Multiple Ideas for MELI the next weekLike you can see the Graph. MELI has a good fundamentals from the last Earnings and Revenue. One the F. Volume profile levels reach the 61,8% of the Fibonacci Retracement. So It's time to wait if the POC moves to that area and make things more interesting. The other Escenario is Wait for a Breakout. I think both Ideas are good if the Ocillator goes in a red wave marking a good retracement and go bullish again with more power and momentum
Amazon
Solid Level for AMZNI have been stalking NASDAQ:AMZN share prices for months now watching as it retraced from the All Time High down to a full 50% Retracement from the All Time Low. This is a pretty epic pullback level that took decades to create.
The 6 month downtrend from 146 > 81 created its own 50% Retracement at 114 as Resistance. February earnings popped to this level and confirmed it. As the January bull run fades AMZN comes back again to test the broader level.
Even as we drill lower to the intraday timeframe we can see the 50% Retracements begin to setup. The volatility around today's FOMC minutes shows respect for the level. This sets up a low risk opportunity to play the decadal Support.
The Search For Liquidity in ERA of TighteningYoung corporate executives in Mumbai, who may never have read Marx, were recently circulating by e-mail portions from Karl Marx's 150-year-old writings which lucidly talk about a stage in capitalism where banks would throw ever larger doses of cheap debt for consumption until there is a crises of repayment and the state would step in to take over the banks. Indeed, Marx had even said the original proponents of free trade will be forced to turn protectionist at some stage of globalisation!
So it was only appropriate that the G-20 leaders should have met so close to Marx's grave. In fact, there are many other warning signals the G-20 leaders can take from the writings of Marx, undoubtedly one of the greatest thinkers of the 19th century.
Seen in Marxian terms, the G-20 leaders represent the global bourgeoisie which wants to find new ways of revolutionising the instruments of production to take global capitalism to a higher level from what seems like a deep stagnation in large parts of the world today. In this context, Marx had specifically spoken about periods of commercial crises in advanced capitalist societies which are visited by an epidemic of overproduction
The epidemic of overproduction creates total disorder in bourgeois society, threatening existing property and productive forces at large.
Amazon -> Bullish Scenario Playing OutHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
From a weekly perspective Amazon recently tested a quite obvious previous weekly support area from which we started a quite nice rally towards the upside.
Considering the fact that Amazon also broke above a key weekly downtrend-line, I think that we have some more overall upside potential.
From a daily timeframe we are currently retesting previous resistance which is now turned strong support, so if we see some more bullish confirmation inside of this zone, there is a high chance that we will actually see the continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Amazon: Slowly getting there 🐌Amazon is still working on its correction - well, we might have to drag the stock to the green target zone between $95.21 and $85.51 since it is currently moving sideways. Once the green wave is fulfilled within the target zone, the trend can turn back North and rise above the resistance line at $117.50. Our alternative scenario with a probability of 40% implies, that the Amazon stock could ignore the green target zone and exceed the $117.50-mark right away.
Amazon: Fundamental Analysis + Next TargetIn the last year, the price of Amazon stock has decreased by more than 30%. Following profits that were poorer than experts had anticipated in 2023, the company's shares had a temporary recovery.
However, Amazon's long-term thesis is still compelling, and this could be a terrific opportunity to purchase the company during the current dip. This is due to a number of factors.
The macroeconomic environment may soon improve.
Although it is still too early to say whether the Nasdaq bear market is finished, there does appear to be some hope. Even though interest rates are high right now, inflation is not decreasing. This might persuade the Federal Reserve to loosen its stringent monetary policy without sending the American economy into a downturn, a situation known as "soft landing."
Although Amazon's stock price appears to be benefiting from favorable market factors, the company's recent results for the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, 2022, leave much to be desired. Net sales rose 9% year over year to $149.2 billion thanks to growth in North American e-commerce and cloud computing, which helped offset a significant decline in international e-commerce. Net income fell 98% from $14.3 billion to just $300 million.
That's a very troubling result. But investors should look at the situation in the right context. Amazon's business is cyclical, which means it is very sensitive to changes in macroeconomic conditions -- including inflation and rising interest rates, which can hurt consumer confidence.
And while the global economy may weather the recession, many companies are choosing to behave more cautiously, postponing enterprise cloud migrations or moving to cheaper service levels, resulting in slower Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue growth.
In the long term, e-commerce and cloud computing remain growth opportunities for Amazon. Executives believe public and private enterprises are still in the early stages of moving their computing needs to the cloud.
And in 2023, Amazon plans to bring its e-commerce platform to new markets in Latin America and Africa. The company's scale allows it to achieve cost and network efficiencies to stay ahead of competitors in the industry.
Amazon stock, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 68, doesn't look particularly cheap compared to the S&P 500 average of 22. But investors should keep in mind that, as a cyclical company, its current earnings are unusually low and do not necessarily reflect its long-term earnings potential.
Despite its near-term problems, Amazon remains one of the best bets for long-term e-commerce and cloud computing, and for patient investors, the stock still looks like a buy.
Nasdaq's journey post breakout/ rates to look out for 06.02.20232 possible scenarios:
1) Price continues to charge forward post big "falling wedge" pattern breakout up, targeting 15,300 as breakout target (equal distance of wedge width measured from breakout) with 12,800 "rising wedge" resistance broken this scenario will be confirmed.
13,600 is in the way and could be correction back down 12,200-300 once reached, or can charge above to 15,300 straight.
2) Price drops from "rising wedge" resistance at 12,800 and breaks below 12,200 "rising wedge" support, which could target lower to 10,800 which would be retest of "falling wedge" breakout and target of "rising wedge" breakout combined.
A lot depends on FED policy and market sentiment, suggestable action would be once "rising wedge" (12,800 to 12,200) breaks down or up, indicating a much more clear direction.
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Do your own research and always trade with caution.
I am here for any questions or comments, would appreciate any interaction A LOT!
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amazon stock amazon holder don't panic hold for 1 to 2 month
old buyer dont exit ( wait for good news )
new investor ( wait for dip if brake this level )
so game is 80-20 % so amazon can take a more spot if they take a spot then you can more buy
if Monday favour our technical you can see more profit
AAPL: LAST MAN STANDING / FIB / PREDICTION / MASSIVE CHANNELDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a detailed MACRO analysis of AAPL laid out in its MASSIVE MONTHLY CHANNEL of 180 - 123.75 that has been held since DECEMBER 2020. Out of 8 massive US market movers AAPL was the only one to hold a positive position at market close on Feb 3.
IMPORTANT LIST OF US MARKET MOVERS: AAPLE, COSTCO, NVIDIA, FACEBOOK, ALIBABA, AMAZON, GOOGLE, AMD
POINTS:
1. Deviation of 6.25 DICTATES SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT.
2. Dotted orange vertical lines represent a months time.
3. EMA'S: 45 (BLUE), 100 (YELLOW), 200 (RED).
4. Green dotted vertical lines represent top for AAPL top.
5. Optimal Target: 161.25
6. Notice EMA movement where current placement would signify price action has plenty to give to the upside.
RSI: Common Range for RSI to linger between 50 - 70 despite somewhat overbought territory.
MACD: Notice current uptrend of buying to selling pressure and not the similar trajectory and angle. MACD has yet to ride trend before drop occurs which is highlighted by sphere.
SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario price action lingers around 155 SUPPORT and we see sideways action OR we see a sudden drop in the coming days but bounce 148.75 SUPPORT without losing upward momentum and confirming a continuation of upward momentum and confirming current setup.
SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario price action 148.75 & continues with strong downward momentum to 145 and beyond that break uptrend and invalidate setup.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AAPL
Amazon AMZN - Manufacturing SupportAmazon is a company I frankly do not like anything about. I feel it's like the North American version of the Chinese Communist Party's Aliexpress and roughly exists to rely on a network of fake reviews to push junk made in the CCP's factories through North America for the purposes of letting the Party keep people employed so they don't rebel and to allow the regime a financial lifeline.
I personally make a point of buying elsewhere under all circumstances and have found no reason to use Amazon. The prices aren't even good anymore.
However, when it comes to trading, I don't care. I care about price action, because I believe that the price action fractal reflects the combined knowledge of all market participants.
If it was a buy and hold kind of market, I would stay away from it, but I think Amazon is actually presenting a major opportunity manufacturing support at the COVID-low double bottom and has produced something you go long on profitably.
In early November, I made a strong call on Amazon amid the price action following the Q3 earnings dump that ended up working out for a ~15% gain.
AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and Gloom
The long opportunity at present is even larger, and is primarily based on the fact that I believe that indexes are set for an 8-10%+ jump before we see the real nightmare of 2023 from a broken global economy unfold before our faces and the happy days never come back.
SPX500 / ES / SPY - Enjoy the Party While It Lasts
The basis for the idea is simple. Markets at large do not seem to want to go down. Amazon ran its November post-earnings dump low and has consolidated above the 2020 COVID hysteria panic dump low.
Additionally, Friday's NFP dump was met with a sharp 5%+ reversal, leading to Amazon closing the week above the $85.88 low. The MMs still have not ran the bottom, which indicates they're long from the COVID low and this point will be saved for future considerations once they're short.
The most obvious target for an upside area for the purposes of selling short is the gap at $105, which the previous bounce most notably, conveniently, and only slightly missed. A run to this area already amounts to 25% gain on a time horizon that I would expect is within the period of now to February FOMC.
But additionally, AMZN has a breakaway gap in the $120s that it can target, should that $105~ gap fill and Amazon acts like META has and not retrace.
However, should a pump not transpire in either Amazon or the indexes in general, the best case scenario for Amazon is $75-65. Should this unfold, it may either take a long time for recovery; It may also never recover.
With any long trade, I have to caution readers that the situation in Mainland China under the Communist Party is very severe, as the world's largest and most important nation has been sacked by Wuhan Pneumonia for the last three years.
The situation is not getting better, it's getting worse.
The amount of people and high ranking Party members who have perished is scary, so much scarier than the little bit that comes out from behind the Great Firewall's censorship system.
Should the flames of the pandemic suddenly accelerate one day and cause the fall of key CCP cadres, up to and including Xi Jinping, you should always remember that 6:00 PM Beijing time is right before the NYSE 7:30 open, and thus all long trades are at risk of a significant and unprecedented gap down.
*Sighs* ... Human beings tend not to believe anything until they can see it. So long as their prejudices believe something is "not possible," they won't even consider it can happen until it starts unfolding before their very eyes.
However, then it's already too late.
The problem with Wuhan Pneumonia is the English-language propaganda machines ("media") will not report the truth of the situation in Mainland China and will help the Party cover up the pestilence until the plague is so serious that the Party collapses and nobody can keep a lid on the real disaster befalling the Central Kingdom.
When that day comes, it will imperil more than your PnL and the state of your portfolio.
It's simply just too critical that before that day comes, you do your part to reject and oppose the Chinese Communist Party and the Marxist-Leninist ideals and systems it has spread throughout the world.
For when that day comes, it will be too late for regret.
Hope for the future lies in the present.
Just your choices in the present. It's a test of your heart and soul.
Amazon back on the track!Amazon - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 105.11 (stop at 98.39)
We have a Gap open at 28/10/2022 from 110.96 to 97.91.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
Prices have reacted from 81.43.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Short term bias has turned positive.
A break of the recent high at 104.87 should result in a further move higher.
Our profit targets will be 121.88 and 125.88
Resistance: 103.50 / 104.87 / 112.00
Support: 101.00 / 97.50 / 91.52
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AMZN Potential for Bullish Continuation | 1st February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AMZN is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 98.68, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 91.54, where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 121.31,where the previous swing high is.
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