9/26/21 AMATApplied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)
Sector: Producer Manufacturing (Industrial Machinery)
Current Price: $141.92
Breakout price trigger: $139.25 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $140.00-$131.75
Price Target: $146.00-$148.00 (1st), $165.50-$169.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 31-33d (1st), 122-130d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $AMAT 11/19/21 150c, $AMAT 1/21/21 165c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.40/cnt, $3.25/cnt
AMAT
AMAT: Trade the wedgeAMAT (swing): (In the process of filling the gap on the down)
~Watch the support zone 135.40-136.50 for a bounce to PT1: 138 / PT2: 140 / PT3: 144
~Monday may see a dip to 133-ish area, if support doesn't hold. I would buy calls at 133. (Price likely will recover 2 bucks after the pullback)
~We are still trading in a missive looking wedge and probably will be for at least another month. Take advantage of using the zone inside the wedge for the time being to make swings. (there is at least 10 bucks between the support and resistance line.)
Watchlist AMAT for a possible call: with TAOverall idea: If AMAT breaks 133.51, calls with a PT to 141.50 will be a go. (SL at 129.90)
TA:
~Accumulation/Distribution line is sharply increasing, foreshadowing a strong incoming bull action
~MACD has just crossed over into the positive, hinting at upcoming bull action
~VI is at an intersection point, foreshadowing a reversal in momentum from its previous bear action
~RSI is at 50, giving it room to go either direction without much fear of being overbought/oversold
~ so far there have been two rejections of the 50 EMA since August 10. We are rapidly approaching a third test of this 50 EMA, which is also at the point where AMAT would need to go to break resistance. Put the two together, if 133.51 is broken, we not only would see a break of resistance, but also a cross over the 50 ema after a bounce off the long term support line.
Also want to point out the obvious: the wedge that is forming long time frame.
SMH about to breakoutSMH (the Geek) was resting in the small 4 day week moving laterally but was ready to breakdown on Thursday. But the jobs numbers on Friday being moderately light vs expectations made one more month of positive news for the market signaling "transitory" inflation. That was the turning point as mentioned in my last weeks report. An engulfing candle on Friday and an uptrend MACD makes this extremely bullish. After Fridays action, I see Geek moving higher as 3/4 of the stocks in the group got pummeled way under 21 day ema. This put those stocks this coming week trading above 8 day ema at least. Its possible that it can rest here for a couple of days as well.
$AAPL $PDD $BABA $AMAT I OptionsSwing WatchlistPDD 4H I Breakout from massive downtrend with volume. Cathie Woods was adding shares back in March. PDD has to hold the $130 level for continuation and the price target is $150 before next ER.
AAPL 1D I Held the bullish uptrend established back in September. Unusual options activity was bullish and they bet on a retest of $128 this upcoming week.
AMAT 1H I Testing ATH levels, above $140 it could get some more traction. Amid the current chip shortage AMAT is one of the companies that is tasked with helping the industry catch up.
BABA 1D I Massive falling wedge pattern which could break to the upside before earnings on 08/19. The Chinese giant is more than 30% down from ATH levels. However, there is some sense of renewed hope in the company as US investor Charlie Munger recently disclosed a sizable stake in the company.
AMD will not disappoint, 93.75 TGTAs I previously mentioned on my SQ analysis, Semis have been hit hard regardless of great earnings. With semis currently oversold, I see semis run up for the next two weeks along with the likes of AMAT, TSM, QCOM, NVDA, ON, and IIVI. AMD beat earnings and has been taking INTC customers for the past 2 years. INTC is in panic mode trying to regain back their market share. AMD server/pc chips are faster and much reliable and cheaper. Semi shortages is an issue but with current earnings handily beat expectations, I don't see this as an issue moving forward as demand outweighs shortages. See EBAY, StockX, and FB markets for GPUs and CPUs. People still buy them at over 200% retail. China, Taiwan, US coming out of Covid pandemic, ramps up chip production in Q2. A bullish Doji on Friday with good volume. Shorts will get squeezed out at 83.52.
AMAT LongAMAT has been stair-stepping higher in a bull trend lately. In my opinion AMAT has been a leader in one of the stronger industry groups within tech (semiconductor equipment). Yesterday it printed an inverted hammer after failing to make a significant push below the previous low on 4/19. This is the line in the sand. Today it opened near those lows but pushed higher and out of the short-term downtrend on impressive volume. It has consistently found buyers at the 20-day EMA (see arrows) - this area has regularly been a great spot to initiate a long. Today represents a low-risk entry with a stop at the previous day's low (red dotted line).
US Stock In Play: $AMAT (Applied Materials Inc)$AMAT dipped -2.45% ($139.54) from last night’s session where major averages pulled back from record highs to close in negative territory during regular trading. $AMAT have established its all time high during the week’s opening at $146 level.
The correction in $AMAT coincide with its price action currently resisted at its upper trendline resistance. At the current junction, $AMAT structural trend channel remains intact. The breach of support at $128 level will reflect the first sign weakness for in its upside momentum in the short term.
$AMAT provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries.