BTC.D; LONG TERM ANALYSIS (read the description)First of all sorry that my chart is not looking too messy and there are no weird indicators nor anything.
We have only two possible scenarios for bitcoin’s dominance.
1) The bearish pattern you can clearly see is broken after 2 years so two things might happen here: 1-1: BTC.D can have 60% touched in the coming days as a pullback to the broken resistance but what happens afterwards will be important.
1-1: if the pullback is confirmed ethereum will finally shine along with many altcoins.
the target for the dominance will be 45-48%.
What can happen afterwards: the price will keep moving in the pattern until a real breakout happens which will likely result in new lows for the dominance.
2) If the pullback is ruined and we see the support lost it will mean the pattern had a fake breakout & that would mean this current pattern is not a reversal one:
2-1: we can see new highs for the dominance if this is confirmed,
The target will be 70-72%. If bitcoin price falls too the market will bleed.🩸
But what can happen afterwards, two scenarios again:
1) Since the price will touch the top of the long-term trading range we can see the dominance moving towards the bottom again.
2) A double bottom will be confirmed, depending on the situation then, if dominance fails to break the shoulder at around 57% we can see even new highs but the chance of this happening is below 10% lol unless ethereum is destroyed lol.
So that’s all. I recommend yall to wait if you want to buy anything. And note that btc.d can go up and the price can still fall so beware and dyor.
Thanks for reading this.
Altseason
Keep eyes on CRV! So after breaking a bullflag pattern and hitting 2 take profits I am looking for another Long-term entry before BINANCE:CRVUSDT goes to the moon. What I like to see is hitting 0.70 area and hold above it. 0.70 is minor support which is active in 1D timeframe. I would love to see hit 0.50 area too. Either way I will enter long position.
Virtuals Protocol in Freefall Mode, Bounce Next?Virtuals Protocol www.tradingview.com has been in freefall since it cracked $5 a week ago. The good news? Currently Virtual is at $2.70, slowing down for a pit stop at a key support - the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. A strong bounce here (we would want to climb back up past $3) could mean the bulls have taken back control and we might be in for an exciting reversal! If that doesn't happen and the baby bears come correct $2.15 is the next key support level to keep an eye on. Do you think we'll get a second wave? Let us know if you are buying the dip!
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BITCOIN MARKET CYCLEThe common misconception among market participants is that, they say we’re just at the beginning of the bull run, but what many don’t realize is that we’re actually nearing its end. The bull run began in November 2022, and we are approaching what is known as the "blow-off top." During this phase, there will likely be a mini altcoin season in Wave 5. In this Wave 5, many self-proclaimed gurus and influencers will hype the market, claiming, "We’re just getting started!" This will entice market participants to keep chasing gains, only to end up trapped when the bear market sets in because they failed to take profits.
Always remember to be smart, study the market cycle carefully, and make informed decisions. Taking profit at the right time is key to avoiding losses.
10x on Harmony!Harmony is keep making higher high's in 1W timeframe, so that means in longer run chart is still bullish and we have to look for entries. What BINANCE:ONEUSDT doing is hanging above minor support which is a good sign, but what I would like to see is breaking this support and close a candle below it. That is the perfect position to enter Long-position.
Pay attention here, gentlemen.The more you suppress something, the more energy accumulates.
Look at the long accumulation period.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
ARWEAVE ($AR) Chart Analysis : A massive Weekly Bull FlagA massive Weekly Bull Flag, characterized by a strong initial rally followed by a consolidation phase within parallel downward-sloping trendlines.
Bull Flag Breakdown
1. Flagpole:
The sharp rally preceding the consolidation forms the "flagpole." This demonstrates strong bullish momentum.
2. Consolidation (Flag):
The price appears to be consolidating within the parallel downward-sloping channel. This often signals a pause in the market rather than a reversal.
Consolidation within a previous support zone (as highlighted in the green area) strengthens the bullish case.
3. Volume:
Ideally, in a bull flag, volume decreases during the consolidation and increases upon breakout. It’s worth monitoring this behavior.
4. Indicators:
The MACD looks to be flattening, suggesting that bearish momentum may be waning. A bullish crossover could confirm upward momentum.
The Stochastic RSI shows oversold conditions, which might indicate a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by price action.
Targets Based on the Flag Structure
1. Breakout Target:
If this bull flag confirms with a breakout, the target is usually measured by adding the length of the flagpole to the breakout point.
The potential target could aim for the $40-$50 range, depending on where the breakout occurs.
2. Invalidation Level:
A breakdown below the support zone (~$13-$15) would invalidate the bull flag structure and could signal further downside.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Resistance:
The upper trendline of the channel is the key resistance. A breakout above it with strong volume would confirm the bull flag.
2. Support:
The lower trendline and the support zone (~$13-$15) need to hold for the bull flag structure to remain intact.
Potential Triggers
1. Macro Events:
Bull flags often play out during periods of improving market sentiment or bullish catalysts, watch for President Trumps inauguration on Jan 20, 2025.
2. Bitcoin’s Movement:
Arweave (AR) and altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin's price action. A Bitcoin rally could push AR out of consolidation.
CGPT - Just Got Listed On Binance MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on CGPT here.
CGPT is looking beautiful , very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to SUI which mooned from similar chart structure
Do not miss out on CGPT as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
ChainGPT (CGPT) is an AI-powered platform launched in April 2023 that offers a suite of blockchain solutions, including chatbots, NFT generators, and smart contract tools.
Its native cryptocurrency, CGPT, is used to access various AI tools and products within the ecosystem. As of January 11, 2025, CGPT is trading at approximately $0.2129, with a market capitalization around $169 million and a circulating supply of about 795 million tokens.
Recently, CGPT has gained attention due to its listing on major exchanges like Binance, reflecting its growing prominence in the AI and blockchain sectors.
BTCUSDT h4 : UPDATE ROADMAPHi Good day,
after the decline that I explained to you in the previous analysis, now another perspective has been added that you can expect.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 10/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles.
As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles:
a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern
b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support
c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle
d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up)
e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross
It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't.
Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason.
In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto).
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BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000.
With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
BTC.D Breakdown the Next Altcoin Bull Run Closer Than You Think?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is a crucial metric that reflects Bitcoin's market share relative to the overall cryptocurrency market. A rising dominance often signifies Bitcoin outperforming altcoins, while a declining dominance suggests increased strength in altcoins or a broader altcoin rally. The current chart provides critical insights into the state of Bitcoin dominance, the potential implications for market dynamics, and the timeline for future movements.
Key Observations and Technical Insights
1. Breaking the Rising Wedge Pattern
The weekly chart shows a classic rising wedge pattern that Bitcoin dominance has adhered to for an extended period. A breakdown from this pattern is a bearish signal, indicating a potential shift in dominance from Bitcoin to altcoins.
The wedge breakdown was accompanied by significant bearish momentum, validated by a retest of the breakdown level.
This technical development is a strong indication that BTC.D has entered a new phase of its trend.
2. Current Consolidation Zone
Following the breakdown, BTC dominance has entered a consolidation phase within the highlighted rectangular box (approximately between 53.2% and 58%).
The consolidation suggests market indecision as Bitcoin retains relative strength but altcoin activity starts to increase.
Volume levels during this phase are moderate, reflecting a lack of aggressive participation, which is typical before a major directional move.
3.Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: The upper boundary of the box (58%) aligns with prior rejection levels. A move above this could indicate a temporary resurgence of Bitcoin dominance, potentially due to increased Bitcoin-led market rallies.
Support: The lower boundary of the box (53.2%) is a critical support zone. A sustained break below this level could confirm the next bearish leg.
4. Indicators Supporting the Bearish Bias
Ichimoku Cloud: The dominance has started interacting with the cloud's lower boundary, which acts as dynamic resistance. A clean break below the cloud would further confirm bearish momentum.
MACD Divergence: The MACD histogram is tilting bearish, signaling weakening upward momentum. A bearish crossover on the MACD line would solidify downside expectations.
RSI: The RSI is trending near the midline, showing no extreme conditions. This gives room for further downside before entering oversold territory.
Market Implications and Projections
1. Impact of a Breakdown Below the Box
If BTC dominance decisively breaks below the 53.2% level, it will likely lead to a significant shift in market dynamics.
A drop toward the marked lower levels (approximately 48%, 42.8%, and 39.9%) would indicate the onset of an altcoin season, characterized by robust performance in altcoins.
Historically, such breakdowns in BTC.D have coincided with increased speculation and capital rotation into altcoins, signaling the start of a bull run across the cryptocurrency market.
2. Bull Run Timeline
The estimated timeline for this critical move is Q1 2025, which aligns with broader market cycles and macroeconomic expectations. Institutional interest in crypto, combined with improved market sentiment, could amplify this trend.
3. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC.D: A reversal above 58% would require significant Bitcoin-led rallies, possibly fueled by macroeconomic uncertainty or a Bitcoin ETF approval. This scenario delays the altcoin season but strengthens Bitcoin as the primary investment vehicle.
Bearish Case for BTC.D: A sustained decline below 53.2% would confirm altcoin strength and could trigger rapid capital rotation into alternative assets, particularly in high-liquidity altcoins and DeFi protocols.
This chart provides a professional-grade analysis of Bitcoin dominance and its potential impact on market dynamics. The breakdown from the rising wedge, the ongoing consolidation, and the bearish indicators suggest that BTC.D is on the brink of a major directional move. Traders and investors should closely monitor the consolidation box boundaries and prepare for a shift in market structure as BTC dominance declines.
The Q1 2025 timeline for the next leg down aligns with historical patterns and macroeconomic projections. A break below 53.2% will likely usher in a new phase of the crypto market, driven by altcoin strength and increased retail participation. Stay vigilant, as this period could mark the beginning of the next crypto bull run.
Alt Coins - one more correction likelyThis is the chart of TOTAL3 market cap - all coins excluding BTC and ETH (essentially market cap of all alt coins).
As we can see, price action is within a larger bull flag (yellow parallel channel) but within it, there is a bear flag (red parallel channel).
Market cap is currently at 950 bn. We are likely to see one more correction where market cap is likely to touch 800 bn market cap. This is because if market cap breaks down from the bear flag, on the basis of measured move, market cap is likely to touch 800 bn. This is also a fib retracement level of 50% and a strong support zone on Weekly timeframe.
Once market cap hits 800 bn zone, there is likely to be a bounce which could pierce the yellow parallel channel as it will be the 3rd hit on the upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, market cap could negate bear flag to hit upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
#BLAST. 152% pure movement? Easy. Review from 09.01.2025BYBIT:BLASTUSDT
#BLAST 4H
Hi lovelies! 🌸
Let’s dive into BLAST – an innovative Layer 2 blockchain project built on Optimistic Rollups, fully compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM).
What is BLAST?
The goal of BLAST is to provide real yield to users holding ETH and stablecoins in the Ethereum network – a feature not currently offered by any other Layer 2 solutions.
Why invest in BLAST?
Leadership:
The project is led by Pacman, the founder of BlurUSDT.
Team expertise:
The team includes professionals from:
FAANG companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google)
Prestigious universities:
MIT
Yale
Nanyang Technological University
Seoul National University
These individuals have extensive experience in building key protocols in the DeFi and Web3 spaces, especially on Ethereum and Solana.
Funding:
On November 21, 2023, BLAST successfully raised $20 million from major investment funds, including Paradigm and Standard Crypto.
Analysis
The price is currently in a local sideways movement.
Yellow lines mark the following levels (bottom to top):
December 10 low.
August 5 low.
I expect one of the upcoming corrections to result in a break of the lows, providing a great entry point.
RSI is in the oversold zone, indicating that the asset is nearing undervalued territory and has strong potential for growth ahead of the altcoin season.
My Strategy
We’ll enter from current levels and set limit orders in case the lows are updated.
Entry Points (EP):
$0.007587
$0.006644
Take Profits (TP):
1 - $0.012208
2 - $0.015835
3 - $0.019161
No Stop Loss:
In case of a drawdown, I’ll buy more on spot and average down my futures position.
Let’s stay patient and follow the plan, my loves! 💖
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖
Hugs,
Your crypto girl
FIL/USDT Local trend. Wedge. Price squeeze. 30 06 2024Logarithm. Time frame 1 day.
🟣 Local trend . Part of the secondary trend, horizontal channel zone with a step of 372% external channel /180% internal channel, in which a descending wedge is formed. Now there is a local price squeeze, at the support zone of the inner channel.
Also superimposed is a slightly modified Gann fan, to understand the dynamic support/resistance zones during trend development and the time of reaching the price range. Percentages to key support/resistance levels are shown in cases of exit/non-exit from this zone are shown.
Line chart (without market noise).
🔵 Main trend . Formation of a large pump bowl, price in the second phase, that is in a horizontal channel (accumulation zone).
FIL/USD Major trend. From a high of $237 -99% Published on 01/22/2023 (1.5 years ago).
All current. A set range has formed.
Follow the link and click play on the chart.
Any buying expensive / cheap in this range is acceptable from the position of not only the main, but also the secondary trend of price movement development. But, still set adequate targets from the position of the trend and time of development of the cycle. US.
Main trend (without market noise) of this American cryptocurrency for 06 2024
BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year!
I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me!
I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so.
Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less.
I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
#SOL. TALKING IN SIMPLE WORDS! FROM 08.01.2025BYBIT:SOLUSDT
#SOL 1D
Hi lovelies! 🌸
Many traders get too caught up in*short-term price fluctuations, ignoring the more important long-term trends that often bring greater profits.
Currently, the market is in an uptrend (prices are rising) since August.
As for #SOL, after reaching its ATH at $260, the price experienced a correction (a drop), but it has since stabilized in the support zone at $205 - $178. Support levels like these are where buyers usually step in, halting the decline and showing strong interest in the asset. 💎
For me, these price movements are neither unusual nor concerning. I plan to accumulate Solana on spot in the range of $180 - $156, as I’ve set ambitious targets of $300 - $400.
For spot, futures, or swing positions, here’s how I would consider entering:
- EP (Entry Points): $192, $185, $178
- TP (Take Profits): $300, $350, $402
- SL (Stop Loss): $154.31 (for spot positions, I don’t use stop losses).
But remember, what you do is entirely up to you! Trade wisely, stay disciplined, and always do your own research. 💖
Hugs,
Your crypto girl
BTCUSDT H4 : New Roadmap for BITCOIN Hello, Have good day.
After the big news from the US Federal Reserve last night, we saw a relatively sharp decline. I expect this kind of movement in the future.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 8/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.