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Altseason

Bitcoin dominance and the altseasonIn this chart, you can see the Bitcoin dominance from 2017 till now. The depth of the altseason was 35.14% and for the bear market we went up, up to 73.02. If we take a Fibonacci retrace level, we can see during 2021 altseason we were only retraced 0.893 or 89.3% what we lost during bear market. It was something new and for the first time, Bitcoin Dominance didn't make the new all time low. Following the same fact, I decided to find the possible levels for bitcoin dominance to top. we are getting closing the the 0.786, this level usually the last level that we could be bearish in any chart, however remember that last altseason we passed 0.786 but rejected at 0.893. My opinion would be we are reaching to the top of Bitcoin dominance sooner than later, I can easily see Alts are reversing from bearish in short term and BTC Dominace Maxing in stoch RSI. When you stay longer than usual in max excitation in stoch RSI you will be doing longer in opposite direction as well Max BTC dominance can reach 66.2% However, worse case scenario I am expecting at least BTC Dominace during altseason drop to 49.14% which is a historical support and also resistance during BTC season and Alt Season. Ideally, we should go down up to 45.30% as it would be the 0.786 of the range from 39.9% to 66.2% However, if we are able to make a new All time low in BTC dominance first idea place to see rejection or reaction would be 32.38%
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MehranVa1992
4
Beyond FOMO: Strategic Analysis of BTC.D and Market ProspectsLet's begin by examining CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the monthly timeframe. Here we see the old EXP model, which formed in December 2020. This model reflected the decrease in bitcoin dominance during 2020-2021. For our current analysis, we're interested in the level of the first point — 73.02%. On the weekly timeframe, we see an AMEXP model that formed in January 2023 and effectively describes the entire current upward trend. Note the price reaction from the model levels of 51.7% and 59.64%. Within this model, we have two more upper levels: 68.9% and 90.36%. The dominance level of 90.36% seems unrealistic from a common sense perspective: such a scenario is only possible with a total collapse of the entire crypto market, when all assets (including bitcoin) would depreciate to the point where bitcoin's capitalization would constitute 90% of the entire market. I hope we never see these values. However, reaching the 68.9% level seems quite likely. Most likely, the price will try to break through the 68.9% level (we may see a bounce from this level, which might be mistakenly perceived as the beginning of a new alt season). After that, the price will likely make a new maximum and rise above the 73.2% level. And only then will we finally see the formation of a downward trend in bitcoin dominance. What might be happening in the market if our bitcoin dominance analysis proves correct? Let's look at the #BTC chart, where the expansion model was validated on the weekly timeframe (green model): According to the model levels, we can expect growth to at least $109,354, and at maximum — to a new all-time high (ATH) with targets of $115,116, $116,757, and even $152,723 or $174,102 (although the probability of reaching the last two targets, despite their presence in the model, is relatively low). If we look at CRYPTO:ETHUSD , the picture looks significantly worse — the asset is in a deep bearish phase. Against the backdrop of general positive sentiment, CRYPTO:ETHUSD may grow to $2 059 or even to $2 626, but we will consider this merely as a bounce. We can only talk about a real trend change when the price moves beyond the yellow model. Everyone is waiting for the reversal of bitcoin dominance (we have only calculated the most probable reversal point), as its exponential growth should be replaced by the long-awaited alt season. However, few consider a possible negative scenario: the correction of bitcoin dominance may occur against the backdrop of a general market decline, where bitcoin will fall faster than altcoins. Against the background of growing macroeconomic uncertainty (problems in the global economy have not disappeared, they continue to accumulate, and no matter how they try to "postpone" them — this will not pass without a trace), we consider the negative scenario to be the main one. For the past year, everyone has been saying that bitcoin is a super-reliable asset, and if something goes wrong — you need to buy bitcoin. Most retail investors love bitcoin and hate altcoins — largely because they have many unprofitable altcoins in their portfolio and no bitcoin. Each time, missing the moment to buy bitcoin, they succumbed to FOMO. Now, as bitcoin moves toward a new maximum, everyone is rushing to buy it again. At the same time, we have a market where 80-90% of participants are in large losses. For most assets to just break even (not to mention profits), they need to grow by 300-400%. Of course, we're not saying everything will necessarily be bad, but we prefer to stick to a strategy that primarily takes into account the negative scenario. For now, we will refrain from investment positions and give preference exclusively to speculative ones.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by TSFC
2
ALERT: ALT SEASON INCOMING? 🚨 ALERT: ALT SEASON INCOMING? 🚨 Take a close look at the BTC/ETH chart — we’re seeing early signs of a major rotation out of Bitcoin and into Ethereum and altcoins. Historically, when the BTC/ETH ratio starts to fall, it's a clear signal that capital is flowing into altcoins, marking the beginning of alt season. 🔍 The ratio is showing bearish divergence and approaching a key support zone. If this level breaks, ETH is likely to outperform BTC significantly — and we all know what follows: altcoins explode. 📉 BTC dominance is stalling, ETH gaining strength, and altcoins are waking up. The market is shifting. Don't get caught late. 🚀 Get ready. The alt season might just be starting now. #AltSeason #Crypto #BTC #ETH #TradingView #CryptoTrends
Long
by MiguelFTCurado
2
CHILLGUY Looks Super Bullish (1D)Note: This is a highly volatile meme coin. Risk management and capital management should not be forgotten. It appears that a large-scale corrective wave has ended, and the price has entered a bullish wave of the same degree. Recently, we observed a bullish CH (Change of Character) and a clean break above a resistance zone on the chart. Currently, the price is approaching a supply zone, and a significant amount of sell orders have entered CHILLGUY. A short-term correction is expected, after which the bullish move is likely to continue. If the price reaches our marked entry points, we will enter a buy position in spot. Targets are indicated on the chart. The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will negate this outlook. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
4
Altcoin Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels Ahead🤔📉📈 Altcoin Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels Ahead 🚨🧠 Hey Traders! Let’s talk about what’s really going on in the altcoin scene 👀 We’re still in a heavy Bitcoin-dominated market (BTC.D at 64%), but TOTAL3—the market cap for altcoins excluding BTC and ETH—is setting up for something big. 📊 We’re currently trading in a tight range between $740B support and $779B resistance—both key Fibonacci levels. Sound familiar? That’s because we were in the exact same range back on Nov 24, right before a major move! 🌀 ➡️ A confirmed breakout above $780B could send TOTAL3 surging toward the next major resistance at $929B. ⬅️ But if $740B breaks, we’re eyeing a move down to $641B, where crucial trendline support comes into play. Zooming out, altcoins are still licking their wounds from the trillion-dollar highs. The space has been wild: Trump tokens, meme coin madness, the OM token collapse—volatility is the name of the game. But are you still bullish on real, utility-driven projects? 💬 Let’s discuss: Are you riding this altcoin wave, or sitting on the sidelines until the storm passes? Do you have faith in 'Crypto' and can the good projects make history, or will the market suffer indefinitely from Presidents launching meme tokens, Fartcoins and Pumpfuns dominating a space with no ethics or loyalty? 🔗 Check the chart and share your thoughts below. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by FX_Professor
3
ZK Secondary trend.-82% Wedge. Reversal zones. 01 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Decrease from listing about -82%. For cryptocurrencies of such liquidity and capitalization, this is not the maximum decrease (-90-96%). But sometimes from such values ​​as now (-82-85%), taking into account the news hype during the listing "whales $ 458 million", a reversal and strong pumping can occur under the market as a whole. For example, like another hype project of "hanging noodles" - Flare (distributed to XRP holders). Decrease by -82% and then pumping slightly above the listing price under the next alt season of the cycle + 560%. This does not necessarily mean that this will happen, this is an example of what happens from such values ​​of decline with such liquidity and hype. In some ways, not only in the structure of the TA formation, but in the hype and disappointment of "investors", the projects are identical. Main trend , and the previously shown zone, in which the price is now. ZkSync Main trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025 Main trend now in the moment (full trading history). There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
Long
by SpartaBTC
Privacy matters, and it will cost you in the futureGood day Investor and traders, When the criminals run show, they definitely don't want you to know it.  Privacy is a double edged sword. However, just because criminals use it doesn't mean it should shunned upon. Criminals also wear clothes and use curtains. Both are fashion statement second, but serve as privacy first.  Enough of my opinion, the chart speaks for its self. Other than my additions, this is a naked chart of XRM on the weekly. It shows a very distinct patterns of how it moves.  XMR is another coin that was in my thesis from a couple years back in the bear market of 2022 that was the "lengthening or alternating" altcoin cycles. Another cycle that looks like it want to repeat, just much more drawn out. I do believe it will repeat, it might take 10-20 years or so to do so.  The next big phase of privacy might have to have people getting a taste of CBDC or UBI, before they realize how much it will, or most likely could infringe upon their privacy. The chart shows early investors already knew this. Look at that move from 2016 to 2017  25 cents to $480 dollars. WOW, that rivaled XRP's big move!!!  The key pattern here is the initial move then the big correction, the retest (double top) and how it moves with the fib levels. I have highlighted this in the chart with the Monero XMR logo and and a circle then with the yellow rectangle. Its the same pattern just waaaay drawn out. So, after this double top M then correction, marks the key  before price explosion. IMO, I don't think it's and "IF" it happens, but "WHEN" it happens. These types patterns are what sparked my original thesis on these coins. IMO there is a reason  other than just profits, early investor recognized the eventual use case, just like in Bitcoin. Let me know what you think in the comments. Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
CAPITALCOM:XMRUSDLong
by WeAreSat0shi
6
This Low Cap Alt will 20-50x (CULT DAO)This crypto cycle has been brutal for alts. There have been massive shakeouts over and over, a relentless onslaught of rug pulls and scams, and the "Pump.fun" casino on Solana that’s drained billions of retail liquidity and transferred it to the few. The few always seem to win, and the many always seem to lose. Today, if you’re reading this, it might all change. CULT DAO could easily 20-50x from now until October 2025. Let’s take a look at the MACD divergence. ### Technical Divergence For 750 days, this bullish divergence has been forming on the histogram MACD. Every new low on price has formed a higher low on the MACD. Let’s take a look at a case study of what happens when we get this form of divergence. I traded this exact same pattern in 2022 that resulted in a nearly 425% move. The play function doesn’t work because they rebranded, and that ticker is no longer valid, but you can scroll to the bottom in my comments on that TA and see the move. I’ll post it under this as well. As you can see, we got that 425% move. Currently, CULT DAO is showing exactly the same histogram divergence. Here are some examples of zigzag impulses on low-cap alts. You tend not to get 5 waves; instead, you get this zigzag pattern. This is what I predict CULT DAO will do since it’s only a 5 million market cap. We can also see in the chart that the 0.618 time Fibonacci level hits at the end of October 2025, which is exactly where I think the altcoin market will top. Check out previous TA on that. This is only scratching the surface of what is to come for CULT DAO. I have presented to you the technical reason why a big move is stirring and why, at the apex of these divergences, the stars align, and you have the catalyst present itself, and boom—the explosive move comes all at once, and it will be extremely volatile because of its low market cap. ### Let’s Start with the Tokenomics Every time someone sells or buys CULT DAO on Uniswap, there is a 0.40% tax that goes to a treasury. The top 50 stakers get to pass proposals that fund projects/investments. The idea is to remove the centralized component of funding a project. 121 projects have been funded over the last three years with 3 million dollars. - Total CULT Funded: 479,751,081,214 CULT - Total ETH Funded: 1,573 ETH - Proposals Funded: 121 - Total USD Funded: $3,289,596 - Total ETH Burned: 303 ETH Allocating these funds has been a learning process over the last three years, but every failure has been necessary in preparing the DAO for what’s to come next. ### The Big Catalyst The creator of CULT DAO has been working on a blockchain that will function on a custom gas token—that’s right, and that custom token will be CULT DAO. You heard correctly. Every transaction, every deployment on the blockchain will require the CULT DAO token as gas to execute. The implications are massive. There are multiple dApps that are currently being constructed on the Modulus blockchain. A privacy-first zkEVM blockchain like Modulus means a scalable, Ethereum-compatible blockchain that prioritizes user privacy through zero-knowledge proofs, allowing optional private transactions while maintaining decentralization. Modulus is a privacy-first zkEVM blockchain and is scheduled to release this year between April and August 2025. I hope now you’re starting to see the picture. ### CULT DAO and ETH Liquidity Pools So, why does the price of CULT go down if there is currently very little volume? Well, CULT DAO and ETH liquidity pools are tied together, so if the ETH price goes down, so does CULT. In turn, if ETH goes up, so does CULT. You can see that CULT is nearly at a 1:1 ratio with ETH for now, coming in at a 0.91 ratio. In other words, if my thesis is correct about ETH and it goes to 15,000 dollars, the price of CULT would be as follows: - ETH at $10,000: CULT Price: $0.000005008 (4x increase). Market Cap: $21.38M (4x increase). - ETH at $15,000: CULT Price: $0.000007512 (6x increase). Market Cap: $32.08M (6x increase). That’s right—if nobody even bought CULT, not one dollar, the base liquidity increase of ETH would bring the market cap to possibly 32 million, in other words, if you were thinking of buying ETH, why don’t you just buy CULT DAO? You can buy ETH now; from this price, 15,000 is 7x, or you can buy CULT DAO, get 6x plus whatever extra volume is coming in. It seems like a logical play, really. Everything you’ve seen so far is why I believe this MACD histogram divergence has been forming for 750 days. As I said, the stars will align at the apex, and the explosion will come. ### Unruggable and No Whales Controlling Supply As you can see from the bubble map, the largest wallet that is not an exchange has a cluster total of 0.7%. The rest of the clusters you see in the image are basically exchange wallets, which are the red and dark green circles mostly. Liquidity is also locked for over 200 years. - Burned Supply = 1.29664T - Circulating Supply (including staked) = 4.27T - Staked Supply = 1.07599T - Remaining Tradable Supply (excluding burned and staked) = 4.27T - 1.29664T - 1.07599T ≈ 1.89737T So, no whales, and it’s not possible to rug because liquidity is locked. ### Modulus Blockchain Liquidity Injection The average liquidity injection for DAOs in ZK would be anything from 200,000 to 10 million. Let’s assume it’s a $1M injection that is split 50/50 between CULT and ETH, a common practice for Uniswap-style pools. - CULT Amount in Pool: At the current price of $0.000001252, $500,000 buys ~399.36B CULT ($500,000 ÷ $0.000001252). It would increase the price to a 10 million market cap overnight. ### Conclusion - Liquidity is locked for 200 years - No whales - Not possible to rug - Mainnet launching this year - ETH pools tied to CULT - MACD histogram divergence The target I have for CULT is just based on Fibonacci levels. Honestly, it’s unpredictable what will happen, how high it will go, or the impact the Modulus chain will have. 120 million is my low-end estimate; the macro Fibonacci is much higher. The last extension puts it at a 1.4 billion market cap and 266x from where we are now. This is where you want to be for the upcoming alt season—right here, down 98% with this massive divergence and all these factors that come into play. Just the mainnet launch and ETH going to 10,000 basically sends this to a 30-50 million market cap. Cult DAO and Satoshi Nakamoto share a common ethos of decentralization and anti-centralization. We need to embrace this notion and bring back the power to the many. If CULT DAO hits 1.4 billion dollars, the treasury funds would be in the millions; we fund our own future. moduluszk.io cultdao.io cultdao.io coinmarketcap.com
UNISWAP:CULTWETH_5281E3.USDLong
by Sporia
2
OTHERS/BTCUSD: The Ultimate Indicator for Altcoin SeasonsHey TradingView community! I’ve been analyzing the OTHERS/BTCUSD metric, and it’s painting an exciting picture for altcoin traders. This chart might just be the key to timing the next big altcoin rally — let’s break it down! What is OTHERS/BTCUSD? This metric calculates the total altcoin market cap (excluding Bitcoin) divided by BTC/USD. It shows how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin. High Metric : Altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin — think altcoin season! Low Metric : Bitcoin dominance takes over, and altcoins take a backseat. Historical Patterns: Falling Wedges Stealing the Show The OTHERS/BTC Weekly chart reveals three Falling Wedge patterns, a bullish setup that’s historically preceded massive altcoin bull runs: 1st Altseason (2017-2018) : A Falling Wedge formed in 2016 (prior pink zone). The breakout unleashed a legendary altcoin rally — remember Ethereum and Ripple going parabolic?! 2nd Altseason (2020-2022) : Another wedge in 2018-2019 (blue zone) led to the 2021 altcoin boom, with projects like Solana and DeFi tokens soaring as the metric hit 10M. 3rd Falling Wedge (2022-Now) : Since 2022, a new wedge is forming (green zone), resurfacing the setups that sparked the last two altseasons. Current Setup: A Critical Support Zone As of April 27, 2025, the metric is approaching a key support zone of 2M-1.5M (where the altcoin market cap equals 1.5M to 2M Bitcoins). Historical Significance : This level has been a launchpad in the past — both in 2016 and 2019, it marked the bottom before altcoins reversed and surged. What’s Next : If this wedge breaks out, the metric could climb to 7M, 9M, or even 11.5M by 2025-2027. That could mean 5-10x gains from bottom for altcoins, depending on the pair! A sinusoidal wave at the bottom of the chart — it reflect market sentiment cycles, with troughs (like now) often preceding altcoin season greed phases. Why This Metric Matters OTHERS/BTCUSD captures the flow of capital in crypto: Bitcoin often leads bull cycles, pulling in capital first (metric drops). When BTC’s rally cools, investors chase higher returns in altcoins (metric rises). The Falling Wedges highlight this cycle — consolidation during Bitcoin dominance, followed by breakouts when altcoins take the spotlight. Trading Takeaway Monitor the 2M-1.5M Zone : A breakout here could be your green light to stack altcoins. Cross-Check Bitcoin Dominance : A drop in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) would confirm capital flowing into altcoins. Pick Strong Projects : Look for altcoins with solid fundamentals — layer-1s, DeFi, or AI tokens could lead the charge. What’s your take, TradingView fam? Are you gearing up for the next altseason? Drop your favorite altcoin picks or charts in the comments — I’d love to hear your thoughts!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
by ArShevelev
1
MANTA/USDT – Bullish Structure Forming MANTA/USDT – Bullish Structure Forming MANTA is showing early signs of a trend reversal, with multiple confluences indicating strength from the bulls. After a prolonged downtrend, the asset has not only broken key resistance levels but also flipped the 50 EMA, a major dynamic resistance, into support. ✅ Key Technical Highlights: Double Bottom Formation: The chart has clearly printed a double bottom, one of the most reliable reversal patterns. This formation suggests that bears are losing control and buyers are starting to step in with conviction. Breakout Above the 50 EMA: Price has decisively broken above the 50 EMA (~0.2127), which had previously acted as dynamic resistance during the downtrend. Notably, the price retested the 50 EMA and successfully bounced, confirming it now as support. Resistance Flip to Support: The previous horizontal resistance zone has been breached and retested, reinforcing its role as a demand zone. Market Structure Shift: Lower highs and lower lows have now transitioned into higher lows and higher highs, signaling a structural shift from bearish to bullish. Momentum and Candle Structure: The bullish candles post-retest show strong momentum with minimal upper wicks — a sign of buyer strength.
by unichartz
BTC | Bitcoin CURRENT CANDLE | NEW ATH or 70kThe previous weekly candle seemed unable to make a higher high after retesting the support at 76K. However, today's bullish impulse has suddenly shocked right through two resistance zones, with the price now trading just above 90k. If we can successfully CLOSE the weekly candle above 91K, it's likely that BTC is in for a new ATH which would mean ETH will also reach a new ATH, and then altseason will commence 🥳 Watch the following and make sure you are prepared for ALTSEAON: ___________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
2