BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time
I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts)
PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!
Altseason
USDT.D (how to find local reversals? no alt season this cycle?) sorry I forgot to post it here a week ago after the crash
I had that shit marked (small green box for a powerful reversal), which hit in the first week of December, but I forgot to check it out—lol, was too busy with other things = can anyone at least remind me or everyone's a lazy ass like me, these days?
Anyway, it was a perfect local top indication (USDT.D along with other macro charts are the best possible indicators for local top/bottom. One must capture these beautiful reversals where you have at least 80% of confidence, to accumulate more and more of your favorite tokens)
Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was to busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
Good thing we still haven't reclaimed the macro trendline.
and look what happens after such long wicks into resistances ... (5th August one, 22nd Jan, and last year's)
and CT getting bearish? I get it that normie retails are fearful but good big CTs ???
This cycle really is different...
LOWER it now !!! (obviously there are many other confluences I've found but I'm too lazy to mention all that here)
PS. Yes, there will be an alt season and it will catch many off guard since most have lost hope and capitulated already.
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too, so we don't miss any market movements!!! I don't Trade full time, it's just 1/4 of my gigs
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season"
OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens
BTC is charting BTC by market cap
It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high.
The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year.
Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology.
Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon.
- CURB (@CryptoCurb)
CELO LONGCelo has bounced every time it touched the lower range around $0.40, usually reaching at least $0.25.However, given the current market conditions, I expect either more downside or a sideways movement in the next few days.
The Stoch RSI is gearing up for a bullish cross on the weekly, but historically, the first cross is often followed by a negative one, before a second bullish cross that truly pushes the price higher. So while we might see some short-term upside, we should also be prepared for lower prices before a more significant rally kicks in.
This Breakout Will Trigger Massive Altseason!Hello, Skyrexians!
According to your activity we noticed that you are interested in Bitcoin and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D analysis. This is not a top secret because everyone wants to know when altseason will be started. In our recent we warned you about drop for altcoins dominance below the support level and it happened next day. Now we have the potentially reversal signal, be need to wait for it's confirmation.
On the weekly chart we can count the previous massive altseason as the wave 3. Previously we considered corrective wave 4 as the triangle shaped, but now it looks like classical ABC. If this is correct, dump on dominance can continue, but the potential reversal signal has been flashed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . This signal still has not been confirmed, but if candles will break 9% the huge rally in wave 5 is incoming - true altseason.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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ARKM | ALTCOINS | Is another 400% Increase Possible??ARKM is an altcoin that has great upside potential, and it's approaching a key support zone - the opening levels.
The good news, is that the corrective pattern (in the macro timeframe) is nearly over. However, there are large bounces possible between these zones that look "small" in the weekly timeframe:
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BINANCE:ARKMUSDT
BTCUSDT Analysis BTC broke the downtrend line, and bullish momentum is on. The price bounced after the breakout point (green region) retest of $95,611, reaffirming firm support.
Hoping for a potential 6.76% return at $102,431!
The bulls will remain dominant if BTC stays above $95,611. A dip below this level will disrupt the setup.
Bitcoin Dominance and DXY pattern correlation!Is the bitcoin dominance correlated to the DXY?
So far... I think so. Chart pattern wise anyway.
So, according to the DXY, if the Dominance follows this pattern we should be in the biggest altseason to date. But it could be the last one for a while as there could be a 90% to 95% flush out of alts coming.
This would crush all altcoin belief and get rid of all the shit coins. Lets be honest at this point it's needed to flush out all this garbage, it's too much.
Then knew cycle would start over and follow with a massive altseason bigger than anything ever. Don't get excited just yet, it not happen until 2033 or later.
Also according to this chart, dominace can go a bit higher to 72% before it starts to fall. lets see
That's all I have here, I just wanted to put it out here. If you want more analysis on this I have put out a comprehensive video on my tictik and youtube page.
Remember, this is not financial advice.
Kind regards,
Demetrios
TOTAL 3Everything is clear; just look at the past chart. There are two scenarios. In any case, we should see a sharp move in altcoins soon.
My personal opinion is that the blue box scenario will play out within the next 2 to 6 months. If Ethereum rises above $3,000, altcoins will begin their growth.
Bitcoin Dominance | Leading Alt Season? Or Continuation Decline?| CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 🔎 Weekly Analysis
As you may know. alt seasons depend on a decline in BTC.D.
BTC.D is calculated as the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of the digital asset space. When BTC.D falls, it indicates that capital is flowing out of Bitcoin into altcoins or stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, RLUSD and others.
••• BTC Dominance (BTC.D) during past alt season.
⏪ Now that we understand what BTC.D is, let's examine its behavior during previous alt season. As marked in the chart, BTC.D has experienced an uptrend. After a breakout, it pushed to new high within the upward channel, and as expected, a reversal occurred! (Price Action Rules)
••• Current state of BTC.D.
▶️ After a significant spike, it is currently following an upward channel.
A spike followed by a channel pattern is a common price action occurrence.
As Marked in the chart, similar to previous alt seasons, BTC.D has experienced a breakout from the upward channel and has pushed to new high. Therefore, we can expect a potential reversal!
🔳 Final words
Is it time to buy some altcoins? If you ask me, it's not yet time to invest. We cannot predict whether a reversal is happening or not. Since we avoid taking unnecessary risks, we should wait for clear sign of reversal in the BTC.D
❤️🔥 Thanks for reading my idea!
The elusive alt season... Is QE coming soon?The magical Alt season never seems to come. Most have thrown in the towel or lost all their money, which is a good sign the bottom is in.
The secret here is paying close attention to the FED's (FRED:WALCL) Quantitative tightening and easing.
Since the start in 2008, we have always either had QE or some sort of pause like you see in the 2016/17 bull run, but as soon as the FED flips to tightening, what happens? BTC pauses.
It is true that Bitcoin has performed very well during tightening cycles, as massive corporations like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are eating through the supply.
As for the altcoin market, it has been a bloodbath. One thing that’s clear to me is that altcoins need the FED to flip to QE in order to get things really going.
Going over the latest FED's Monetary Policy Report that came out yesterday, it hints that they are close to ending their tightening cycle and easing off a bit.
**WHICH IS HUGE NEWS!**
We can now see that this is true indeed because the red line is now starting to flatten out, just like in 2020 before the FED flipped to QE.
As far as the technicals go, the altcoin chart has now formed an ascending triangle and, for now, is still printing higher lows. 20 days left for this monthly candle to close.
If, let's say, this monthly candle breaks ATH and closes above it, it could signal the start of the alt season, and if history repeats, we’re looking at a run-up from March 2025 to September/October 2025.
So the next FOMC meeting from the FED is the most important of the year. Now that this report hints at the end of the tightening cycle, is it possible that at the next FOMC meeting on March 18th, 2025, they will announce the end of tightening and trigger the start of the alt season?
Pretty heavy upper wick for now on the BTC.D. It’s currently on the .702 retracement. Is this the top?
A chart I use a lot. Really want to see this monthly candle close back into this triangle.
**Alts/USDT.D**
This chart is one of the most important ones I’m looking at right now. Currently forming a bump-and-run reversal, and again, very bullish if we hold the neckline.
The USDT.D chart will always lead the way. It’s always one step ahead, never fails me. Until we see a break of this green support line, we won’t see ALT season. The bear flag pattern target is the same target as April 2021, which is interesting.
As I published on my ETH TA, if we close the weekly in this channel, it will be very bullish.
### Conclusion
I'm extremely bullish right now. Leverage has been reset, greed has been reset, and everyone is throwing in the towel. On social media, "it's over" talk is everywhere. This is the kind of depression I'm looking for to tell me it’s the start of ALT season and not the end.
**Invalidation of this thesis would be the following:**
- ETH closes weekly under the channel
- Bump-and-run reversal fails to hold the neckline
- FED does not flip to QE in the FOMC meeting on March 18th
If all these things happen, I will flip bearish. Until then, I'm extremely confident that this is the bottom, and you should go all out, lay all the cards down, take out loans, put all your chips on the table—it’s time to go hard or go home!
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector.
Key Points on the Chart
Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation
The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline.
However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation.
A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum.
Ascending Channel Structure
The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation.
The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone.
61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support.
If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend.
Impact on Altcoins
Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue
Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region.
Conditions for Altcoin Recovery
For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone.
A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins.
Altcoin Seasonal Trends
Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness.
Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk.
Trading Considerations & Strategy
For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term.
For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins.
For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
BTC & ALTCOINSIn this chart we can see Bitcoin historical Highs , lows , halving years (green->green) and halvings ... we can see some patterns here , not price patterns but sessionality patterns .. for example .. strong probabilty next btc HIGH will be in November/December this year , or we can also see on chart of BTC.D .. we are close to date when BTC.D breaks and fall as much as alts shine .. But all of this was history what about today ? What if , in this one cycle is something different , for example players ... Old good BTC and Crypto OG players now have less power as manipulators , we have some guys from wallstreet also here , Trump and much more .. Macroeconomic was totaly changed ... so what do you think guys ?
Altcoins potential to start rally!As pointer before by others, Altcoins may be about to start their bullish rally.
The 3 charts indicate:
BTC price history,
BTC dominance (%)
Altcoin dominance ( minus ETH, BTC, in %)
What we see in the chart are 2 possible escenarios:
1- BTC has reached top and is about to drop, like in 2016, leading to the rise in dominance of altcoins.
2- BTC has not reached top, but the incoming BTC short rally will come together with a bigger rally (in relative terms) for the alcoin market. In other words, the BTC price action will be parasited by a capital flip to altcoins.
Keep in mind always may happen a 3rd scenario, risk is always present:
3-BTC has reached its top and will start bear market, plus Altcoins will never see a true bullish market from now on. This is particularly probable, since politics and economics in US has turned in favor of BTC mainly, leaving "most" of the altcoin market as not recognized can be a very bad thing for investor, who are eager to reduce the huge risk this crypto market implies.
DISCLAIMER:
Remember, all of this is speculation of my own, based on others analysis. You are responsible for doing your own research, and this is not a financial advice. This only represents my sentiment and opinion in the market. I do hold several crypto-curriencies, including BTC. You are responsible for your own loses.
Happy trading !
:)
t-bonds x alt season.t-bonds are primed for lift-off.
we just witnessed the largest decline in the history of the treasury. since march 2020, t-bonds have looked like they’re in a correction. most are calling it five waves down, signaling a deeper bear market. but they’re seeing the surface, not the structure.
i'm building a case that says otherwise.
the five-wave drop from all-time highs? that wasn’t the start of the bear market.
it was the end of wave c in an expanded flat that began in 2016.
most think the t-bond bear market started in 2020.
i’m saying it started in 2016,,,
and if i’m right, it just ended.
---
as the market prices-in future interest rate cuts, fueled by artificial suppression of gas prices and inflation stabilisation, t-bond values will climb throughout this next year.
normally, stocks and bonds move inverse to each other.
not this time.
this time, they move together. 1:1.
why? because the us dollar is about to get wrecked.
quantitative easing is coming back.
liquidity will expand.
the global liquidity index will rise.
the way we make that happen is by crushing the dxy.
---
tldr;
- rate cuts incoming
- making t-bonds go up
- quantitative easing
- nukes the dxy
- making stocks go up
- risk-on environment returns
- risk assets go parabolic
- alt season is triggered.
🌙
Capitulation or the Next Big Rotation: How to Spot Alt SeasonIf you're wondering, "Wen Alt Season?", you are in good company. Even Bitcoin Maxis recognize the fact that Alt Season creates opportunities for big gains. As we try to read the tea leaves and gain insight about developing trends we always look at historical data, but it's important to recognize when market dynamics are changing. In this analysis, I took a deep dive into the dynamic relationship between BTC price relative to BTC Dominance (BTC.D), TOTAL3 (Crypto Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH), and USDT Dominance (USDT.D). With a little help from AI, I looked all the way back to 2017 when the TOTAL3 index was created, and compared the dynamic relationship between the different cohorts mentioned above to gain insight about how we used to be able to determine when Alt Season was developing between 2017 - early 2024, vs how things appear to be developing in this cycle.
Here's what I discovered:
1. BTC.D vs. TOTAL3: The Alt Season Divergence Signal
The traditional Alt Season Indicator has been the divergence between BTC.D and TOTAL3:
BTC.D falling while TOTAL3 rises → Capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, a strong sign of Alt Season.
BTC.D rising while TOTAL3 declines → Bitcoin dominance increases, often during BTC-led bull runs or altcoin capitulation.
BTC.D and TOTAL3 rising together → Broad market growth with Bitcoin leading.
BTC.D and TOTAL3 falling together → Market-wide risk-off sentiment, typically during strong BTC sell-offs.
2017-2021 Cycle (Pre-Maturity Phase)
The relationship was highly cyclical, with clear boom-and-bust rotations.
Late 2017 Alt Season: BTC.D dropped dramatically as TOTAL3 skyrocketed. This was the classic alt season fueled by ICOs, and it was very easy to see it developing.
2018-2019 Bear Market: BTC.D rebounded aggressively as altcoins collapsed. TOTAL3 erased nearly all gains.
2020-2021 DeFi/NFT Boom: Another clear BTC.D vs. TOTAL3 divergence was seen in mid-to-late 2020 when DeFi and NFT narratives caused altcoins to rally independently of BTC.
2022-Present Cycle (Maturing Market)
As institutional money, and more importantly, seasoned institutional fund managers, have started scaling into the crypto market, we are seeing changes in the dynamic relationship between the cohorts that indicates that the market is maturing.
The divergence signal has weakened slightly because of increasing institutional adoption of BTC and ETH. TOTAL3 has had a harder time breaking away from Bitcoin trends, meaning Alt Seasons are more dependent on BTC stability rather than independent surges.
Late 2022-Present: Since bottoming out around the FTX crash in November 2022Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has been on an uptrend, showing that capital is concentrating in BTC, with fewer dramatic rotations into altcoins.
TOTAL3 is still climbing, but not as aggressively as in past cycles relative to BTC.D.
✅ Key Takeaway:
1. Altcoin markets no longer break away from BTC as sharply as before.
Alt Seasons still exist but require a stable or slightly declining BTC.D, whereas before, a sharp BTC.D decline almost guaranteed an altcoin explosion.
2. The Role of USDT.D in Spotting Alt Seasons
USDT.D (Tether Dominance) tracks the percentage of the total crypto market cap held in USDT stablecoins. Historically:
High USDT.D (rising) → Traders moving into stablecoins, risk-off sentiment.
Low USDT.D (declining) → Traders deploying stablecoin capital into BTC and altcoins, risk-on sentiment.
2017-2021: USDT.D as a Contrarian Alt Season Signal
A spike in USDT.D was often a precursor to an Alt Season because smart money used USDT to accumulate altcoins at market bottoms.
When USDT.D dropped, TOTAL3 rose, showing that liquidity was moving from stablecoins into alts.
2022-Present: USDT.D as a Risk Appetite Gauge
USDT.D no longer functions as a leading indicator for Alt Season the way it did before.
Instead, it serves as a confirmation signal:
If BTC.D is dropping and TOTAL3 is rising, but USDT.D remains high → Alt Season is weak or delayed.
If BTC.D is dropping, TOTAL3 is rising, and USDT.D is falling → Strong altcoin rally confirmation.
✅ Key Takeaway:
USDT.D used to be a contrarian indicator for alt accumulation (spikes meant smart money was waiting).
Now, USDT.D is better used as a confirmation signal to assess if liquidity is actually flowing into alts or if traders are staying in stablecoins.
Best Indicators for Identifying an Alt Season
Given the changing nature of the crypto market, the best indicators for spotting an Alt Season now are:
1️⃣ Primary Indicator: BTC.D vs. TOTAL3 Divergence
Most reliable leading signal for Alt Season.
Ideal scenario: BTC.D trending lower while TOTAL3 rises → Altcoins outperform BTC.
2️⃣ Secondary Indicator: USDT.D Declining
Confirms that capital is leaving stablecoins and being deployed into altcoins.
Ideal scenario: USDT.D dropping while TOTAL3 rises → Stronger altcoin rally.
3️⃣ Additional Market Conditions to Watch:
Bitcoin stability: If BTC is too volatile, capital stays in BTC or stablecoins, limiting Alt Season potential.
ETH performance: A strong ETH/BTC pair often foreshadows broader altcoin strength.
✅ Current 2025 Outlook for Alt Season:
BTC.D has recently spiked well above 60%, meaning Bitcoin remains dominant, however, it has rolled off those recent highs and is searching for support.
TOTAL3 rose sharply after election day (Nov 5th) and many alts realize triple digit gains, but BTC.D and Bitcoin price rose with it. There simply was no divergence between BTC.D and TOTAL3 which made it a market wide rally rather than what most consider a classic Alt Season scenario. We are currently seeing a divergence where BTC.D has spiked and TOTAL3 has fallen sharply since mid-January 2025, but just as BTC.D is searching for support, so is TOTAL3. This is an indication that altcoins may be capitulating. While that may not point to an Alt Season in the classic sense, it does indicate that altcoin traders should be looking for setups because the vast majority of altcoins endured major corrections (40% - 70%) after the post election rally, and many of those have already retested support or are the process of doing so → Suggests altcoin capitulation that could develop into something more, but the spike in BTC.D is a clear sign that this is not Alt Season yet. We must wait to see if this bounce from TOTAL3 ends up confirming as support and look for the divergence between TOTAL3 and BTC.D to develop. The fact that USDT.D remains somewhat elevated → Liquidity isn’t fully deployed into alts yet, however, similar to BTC.D, it too has rolled off of it's highs and seems to be moving back towards it's recent consolidation range.
📌 Conclusion: If support for TOTAL3 holds at this level and the index moves higher, that would be an indication that Altcoin season conditions are developing. This clearly is NOT confirmed yet. Watch for BTC.D and USDT.D both to decline further for a stronger rotation into alts.
Final Summary
Alt Season indicators have evolved since 2017.
BTC.D vs. TOTAL3 divergence remains the best signal, but rotations are less extreme than in prior cycles.
USDT.D’s role has changed.
Used to be a leading indicator (spikes meant accumulation)
Now, it serves as a confirmation signal (declining USDT.D validates altcoin strength).
Current Market Setup (2025)
At the time of writing BTC.D is declining, but remains above 61%, meaning Bitcoin is still dominant, however, BTC price is sliding back in search of support.
TOTAL3 bounced briefly, but is once again searching for support
USDT.D just started climbing again, suggesting caution.
The fact that BTC price and TOTAL3 are declining simultaneously is a sign that money is rotating into stable coins, but it's important to note that this always resolves itself after support tests are complete and money rotates back into BTC and altcoins.
While this gives us no evidence that we are on the cusp of an Alt Season, we may be seeing retests of support from the December capitulation developing, or possibly even a deeper capitulation for some coins before we see a rebound. If you are inclined to take advantage of the opportunities that are developing, now is the time to identify the assets and the price targets that meet your criteria.
With the growing institutional influence on the market, it may be time to stop sh!tcoining and turn your focus to altcoins with stronger fundamentals with a dollar cost averaging strategy to build your position. A full-fledged Alt Season will requires a further drop in BTC.D and USDT.D alongside a divergent spike from TOTAL3.
🔎 Key Levels to Watch for Alt Season Confirmation:
✅ BTC.D breaking below 58% (used to be 50%)
✅ TOTAL3 accelerating above $1 Trillion
✅ USDT.D dropping below 3.5%
🚀 If these conditions align, we could see the strongest Alt Season since 2021. Until they do, focus on quality.
Not financial advice.
How to Know When Alt-Season Is Here?Hello, Traders!
If you've been in crypto long enough, you’ve probably heard the term alt-season — that exciting period when altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin (BTC), and the market sees massive rallies across smaller assets. But how do you know when an alt-season is about to begin?
There are key alt-season indicators that traders watch to spot opportunities before the big moves happen. Let’s break down what alt-season is, how to identify it, and what signs indicate that a market-wide altcoin rally is about to start. 👇🏻
What Is Alt-Season?
Alt-season, short for altcoin season, is a market cycle when altcoins (any cryptocurrency that isn’t Bitcoin) outperform Bitcoin and experience rapid price increases. During alt-season, traders shift their focus from Bitcoin to altcoins, leading to:
Higher Altcoin Dominance.
Increased Liquidity in Smaller-Cap Coins.
Massive Rallies in Speculative Assets.
Alt-season doesn’t happen randomly; it follows specific market conditions and signals that traders can identify early.
Key Indicators That Alt-Season Is Coming
1. Bitcoin Dominance Declines
One of the strongest alt-season indicators is the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D). This metric measures Bitcoin’s market cap relative to the entire crypto market.
When bitcoin dominance falls, it signals that traders are moving capital into altcoins. If BTC dominance breaks a long-term support level, it often marks the beginning of alt-season.
2. Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin
Ethereum (ETH) is the largest altcoin, and its performance typically sets the tone for the broader altcoin market.
If ETH/BTC starts trending upward, it’s a strong sign that alt-season could be near. Ethereum often leads the first wave of altcoin breakouts, followed by mid-cap and low-cap coins.
3. Altcoin Market Cap Growth
Tracking altcoins' total market cap (MCAP) (excluding Bitcoin) can indicate early alt-season signals.
When the altcoin market cap increases while Bitcoin remains stable or declines, it shows capital rotation into altcoins. A sudden spike in the altcoin market cap, especially with volume, indicates growing investor interest.
4. Surge in Crypto Airdrops and ICOs
New projects launch aggressively during alt-season, and crypto airdrops become more frequent.
If you start seeing airdrop crypto promotions everywhere, it may be a sign that the market is heating up. Many traders hunt for free airdrop crypto opportunities during alt-seasons to get early exposure to new tokens.
5. Social Media and Retail Hype Increases
Retail traders often drive the biggest altcoin rallies. Some signs that alt-season is underway:
Crypto influencers and X (formerly known as Twitter) threads constantly mention that “alt-season is here.” Crypto airdrops are a trend on social media, with traders looking for ways to get airdrop crypto opportunities. Telegram and Discord groups have become highly active, discussing the “next 100x altcoins.”
Final Thoughts
The alt-season is one of the most exciting periods in crypto trading. Recognizing the right alt-season indicators can help you enter early, ride the trend, and exit before the hype fades.
So, traders, do you think we’re nearing the next alt-season? What’s your go-to strategy during altcoin rallies? Let’s discuss this in the comments!