Dollar Down and Crypto PumpsHoping for DXY to drop down to the lower range and allow liquidity to keep flowing into crypto so we can keep pumping. Also watching BTC.D closely, if this breaks down and makes a new lower low then we can say with a lot more probability that Altcoin Season or Alt season is truely upon us.
Lets watch and wait! I am in a few positions, XRP/DOGE/VIRTUALS ready for the action.
Not financial advice, lots of volatility and risk out there, watch out for the bulls too.
Altseason
BTC - What if #1What a move corn, what a move.
Although it's a what if for, becomes an expectation when i see that bear div on rsi.
An impulsive move like this may very well complete as diagonal, and when you see diagonals at the highs with HTF divs, you run away.
If that happens to work, i'd not think for a second to buy that dip as the expection should be new highs, but i'd not be married to that idea - which takes me to the 2nd idea :
AVAX SWING LONG IDEA - ALTSEASON 2024-2025AVAX made a pretty parabolic move upwards, and unfortunately, it didn’t give us an entry from the bearish trendline break retest, which I was waiting for to initiate the trade.
Currently, the price seems to have lost its momentum. I believe we’ll see a retracement into the daily demand zone (blue box), which aligns with the equilibrium level of the entire leg up—making it a key level for me. This is the first entry zone, and I plan to initiate the trade there with half position size around the $35.5 level (purple scenario).
The second entry zone is $30.4, as this level is built from weekly demand and sits below the daily swing liquidity, where I assume a significant amount of sell stops are likely resting. If I were a market maker for AVAX, I would definitely look to visit and grab that liquidity before driving the price to new highs (black scenario).
I believe these zones are the last opportunities to initiate a swing long trade, as I anticipate crazy pumps soon that will likely push the price beyond these levels for good.
I will be holding this position as a swing trade.
BTC ATH | Bitcoin Dominance | Alt Season Interesting insights can be gather from the Bitcoin dominance chart and the altcoin chart (TOTAL3).
You can see some interesting patterns when you overlap them, and monitor for previous "fractals" or patterns.
Some of the key insights you can gain from this combo:
👉 The BTC peak / ATH, or not
👉 The end of Altseason
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COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
ALT SEASON #3After years of waiting, countless false starts, and more hopium than a bull market BBQ, we’re finally here: Alt Season 3 is upon us—or so my trusty weekly Bitcoin dominance chart is screaming.
For the uninitiated, this chart is basically the ancient oracle of crypto, and it’s saying, ‘Hey, Bitcoin, take five. It’s time for the alts to shine.’
Zoom in close and you’ll see the subtle shift—the kind of shift that makes your favorite meme coin go from $0.00001 to ‘retire on a yacht’ territory (not financial advice, obviously).
TL;DR: Pack your bags, but don’t forget to double-check the fundamentals of the random farm token you’re YOLO-ing into. Alt Season 3 is here to remind us all that dreams are made… and sometimes rugged. Stay sharp, my friends. 🚀
The Line That Define Your Upcoming Generational Wealth [BTC.D]Since Q3 this year, the VWAP line has been acting as a fairly strong support level. This maybe indicates that crypto market participants are closely watching this indicator as an important reference point for Bitcoin's positioning relative to other cryptos.
If this line gets breached, it could signal a broader shift in market sentiment. A breakdown of this support could open the door for a more dominant altcoin movement, with capital flowing from Bitcoin to the wider crypto ecosystem.
This could provide a valuable technical clue to help answer the $420trillion question : 'wen altszn?' .
Thanks for reading 😊
🚀🚀🚀
$TOTAL3 & $OTHERS Alt Season Breakout vs $BTC.D !!!If you’re still wondering whether Alt Season is here or not, this is the only chart you need to see to prove it is.
BTC.D has been going down while CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 has broken previous ATH with CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS lagging a bit behind.
This shows the rotation from CRYPTOCAP:BTC -> Mid Caps -> Small Caps
Monetary policy, more importantly rate cuts, have signaled “Risk On”, and the market has responded accordingly.
Expecting the Peak of Altcoin Season Starts in Q1 Hello,
Based on historical trends, I've observed that January and February are typically bullish months in the cryptocurrency market. During past bull runs, like 2021, altcoins often outperformed Bitcoin, driven by increased retail and institutional investment in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies. I anticipate that the peak of the altcoin season will likely begin in Q1 of the upcoming year.
ALT SENSATIONAL Everyone is watching this 60% level on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D for the potential reversal from bitcoin dominance into alts. And I agree based on the order block and golden zone confluence.
The next step I take if I believe an alt season is soon, which is around the corner sooner than one would think, is to hawk the btc and ratio pair charts.
Here are a few that have piqued my interest as of now. This does not mean they immediately pump but rather offer some decent risk reward trade opportunities. I have no idea if these are the generational bottom but frankly they could be.
MEXC:TAOUSDT TAO
BINANCE:BNBUSDT BNB
OKX:OPUSDT OP
BINANCE:NEARUSDT NEAR
BINANCE:AVAXUSDT AVAX
BINANCE:JUPUSDT JUP
CRYPTO:WIFUSD WIF
- Robinhood + Coinbase wombo combo listing
Always be pitting your favorite altcoin vs btc or vs the native chain token the coin is on. Like PEPEETH or BONKSOL etc.
Oftentimes the true bottom or the major turning points present themselves once the ratio pair charts begin to reach key levels of support or resistance. Study and track diligently.
Some alts have already had an initial push up probably taking out some short liquidations. The key is looking for the laggards and the bull divergences.
BITCOIN | MACRO OUTLOOK | Top is IN | ALTCOINS SHINEI've been risking my opinion for the better part of a year, saying that the ATH is stilllll coming. Now, it's time for me to choose my trades again; and I'm choosing to take my profits here.
Here's a replay of an entire year's worth of BTC updates, incase you want to verify😉:
The next thing I'm looking at is the continuation of Altseason , because the TOTAL3 chart peaks AFTER the BTC high. I touched a little bit on this mechanic here; but I think I'll do another update on that in coming days.
After alts top-out, for BTC bounce zones I'll consider the moving averages, Elliot wave corrective theory, and previous resistance zones as new bounce zones. But this is near term, not short term.
Stay tuned!! Cheers to the believers 🥂
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COINBASE:BTCUSD
Arbitrum will be golden cross!Arbitrum (ARB) is on the verge of something big! With a golden cross forming in the next few weeks, all signs point to a major breakout. This technical pattern, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day, has historically signaled strong bullish momentum. As we gear up for altseason, Arbitrum’s growing ecosystem, low transaction costs, and fast processing times make it a standout contender. Could this be the start of ARB becoming one of the most popular coins in the next market cycle?
With Ethereum’s scalability solutions becoming increasingly critical and Arbitrum leading the charge in Layer 2 solutions, the future looks bright for this project. Investors are starting to take notice, and as more dApps and DeFi protocols continue to build on Arbitrum, its value proposition is becoming hard to ignore.
Are we about to witness Arbitrum soar to new heights as the golden cross triggers the next wave of bullish sentiment? Time will tell, but for now, ARB is definitely one to watch closely in the upcoming altseason.
TIA Swing Long Idea - Celestia Altcoin LongTIA was one of the best-performing assets during the 2023-2024 altcoin run. As a leader in modular blockchain technology, I find its fundamentals very strong. I’ve been holding a significant number of TIA spot positions since 2023."
Technical Analysis:
The price has been relatively weak over the past few months. However, starting from September 2024, we saw an upward movement, creating a weekly bullish structure. The price broke the bearish trendline and closed above it. After deviating from the trendline, it retraced to the daily demand zone below, found support, and is currently holding above the trendline.
The price appears to be in an accumulation phase, lagging behind the upward movement of other coins. Despite this, I like the current levels and have opened a small position here.
Note: If Bitcoin retraces sharply, it could trigger the stop loss and take me out of the trade. To manage this risk, I will monitor the daily close below my stop-loss level before fully exiting.
SL: $3.60
TP1: $7.60
TP2: $11.90
TP3: $15.55
BTC URGENT UPDATE
It will be double top and correction on Wednesday
I aspect that approximately 10:00 (utc +0) Wednesay 27 November
and after a correction peope sell all of alts and Friday will pump hard altcoins.
It is a game from whales bro watch out ..!!!!
P*lease leave a likle and comment .
Cheers bro
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$BTC Analysis update: What's Next ?** CRYPTOCAP:BTC Analysis: What's Next?**
As you can see, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has completed its previous consolidation phase, which lasted six months. The recent *Trump election pump* coincided with the end of that phase, leading to a new, massive parabolic rally.
However, signs are emerging that the market is overheating:
- **RSI**: Indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a correction is due.
- **MACD**: Overheated and also signaling an impending correction.
On a **weekly timeframe**, history tells us that similar situations have resulted in sideways movement for about six months, with a 30–40% downside, before the next major rally begins.
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### Will This Trigger an Altseason?
Most likely, yes. During these cooling-off periods, investors often turn their attention to altcoins, which tend to be more active and engaging during such times.
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### MACD Insights
By counting the bars on the MACD, it looks like we might have **two more weeks of upward movement** before an EMA crossover signals the start of consolidation.
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### Looking Ahead
The next major pump could occur around **May**. Let’s see how this unfolds.
**Remember:** Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
When is the best time to buy Altcoins?The short answer is... Now, this year into early next year.
Although I would expect a lot of similarities this market cycle, I would also expect some differences.
So let's start with the yellow diagonal line with the up trend. This line was originally drawn through the BTC price action. Look at how it actually works perfectly with the TOTAL3, PERFECT!! So, according this chart the alt cycle big moves won't come until 2024 around the September time frame.
If we pay attention we will notice a separation From the the BTC market cap to the TOATL3 market cap that opens up during the bear market. We can also see it also mimics the bitcoin market cap until it finally closes the gap in the final stage. Solid yellow line is the BTC market cap & the candles are the TOTAL3.
The bars between moves
88 BARS is from top to top
57 BARS is from top to the start of the final wave (double bottom)
36 Bars is from when it breaks the up trend to
Not market on chart.
62 bars from the breakdown of the trend line to breakthrough back above it would but it in early February of 2025, pretty much right on schedule.
This chart is on the 2 time frame so each bar equals 2 weeks..
The indicators below are TDI and RCI 3LINES.
Here is where some of the differences might come in to play.
we'll look at the TDI first. I want you to keep in mind that I have zoomed in this indicator to show the moves more clearly. In 2019 the RED line (fast moving line) made a fairly big move up and broke through the top of the channel. It then dropped below the middle line (Yellow) and went sideways until it's next move again piercing the top of the channel although not as high into the inevitable
COVID Crash. Comparing to this bear market the TOTAL3 has made a move off the assumed bottom but it wasn't as strong as the move in 2019 as shown by RED line. Also this time the RED line seems to have found support on top of the Yellow line showing more strength in the correction phase. If it does n=hold I would expect the next move to be higher than the initial one which would be different from the last bear market. I also think this will continue all the way up.
RCI 3LINES RED FAST / BLUE 2ND FASTEST / GREEN SLOW
The all important Blue line has crossed up on the green line. Once the red line turns back up, the move will follow.
All in all it is good time to start to accumulating your altcoins of choice. Keep in mind although they do move together for the most part, they all have they own cycles as well.
Thank for looking. Let me know what you think down below.
WeAreSat0shi