Altseason
Tic... Tock... #Altcoins #Alts market cap #TOTAL2 -weekly falling trend breakout has been completed and will start the major uptrend wave after the retest.
We also witness a transition from the RE-ACCUMULATION phase of the wyckoff cycle to the MARK-UP phase.
#Altseason process will happen there sooner or later!
TIA Swing Long Idea - Celestia Altcoin LongTIA was one of the best-performing assets during the 2023-2024 altcoin run. As a leader in modular blockchain technology, I find its fundamentals very strong. I’ve been holding a significant number of TIA spot positions since 2023."
Technical Analysis:
The price has been relatively weak over the past few months. However, starting from September 2024, we saw an upward movement, creating a weekly bullish structure. The price broke the bearish trendline and closed above it. After deviating from the trendline, it retraced to the daily demand zone below, found support, and is currently holding above the trendline.
The price appears to be in an accumulation phase, lagging behind the upward movement of other coins. Despite this, I like the current levels and have opened a small position here.
Note: If Bitcoin retraces sharply, it could trigger the stop loss and take me out of the trade. To manage this risk, I will monitor the daily close below my stop-loss level before fully exiting.
SL: $3.60
TP1: $7.60
TP2: $11.90
TP3: $15.55
ALT Season? Not Even CloseWhen we exclude Bitcoin from the total crypto market cap, it becomes clear that we’re far from the conditions needed for an ALT season. Here’s a breakdown:
First Resistance: $1.28T (Excluding BTC)
The last high was in March 2024, with the market cap reaching $1.28T.
At that time, BTC dominance was around 52%.
Second Resistance: $1.71T (Excluding BTC)
This was the peak during the ALT season in November 2021, with the market cap hitting $1.71T. Back then, BTC dominance had dropped to just 42%.
Current Situation
BTC dominance is now sitting at 60%, which is far too high for a typical ALT season to start.
Historically, ALT seasons tend to begin when BTC dominance falls below 50% or even lower.
Conclusion
The altcoin market has a long way to go before reaching the conditions for a true ALT season. We need BTC dominance to decline significantly and the altcoin market cap to break through key resistance levels at $1.28T and $1.71T.
What’s your outlook? Are altcoins still in Bitcoin’s shadow, or is a shift coming? Let’s discuss!
The Others Part 3- 6M Timeframe Simple Update:
- Divergences are the ultimate tool for timing entries.
- Think long-term—play the big picture.
- Keep DCA’ing into altcoins for stronger positioning.
- Exercice more patience and be ready for the rush.
- Buy before the moon move, sell at the moon.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Alt Season is Coming!!! Event Overview
On November 9th, 2024, Bitcoin dominance in the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant drop of 3.2%, falling from to . This event coincided with a notable surge in Ethereum's price, which saw a dramatic increase of 43% over the same period. This pattern highlights the cyclical behavior within the cryptocurrency market, where liquidity flows from Bitcoin to alternative coins (altcoins) such as Ethereum and Solana during key shifts in market dynamics.
Key Observations
Bitcoin Dominance Drop:
Bitcoin dominance measures Bitcoin's share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. A decline in this metric typically indicates that investors are diversifying their holdings into altcoins. The 3.2% drop on November 9th suggests a significant shift in investor sentiment, with traders taking profits on Bitcoin's gains and reallocating capital into other cryptocurrencies.
Ethereum's Surge:
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, responded to Bitcoin's dominance decrease with a sharp 43% price increase. This aligns with historical trends where Ethereum and other altcoins benefit from liquidity rotations as retail and institutional investors diversify into higher-risk, higher-reward assets once Bitcoin's momentum slows.
Market Behavior:
The behavior observed on November 9th exemplifies the "altseason" phenomenon. This term describes periods when altcoins outperform Bitcoin, often triggered by:
Profit-Taking in Bitcoin: Investors cash out after substantial BTC price gains, leading to reduced dominance.
Increased Risk Appetite: After Bitcoin stabilizes, retail investors and traders seek growth opportunities in altcoins, which often have higher upside potential during bullish phases.
Ethereum as a Gateway Asset: As the largest altcoin, Ethereum frequently acts as the initial beneficiary of liquidity flow, serving as a bridge between Bitcoin and smaller altcoins.
Solana and Other Altcoins:
While Ethereum saw the most significant surge, other altcoins such as Solana also experienced gains as the liquidity rotation expanded beyond Ethereum. This cascading effect reflects a typical pattern where capital initially flows into major altcoins (e.g., ETH) before moving into mid-cap and small-cap cryptocurrencies.
Implications
Correlation Analysis: The event underscores a direct correlation between Bitcoin dominance and altcoin performance. When Bitcoin dominance drops, liquidity often shifts into altcoins, driven by profit-taking and increased speculative interest.
Investor Strategies: For traders and investors, monitoring Bitcoin dominance can serve as an early indicator of altcoin market opportunities. A sharp decline in BTC dominance often signals the start of an altcoin rally.
Market Cycles: Understanding these market dynamics is critical for timing entries and exits. Investors who recognize the signs of a dominance shift can capitalize on altcoin price movements while managing risk effectively.
Conclusion
The 3.2% drop in Bitcoin dominance on November 9th, 2024, and the subsequent 43% rise in Ethereum illustrate the fluidity of capital within the cryptocurrency market. This event reaffirms the principle that liquidity flows from Bitcoin into altcoins during profit-taking phases, driven by retail and institutional behavior. Ethereum's performance during this period also highlights its pivotal role as a leading altcoin and a bellwether for broader market trends. As the market evolves, tracking Bitcoin dominance alongside altcoin performance will remain essential for understanding and predicting cryptocurrency price movements.
XCN + 333%? X4 IS WAITING FOR IT IF THIS CONFIRMS.Last time Onyxcoin (XCN) had a Bullish divergence on RSI and make a Golden cross. it made a +383% in 5 waves making the 1st wave on the bigger cycle. (152 ds).
Wave 2 a correction ( 152 ds), corrects as Elliot says to the 4th of a minor degree.
And now that the Wave 3 seems to start, we break the descending channel and made a Golden Cross. We have the bull impulse until Feb/Mar 2025.
To confirm this we need the break out on the RSI.
And remember that Wave 3 usually is the strogest of all, we will find out on OCTOBER ;)
Cheers!
More proof Goldencross works immediately in this phase of bullJust like the char I posted before this one, I’m posting this simply to lllustrate how the golden cross (orange line crossing above the blue line) immediately resulted in a very pivotal bullish pump that coincided with a major fulcrum point on the chart recently on multiple different charts. More times than not in the other market cycles, when a golden cross occurs it usually takes a few weeks afterwards to know whether that cross will have its desired outcome or instead end up being a fakeout but lately I’ve noticed multiple charts have seen an instantaneous pump on the exact day of the golden cross, which is making me think that once we enter the 2nd parabolic phase of a bull market that that is when you can anticipate a golden cross to have its immediate intended effect its suppose to have with much much higher probability than all the other market phases including even the 1st half of the bull market. Anyways I wanted to illustrate that hypothesis here with the XLM chart as you can clearly see it’s a text book example, and I will try to put a link below to the previous example where this occurred as wel a link to the total2 chart which will have its golden cross in the next 102 daily candles.l One major reason I want to illustrate this is because within the next 1-2 daily candle closes the Total2 (aka altcoin market) chart is going to have its golden cross and it is currently trying to confirm the breakout upward from a cp and handle pattern which is a huge fulcrum point for it. So should the trend of instantaneous golden cross pump effects occurring the same daily candle as the cross itself, this could clue us into exactly when the real full on alt season will be about to kick off (which if correct, will be ignited by a big confirmation breakout pump within the next 1-3 daily candles). *not financial advice*
Epic #Altseason vibes!#Altcoin follows 2016-2017 simulation!
#AltSeason is inevitable and here are the do's and don'ts! 🧵
What to Do and Avoid During #Altcoins Season.
Things You Should Do:
1.Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
•Study the project’s technology, team, use case, and roadmap.
•Be cautious of low-volume projects that are susceptible to manipulation.
2.Practice Risk Management
•Don’t invest your entire capital in a single altcoin. Diversify your portfolio.
•Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
3.Follow Market Trends
•Monitor indicators like Bitcoin dominance and total market volume.
•Evaluate the level of hype in social media and communities.
4.Plan Your Profit-Taking Strategy
•Don’t assume prices will rise indefinitely.
•Take profits at predefined targets.
5.Stay Calm
•Avoid panic selling due to sudden price movements.
•Focus on logic rather than emotions when making decisions.
Things You Should Avoid:
1.Don’t Fall for FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
•Avoid chasing rapidly rising prices. This often leads to buying at the top.
2.Don’t Invest with Borrowed Money or Credit
•While altcoin season offers high returns, losses can also be significant.
3.Don’t Put All Your Funds into a Single Coin
•No matter how promising a project seems, risks are always present.
4.Don’t Blindly Believe in Hype
•Projects heavily hyped on social media are often manipulated by whales or pump-and-dump schemes.
5.Don’t Deviate From Your Plan
•Never trade without an exit strategy. Stick to the goals you’ve set for yourself.
6.Don’t Lose Sight of the Long-Term Perspective
•Many altcoins undergo significant corrections after the season ends. Ensure you convert your gains into real value when possible.
#Alts season presents great opportunities, but careless actions can lead to substantial losses. Adopt a balanced strategy, and only risk what you can afford to lose.
$ROSE Has a clear road this year ! As you know, the digital currency LSE:ROSE (Oasis Protocol) is one of the most popular Layer-1 blockchains in the world, known for its high scalability, strong integrity, and fee-less transactions. It has consistently attracted the attention of the cryptocurrency community.
Furthermore, it is no secret that the future belongs to artificial intelligence and AI-based technologies, and "Oasis Protocol" is truly one of the pioneers in the AI space, always having something to say!
For this reason, I decided to analyze its chart from a smart money perspective and present it to you.
Soon, I will provide an update and analysis based on price action.
Thank you very much for your attention 🌹
VANRYUSDT - BUY IDEAVANRY is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs on higher TF.
Currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH on daily , if this trendline will break then we will enter at breakout.
If the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could go for new HH.
we will enter at 0.10175
INJ SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON 2024-2025INJ experienced significant gains during the 2023-2024 altseason, making it a smart move to watch this coin for the 2024-2025 altseason.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the weekly swing liquidity during the August 4th dump. It wicked but couldn’t close below, signaling bullish strength. Following this, the price broke both the daily and weekly bearish structure, turning bullish on two higher timeframes.
Recently, the bearish trendline responsible for the downtrend since spring 2024 was broken with strong momentum and a confirmed close above. This indicates to me that the price aims to move higher.
I expect the price to potentially retrace into the weekly demand zone, hitting the optimal trade entry (OTE) level and possibly retesting the broken trendline.
I will be looking for lower timeframe (LTF) confirmations within the weekly demand zone if the price reaches that level.
SL: $13
TP1: $28
TP2: $41
TP3: $53
Quant finally waking up and joining the rest of the alt pumpLooks like Quant has broken above an inverse head & shoulders pattern with two valid necklines. The higher longer one having a higher breakout target of course. Based on the pattern unfolding on total2 chart right now as well as it’s impending golden cross, I’d say QUant reaching both inverse head & shoulders targets is highly probable *not financial advice*
A close up of the bullflag forming above c&h rimline on total2The red line is the rimline of the Total2 chart’s cup and handle pattern that I made a post about a few days ago and will link at the bottom of this post. I thought it would be a good idea to include a close up of this bull flag that is forming with that redline mostly serving as support here so it would be easier for people to see when the breakout from the cup and handle will be validated. Once we have solidified the red line as support long enough we will validate the breakout from the cup and handle. One thing that will greatly increase the probability that w will validate that breakout is by first valdating the breakout up from this smaller bullflag pattern that has been forming here, you’ll notice that we are also about to have a golden cross (when the orange line crosses above the blue line ). We are now just one to two days away max from that cross happening and I would not be surprised if the pump up from the bullflag that validates it’s breakout occurs the same day the golden cross occurs, as I have already seen that happen immediately on the golden cross in two other chart recently, and it usually tends to do so once we have entered the parabolic phase of the bull market. If we do we will simultaneously validated both the breakout from this bull flag and mostly likely validate the breakout from the more macro timeframe Cup and handle pattern as well. I will link the chart I posted a few days ago showing the full cup and handle pattern down below. We’ve already seen a slight bit of a precursor already in the market but once the cup and handle validates its breakout, it is officially alt season. *not financial advice*
“The Shift Is Coming: Bitcoin’s Decline in Dominance and the RisThe cryptocurrency market is evolving. For years, Bitcoin has been the undisputed leader, dictating the rhythm of bull and bear markets. But if you’ve been paying attention, subtle shifts are already underway, hinting at what the future holds.
As Bitcoin falls, certain altcoins are rising. This is more than just a temporary trend—it’s a small-scale preview of what’s coming on a much larger scale.
The Decline of Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin’s dominance over the crypto market has been its defining feature, but year by year, that dominance is shrinking. The days when Bitcoin single-handedly led every bull run may be nearing an end.
Innovative altcoins with real-world utility, scalability, and vibrant ecosystems are carving out their own paths. From Ethereum’s smart contract dominance to projects like Solana, Polygon, and even meme coins, the market is becoming more decentralized—not just in technology but in leadership.
Bitcoin will always be “digital gold,” but that narrative alone may not be enough to sustain its lead. As altcoins continue to innovate, attract attention, and grow communities, Bitcoin’s role as the crypto market’s “North Star” could wane.
The Rise of Altcoin-Led Bull Runs
The 2021 bull run introduced sectors like DeFi, NFTs, and play-to-earn gaming, showing that narratives beyond Bitcoin can drive capital into crypto. Now, we’re seeing specific coins decouple from Bitcoin’s movements. This decoupling is just the beginning.
Future bull runs could be triggered not by Bitcoin but by:
• New Technology: Layer 2 solutions, zero-knowledge proofs, and faster blockchains.
• Sector-Specific Booms: DeFi 2.0, AI-integrated cryptos, or Web3 applications.
• Community Movements: Meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu that thrive on viral momentum.
Altcoin-led rallies will redefine how we perceive market cycles. Bitcoin might still play a role, but it won’t always lead the charge.
Money Flowing from Equities to Crypto
Here’s another macro trend to watch: More money is leaving the traditional equities market and moving into crypto. Why? The returns in crypto are astronomical compared to stocks.
Retail traders are already driving this shift, lured by the potential of 10x and even 100x gains. But it won’t stop there. As crypto becomes more accessible and regulated, banks and institutional investors will dive in deeper.
The Inevitable Institutional Rush
Imagine a world where banks are buying meme coins. Sounds absurd? It’s closer than you think.
Meme coins have already made their way into mainstream financial platforms. Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are listed on major exchanges, used for payments, and even supported by celebrity endorsements. Institutions, once dismissive, are now taking notice.
When retail traders prove a narrative works, institutions follow. First, it will be Bitcoin and Ethereum. Then, it will be DeFi protocols. Finally, meme coins could become speculative assets in institutional portfolios.
What This Means for You
The crypto market is maturing. Bitcoin will always have a role, but it’s no longer the only player in the game. The future is multi-faceted, decentralized, and packed with opportunities across a range of altcoins.
As a trader, staying ahead means:
1. Tracking Narratives: What sectors are gaining traction? DeFi, gaming, AI, and meme coins could lead the next cycle.
2. Diversifying: Don’t put all your capital into Bitcoin. Explore altcoins with strong fundamentals and active communities.
3. Preparing for Institutional Influx: Follow the money. Where retail traders go, institutions eventually follow.
The shift is coming. Are you ready for a market where Bitcoin no longer dominates?
If you agree, hit that like button, share this with your community, and let’s talk about the future of crypto below!