FTX WILL REFUND IT CUSTOMERS.FTX will be refunding around 16 BILLION USD (in stables) back to its customers from tomorrow on which is overall a very good thing, why? because it is capital that could ENTER the market as customers receive it back in stables so their is no way that that money/liquidity can leave the market.
As this will happen it could cause a pump in FTX's token FTT.
FTT is ranging here at resistance trying to breakout and once a breakout comes it could pump a solid 60-150% (i would trade this in spot, not with leverage)
Be aware of your own risk management but it looks like a solid set up as this refund is a bullish thing.
Altseason
DOGE might finished drop—short-term targets: $2.22 - $4.44BINANCE:DOGEUSDT ’s price action over the past two years has formed a large rounded bottom and a complex inverse head and shoulders.
Looking at the two major recent drops as the right shoulders and comparing them to two similar drops in 2021 as the left shoulders, the decline percentages are almost identical:
🔵 Recent right shoulder drop: -53.52%
🔵 Left shoulder drop in 2021: -54.25%
🟣 Previous right shoulder drop: -45.87%
🟣 Previous left shoulder drop in 2021: -42.94%
This suggests that the decline is likely complete.
So, assuming this bull market continues, where could CRYPTOCAP:DOGE go next?
Using this pattern, I estimated two potential target prices:
🔴 Conservative target: $2.22 (~7x from current price)
🔵 More aggressive target: $4.44 (~15x from current price)
Historically, DOGE’s pumps have been fast and explosive, often reaching targets within weeks.
Some people think the crypto market has already turned bearish. If you’re bearish, a safer short entry might be after DOGE breaks below 2/3 of its recent support.
There are no guarantees in trading, so always set a stop loss for risk management.
Stay safe! 🚀
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
🔥 for more future script "guesses" like this!
BURGER showing strong recovery—watch for breakout confirmation!Recent Performance and Technical Indicators:
Price Movement: Over the past week, BURGER has experienced a notable rise of about 22.0%.
COINGECKO
All-Time High: The token reached its peak price of $28.01 on May 3, 2021, indicating a significant decline since then.
COINGECKO
All-Time Low: The lowest recorded price was $0.2020 on February 3, 2025, suggesting a substantial recovery since that point.
COINGECKO
Technical Analysis:
Recent analyses highlight bullish momentum for BURGER/USDT:
Resistance Levels:
$0.4675: A recent high; surpassing this could indicate continued upward momentum.
$0.5000: A psychological barrier; breaking above may pave the way for further gains.
Support Levels:
$0.3217: A key support; maintaining above this is crucial for sustaining the bullish trend.
$0.3000: Another psychological support; falling below could signal a potential trend reversal.
These levels are derived from recent trading data and analyses.
BINANCE
Potential Targets:
If bullish momentum continues, potential upside targets include:
$0.5000: Breaking above immediate resistance could lead to this level.
$0.5500: Further momentum might drive the price toward this target.
$0.6000: Sustained bullish trends could aim for this significant resistance.
Stop-Loss Considerations:
To manage potential downside risks, consider setting stop-loss orders just below key support levels, such as $0.3217 or $0.3000, to mitigate potential losses in case of a trend reversal.
Recent News and Developments:
Bullish Momentum: BURGER/USDT has shown significant gains recently, with an 18.96% increase observed over a 24-hour period.
BINANCE
Exchange Listings: BingX has listed BurgerCities with the BURGER/USDT trading pair, potentially increasing its accessibility and liquidity.
COINMARKETCAL
Conclusion:
BurgerCities (BURGER) is currently exhibiting bullish momentum, with key resistance and support levels identified to guide trading decisions. Staying informed about market trends and setting appropriate stop-loss orders can help manage potential risks.
Long Term Targets : $5,$7 and $10
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
KEY DEMAND ZONE FOR ETHBTCKey demand zone here for ETHBTC holding support here is SUPER CRUCIAL for atlcoins and ethereum itself.
If we don't expect many alts to make new lows before MAYBE reversing.
A bearish ETHBTC = BTC.D bullish = alts bleeding
A bullish ETHTC = BTC.D bearish = alts pump
only time will tell. Im sitting on the sidelines and max betting on some projects out there as they are massively undervalued imo.
Goodluck.
ALT SEASON IS COMINGWouldn't this be the perfect outcome? something many aren't seeing anymore at this point.
One thing i've been noticing is that social behavior is massively changing and people are litteraly stcuk in the trenches and hating on each other for being bullish or bearish which is basically the type of behavior like what we had in 2020 during COVID.
I overall remain bullish and don't see any reason why i shouldn't be. All the fundamentals are in our favor and AUM's are filing for ETF for alts left and right which means a requests to inject BILLIONS in capital into them.
Time will tell of course but i overall remain bullish untill proven different.
CRYPTO IS UNDER. VALUED.
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Channel Rejection and Its Impact Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel, indicating a consistent decline over time. Recently, dominance attempted to break below the channel but failed, resulting in a re-entry back into the channel. This failed breakdown suggests that the bearish momentum is weakening, at least temporarily.
A declining Bitcoin dominance typically signals a potential bullish phase for altcoins, as market capital moves away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. However, in this scenario, the downward movement is relatively slow, confined within the channel, which explains the lack of a strong recovery in the altcoin market.
For a more significant altcoin rally, we need to see a clear breakdown of this channel, accompanied by a sharper decline in dominance. A rapid drop would likely trigger stronger buying activity in altcoins, providing better opportunities for traders.
It's crucial to monitor Bitcoin dominance closely, as its next move will provide key insights into potential market shifts. Stay alert and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
If you find these market insights helpful and want to stay updated with more trade setups and detailed analysis and join my community,feel free to ping me.
ETH about to Moon? Possible?BINANCE:ETHBTC ’s current structure looks eerily similar to pre-pump 2017:
✅ Forming a descending wedge, nearing the end.
✅ Bounced after breaking below Fib 0.236, forming two lows (second lower than first).
Historically, when CRYPTOCAP:ETH outperforms CRYPTOCAP:BTC , altseason follows.
But does this mean BINANCE:ETHUSDT is about to skyrocket? I don’t know.
All I can say is—the possibility is there.
🔥 But here’s the catch…
Every chart pattern you see is what market manipulators want you to see.
Sometimes, they reinforce a pattern with multiple pumps…
Then, just when everyone trusts it, they wreck it with one final serious drop.
That’s the classic "bait, trap, slaughter" strategy.
So, should you blindly trust chart patterns? No.
Should you completely ignore them? Also no.
Because let’s be real—most people never believe in a bull run until it’s already happening.
Same goes for crashes.
🔥 The real question is:
Do you stay out just because nothing is 100% certain?
🔥 If you think crypto is doomed, short it.
At the end of the day, your portfolio reflects your beliefs.
🔥 If you think this post sucks, you’re right.
I won’t argue—it’s pointless.
For me, the market is always right.
I’m the only one who can be wrong.
That’s why I always set stop losses.
So even if altseason never comes , I’ll still have most of my capital ready for the next opportunity.
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
🔥 for more future script "guesses" like this!
OM/USDT Surges After Breakout: Next Stop $5?OM/USDT is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out from the descending trendline, indicated by the red line. The price has recently made a sharp upward move and is currently trading above the support trendline, which suggests that the uptrend could continue.
The price consolidated within the grey zone for a while, and after breaking above this, it surged higher, pointing to strong buying interest. The recent breakout indicates that we could see further upward movement toward the next resistance levels.
The next potential target for OM/USDT is around the $5.00 level, with support from the trendline and previous breakout zones providing a solid base for the rally.
Are you ready for ALT Season 2025? #ALTSZN20253 days before the potential start.
Previous alt seasons have started:
ALTSZN 1: February 14, 2017
ALTSZN 2: January 1, 2021
ALTSZN 3: February 14, 2025?
- 1 candle = 44D
- New 44D candle due to 3D
- Alt-season = 1 year after halving
Now, the altcoin season can begin.
We saw a retest of the BTC Dominance chart breakout.
After that, an unforgettable run began in 2020.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Write your portfolio in the comments.
Altseason About to Begin?In both previous bull markets (2017 & 2021), the peak-to-bear market bottom took just over 1,000 days, with a similar drop of 73% & 74%.
We might currently be at the very bottom— right before an explosive altcoin season .
And it could come fast.
In both previous cases, once the bottom was hit, the insane altcoin rally kicked off within one or two weeks .
We can also use this pattern to estimate the time frame.
💥 The 2017 run lasted 336 days.
💥 The 2021 run lasted 378 days.
Taking the average (357 days), the next peak could be around January 2026.
That said, this is just one possible scenario.
From all the different time-based projections I’ve analyzed, most technical analyses suggest that altcoin season could peak around March or October 2025 .
A 2026 peak is a less common projection.
But knowing more possibilities means being better prepared.
I think this cycle will be short and explosive, with everything pumping and finishing fast.
If you like this kind of analysis, make sure to [🔥 follow me ]—I’ll be sharing more "guesses" like this!
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🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
ZK Updaterode this one back to the entry (even after the trendline from 5th Aug was broken)
in-detailed explanation in the USDT.D chart (give it a read if you want to find out how to spot strong reversal areas)
I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)
TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
APT Update - Who else was a great painter?After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid)
After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid
I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)
TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
ETH UpdateAfter the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid
I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)
TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
TOTAL2: When I’ll Deploy My Stables Back Into the MarketTiming the market perfectly is impossible, but using TOTAL2 and RSI, we can identify high-probability opportunities. Here’s my approach for the coming years.
I bought during the last dip, but my exposure is still less than what I sold before the crash. Here’s why.
Key Signals for Tops & Bottoms
RSI Patterns:
- Market Tops: Weekly RSI above 85 signals overheated conditions but does not always lead to an immediate reversal.
- Market Bottoms: Weekly RSI near 30 has historically marked strong accumulation zones.
- In the last seven years, RSI hit 30 only twice—2018 and 2022. I expect this level again within the next 24 months.
My plan:
I will deploy capital heavily when RSI approaches 30 again, securing long-term positions.
TOTAL 2 Scenarios: What Comes Next?
Scenario 1: Price Discovery
- If TOTAL 2 flips 2021 highs, ETH and altcoins will likely reach new all-time highs.
- Weekly RSI could exceed 85, potentially reaching 95, indicating extreme overbought conditions.
- I will take profits aggressively at this stage while also using a DCA strategy, as precise timing is never certain.
Scenario 2: Lower Highs Persist
- If RSI fails to reach overbought levels, this cycle may be weaker than expected.
- The 50 RSI zone is critical—if it aligns with oversold conditions on daily or 3-day RSI, it may present a selective buying opportunity.
- I have already taken partial profits since November 2024 to manage risk in case of this scenario.
Scenario 3: RSI Drop to 30
- This scenario appears likely within the next 24 months and would mark a bear market low.
- If BTC, ETH, and TOTAL 2 all hit 30 RSI, I will fully deploy stables with high conviction, considering it a generational buying opportunity.
Final Thoughts
Summary: I will increase exposure once RSI confirms strong long-term buy zones, but I am managing risk in the meantime.
What’s your take? Do you expect RSI to revisit 30?