rough, but I think we've seen our local bottom as Ethereum bulls take the helm again. One of those bulls happens to be Trump. Does he know something we don't?
I don't know what Trump does or doesn't know about Ethereum but I do understand what this chart is telling me.
First of all, you guys all know that I love my proprietary indicator which was hand coded by Mr. Claude AI. When we have high volume large cap alts and stocks, this thing almost never fails to be right. Ethereum meets this qualification and you can see that my Dots and Blocks indicator has given me a GREEN DOT right inside a large liquidity block! This is fantastic and surely means more buying will ensue.
Indeed it has. We are currently breaking above that VRVP point of control which intersect with our descending trendline. This is hugely significant! Our next stop then should be around 3700 for Ethereum.
And since Ethereum tends to lead our altcoin market most, I tend to believe our alts are going to follow Mr. Ethereum up.
Our BTC.D chart agrees:
And it's looking like the OTHERS chart does too!
If you've had patience thus far, I'd encourage you to hang tight just a bit longer. I sense good things are coming your way for both Ethereum and our altcoin market.
✌️ Stew
Altcoinseason is around the corner, get ready. Hi fellow traders, BTC.D will be ready to make a wave lower from the blue box after it completes the ABC correction. When the dominance of BTC starts to decline the Altcoins will rise. The BTC.D chart could potentially go up till the green fib line within the blue box. I think this will be a good time to position yourself. Target will be the previous bottom. Good luck and trade safe!
BTC.D - Official Alt Season ?Charting this on a weekly timeframe is tough, so use it as a reference point only.
I’ll provide more precise analysis on lower timeframes, but this represents my general macro outlook. But: Start preparing for an Exit Strategy. You are warned.
1st area of Interest = Green Box (45-46%)
2nd area of Interest = 43% Horizontal Support and close Trendline Support
3rd area of Interest (in case we got very lucky) = 39.70%
Another leg down before alt season begins?If we look at the TOTAL 3 chart, you can see that we've just formed a double top. I lean towards one more leg down here that plays out towards the second half of February and potentially into March.
I think price has the potential to get down to the 630B support, but can start scaling in around 775B.
Many alts still look like they have another 50% lower to go before the look good to buy and hold.
LINK Fractal | ALTS | Chainlink can EASILY +90%Chainlink is one of those alts that haven't yet made a new ATH with the rest of larger alt market group.
This means that the bullish cycle is taking a detour and it could be extended to another multi-month cycle, as I've previously stated in my BTC updates.
If LINK follows the previous pattern of a multi-month extended patter, we could see a fractal playout that takes us beyond the current ATH over the next few months.
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Alctoins: Get Ready for TakeoffHere's the deal:
Altcoins are heating up: Bitcoin's taking a breather, and that means it's altcoin season! The chart shows we're forming higher lows, and people are buzzing about it online.
Breakout on the horizon? We're facing some resistance, but if we break through, things could get really exciting.
What to watch for:
Listen to the crowd: When everyone's shouting "to the moon!", "alctoin season" you know something's up and deleverage.
Don't get greedy: Remember, the market can turn on a dime. Stay smart and manage your risk.
Bottom line: This altcoin chart is looking juicy.
Comment your predictions
Trump Coin: Bearish Signals and Double Bottom AheadAs of January 25, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $102,378, exhibiting bearish tendencies. This downturn is influencing altcoins, including Trump Coin (TRUMP), which is currently priced around $27.14.
Technical Analysis of Trump Coin (TRUMP):
Head and Shoulders Pattern: On higher timeframes, TRUMP has formed a head and shoulders pattern, a classic bearish indicator suggesting potential downward movement in the mid-term.
Double Bottom Support Level: The anticipated decline may lead TRUMP to revisit its previous double bottom support around the $5 mark.
Short-Term Bullish Spike: Before reaching the $8.80 support level, a brief bullish surge towards $12.544 is expected, possibly offering short-selling opportunities.
Supporting News and Market Sentiment:
Recent developments have contributed to the bearish outlook:
Regulatory Concerns: President Donald Trump's executive order to establish a task force for proposing new cryptocurrency regulations has introduced uncertainty, leading to market declines.
Meme Coin Volatility: The launch of TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins saw initial surges followed by significant crashes, highlighting the speculative nature of these assets and raising concerns about their impact on the broader crypto market.
Given these factors, traders should exercise caution. Monitoring key support and resistance levels, along with staying informed about regulatory developments, is crucial for making informed decisions regarding TRUMP and the broader cryptocurrency market.
ADA | ALTS | Good Buy or WEAKNESS?ADA is one of a few altcoins that have not yet made a new ATH, or trading close to its previous ATH.
Considering Cardano is one of the "older" crypto's , you'd expect it to behave like the rest of the titans. But instead, when overlayed with the Solana chart we see a disappointing comparison:
Regardless of this, ADA trades in a range within a fairly reasonable timeframe, meaning it is ideal for short term profits (range trading). ADA can easily do + or - 30% in two weeks, ideal for swing traders.
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
AAVE Nearing Key Resistance. Will Bullish Momentum Persist? Key indicators used for analysis:
1. Zero lag moving average (ZLMA): Refined form of moving average that reduces lag while maintaining smoothness.
2. Price Volume Trend (PVT): Tracks price movement weighted by volume
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator indicating overbought and oversold conditions.
Support:$273.02
Resistance: $399.00
1.Price is trading above ZLMA9 and ZLMA51, signalling short and long term bullish momentum.
2.The PVT indicator is trending upward, reflecting strong volume-driven price increase.
3.RSI is forming higher lows, suggesting increasing strength in momentum.
Note: This is only for educational purposes and not a buy and sell recommendation. Teak Finance will not be liable for any loss or gain. Please consult your trading advisor.
ALTCOINS This parabolic curve is about to initiate the AltseasonEach Bull Cycle has its own parabolic trend that guides the trend to the new peak.
In 2019-2021 that only broke during COVID (obviously) and then June 2021. It held throughout the majority of the Bull Cycle and gave the fairest exit possible.
Right now, the altcoin market is closing in on the current parabolic curve.
We are a few weeks tops before the next bullish wave on this curve, which will be this Cycle's Altseason.
The time to invest in alts is running out..
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