Amazon: Significant Breakout!The resistance at $189.76 has recently been a major hurdle for the AMZN stock. Since April, the price has essentially been moving sideways along this level, with each breakout attempt being sold off. As envisioned by our primary wave count, the stock has now managed a breakout above $189.76, developing a first impulsive move toward a new all-time high. We expect a more substantial correction only after the larger beige wave III has found its top at a higher level. An earlier sell-off remains possible as part of our 30% likely alternative scenario: this alternative count suggests that the recent peak was the top of the beige alt. b wave, which would lead to a pullback below $145.86 and a fresh low of the overarching blue wave alt. (IV).
Amazon
$AMZN IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE! BUY NOW OR FOMO LATERNASDAQ:AMZN
💥 NASDAQ:AMZN IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE! 💥
I first called out NASDAQ:AMZN on October 21st as it was setting up for a huge move and CupnHandle breakout. Here's 3 reasons to not miss this investing or trading opportunity. Price targets at the end.
1.) HIGH FIVE SETUP (Check the numbers below and you will see. 1-Breaking out of cupnhandle & symmetrical triangle pattern. 2-Volume profile gap from a volume shelf. 3-Uptrending MACD. 4-Higher Highs on RSI. 5-Uptrending Stoch. (trend).
2.) #Amazon margins and FCF are growing rapidly and will continue this uptrend heading into the holiday season with a RESILIENT AMERICAN CONSUMER.
3.) It's a BUY according to the fundamentals especially when valuing this company according to it's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF).
Intrinsic Value: $250
🎯PT1: $231 (Symmetrical triangle measured move)
🎯PT2: $310 (Multi-year CupnHandle Measure Move)
Are you a shareholder? or Are you trading this name?
I'm done for the day! Going to be with my wife on her birthday and go trick or treating with my boys. Thanks for all the support, much love!
LIKE l FOLLOW l SHARE
HAPPY HALLOWEEN!
#Earnings
NFA
Amazon (AMZN): Approaching critical resistance!Amazon continues its impressive rise, moving out of our initial sharp Wave (2) scenario. Despite the bullish momentum fueled by last Thursday’s earnings report, we remain cautious and are still leaning towards a potential larger pullback. The company showed strong performance in key segments, with CEO Andy Jassy’s strategic focus on expenditure and cost-cutting delivering an 11% revenue increase to $158.9 billion, surpassing analysts’ expectations.
Now, Amazon has reached our second key turnaround zone, between $201 and $220. A move higher would invalidate our bearish outlook, but until then, we are preparing for a potential pullback and targeting lower entry points to capitalize on future upward swings. The stock has recently posted a nearly perfect equal high, alongside a bearish divergence, which could signal an upcoming correction.
The looming U.S. elections could inject significant volatility into Amazon’s price action, with potential wicks forming in either direction. While a move up to $220 would still be considered valid within this structure, we are closely monitoring these levels. As always, we will update you once the bearish scenario is confirmed or invalidated.
Amazon’s Next BIG Move: Can It Bounce to $207 from Key Support?If Amazon holds strong at $194.31, it could be setting up for a run to $207.30. This level is both a potential target and a great take-profit zone if the bounce holds. Let’s break down what to watch for as this setup unfolds!"
Trade Setup Details:
Support Level at $194.31
Right now, $194.31 is acting as a solid foundation. If Amazon finds buyer interest here, it could kick off a new upward move.
Target Zone: $207.30
If the support holds, $207.30 is the next target. This level is likely to see some selling pressure, making it an ideal area for profit-taking on a successful bounce.
Beginner Tip
Keep an eye on how Amazon reacts around $194.31. Look for strong buying signals (like a bullish candle) before entering, and consider setting your take-profit level around $207.30 to capture gains if the bounce holds.
Happy Trading
Kris/ Mindbloome Trading
Mindbloome Exchange
AMAZON | AMZN , Jeff is back? While Jeff Bezos, fiancée Lauren Sánchez have star studded engagement party on his $500M yacht Amazon has just reported its Q2 2023 earnings result, EPS of 65 cents is not comparable on YoY basis nor to consensus due to the company booking some gains related to its Rivian Automotive, Inc (RIVN) investment. Revenue of $134.3 billion beat consensus by about 2% while showing a YoY jump by nearly 11%. As an immediate reaction, the stock is up nearly 8% after-hours, although this can turn on a dime.I wrote in my preview that Amazon still remains a revenue story and to pay attention to Q2's actual revenue and Q3's revenue guidance. Amazon hit it out of the park on both counts, with Q2 revenue showing an 11% jump and Q3 guidance of $138 billion to $143 billion, easily upping the consensus of $138.29 billion.
As a direct effect of the company reining in on its expenses, Amazon's Free Cash Flow ("FCF") in Q2 2023 improved to almost $8 billon compared to -$23.5 billion in Q2 2022. Headcount is now down 4% YoY.Advertising, which I've highlighted as the next growth driver in many of my past articles, was up 22% YoY. But, more importantly, resumed its upward trajectory on a quarterly basis. Advertising services revenue showed continuous QoQ improvement until the first blip in Q1 2023. Whether Q2's upsurge is a new trend remains to be seen, but it is encouraging that Q2 did not follow Q1 down. I am also glad that my prediction that advertising will cross $10 billion in sales came true.It appears like retail has finally stopped bleeding profusely to avoid wasting all the gains from AWS and Advertising. In my view, retail is just their medium to sell their ecosystem, and this is acceptable to me.
Heading into earnings, Amazon stock was almost into the oversold territory with a Relative Strength Index ("RSI") of 37. Revenue beat and guidance should help the stock garner more analyst support in the upcoming days, and I fully expect the stock's almost-oversold conditions to be in the stock's favor as it has plenty of room upwards technically. The after-hours move has also helped the stock clear all of the commonly used moving averages.AWS's revenue and operating income appeared to be on a perennial, mid-double-digit growth trajectory until recently. However, Q2 saw AWS' sales increase by "just" 12% while operating income fell by more than 5%. It is in this context that advertising services becomes even more important. While $22 billion is strong, it fell well short of the $25 billion I predicted, as the company aims to cross $100 billion in 2023 AWS revenue.
The stock was already up 50% YTD heading into earnings and the run appears set to continue. I am not complaining as a long, but it shouldn't surprise anyone to see the stock pullback from the highs given the market's shaky behavior the last few days.
Overall, Q2 results are much better than Q1, and that shows in the stock's performance, at least as shown in the after-hours price movement. However, Amazon has never been a single quarter or single year story for me. Amazon's ecosystem is enough reason for me to continue believing in the company long-term. The ability to leverage multiple products and services across the entire organization is not something any company can build overnight. In fact, even Amazon has taken nearly 30 years to be the company that it is today
Be careful with Amazon !!!In my opinion, the shares of this company should be 1.5% lower than the current price, which means at $186.5 .
So, any correction in the shares of tech giants is an opportunity for investment entry....
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Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $190, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Amazon (AMZN) - Potential H&S Reversal, Watch for BreakdownOverview:
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is often a bearish reversal indicator. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly defined, with the neckline situated near the $180-$176 zone. If the price breaks below this area, it could signal a larger move downward.
Technical Setup:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Neckline Support: ~$180 - $176 (critical support area)
Trendline: Red ascending trendline, currently serving as additional support
Target Zone: Potential drop toward $168 or lower if the pattern confirms
Price Action:
The recent pullback from the right shoulder aligns with the overall pattern, and a daily close below $176 could confirm the reversal.
Watch for a bounce off the neckline for a potential short-term trade; otherwise, a breakdown could lead to a deeper correction.
Risk Management:
A sustained move above the right shoulder (~$190) would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation of the uptrend.
Catalysts:
Upcoming earnings and market sentiment around consumer spending could influence the stock’s direction, potentially acting as a catalyst for the breakdown or reversal.
Amazon.comHello community,
A little analysis of Amazon stock.
We must watch the break of the trend line.
The movement is bullish, the 200-period simple average is bullish.
The 3 green zones on the chart indicate the accumulation zones.
The end-of-year holidays should be beneficial for the stock.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC) AnalysisCompany Overview: Uranium Energy Corporation AMEX:UEC is strategically positioned for growth with the restart of its in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium production at the Christensen Ranch project. This project commenced sending resin to the Irigaray Central Processing Plant in August 2024, marking a significant step in UEC’s operational ramp-up.
Key Catalysts:
Global Nuclear Energy Demand: The increasing demand for nuclear energy, propelled by partnerships with major technology firms like Google and Amazon, bolsters UEC’s market position. These collaborations highlight the role of nuclear energy in achieving sustainability and energy security amid growing global energy needs.
Strategic Focus on North America: UEC's emphasis on North American uranium production aligns with recent U.S. and EU bans on Russian uranium, ensuring a reliable domestic supply. This local production capability enhances UEC's competitive advantage in the face of geopolitical challenges affecting the uranium market.
Unhedged Strategy: UEC’s unhedged approach allows investors to benefit directly from rising uranium prices, which are currently hovering around $80/lb. This strategy positions UEC favorably to capitalize on the anticipated increase in uranium demand and prices in the coming years.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on UEC above the $6.50-$7.00 range, as the resumption of production and the company’s strategic initiatives pave the way for significant growth opportunities. Upside Potential: Our target for UEC is set at $14.00-$15.00, driven by strong market fundamentals, the growing demand for nuclear energy, and UEC's proactive approach to domestic production.
🚀 UEC—Capitalizing on the Future of Clean Energy. #NuclearEnergy #UraniumMarket #CleanEnergyGrowth
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMAZN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 190usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $11.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
S&P 500 Is Higher Than Ever. Can Earnings Support the Growth?Tech giants are in the waiting room, prepping their financial updates while investors drool over prospects of AI-fueled revenues. The season kicked off with Wall Street banks posting some convincing numbers for the September quarter, painting an optimistic outlook for Corporate America’s biggest and brightest players.
The S&P 500 is hot, hot, hot. Investors just can’t get enough of the 500-strong index and last Friday they pushed it to its 47th record closing high of the year. And they did it with finesse — on the eve of the 37th anniversary of the “Black Monday” market crash. (On Oct. 19, 1987, the S&P 500 wiped out a record 20% and the Nasdaq shed 12%.) Broadly, US indexes are having a bumper year, with most of them up double digits or more.
With no time to waste, markets are shifting their attention to the looming slate of big tech earnings reports . Here’s what’s going to be turning heads this week:
📌 On Wednesday , EV maker Tesla TSLA will be the main character in the world of corporate updates. Wall Street is eyeballing earnings north of $25.4 billion, up from $23.4 billion in the year-ago quarter. Besides Elon Musk’s EV giant, Wednesday will bring earnings from Coca Cola KO , Boeing BA , IBM IBM and telecoms mainstays T-Mobile TMUS and AT&T T .
📌 On Thursday , the earnings roll keeps rolling in with e-commerce and cloud computing juggernaut Amazon AMZN reporting after the closing bell.
But all that earnings action looks fairly light — wait till you see what’s cooking for next week. *drumroll please* … 🥁
The Magnificent Seven club of tech highflyers will be represented by four of its members. (Tesla and Amazon report the prior week and Nvidia NVDA reports in about a month from now.)
📌 On October 29 , Google parent Alphabet GOOGL is scheduled to report earnings figures. Shares of the tech heavyweight are up about 18% on the year but got stuck recently after the Department of Justice filed a range of possible changes aimed at reducing Google’s search dominance.
📌 On October 30 , Facebook parent Meta META and Microsoft MSFT will reveal how they fared in the three months through September. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta flaunts a massive 65% year-to-date increase (and some new glow-up for its loose-shirt-wearing tech bro founder.) Microsoft, on the other hand, is up by a more modest clip of 12%.
📌 On October 31 , Apple AAPL will release its highly-anticipated earnings data that will include a glimpse into how well the new iPhone 16 is selling . Shares of Apple are up roughly 27% for the year.
These seven mega-cap corporate giants are expected to show an 18% rise in third-quarter profits, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. If materialized, that would be substantially slower than the 36% seen in the second quarter. The sheer size of the pack accounts for about 30% of the total market cap of the S&P 500 (which not long ago celebrated its $50 trillion milestone .) Nvidia and Apple alone are worth more than $7 trillion combined.
What’s on your radar for this earnings season? Are you waiting for a tech giant to dip or maybe you're after a bank stock or a car conglomerate? Share your comments below!
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen:
Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate.
Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11.
Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology.
Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market.
Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR.
Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
$Amzn coming off of bottom channel, Target of 195.57 Upcoming?Amazon looks to be about to start its leg up off of the bottom channel. If price can close above yesterday’s highs around 190’s we can se a push to our upper target area of 195.57 for a 5 dollar move. Price action is key with volume!
Trade Safe
@T.W.I.N.E.Y
Is Amazon stock trapping retail traders? Is it too late?Historically, Amazon tends to experience a run-up leading into Prime Day, which could add positive momentum to the stock. There are some indications that history might, in fact, repeat itself.
The yellow line represents the 6-month anchored VWAP, while the white line shows the July highs anchored VWAP. These VWAPs are crucial as they provide a strong indication of where average buying and selling have occurred over significant time frames, acting as dynamic support or resistance levels.
I anticipate strong resistance near the August highs, as this is a level where increased supply could enter the market. To counter this, I am hoping for a tight consolidation or base formation in the $183.22 - $187.50 range, setting up for a powerful upside move.
If the price can hold within this range, it could pave the way for a retest of the August high and potentially push further up towards $200 by the end of the year.
RIVIAN 25 COMING.... 🎉 Why Rivian's Stock Price Could Hit $25 🎉
Innovation and Product Appeal: Rivian has been making waves with its innovative electric vehicles like the R1T and R1S. The anticipation around new models and features, like the Gear Guard live cam and Tri-zone climate control, keeps the brand's allure strong among tech-savvy consumers and environmental enthusiasts. The unique selling points of these vehicles could drive demand, positively impacting stock value.
Strategic Partnerships and Market Positioning: The relationship with Amazon for electric delivery vehicles positions Rivian as a key player in not just the consumer EV market but also in commercial applications. This could lead to steady order flows and visibility, crucial for investor confidence.
Production Scale and Cost Reduction: Rivian's focus on scaling production, especially with the introduction of its in-house Enduro drive unit, aims to reduce costs significantly. As production ramps up, achieving economies of scale could lead to better margins, making the stock more attractive.
Investor Sentiment and Analyst Predictions: Despite variations, there's a notable optimism among analysts with a mix of hold and buy ratings, suggesting that many see potential for growth. The consensus price targets around $17.68 with highs up to $28 indicate that reaching $25 isn't far-fetched, especially if Rivian meets its production and innovation goals.
Market Expansion and Brand Loyalty: Initiatives like The Good Project, where Rivian vehicles are used for community service, not only enhance brand image but also foster loyalty. Exclusive offers for existing customers to upgrade to newer models could retain and grow the customer base, indirectly supporting stock price through sustained demand.
Technological Advancements: Rivian's development of proprietary technology, including its own chips and operating system, could insulate it from supply chain issues and offer competitive advantages. Innovation in software updates like dynamic headlamp leveling shows a commitment to continuous improvement, which could excite investors.
Market Sentiment Towards EVs: The broader trend towards electric vehicles continues to gain momentum. As more regions implement policies favoring EVs, companies like Rivian, which are pure-play EV manufacturers, stand to benefit from this shift, potentially driving up stock prices.
Financial Health and Investment: While Rivian has significant cash reserves, managing these effectively for growth without excessive dilution could reassure investors. The strategic use of funds for R&D and scaling could pave the way for profitability, a significant milestone for stock valuation.
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY? YES!!The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY?
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)
Weekly TF shows price has pulled back into the +FVG after displacing above the intermediate swing high, completing an External to Internal move. That high intersects the +FVG nicely as confluence of support.
Daily TF shows a Daily +FVG nested within the Weekly +FVG, serving as more confluence of support.
The idea here is if the +FVG holds, price will seek the buy side liquidity highlighted. This would be an Internal to External liquidity movement.
The local high at **48.00** is nice round number to draw price. **50.00** is the longer term draw on liquidity.
*The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven.
Amazon may have a minor correction before the 260 & 300 targetsWeekly chart, the stock NASDAQ:AMZN is trading in a rising expanding wedge, and the path should be hitting the resistance line R at around 230 after a little correction to around 170
Trading above 230 for 2 weeks will drive the price to 260 then 300
Note: As the current price is far from the support level (line S), a suitable stop loss level should be considered and monitored.
Amazon - Buying Pullbacks & Cyclical High Expected SoonHere is what I am watching on Amazon.
-We need to be aware that there is bearish divergence setting up on the quarterly, monthly & weekly charts. HOWEVER, this divergence is not yet confirmed, and is therefore not actionable trade intel at the present moment. We need to monitor these divergences, because if they confirm, they imply significant price moves in Amazon share price.
-MAC strategy for the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts remain bullish. Any pullbacks into the bottom of the MAC are BUY opportunities. I do not blindly buy the bottom of the channels, but utilize lower timeframe entry techniques at these levels to trigger into a position. We are still BULLISH Amazon.
-Cycles suggest that Amazon could put in a cyclical high any time between now and October 10th, before putting in a major cyclical low at the end of October. I would like to see this play out to provide us with nice buy opportunities at the bottom of the MAC's.
AMAZON SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AMAZON is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 191.75$
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 184.00$
SHORT🔥
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