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AMAT

THE WEEK AHEAD: HD, CSCO, TGT, BBY, WMT, GPS, AMAT EARNINGSWe have bevvy of retail earnings announcements next week as the full season tapers off: HD announces earnings on Tuesday before market open with a background implied volatility of 23% (top quarter of 52-week range). CSCO -- Wednesday before market open with a background of 27 (near 52-week high). TGT -- Wednesday before market open, at 36 (top quarter of 52-week range). BBY -- Thursday, before market open, at 53 (near 52-week high). WMT -- Thursday, before market open, at 25 (near 52-week high). GPS -- Thursday, after market close, at 44 (above middle, but below top quarter of 52-week range). AMAT -- Thursday, after market close, at 41 (near 52-week high). I generally prefer playing earnings where the background volatility exceeds 50%, and it's in the top-quarter of its 52-week range, implying that the best candidate for an earnings contraction play would be BBY with AMAT close behind/worth watching for an increase in implied volatility running into the announcement. Broad-market exchange-traded fund-wise, there isn't much to play: the Brazilian exchange-traded fund continues to print implied volatility percentages at or above 30% (currently, 35-ish), followed by the petro exchange-traded fund, XOP (34). For non-earnings individuals, TEVA (72/upper end of its 52-week range) continues to garner my attention, along with CTL (56), which -- post-earnings -- maintains high volatility. The majors -- well, there isn't much to look at. IWM leads with a background implied of 16, which is basically tied with the QQQ's at 16. SPY comes in at a paltry 13 ... . On the volatility product front, the first /VX future trading at or above 16 is out in May (184 DTE), meaning that a <90 DTE VIX Term Structure trade isn't in the offing for me. However, the VXST/VIX ratio finished Friday's session somewhat elevated (.92), so it's worth keeping an eye out for any >1.00 pops in which to consider Contango Drift trades, particularly as we wind into a rollover with VIX spot trading at 11.29 relative to the Nov contract's 11.60 (2 DTE).
NYSE:HD
by NaughtyPines
Time To "Short" APPLIED MATERIALS Is Coming Closer & Closer.Applied Materials Ins (NASDAQ: AMAT) is giving signs for Loss Of Buyer's Momentum at the top as per TTC Breakdown Formation . The 54.50 Zone is very critical for now to hold the breakdown. If price manages to sustain below this Critical TTC Zone , we can see buyers losing control to the sellers in the markets. For Short-term targets, Trader should eye on 53.20 Zone . Then 52.20 is the next support. For Swing Traders, 48.50 zone is Very Critical. Below which we can see a good amount of selling. Applied Materials, Inc. provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries worldwide. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets.
NASDAQ:AMATShort
by TFTIndia
AMAT - Earnings option play, $42 August 18th/25th Puts $0.60/.76AMAT seems very good earnings play on the down side. It has good amount of insider selling. On the technical side it seems breaking down from an upward channel, and also looks like its forming a double top. Overall it seems it has good chance to decline with the earnings. To play this we would look for $42 August 18th or 25th Puts currently $0.60 and $0.76 * Trade Criteria * Date First Found- August 17, 2017 Pattern/Why- Earnings Play (High Risk Trade); Upward channel breakdown, Double top Entry Target Criteria- We would look for $42 August 18th or 25th Puts currently $0.60 and $0.76 Exit Target Criteria- $34 Stop Loss Criteria- N/A Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
NASDAQ:AMATShort
by AcornWealthCorp
Imminent Drop Ahead For Applied Materials (AMAT)Applied Materials, Inc. has been dropping suddenly when the positive vortex indicator (discussed below) reaches its current level. This pattern has occurred seven times dating back to December 2015. It could be coincidence and/or it could be a great opportunity to haul in large gains with put options. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.2955 and the negative is at 0.6028. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive value has begun to retreat and the significance will be covered in the SPECIFIC ANALYSIS section below. The stochastic oscillator K value is 92.8307 and D value is 59.4358. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic has been moving wildly since the stock lost greater than 9% in June. Currently the stock is approaching overbought levels, but both the K and D may not make it to this point before the stock tumbles again. SPECIFIC ANALYSIS Every time the Positive Vortex Indicator value reaches its current level, the stock drops a sizeable amount on the following trading day. In this case, the stock could drop more than 3.5% on Monday July 24, 2017. The observed pattern requires the positive VI value to break above 1.2955 and later retreat below this level. The day of the retreat is the signal, and the following day produces the loss. Two examples are visible on the chart above with a light blue vertical line. The vertical line represents the day the positive VI value retreats below the 1.2955 mark. As you can see, the day after is always a down day, and a sizeable drop at that. You should be able to scroll to left of the chart above and view all seven instances as they are marked with the same light blue vertical line. The percent lost on these days following the crossing of 1.2955 has been: 9.30%, 3.79%, 7.24%, 1.95%, 1.75%, 3.35%, and 3.26%. That is a minimum loss of 1.75% and median loss of 3.35% with a standard deviation of 2.82%. Furthermore, most of these one-day losses are just the beginning of greater losses. Five of the instances led to greater losses that spanned between 15-28 days. All of the following losses are based on the close price of the retreat date to the low price on the final day of decline. The minimum decline for all seven instances was 3.50% with a median loss of 7.30%. The possible movements for the next few weeks are indicated above. The stock could drop to the horizontal light blue line (45.17) at some point on July 24, 2017 or within the next few days. The median movement is the orange rectangle on the chart. If median movement from the previous occasions is achieved, the stock could drop to 43.41 within the next 14 trading days. My conservative pick for movement is a drop to 44.23 within the next 25 trading days. Any of these levels would be significant, but another one day greater than 1.75% would keep this interesting pattern alive. Considering the information above and recent patterns, the stock should see downward movement over the short to intermediate time period. Based on historical movement compared to current levels, the stock could drop at least 5% over the next 25 trading days if not sooner.
NASDAQ:AMATShort
by StockSignaler
Expected to test support zone before resuming 13-month uptrend11-11-2016 AMAT @ 28.28 – Expected to test support zone before resuming 13-month uptrend AMAT rallied 13 months to reach 31.07 (September 22, 2016 high) before consolidating. The pullback so far has been benign, down 11% to 27.56 (October 13, 2016 low). As the momentum indicator remains neutral, the stock is expected to consolidate further towards the 26.00-27.00 support zone. Beneath lies the key retracement of 38.2% of the 15.44/31.07 upswing at 25.23. As far as the key support area holds, scope remains for resuming the year-long trend back to 31.07. An upside break above the latter would confirm the bulls are back in control for new highs. However, a downside break below the 25.23 area would suggest more downside towards the 23.40 area (50% of the 15.44/31.07 upswing). Outlook: Daily: neutral Weekly: bullish Monthly: bullish
NASDAQ:AMAT
by novvoll12