$TOTAL totally streched to upside; up or down?TOTAL is totally streched to upside; it is not only derivating but is also on a dangerous wedge, signaling a very possible drop (purple arrow down), at least to touch:
1- an important Fibonacci Circle (marked on red)
2- the support of TOTAL all-times-high (horizontal blue dotted line)
3- old May 2021 support of TOTAL all-times-high (horizontal pink dotted line)
4- ceiling of ghost channel from the last few months of downtrend (yellow channel)
5- volume weighted support line (black line)
6- possible touch on 200 EMA (green strong line)
You can see also that first pannel is about to show a crossing of RSI lines
Second pannel shows a red dot sell signal on Detonator B
Third pannel shows also a crossing down on Detonator C
MACD is losing strengh
We don´t know yet if the market still has bullets to go to the upside, showed by the thin purple arrow, but it is a possibility, as target coincides with very important (years back) trend line of resistence
Altseason
very lil TA skills Altcoin 3 optimistic guess from here As of now I still have very little TA skills, and on this optimistic version of my guess/prediction from here, I just used the same few revelations I came across when I did my first ever btc chart (finding a parallel channel that fits previous price action, and then just duplicating the the parallel channel and stacking it, to get a basic blueprint of an overlay of potential resistance and support lines), combined with TA techniques from free Crypto Crew University youtube videos and an aggregate of other youtubers here and there, and I'm probably using some wrong but yea, this is my 'bullish' and optimistic guess/prediction as a first full cycle 'retail' hodler.
If i'm not going on what I want to happen, my bearish feeling and guess/prediction would be, a 25%-35% sell off before or after thanksgiving, and either going back up shortly after and keep running through 2025 or worst and what it feels like, toping out around the 10th-14th of December.
Feel free to tell me what will likely happen if you are an experienced TA chartist.
Bitcoin $157kBitcoin is currently turning $92.7k into it's new support. Altcoins are gearing up to rip including Ethereum and especially Sui. Bitcoin is going to spark altcoin season with a run to $157k. If we get there it's very likely to be overheated and experience a move back down to where we are now at $92.7k. We'll know more looking at the futures market once we get there. Good luck and happy holidays!
Litecoin's historical pattern & Fib logA few weeks back I made a chart on Litecoin named "Litecoin and it's historical patterns" linked in this chart down bellow. This is literally the same exact chart but I've added the "LTC Log Curves based on Fibonacci math sequence. Look at how good it's fit on the original analysis!
On the bottom I have the "Litecoin Wizard" I'm not entirely sure what this is based on but I do believe it's on chain information. I have added to this indicator a support level (buy area) and a Litecoin hyper level that is above the yellow line and heavy profit taking area. As we can see it's not there very long, so when it is take advantage of it.
Back the log curves, assuming LTC stays within a this growth channel and doesn't break below the green area, we can reasonably say that eventually LTC will hit the top of this curve (red area) again one day in the future. That area if hit sits at a possible 2500 LTC in 2025 to 2026. You have to keep in mind that it might never hit the top of the channel ever again, there is no guarantee of it.
By combining both of these indicators one could find a very good sell area and take profits in the future and then re apply it to rebuy again after that.
This is not a prediction or a buy recommendation by no means. It's a simple observation using specifically designed indicators.
Thanks for looking & leave a comment on what you see down below
WeAreSat0shi
Stay Blessed!
ARB Swing Long Idea - Arbitrum Analysis ARB is the leading Ethereum Layer 2 chain. We haven’t seen an ETH rally yet, so ETH-based coins (ETH betas) are currently underperforming. However, I would recommend considering a small position to potentially catch an ETH pump, as these ETH-based coins have significant technical potential.
Technical Analysis: The price took out the 2023 low and created new lows in 2024. It now appears to be building weekly bullish momentum by forming a weekly demand zone.
The daily structure also looks bullish. We recently broke and closed above the bearish trendline. I expect the price to retrace into the weekly demand zone, potentially retest the trendline, and then take off toward the first and second targets.
SL: 0.41
TP1: 0.83
TP2: 1.27
ALT Season? Not Even CloseWhen we exclude Bitcoin from the total crypto market cap, it becomes clear that we’re far from the conditions needed for an ALT season. Here’s a breakdown:
First Resistance: $1.28T (Excluding BTC)
The last high was in March 2024, with the market cap reaching $1.28T.
At that time, BTC dominance was around 52%.
Second Resistance: $1.71T (Excluding BTC)
This was the peak during the ALT season in November 2021, with the market cap hitting $1.71T. Back then, BTC dominance had dropped to just 42%.
Current Situation
BTC dominance is now sitting at 60%, which is far too high for a typical ALT season to start.
Historically, ALT seasons tend to begin when BTC dominance falls below 50% or even lower.
Conclusion
The altcoin market has a long way to go before reaching the conditions for a true ALT season. We need BTC dominance to decline significantly and the altcoin market cap to break through key resistance levels at $1.28T and $1.71T.
What’s your outlook? Are altcoins still in Bitcoin’s shadow, or is a shift coming? Let’s discuss!
$ROSE Has a clear road this year ! As you know, the digital currency LSE:ROSE (Oasis Protocol) is one of the most popular Layer-1 blockchains in the world, known for its high scalability, strong integrity, and fee-less transactions. It has consistently attracted the attention of the cryptocurrency community.
Furthermore, it is no secret that the future belongs to artificial intelligence and AI-based technologies, and "Oasis Protocol" is truly one of the pioneers in the AI space, always having something to say!
For this reason, I decided to analyze its chart from a smart money perspective and present it to you.
Soon, I will provide an update and analysis based on price action.
Thank you very much for your attention 🌹
XCN + 333%? X4 IS WAITING FOR IT IF THIS CONFIRMS.Last time Onyxcoin (XCN) had a Bullish divergence on RSI and make a Golden cross. it made a +383% in 5 waves making the 1st wave on the bigger cycle. (152 ds).
Wave 2 a correction ( 152 ds), corrects as Elliot says to the 4th of a minor degree.
And now that the Wave 3 seems to start, we break the descending channel and made a Golden Cross. We have the bull impulse until Feb/Mar 2025.
To confirm this we need the break out on the RSI.
And remember that Wave 3 usually is the strogest of all, we will find out on OCTOBER ;)
Cheers!
Tic... Tock... #Altcoins #Alts market cap #TOTAL2 -weekly falling trend breakout has been completed and will start the major uptrend wave after the retest.
We also witness a transition from the RE-ACCUMULATION phase of the wyckoff cycle to the MARK-UP phase.
#Altseason process will happen there sooner or later!
INJ SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON 2024-2025INJ experienced significant gains during the 2023-2024 altseason, making it a smart move to watch this coin for the 2024-2025 altseason.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the weekly swing liquidity during the August 4th dump. It wicked but couldn’t close below, signaling bullish strength. Following this, the price broke both the daily and weekly bearish structure, turning bullish on two higher timeframes.
Recently, the bearish trendline responsible for the downtrend since spring 2024 was broken with strong momentum and a confirmed close above. This indicates to me that the price aims to move higher.
I expect the price to potentially retrace into the weekly demand zone, hitting the optimal trade entry (OTE) level and possibly retesting the broken trendline.
I will be looking for lower timeframe (LTF) confirmations within the weekly demand zone if the price reaches that level.
SL: $13
TP1: $28
TP2: $41
TP3: $53
The Others Part 3- 6M Timeframe Simple Update:
- Divergences are the ultimate tool for timing entries.
- Think long-term—play the big picture.
- Keep DCA’ing into altcoins for stronger positioning.
- Exercice more patience and be ready for the rush.
- Buy before the moon move, sell at the moon.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Quant finally waking up and joining the rest of the alt pumpLooks like Quant has broken above an inverse head & shoulders pattern with two valid necklines. The higher longer one having a higher breakout target of course. Based on the pattern unfolding on total2 chart right now as well as it’s impending golden cross, I’d say QUant reaching both inverse head & shoulders targets is highly probable *not financial advice*