$BTC: are we at the peak of this bull run?The chart says yes, and here’s the breakdown of my analysis:
- **MACD on Weekly**: Overheated. The last time this happened was in June, and it led to a six-month consolidation with a -30% dump.
- **RSI**: Overbought. Same story—this signals consolidation, but since we’re on the weekly timeframe, it’s going to drag on for a while.
- **Daily Indicators**: Also overheated! This is double trouble. It means we’re likely to see a significant dump until the daily indicators reset at the bottom.
Now, here’s the kicker: **everything in this cycle is messed up by the ETF FOMO.**
- We’ve already passed the previous ATH *before* the halving—something that’s never happened before. This suggests a short-lived bull market is highly probable.
- **Alt season? Canceled.** Bitcoin is hogging all the attention, news, and institutional money. Altcoins are sitting in the corner, forgotten like last year’s Christmas sweater.
To be clear, I’m not saying we’re headed into a four-year bear market. But the traditional halving cycle? It’s over.
- The halving doesn’t have the same impact anymore because miners no longer contribute significant sell pressure.
- Instead, we’re looking at **six-month cycles**: alternating between FOMO rallies and consolidations, driven by weekly timeframes and the MACD.
If this idea holds true, we’ll see a reset of all indicators by June, followed by a six-month rally for BTC. Altcoins might tag along, but don’t expect a classic alt season. The ETFs aren’t here to rotate money—they’re here to park it in BTC and ETH. And the altcoins? They’ll starve.
Buckle up; it’s going to be an ETF-dominated ride! 🚀
Altseason
Are You Scared About Altcoins? Huge Pump Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we focused on Bitcoin and Dominance analysis because it's much more important than analyzing any particular altcoin. Growth on altcoins cannot be counted a right prediction without Bitcoin Dominance drop. Today we are going to look in details on the wave 5 of CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D which we have already considered in our previous analysis on the higher time frame.
Today let's take a look at the daily time frame inside the global wave 5. It has pumped in November and it was just the wave 1, which has been finished with the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
This wave 2 has the ABC shape and finally it touched 0.61 Fibonacci. Now it's forming the green dot and if this signal will be confirmed with daily candle close our scenario is likely to be valid. OTHERS.D is going to print the wave C which has the target between 16% and 20%. This is huge potential gains for all altcoins you have.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Altseason is cancelled for now.USDT.D shot up like a rocket during this crash, while Total3 is in freefall.
BTC only took a -4% hit, but the altcoin market? A brutal -8%.
It’s clear: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and those ETF approvers are running the show, draining liquidity from retail investors to keep pumping BTC at the expense of altcoins.
I warned you—invite these guys to your party, and they’ll clean out the buffet.
If you’re holding altcoins, all you can do is hang in there and hope BTC throws some karma their way.
ETH is overheated. A correction to 3100 is probableETH experienced a strong pump, signaling the start of an altseason. However, on the 1D chart, it appears overheated and may require a correction.
A strong support level is at $3,100, and there is a high probability that ETH could continue its correction toward that support before bouncing back and moving higher, as suggested by the 1D chart.
That said, the 1W chart shows ETH still in an upward trend, indicating the possibility that this scenario might not play out due to the continued weekly momentum.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
POLKADOT- BUY HIGH, SELL HIGHERIn the midst of chaos, I've decided to increase my position in Polkadot, as I've been holding since $5.82. The structure continues to show bullish signals, and we’re still in a bull market. Moreover, the Christmas and New Year rally hasn’t even started yet.
For traders feeling anxious right now, it's better to step away from the screen and avoid making impulsive decisions. For those focused on knowledge and strategy, there’s no better moment to consider opening a long position—fully aware of the possibility that your stop-loss might be hit.
Trade Management:
Entry: $7 or market price
Stop-loss: $6.31 (keeping the previous position intact)
Remember to control your emotions and avoid overtrading. Maintaining liquidity is crucial—don’t put all your capital at risk. Protect your psychology and trust your skills. Don’t let the market shake your confidence in what you know works.
I’m sticking to my plan, as mentioned in my previous idea. Nothing changes if you follow your plan.
May God bless you all.
Jay
From Decline to Opportunity: Total3 Poised for RecoveryAfter breaking below the critical $1.04T support level yesterday, Total3 experienced a sharp decline, finding its footing at a key horizontal support level.
This drop coincided with many altcoins also reaching their respective support zones. For traders, this presented an attractive opportunity to enter the market at more favorable prices, effectively halting the downward momentum.
Currently, the chart shows a promising reversal forming. As long as this horizontal support level holds, there is a strong likelihood of continued upward movement, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
"We had a great projection regarding the Bitcoin Dominance bearish shift around the 60% level, and it played out perfectly. I’ve linked that projection to this post for reference.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is testing the weekly supply zone as a bearish retest. This aligns with the premium side of the Fibonacci, adding to my conviction that we’re likely to see a bearish reversal from here, forming a lower high. This lower high could potentially trigger another leg down in dominance, setting the stage for a strong altcoin season.
I expect this shift to happen very soon.
"ALTCOINS: HOLD OR SELL? BTC Dom at a Critical Turning Point!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If this analysis resonates with you, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for premium setups that actually deliver results! 💹🔥
🔥 Market Recap
Last night, we witnessed a massive liquidation cascade across the entire crypto market. Altcoins took a heavy hit, with many dropping 20-30% overnight, wiping out billions of dollars.
🔑 Key Takeaway:
This is why I always stress—never trade leverage without a stop-loss. Protect your capital first. Hope you all followed this golden rule!
📊 Market Outlook: Where Are We Heading?
BTC Dominance:
Breaking down from a rising wedge on the weekly time frame—a classic bearish signal.
Currently retesting the breakdown zone, indicating a potential sharp decline ahead.
🌟 What This Means:
If dominance drops further, spot altcoin holdings will likely surge.
This is the time to accumulate, not panic-sell.
💎 Opportunities Ahead
Many altcoins are retesting key support levels after breaking out on the daily time frame:
FET, W, PEPE, LTC, APT, RENDER, and more.
Patience is key here. Hold onto your spot bags and use this dip as an opportunity to accumulate strong projects.
🚀 The Road Ahead
Over the next few days, we anticipate a strong recovery across the market, with alts pumping hard. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and ride this wave.
💬 Your Move:
What’s your strategy for this phase? Are you accumulating or waiting for more clarity? Drop your thoughts in the comments below—we’re in this together! 🌊🔥
👉 Follow us for more timely updates and winning trade setups. Let’s crush it! 💪
Altcoins season has not even started!As you can see we are in the same spot that last cycle. BTC running avove previous ATH and total2 still bellow previous top. Once btc gets close to the top altcoins are going to explode, see how LMACD of Total 2 is not even close to the top of the descending diagonal. Scoop some alts now, next 12 months should be bright.
RENDER SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - CRYPTO MARKETPrice is reaching to Price is approaching the monthly demand zone, aligning with a massive bearish trendline originating from Spring 2024. Additionally, there’s confluence with a key Fibonacci level. I anticipate a bounce from this area, potentially leading to new highs or even all-time highs.
As always, wait for lower time frame confirmations before initiating the idea.
RENDERUSDT: Strategic Support Zones at the Blue BoxesIn this analysis, the blue boxes stand out as potential support areas worth close attention. These zones are significant for two key reasons:
They align with demand areas, where buying pressure is likely to increase.
They act as first lines of defense, offering a possible halt to further downside movement.
Trading Plan
Focus on Lower Time Frame Reactions: Observing price behavior within the green line and the blue box zones is essential. Key indicators include bullish candlestick patterns, volume surges, or other signs of reversal.
Long Trade Opportunities: If positive reactions occur in these areas, long trades can be structured with well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels.
Summary
The blue boxes in RENDERUSDT represent high-probability support zones, combining technical demand with structural significance. By analyzing the lower time frame reactions, traders can position themselves for potential upside opportunities while managing risks effectively.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
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📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
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📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
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🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
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⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
#Altcoins Q4 2020 x Q4 2024#Alts market cap TOTAL2 After making a major rise after the US elections in November 2020, it made a major correction towards mid-December and started a parabolic run after being rejected from the ($177.8B) Fibonacci 0.5 support.
Altcoins, which made a major rise after the US elections in November 2024, started a major correction phase in mid-December,
It will not be surprising if the correction ($1.19T) continues up to the Fibonacci 0.5 level and starts moving upwards from the current level.
TOTAL3 - Altcoin Season DelayedCryptos are currently in correction mode, which could be a good time to accumulate.
TOTAL3 has an interesting setup, with the next relevant support at 765B-800B, which was the previous high in March 2024, and coincides with the daily SMMA (red line).
If we see a positive reaction in this area, we could at least retest the bearish trend line we have formed in the last few days.
I will update this idea as the setup develops.
FTX Can Explode Higher In January MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on FTX here.
FTX is looking beautiful , very strong base for more upside
Very similar to RSR which is up nearly 170% increase in a similar base
Do not miss out on FTX as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details