$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
Altseason
ETH - BBB - Bullish Building Block!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🏢 ETH Building Blocks:
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
ETH is currently bullish trading within the second floor in the shape of a rising channel marked in green.
As ETH retests the lower green trendline and $2,550 structure, we’ll be looking for short-term trend-following long setups!
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
For the bulls to remain in control medium-term and push towards the $3,000 mark, a break above the last major high at $2,750 is needed.
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
If the $2,550 structure is broken downward, ETH's momentum will be shifted from bullish to bearish leading to a correction phase towards the $2,300 support.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
No one is talking about this! Big breakout Incoming! Here'S Why!CRYPTOCAP:USDT dominance is nearing a potential death cross on the daily chart. The last time this happened, we saw nearly 40 days of uninterrupted green across altcoins.
During that period, CRYPTOCAP:BTC rallied from $67,476 to $101,898. Many altcoins surged between 90% and 300%.
We’re now witnessing similar conditions unfold.
If this crossover gets delayed or invalidated (Less likely but entirely possible), altcoins may experience short-term corrections.
But the broader altcoin season remains inevitable.
If this helped you gain perspective, give it a like and repost.
You might want to bookmark it, I’ll update the chart as this plays out.
Don’t let short-term volatility shake you out of generational opportunities.
Be strong there, WAGMI!
#PEACE
SEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag CorrectionSEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag Correction, as we see it sharply bouncing from projected support that can send the price higher by Elliott wave theory.
SEI with ticker SEIUSD is waking up exactly from the channel support line and equality measurement of waves A=C, which is perfect textbook support for subwave (5) of an impulse into wave C of an ABC zig-zag correction. It's actually nicely and impulsively rising for wave 1, so after current wave 2 pullback, be aware of a bullish continuation within wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, especially if breaks above 0.30 first bullish evidence level.
Sei (SEI) is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed specifically for decentralized finance (DeFi) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Launched in August 2023 by Sei Labs, it features innovations like Twin-Turbo Consensus for fast block finality, Optimistic Parallelization for high throughput, and SeiDB for efficient transaction handling. It supports EVM compatibility, enabling seamless deployment of Ethereum-based apps. The SEI token is used for transaction fees, staking, governance, and liquidity.
BTC shorts will get liquidatedHello everyone!
As we all witnessed, BINANCE:BTCUSDT experienced a sharp drop following Trump's announcement of new tariffs starting June 1st on all European Union . The big question now is: is this the end for Bitcoin, or just a temporary dip?
In my opinion, BTC is likely to move as follows:
It will retest the long wick on the 1-hour chart, which previously bounced from a 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) , and then continue its upward movement.
Don't worry, everyone, BTC remains very strong!
BTC DOMINANCE AT CRUCIAL LEVEL! When Alt season? 🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
Bitcoin dominance is once again hovering around the key resistance zone (~64%) that previously triggered a sharp rejection and boosted altcoins. 🚨
🟢 What we're watching:
Dominance bounced back after a breakdown from the rising wedge 📉
It's now retesting the breakdown zone (red resistance)
A rejection here = Altcoin Rally 🎯
A clean breakout above = Altcoins stay weak ⚠️
⏳ We’re at a decision point. Altcoin bulls are watching this zone very closely.
🧠 Our take:
Until BTC.D rejects from this level, don’t expect a full-blown Altseason. A strong red candle from here could open the floodgates for mid and low caps to run wild again. 🚀
📌 Stay patient, stay positioned. The move will be big—just a matter of “when.”
HolderStat┆SOLUSD held the support trend lineCRYPTOCAP:SOL sprinted from a falling channel into a sturdy growing channel, staging pauses at 145 and 170. Price now coils inside a descending mini-flag clamped to the 170 horizontal—flip that lid and the 195-200 magnet comes alive, mirroring the flag’s height. Only a decisive close below 160 would dull the current trajectory toward fresh 200-plus highs.
AERO: Coming in to Refuel… or Crash Land!? AERO: Coming in to Refuel… or Crash Land!?
📅 Date: May 23, 2025
🧠 Framework: Elliott Wave with Fibonacci structure
🔍 Context: 4H timeframe
🔁 Recap of the Move
AERO rallied off the 0.3465–0.3475 double bottom in what appears to be a clean 5-wave impulsive sequence. The price action respected both structural and Fibonacci guidelines:
Wave 2 and Wave 4 both pulled back to 0.5 retracements.
Wave 3 extended and subdivided with strong momentum, a common characteristic
Wave 5 completed between 0.5 and 0.618 of Wave 3 from the Wave 4 low — a textbook termination zone
Subdivisions within Wave 5 were also visible, including a smaller internal Wave 3 and 5, reinforcing the case for a completed motive wave.
⚠️ Current Price Behavior
Post-impulse, the market is showing signs of correction. This pullback could mark the beginning of a deeper retracement, or it may be the early stages of a new larger-degree impulse if the uptrend continues.
📏 Levels to Watch
Retracement zone: 0.54–0.49 (50–61.8% of the full move)
Upside resumption: Requires a strong bounce from the retrace zone and break of the Wave 5 high
🔮 Outlook
Two scenarios remain on the table:
Bullish: This is a Wave 2 retracement in a larger degree move. If support holds, a strong Wave 3 may follow.
Bearish/Neutral: The 5-wave or 3-wave structure is fully complete, and a deeper correction could be in play.
Confirmation will come through structure, not assumption. Keep watching how price behaves around the key retrace levels.
📣 Trade safe, trade clarity. More updates coming as structure evolves.
HolderStat┆XRPUSD seeks to overcome $2.8CRYPTOCAP:XRP snapped a year-long down-sloping barrier, rocketed to 2.65 USDT, and is recharging in a slanted box whose floor sits on the 2.40 trend confluence. Hold that hinge and the next swing could tunnel into the 2.90-3.00 sell zone; surrender it and 2.20 becomes the logical rebound trench while the macro channel still tilts higher.
ETH/USDT – Breaking Out After BTC!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
After BTC’s rally, it’s ETH’s turn to shine! 🔥
Ethereum has officially broken out of the descending channel on the 12H timeframe, a structure that’s been holding price down since late 2024. This breakout is significant — and here’s why:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Broadening wedge finally broken after months of compression
🔸 Price holding well above the EMA, confirming short-term bullish momentum
🔸 Strong volume on breakout candle, suggesting genuine buying pressure
🔸 Breakout coincides with BTC’s surge — signaling altcoin rotation could be starting
📍 Key Levels:
➡️ Immediate Resistance: $2,850
➡️ Short Term Target Zone: $3,200–$3,500
➡️ Major Target Zone: $5000
➡️ Support to Watch: $2,480 (EMA + breakout retest)
💡 Why It Matters:
This move isn’t just technical — it’s psychological. ETH has been lagging BTC for weeks, and this breakout could shift trader sentiment back toward altcoins. If ETH holds above the breakout zone, we may see altcoins gain serious traction in the coming days.
📌 Strategy Note:
Look for a successful retest of the breakout zone for confirmation. A strong daily close above $2,700 could pave the way for a sustained uptrend.
What’s your ETH price prediction? Drop it in the comments and let’s ride this momentum together! 💥
HolderStat┆ADAUSD kept the $0.7 levelCRYPTOCAP:ADA reversed a three-month slide with a textbook falling-wedge breakout and now oscillates inside a tightening flag above the 0.72 USDT backbone. Bulls guard successive higher lows along that trend beam; maintain it and the pattern’s target aligns with the 0.90-0.95 supply cap highlighted overhead. A dip toward 0.68 would simply revisit wedge support before any larger drive.
HolderStat┆ETHUSD pressing trend resistanceCRYPTOCAP:ETH blasted out of a mega-triangle, topping at 2.80 k, and keeps pressing along an aggressive rising trendline. Candles are marching through overlapping consolidations, each one springboarding higher; sustain footing above 2.55 k and the route to the 3.0-3.1 k sell zone stays paved. Slip back under 2.40 k and a broad retest of the prior wedge roof near 2.25 k awaits.
$BTC Breaks Out $155K Target in SightBitcoin has officially broken out above the key $105K resistance zone, confirming a strong bullish structure on the 1-day chart.
The price now exceeds the previous supply area, which has flipped into solid support.
As long as BTC stays above this level, momentum remains bullish with a clear path toward the next major target at $ 155 K.
This breakout marks a strong continuation of the uptrend, and traders should keep a close eye on any retest of the $105K zone for potential long
opportunities.
DYRO, NFA
Altcoin Season Brewing?Hi,
The OTHERS/BTC pair represents the collective market capitalization of altcoins relative to Bitcoin. This ratio is a critical indicator of altcoin strength or weakness against Bitcoin. The weekly chart reveals a prolonged bearish phase for altcoins, with Bitcoin dominance persisting. However, recent data suggests potential inflection points worth monitoring.
Key Technical Elements:
- Ascending Channel: The pair is moving within a well-defined macro upward channel. It is currently sitting at the bottom boundary, suggesting a potential reversal point.
- Support Zone: The lower boundary of the channel (purple line) aligns with previous bounce points (2019, 2020, mid-2023), reinforcing its validity.
- RSI Indicator: The RSI has shown bullish divergence with price making lower lows while RSI forms higher lows.
My Opinion:
This chart suggests we are near the bottom for altcoins vs BTC, and the risk/reward is heavily tilted in favor of a bounce, especially going into a potential Q3-Q4 altseason. It’s a classic accumulation zone where smart money tends to position.
And what to do?
- scale into altcoin positions cautiously.
- Use the channel low as a stop-loss zone.
- Look for confirmation over the next 1–2 weeks with bullish candles or increased volume.
Happy Trading,
SOLANA - Light it up
SOLANA can flip the $185 resistance into support, it opens the door for a potential rally toward the next key levels:
T1: $241
T2: $301
T3: $371
T4: $468
The structure is clean, and the market sentiment is shifting. As long as SOL holds above the reclaimed range and macro conditions remain supportive, this setup could deliver serious upside.
HolderStat┆BNBUSD prepare to test $700CRYPTOCAP:BNB surges out of a falling-channel base, then prints twin consolidation pennants that keep hugging an accelerating support rail near 640 USDT. Friday’s fresh thrust through the pennant roof drags price back inside the long-term rising wedge, opening a measured path toward the 720-740 resistance shelf. As long as the inner trendline at 630-635 holds, momentum traders can lean on the channel mid-line; a daily close below 600 would defer—but not defeat—the bullish thesis.
Don't Miss This Big Move on COSMOS (ATOMUSDT)Hello Everyone!
With Bitcoin on the rise and Ethereum likely to follow—as outlined in my recent ETHEREUM analysis idea —we continue to look for strong opportunities in the altcoin market. Right now, all eyes are on COSMOS ( BINANCE:ATOMUSDT ) as it shows promising signs of a potential breakout.
On Weekly timeframe
Price has swept the bottom of September 2024 liquidity zone.
On 4D timeframe
- On the OBV (On-Balance Volume) indicator , price has broken a downtrend—similar to the breakout seen in October 2024 , which was followed by a 170% rally.
- The previous 4-day candle closed above a key Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating potential bullish momentum.
On 1D timeframe
- V shape inverse pattern.
- There’s significant liquidity in the $6.5–$7.5 range . After successfully breaking above the $5.1 level —just as I strongly anticipated—price is now likely targeting that liquidity zone.
To sum up, BINANCE:ATOMUSDT is demonstrating both fundamental strength and technical confirmation, making it a high-potential candidate in the current market environment.
BNB Weekly Breakout: Road to $1,000?CRYPTOCAP:BNB is showing strong bullish momentum on the weekly chart. The 50 EMA is acting as a dynamic support, holding firm during multiple retests and providing a solid foundation for upward movement.
Recently, price action has broken above a key descending resistance line and successfully reclaimed a major support-resistance zone, turning it into a strong base. This area, which previously acted as a battleground for bulls and bears, is now supporting the current rally.
As long as BNB continues to hold above this zone and the 50 EMA, the structure remains bullish. With sustained momentum, a retest of the all-time high zone around $793 is likely, and a breakout above it could open the door for a move toward $1,000 and beyond.
DYOR, NFA
SUSHI Token: A High-Potential Setup You Shouldn’t IgnoreHello everyone!
A huge opportunity has emerged on the BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT chart. I’ll break down the technical analysis for SUSHI using both the Daily and 4H timeframes , highlighting key levels and potential trade setups.
On 1D timeframe
- Price has swept the liquidity below the November 2024 low , forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , which is a strong bullish reversal signal.
- Price recently broke did the May high after that retraced approximately 24% . This pullback aligned perfectly with a retest of the neckline from the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, reinforcing its validity as a bullish setup.
On 4H timeframe
- If price breaks above $0.775 , it would serve as a confirmation of bullish momentum, suggesting a likely move toward the liquidity zone above $1.00 .
- In my opinion, if market conditions remain bullish and Bitcoin continues its upward trend, SUSHI is likely to break above the $1.00 level with ease and potentially reach the inverse Head and Shoulders target around $1.20+ .
In conclusion, SUSHI is currently showing strong bullish signals, and if the broader market gives altcoins room to run, this token has the potential to rally aggressively.
Note: SUSHI is a low-cap token with high volatility, so exercise proper risk management when trading or investing.