Amazon: A Vision in WhiteAlthough Amazon is currently moving sideways after following a downwards slope, we expect the course to drop down further below the support line at $87.59 to reach the white target zone between $85.73 and $65.73, where wave (IV) in white should hit its low. Afterwards, the course should turn back up and push above the support at $87.59. As soon as the course exceeds this mark, it should wander further North to climb above the resistance line at $104.87 and carry on with the upwards trend. There’s also a 30% chance that Amazon could make it above $104.87 earlier already, thus skipping the white zone.
Amazon
Amazon to break back above $100?Amazon - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 105.01 (stop at 100.26)
103.78 has been pivotal.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Prices have reacted from 85.88.
In our opinion this stock is undervalued.
Previous support, now becomes resistance at 105.
A break of resistance at 105 should lead to a more aggressive move higher towards 115.
Our profit targets will be 116.88 and 119.88
Resistance: 95.00 / 101.00 / 105.00
Support: 90.60 / 85.88 / 80.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Amazon, Inc. Since 2000 (22 Years - Worrisome To Say The Least)I got scared when I saw this chart... Maybe that is why Jeff Bezos is planning on laying off a lot of people...
Let me show you.
AMZN right now is trading right at strong/long-term support.
This critical support is the consolidation box/range from June 2018 through March 2020. This is marked light blue on the chart.
Now, we have strong bearish signals developing and as you can see when you move your eyes to the left... We have 22 years to correct.
Ok, let's start with the signals:
- We have a bearish cross between EMA10 and EMA50.
- Qstick and RSI strongly bearish.
- 4 Months closing red spells doom.
- The other stocks aren't looking good.
The 0.5 Fib. retracement level for the 20+ year bullish wave has been lost as support. That is $94.47. This is a once in a lifetime event.
The next Fib. support level is the golden ratio at $72.24... That's the main target on the monthly timeframe.
If this level breaks, 0.618 Fib., $40 enters the game.
CHANGE
Amazon (AMZN) needs to break and close above $116 monthly for some bullish air to enter the chart.
Any trading below this level and this chart analysis remains valid.
Thank you for reading.
Remember to always plan ahead; long-term.
Namaste.
Add to Amazon longsAmazon looks set to blow right up here and close all the purple lines (gap fills)) on this daily time frame chart . NY times article today about 10,000 lay offs should drive this higher as with META last week. I expect this to go on and take out ATH's within a few years- but still have to be cautious until bear market is negated. Nevertheless Amazon is a great long term buy and hold here. We will likely see a fake break of the 100 and this will take us up to 110 and more.
N.B. just keeping all the resistance lines (red) on this chart to show potential take profit points for shorter term traders. Green lines are support.
🔴SELL ZONES & DEMAND ZONES🟢Get used to detecting SELL ZONES & DEMAND ZONES.
This is one of the easiest TA and most effective.
This is AMZN 1 hr TF.
Should be pretty self-explanatory.
I draw these zones on multiple time frames, the larger the time frame the stronger the probability of the zone to be true.
So pretty much, you'd want to buy when you're in the buy zone, or close enough.
And vice versa when it comes to selling.
AMZN Potential for Bullish Rise| 18th November 2022On the H4 chart, the overall bias for AMZN is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. However, we are looking to play the pullback by placing a buy at 92.43, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 85.88, where the previous swing low was. Looking to take profit at 109.58, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are located. To add confluence to that take profit area, there is a market gap that looks good to be filled.
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META Facebook/Meta - Too Much Bear, Not Enough BullPersonally, I have only low opinions of Facebook, for it exists really as a big data collection hub. A lot of tracking cookies just traffic your browsing history and information back to their servers, whether you have an account or not, for AI analysis and surveillance.
And then there's the Metaverse, which Mark Zuckerberg and Communist Party Global are so delirious that they think you're going to spend your 40 hour work week with a 10 pound Oculus Rift bolted to your face while you lay on the floor in your pod covered in blankets with your heat restricted by the Communist Party Central Planning Committee to 18C eating the bugs as they scream "climate crisis" and "energy crisis" while showing off in their private jets, feasting on cows.
All commentary on the state of affairs of the company and the disastrous direction the Metaverse vaporware has taken it aside, I'm a price action trader, and when it comes to Meta, which is a keystone of the Nasdaq, you just have to have your interest piqued when something has dropped as much as this boat anchor has.
Notably, in the last 2 months and 4 days alone, Meta has lost 76% of its value.
Just look at this monthly:
With stocks, these types of doom gaps rarely seem to present a real buying opportunity to capture a retrace with. This is demonstrated in Meta on the weekly, which shows literally 8 consecutive losing weeks, with pretty much no bounce at all.
In the last two weeks alone, from the broken low to the bottom was another 28%.
Looking at the daily, we can see that the post-earnings dump just literally went straight down in a straight line.
This is the definition of "oversold," really. But as any seasoned trader who has burned their hands will tell you, something being oversold does not make it a buy, for that oversold indicator can snake on the floor for a lot longer than you can stay solvent before finally recovering.
Yet, we get to a key juncture that gives us a situation that certainly piqued my interest tremendously.
Not only has Meta dumped another $10 in the first trading days of November already, but it made a very weak high on the first and has since traded below a key pivot low from 2016.
Additionally, price action on Non-farm payrolls Friday showed Meta crush through a short term double bottom and then reverse.
To me, all the stars have aligned and all the conditions precedent for bears to get #rekt are present.
Going long here means you have a $7 upside just to the November high. That November 1 high will not be the high of the month for Meta. You can pretty much set your watch to that. At some point, they will rip it past it and clear out the shortsellers and bring in rally chasers, for sure.
Better yet, trading back to the post-earnings gap down to rebalance the range produces a $12 upside.
If Meta trades back to range equilibrium of the up candle before the earnings dump, your upside is $25.
A key point here is the area above $120 is a high resistance range on the weekly. If Meta starts to trade in here, especially if it doesn't reject hard, the upside can be significantly higher.
You might think that there's no way it could happen, but there's always some latent "news" driver that has been arranged to power the bear guillotine and bring the FOMO in.
The key point with trades like this is to manage your risk. Don't be too greedy. Take profits. Be patient. Give up if it won't pump.
But don't bottom short and make yourself a dead bear, either. If Nasdaq does what the Dow just did during election week next week, a lot of people's bottom puts are going to expire worthless while those short on margin are going to get gap up on open liquidated.
AMAZON Targeting $115 this month. Huge 1W bullish divergenceAmazon Inc (AMAZON) is on a strong rebound since the November 09 low, following the rest of the market in the aftermath of the big drop on the monthly CPI. The first and obvious short-term target is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the medium-term the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
The recent low was made following the 1D MA50/100 Bearish Cross and last time that pattern emerged was on January 21 2022, which preceded the Jan 24 Low. We have plotted that fractal on today's price action since the August 16 High and it matches fairly well. As you see a potential end of November High can play out with a 1D MA100 test nicely around $115.00.
Obviously the long-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and as long as the huge bullish divergence on the 1W RSI holds, being within a Channel Up (Higher Highs and Higher Lows) as opposed to the price action (Lower Highs and Lower Lows), we can break this fractal sooner than expected. Only a break above the November 19 2021 Lower Highs can restore the long-term bullish trend.
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Going Short in AMAZON - Nasdaq.Hello Traders;
AMAZON STOCK - Nasdaq.
Trade Plan.
Short / Sell Trade.
Entry Level below the 4 Hour Resistance Zone Between 101.87 to 103.78
Take Profit 1 @ 4 Hour Support at 91.15
Take Profit 2 @ 4 Hour Support / FIB 100% Level at 86.38
Take Profit 3 @ 4 Hour Support at 610.30
Take Profit 4 @ Daily Support Level / FIB 123.60% Level 72.86
Stop Loss @ FIB 61.80% Level at 108.58
Lot Size :
Portfolio Size 10000
Risk to Reward 1 : 1
Lot size = 124 Shares @ 5% Risk
TP 1 = Total PIPS in gain = 12.63 Profit 14.08%
TP 2 = Total PIPS in gain = 17.40 Profit 20.25%
TP 3 = Total PIPS in gain = 20.79 Profit 21.97%
TP 4 = Total PIPS in gain = 30.92 Profit 42.19%
Total PIPS in Stop loss = 4.80 Loss 4.30%
Regards,
AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and GloomSomething I am aware of is that traders get trapped primarily because they get laser focused on one specific side of the market and one specific price target. This happens either because of greed in wanting to get it allllllll from a winning position or simply being caught underwater.
Amazon, a formerly $1+ trillion company by market cap, lost 30% of its value in the course of literally two weeks, but yet, still does not count as "cheap."
Weekly
At $91, this thing is still pushing a $982 billion market cap, and this is a company that more or less exists as a cesspool of fake Chinese product reviews and as a western import hub for junk effectively siphoned from the Chinese Communist Party's Aliexpress.
Looking at the monthly, after two years of post-Coronavirus Disease 2019 distribution, nobody in their right minds should be bullish on Amazon.
It's no longer a buy, it's a sell, and has been all year.
It's not that Amazon is a bad company, it's that the market structure clearly seeks to drain all that coiled tension from two years of selling inside a (relatively) narrow range.
But that being said, you can also tell from the monthly that there's huge ranges playing out while it makes its way downwards. The monthly also shows that Amazon is trading at a deep discount level of its total COVID-era structure.
While it could run from here and take out the lows with great ease, or run towards them another 10% and double bottom, I feel it isn't likely to play out so easily for bears, who already just had a big meal, and should not be overly greedy.
When we look at the Daily, it gives us a lot more perspective and some things to be realistic about.
Namely, the September gap is above equilibrium and counts as a breakaway. Amazon will trade back there one day, but only after the market operator has achieved its downside objective, for it already played with equilibrium twice and had no interest in filling the gap.
But Amazon lost almost $20 on its earnings call to end October, and then bounced hard before proceeding to lose another $10 in short order.
The notions of "oversold" and "overbought" shouldn't be measured in terms of indicators, for those are just math-based lagging lines. Overbought and oversold should be measured based on price action, for in reality, when the trading desk at JP Morgan and Citadel sit down in the morning, they're looking at dollar values, just like you are.
"How much do I have to spend? How much can I make? How much do I stand to lose?"
But unlike you, they aren't looking at trendline astrology or squiggle lines and Elliot wave superstitions, because when it comes to taking risk and calculating for potential reward, if you lose, you can't really tell your shareholders things like "But meh Williams %R hit 42 while the wave count was a 16(a)(c)42. I don't know what went wrong!"
Based on today's overall wild price action it seems that indexes are poised to stop trying to make lows and rally. This is congruent with the timing we face, with the US midterms being Tuesday of next week and CPI printing on Thursday.
During today's manipulation, Amazon also made three consecutive hourly lows before finally pivoting. This should indicate the operators will seek short term upside.
What's good in this trade is a most conservative upside target is 10%, slightly over $100. Yet, if Nasdaq rips even 60 or 70% as hard as the Dow just did, upside targets in the $107 range are likely to be fulfilled.
If Nasdaq really goes crazy bull trap to sucker in retail and gamma squeeze, then $120 is on the table.
These are big opportunities one can take advantage of, but it's hard to take advantage of them if one has their eyes on the $81.30 COVID low because Fintwitt, your signal service Discord, some guy with a Pepe avatar who claims he worked for Goldman Sachs in 1997, etc., are screaming about recession and the Federal Reserve not pivoting.
FAANG Is about to go higher!Traders and Investors, FAANG index has reached an FCP zone which is also a previous structure level. This can create a good bounce up (BULL) opportunity for all FAANG stocks.
Facebook (Meta)
Apple
Amazon
Netflix
Google
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Buying Amazon lows.Amazon - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 103.11 (stop at 97.97)
101.26 has been pivotal.
101.43 has been pivotal.
We look to buy dips.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Support is located at 102.00 and should stem dips to this area.
Our profit targets will be 116.16 and 119.16
Resistance: 117.00 / 121.50 / 125.50
Support: 110.00 / 105.50 / 102.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
✅AMAZON BREAKOUT CONFIRMED|SHORT🔥
✅AMAZON was trading above the key level
But we are finally seeing a bearish breakout
And the daily candle closed below the level
Which means that the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased now
And after the pullback and retest
We will be expecting bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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