Altseason2024
ALT Season? Not Even CloseWhen we exclude Bitcoin from the total crypto market cap, it becomes clear that we’re far from the conditions needed for an ALT season. Here’s a breakdown:
First Resistance: $1.28T (Excluding BTC)
The last high was in March 2024, with the market cap reaching $1.28T.
At that time, BTC dominance was around 52%.
Second Resistance: $1.71T (Excluding BTC)
This was the peak during the ALT season in November 2021, with the market cap hitting $1.71T. Back then, BTC dominance had dropped to just 42%.
Current Situation
BTC dominance is now sitting at 60%, which is far too high for a typical ALT season to start.
Historically, ALT seasons tend to begin when BTC dominance falls below 50% or even lower.
Conclusion
The altcoin market has a long way to go before reaching the conditions for a true ALT season. We need BTC dominance to decline significantly and the altcoin market cap to break through key resistance levels at $1.28T and $1.71T.
What’s your outlook? Are altcoins still in Bitcoin’s shadow, or is a shift coming? Let’s discuss!
TIA Swing Long Idea - Celestia Altcoin LongTIA was one of the best-performing assets during the 2023-2024 altcoin run. As a leader in modular blockchain technology, I find its fundamentals very strong. I’ve been holding a significant number of TIA spot positions since 2023."
Technical Analysis:
The price has been relatively weak over the past few months. However, starting from September 2024, we saw an upward movement, creating a weekly bullish structure. The price broke the bearish trendline and closed above it. After deviating from the trendline, it retraced to the daily demand zone below, found support, and is currently holding above the trendline.
The price appears to be in an accumulation phase, lagging behind the upward movement of other coins. Despite this, I like the current levels and have opened a small position here.
Note: If Bitcoin retraces sharply, it could trigger the stop loss and take me out of the trade. To manage this risk, I will monitor the daily close below my stop-loss level before fully exiting.
SL: $3.60
TP1: $7.60
TP2: $11.90
TP3: $15.55
INJ SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON 2024-2025INJ experienced significant gains during the 2023-2024 altseason, making it a smart move to watch this coin for the 2024-2025 altseason.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the weekly swing liquidity during the August 4th dump. It wicked but couldn’t close below, signaling bullish strength. Following this, the price broke both the daily and weekly bearish structure, turning bullish on two higher timeframes.
Recently, the bearish trendline responsible for the downtrend since spring 2024 was broken with strong momentum and a confirmed close above. This indicates to me that the price aims to move higher.
I expect the price to potentially retrace into the weekly demand zone, hitting the optimal trade entry (OTE) level and possibly retesting the broken trendline.
I will be looking for lower timeframe (LTF) confirmations within the weekly demand zone if the price reaches that level.
SL: $13
TP1: $28
TP2: $41
TP3: $53
AR COIN SWING LONG - Arweave Long OpportunityAR is one of my favorite coins fundamentally. It has a strong foundation in storage and distributed computing, which could play a crucial role in integrating AI technology with crypto. I won’t go deep into the details here, but you can read more about it online if you’re interested.
Technical Analysis:
The price reached the monthly demand, ran the daily swing liquidity, and couldn't close below it. We saw a strong rejection from that level, which led to a break in the daily structure.
Additionally, we broke the bearish trendline responsible for the downtrend since spring 2024. The trendline has been retested and rejected, further reinforcing the bullish bias. I believe we could soon see strong upward momentum on this coin.
I’ve purchased a spot bag and opened a futures position at this level, targeting significant upside and potentially holding as a swing trade until all-time highs.
My thoughts are giving me no peace with this idea 2 I've updated my expectations regarding the altseason after reviewing the statistics. I believe the growth of altcoins will happen in two phases: first, a drop in Bitcoin dominance to 40%, followed by a recovery to 45-50%, and then a crash below 30%. I'll share any updates if I make any fixes. The scenario is invalidated if dominance rises to 65-70%
RENDER SWING LONG IDEA - RENDER COIN RENDER is one of the leading AI and DePIN projects in the crypto market. During the 2023-2024 altcoin bull cycle, this coin achieved a remarkable 10x return, so I recommend keeping a close watch on it.
Technical Analysis: The price recently hit the monthly demand and faced a rejection there during the August 5th dip. This rejection sparked an immediate bullish movement and shifted the weekly structure to bullish. The price also initially pulled back from a bearish trendline responsible for the downtrend since March 2024.
Recently, the price broke through this bearish trendline with strong momentum, highlighting the strength of the trend, and I’m interested in joining the trade after this breakout. My targets are set on the purple levels, and I expect potential upside in the coming months.
SL: $3.98
TP1: $6.80
TP2: $11.90
TP3: $13.80
AAVE COIN LONG IDEA - AAVE ALTCOIN SWING LONGAAVE is a coin I monitored closely during Summer 2024. While most altcoins were making new lows, AAVE was accumulating and showed resilience, which suggested to me that it might outperform others in the 2024-2025 altcoin bull season.
Technical Analysis: Price accumulated within the monthly demand zone throughout Summer 2024. It finally took off, breaking the weekly structure and creating strong bullish momentum on the weekly and daily charts.
Price broke the bearish trendline with strong momentum and created a daily demand zone below. I’d like to see price retrace into the daily demand, hit the maximum discount area, possibly test the trendline, and then take off toward the target.
As always, look for lower time frame confirmations within the entry zone before initiating the trade.
Stop loss: $110
Target: $261
BNB SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON - BNB CHAINBNB is one of the most stable coins in the crypto market. With Binance officially backing it, BNB is relatively safer compared to other altcoins.
Technical Analysis: The price hit and wicked into the monthly demand zone during the August 5th dump, showing a strong rejection and initiating an upward trend. This move established a weekly demand zone by breaking the weekly structure, and as it did so, it created a daily demand zone, which is a significant area for me.
Currently, the price is back into the daily demand and has reached the optimal trade entry zone according to the Fibonacci levels. I anticipate an upward movement from here in the coming days.
Targets: The initial target is $613-$619, with potential to reach the all-time high at $722.
Note: Watch out for the U.S. Presidential Election, as it may cause volatility with long wicks that could stop out positions.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is in a strong bullish trend and has reached the 60% level. This means that Bitcoin alone holds 60% of the total crypto market value. In other words, the entire altcoin market, including ETH and other large-cap coins, represents only 40% of the market. Considering the crypto market has over 2,500 different coins/assets, it’s notable that all of them combined only account for 40% of the total market value, while Bitcoin alone makes up the other 60%.
In previous bull market cycles, this chart typically shows initial bullishness, followed by a strong reversal to the downside after a few months, which brings the largest returns in the altcoin market.
A bullish trend in BTC Dominance indicates that Bitcoin will outperform altcoins, whereas a bearish trend suggests the opposite.
Currently, BTC Dominance is moving within a parallel channel driving its bullish movement. It has reached the weekly supply level and is now approaching the monthly supply level. I expect BTC Dominance to hit this monthly supply level at the top of the channel, experience rejection, and start moving lower. Eventually, I anticipate it will break below the entire channel, signaling a large influx of capital into altcoins. This shift has the potential to create significant returns for altcoin investors.
I believe this scenario is likely during the 2025 bull cycle, so be prepared to build generational wealth.
Gearing up for Altseason The total market cap of Altcoins is currently in an ascending triangle at the point of multiple confluences. An Ascending triangle, hrozintal and diagonal resistance lines and also at the 0.5 Fibonacci line (not shown). If we break above all these resistances, alteason will be highly likely to start.
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for NEW ATHBitcoin is showing a sudden increase in momentum, and the pattern I was watching has played out successfully after the last update:
Ultimately, the playout I have been talking about for MONTHS were as follow:
And this is the recent chart data on that exact idea:
I'm happy to finally see everything come together - it took some patience though!
Finally - impulse wave 4-5 (Elliot wave Theory) is in play! From here, we can expect ETH to gradually creep along, and when BTC trades sideways ETH and other top10 market cap alts will make gains. Find more on that, here:
When ETH stalls (and BTC even retraces a little) that's when the smaller cap altcoins will shine.
Cheers to another ATH 🥂🍻
_____________________
OKX:BTCUSDT
Shiba FRACTAL : FEB 2024 - 330% in 2 WEEKSBINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Many altcoins are currently in Accumulation Phase. This is the part of the cycle where there seems to be very little action, and the price moves in a range and sideways. It's safe to say that we can expect sideways/range trading until BTC moves the market. In a previous update, I mentioned how BTC loves Decembers:
The good news, is that this makes for an excellent time to BUY back into any market. The lowest risk option here would require some patience though, because the accumulation cycle often lasts month. Luckily - we are already a month in of mostly range trading.
Here's a look at SHIBA's best buy zones in more detail, as well as other altcoins that are in or approaching the ideal buy zone:
ALTS that will SURVIVE 2024 - and BEYONDIn today's post I'd like to invite you to add the alts YOU think will survive, and why. Add in the comment section!
Incase you missed yesterdays post...
I remember the good 'ol days, when the amount of options you had was limited to one hand.
First there was Bitcoin. Then came ETH, LTC, XRP and BCH (Bitcoin Cash). And a few other's later came like Bitcoin Gold and CRV. But oh man, were those the days. Crypto felt oddly "safer" back then, despite mt gox and pyramid schemes running rampant. Because today - the enemy is actually in the camp...
New alts are being released every hour (probably more) and it's just the one airdrop to the next rug. Lot's of progress has been made in this space which is blockchain, but we're still not really seeing the original promise of Bitcoin being fulfilled (fast and affordable cross border payments, ) amongst others.
Today, it has become close to impossible to separate the crop from the cream in terms of coin accumulation. If you bought BTC two years ago, or ETH, or LTC - you'd currently be in profit. However, some alts don't even exist for a month after release date never the less a year or more.
So let's talk about which altcoins I believe have a future FOR SURE. Remember that this is a highly debatable point; but I am going to point out the few that I believe will survive (at least past year and possibly beyond).
👉1) Bitcoin
Bitcoin is not an altcoin, it is the original crypto. The KING. The first commandment and promise of a fair, open and transparent future on the blockchain. BTC's price may be overvalued occasionally, but it will always have the benefit of being first. And with so many institutional investors, I think it's a safe play for the foreseeable future.
👉 2) Ethereum
King of the alts, first of it's kind. Ethereum is the world's first smart contract platforms which remains the most popular choice among developers even today. Following Bitcoin's decentralized concept, Ethereum has become a leader in smart contract platforms and dApps. Eth is here to stay.
👉 3) Solana
Competitor now to Ethereum, SOL has previously surpassed ETH (not in price). With over 95 million transactions daily, Solana has become the fastest blockchain and recently surpassed Ethereum in Total Economic Value. Many devs prefer Solana, and I believe it will stick around for the foreseeable future.
👉4) Dogecoin
I hate how dependent Doge is on Elon Musk. But, for some reason, Mr Musk has a fascination with Doge and has promised many times to include it as a payment option on X (formerly Twitter). Even though it seems like a pie in the sky, something like that would significantly increase the value of Doge. I don't see it as a "forever" coin, but definitely on the list.
I think a key point to note here, is that back then, they (the founders) were doing something revolutionary. They were and are the titans of the industry. Today, anyone with GPT can create a functioning alt that "serves a purpose" or has "fundamental use case" in some way. It's true that AI is revolutionary, and I am very bullish on the concept of AI and the promise of automation for human kind. But this far, it hasn't been profitable, yet.
OpenAI makes losses and cryptoai is just leveraging off the larger AI, or the concept thereof... Sure, there are privately trained models, but at the current moment it takes a tremendous amount of resources (time, money, physical space) to do DL or Machine Learning, which if OpenAI cant make profitable... then neither can the cryptoai created by john, steve and bob.
10 Other ALTS that will probably make it past this year:
1) Shiba Inu (because people love it)
2) XRP (because many can't let go)
3) Cardano (because it has a cult following)
4) BNB (Binance supporters maybe?)
5) Chainlink (because oddly enough it's survived for this long)
You wouldn't catch me dead holding those 5, but still - I do believe they will survive for some time still.
Now, coins that I will actually buy and hold:
6) Kaspa (potentially a revolutionary alt)
7) Render (potentially an ai winner)
8) Monero (still the best privacy coin)
9) Sei (potentially a revolutionary alt)
10) Aave (still the best for borrowing and lending)
Don't miss the message here - you can still TRADE altcoins. There are good trading opportunities
and setups even for the worst alts. I know this because we trade them daily. But this post is not about trading opportunities - it's about the future, potentially the far future. Who will likely survive and why. Alts that may be worth accumulating an that probably won't rug in a month's time.
I hope you can take it for what it is intended to be!
______________________________
Omni price targetsOmni one of not so many coins which I follow for accumulation!
One of the main reasons for this, next unlock will be only in April 2025
Till that time we will not see any new coins in circulation BINANCE:OMNIUSDT
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️IAP model for Omni. Marked 2 zones for accumulation
➡️Tagets where more than ok withdraw initial deposit or fix % profit also marked
➡️Im more than sure we will see new ATH for Omni, matter of time 2024-2025
➡️Money power indicator, money inflow step by step at 17.75
➡️Would be good to see drop in first zone to buy and new money inflow
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
DOGE - DON'T MISS out on ALTSEASON 2.0 !Yesterday we took a look at altcoins that are strong currently - and today I'm adding another, DOGEUSDT.
✅ From a technical indicator perspective, Doge is ready to reclaim a key trendline, as the price is consolidating right under it (bullish). "Extremely Oversold" is usually a good place to buy:
✅ From a Chart Pattern perspective, we observe an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is also bullish and confirms a direction reversal. Furthermore, a total of -60% has been retraced and this is prime time for a new upwards wave:
✅ From a trendline analysis, we have successfully reclaimed the neckline after closing daily candles ABOVE the old peak:
I conclude to say that according to the trend and all other signs - the price is short term and long term bullish from here.
_________________________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
#ALTSEASON is knocking the door! Are you prepared??#BTC Dominance: The Moment We've Been Waiting For.
The true alt season begins when ALT/BTC pairs start displaying strength, and I believe we're already seeing signs in several altcoins. I'll be sharing more details soon.
The liquidity exiting the market is poised to flow into solid altcoins.
You have to be patient, No FOMO!
Follow me if you don't yet, and hit the like button if you find my insights helpful.
When I start entering the altcoins, you'll be first to know! Be patient.
Stay strong folks.
#Crypto
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views In the comment section.
THANK YOU
#PEACE
Bitcoin BTC Updated Bull Run Path I have updated the Bitcoin path by looking at the time frames it took to break through each of the Fibs from the last two bull Runs. I found a command time frame between the two that I have applied to this Bull Run. We are looking at hitting the $193K+ price point now around Nov. 1, 2024. Also looking for an ALT season around Dec 2024. Let's see how things will play out.
10x move on 1INCH.1INCH is getting alive and big amount of volume is coming in. H&S spotted in 1D, 1W TF and there is no sign to go down. 2-5 area is very crucial. Spot and futures both trading looking good and will be taking profits at those green lines.
$wen Let the preparations for the flight begin. #wen @whalest_It is a supported project with a bright future. I have no doubt that it will bring good profits. He will easily rise above 1B and become the leader of the cats. It is not investment advice.
This Cycle Take Profits! "Ladies and gentlemen, I'm excited to share with you that Bitcoin adoption is gaining momentum in institutional settings! Heavy hitters like Fidelity Investments, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs are actively exploring cryptocurrency offerings. And it's not just them - real-world banks like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are taking notice, filing patents for blockchain-related technologies. But that's not all - institutions like the Intercontinental Exchange and Nasdaq are building cryptocurrency trading platforms! Now, I know mainstream adoption is still in its early days, but these developments show a growing recognition of Bitcoin's potential in traditional finance. The future is looking bright, and I'm excited to see where this momentum takes us!"
Last 48 hours for ascension. $WEN #WEN @whalest_ @wenwencoinHello everyone, friends. I know your last days have been full of stress. As you can see in the graph, there are hours left before your stress ends. If bitcoin does not shake the market, we are on the rise. Things will get better when we cross the yellow line. I hope everyone has their tickets and bags ready. I wish everyone a safe journey.
WARNING: This is not financial advice.
$wen WEN/USDT @whalest_Hello to everyone. I think Wen Coin will make an upward move. We will see this in the future. My opinion is not financial investment advice.
