Amazon
META Facebook/Meta - Too Much Bear, Not Enough BullPersonally, I have only low opinions of Facebook, for it exists really as a big data collection hub. A lot of tracking cookies just traffic your browsing history and information back to their servers, whether you have an account or not, for AI analysis and surveillance.
And then there's the Metaverse, which Mark Zuckerberg and Communist Party Global are so delirious that they think you're going to spend your 40 hour work week with a 10 pound Oculus Rift bolted to your face while you lay on the floor in your pod covered in blankets with your heat restricted by the Communist Party Central Planning Committee to 18C eating the bugs as they scream "climate crisis" and "energy crisis" while showing off in their private jets, feasting on cows.
All commentary on the state of affairs of the company and the disastrous direction the Metaverse vaporware has taken it aside, I'm a price action trader, and when it comes to Meta, which is a keystone of the Nasdaq, you just have to have your interest piqued when something has dropped as much as this boat anchor has.
Notably, in the last 2 months and 4 days alone, Meta has lost 76% of its value.
Just look at this monthly:
With stocks, these types of doom gaps rarely seem to present a real buying opportunity to capture a retrace with. This is demonstrated in Meta on the weekly, which shows literally 8 consecutive losing weeks, with pretty much no bounce at all.
In the last two weeks alone, from the broken low to the bottom was another 28%.
Looking at the daily, we can see that the post-earnings dump just literally went straight down in a straight line.
This is the definition of "oversold," really. But as any seasoned trader who has burned their hands will tell you, something being oversold does not make it a buy, for that oversold indicator can snake on the floor for a lot longer than you can stay solvent before finally recovering.
Yet, we get to a key juncture that gives us a situation that certainly piqued my interest tremendously.
Not only has Meta dumped another $10 in the first trading days of November already, but it made a very weak high on the first and has since traded below a key pivot low from 2016.
Additionally, price action on Non-farm payrolls Friday showed Meta crush through a short term double bottom and then reverse.
To me, all the stars have aligned and all the conditions precedent for bears to get #rekt are present.
Going long here means you have a $7 upside just to the November high. That November 1 high will not be the high of the month for Meta. You can pretty much set your watch to that. At some point, they will rip it past it and clear out the shortsellers and bring in rally chasers, for sure.
Better yet, trading back to the post-earnings gap down to rebalance the range produces a $12 upside.
If Meta trades back to range equilibrium of the up candle before the earnings dump, your upside is $25.
A key point here is the area above $120 is a high resistance range on the weekly. If Meta starts to trade in here, especially if it doesn't reject hard, the upside can be significantly higher.
You might think that there's no way it could happen, but there's always some latent "news" driver that has been arranged to power the bear guillotine and bring the FOMO in.
The key point with trades like this is to manage your risk. Don't be too greedy. Take profits. Be patient. Give up if it won't pump.
But don't bottom short and make yourself a dead bear, either. If Nasdaq does what the Dow just did during election week next week, a lot of people's bottom puts are going to expire worthless while those short on margin are going to get gap up on open liquidated.
AMAZON Targeting $115 this month. Huge 1W bullish divergenceAmazon Inc (AMAZON) is on a strong rebound since the November 09 low, following the rest of the market in the aftermath of the big drop on the monthly CPI. The first and obvious short-term target is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the medium-term the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
The recent low was made following the 1D MA50/100 Bearish Cross and last time that pattern emerged was on January 21 2022, which preceded the Jan 24 Low. We have plotted that fractal on today's price action since the August 16 High and it matches fairly well. As you see a potential end of November High can play out with a 1D MA100 test nicely around $115.00.
Obviously the long-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and as long as the huge bullish divergence on the 1W RSI holds, being within a Channel Up (Higher Highs and Higher Lows) as opposed to the price action (Lower Highs and Lower Lows), we can break this fractal sooner than expected. Only a break above the November 19 2021 Lower Highs can restore the long-term bullish trend.
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Going Short in AMAZON - Nasdaq.Hello Traders;
AMAZON STOCK - Nasdaq.
Trade Plan.
Short / Sell Trade.
Entry Level below the 4 Hour Resistance Zone Between 101.87 to 103.78
Take Profit 1 @ 4 Hour Support at 91.15
Take Profit 2 @ 4 Hour Support / FIB 100% Level at 86.38
Take Profit 3 @ 4 Hour Support at 610.30
Take Profit 4 @ Daily Support Level / FIB 123.60% Level 72.86
Stop Loss @ FIB 61.80% Level at 108.58
Lot Size :
Portfolio Size 10000
Risk to Reward 1 : 1
Lot size = 124 Shares @ 5% Risk
TP 1 = Total PIPS in gain = 12.63 Profit 14.08%
TP 2 = Total PIPS in gain = 17.40 Profit 20.25%
TP 3 = Total PIPS in gain = 20.79 Profit 21.97%
TP 4 = Total PIPS in gain = 30.92 Profit 42.19%
Total PIPS in Stop loss = 4.80 Loss 4.30%
Regards,
AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and GloomSomething I am aware of is that traders get trapped primarily because they get laser focused on one specific side of the market and one specific price target. This happens either because of greed in wanting to get it allllllll from a winning position or simply being caught underwater.
Amazon, a formerly $1+ trillion company by market cap, lost 30% of its value in the course of literally two weeks, but yet, still does not count as "cheap."
Weekly
At $91, this thing is still pushing a $982 billion market cap, and this is a company that more or less exists as a cesspool of fake Chinese product reviews and as a western import hub for junk effectively siphoned from the Chinese Communist Party's Aliexpress.
Looking at the monthly, after two years of post-Coronavirus Disease 2019 distribution, nobody in their right minds should be bullish on Amazon.
It's no longer a buy, it's a sell, and has been all year.
It's not that Amazon is a bad company, it's that the market structure clearly seeks to drain all that coiled tension from two years of selling inside a (relatively) narrow range.
But that being said, you can also tell from the monthly that there's huge ranges playing out while it makes its way downwards. The monthly also shows that Amazon is trading at a deep discount level of its total COVID-era structure.
While it could run from here and take out the lows with great ease, or run towards them another 10% and double bottom, I feel it isn't likely to play out so easily for bears, who already just had a big meal, and should not be overly greedy.
When we look at the Daily, it gives us a lot more perspective and some things to be realistic about.
Namely, the September gap is above equilibrium and counts as a breakaway. Amazon will trade back there one day, but only after the market operator has achieved its downside objective, for it already played with equilibrium twice and had no interest in filling the gap.
But Amazon lost almost $20 on its earnings call to end October, and then bounced hard before proceeding to lose another $10 in short order.
The notions of "oversold" and "overbought" shouldn't be measured in terms of indicators, for those are just math-based lagging lines. Overbought and oversold should be measured based on price action, for in reality, when the trading desk at JP Morgan and Citadel sit down in the morning, they're looking at dollar values, just like you are.
"How much do I have to spend? How much can I make? How much do I stand to lose?"
But unlike you, they aren't looking at trendline astrology or squiggle lines and Elliot wave superstitions, because when it comes to taking risk and calculating for potential reward, if you lose, you can't really tell your shareholders things like "But meh Williams %R hit 42 while the wave count was a 16(a)(c)42. I don't know what went wrong!"
Based on today's overall wild price action it seems that indexes are poised to stop trying to make lows and rally. This is congruent with the timing we face, with the US midterms being Tuesday of next week and CPI printing on Thursday.
During today's manipulation, Amazon also made three consecutive hourly lows before finally pivoting. This should indicate the operators will seek short term upside.
What's good in this trade is a most conservative upside target is 10%, slightly over $100. Yet, if Nasdaq rips even 60 or 70% as hard as the Dow just did, upside targets in the $107 range are likely to be fulfilled.
If Nasdaq really goes crazy bull trap to sucker in retail and gamma squeeze, then $120 is on the table.
These are big opportunities one can take advantage of, but it's hard to take advantage of them if one has their eyes on the $81.30 COVID low because Fintwitt, your signal service Discord, some guy with a Pepe avatar who claims he worked for Goldman Sachs in 1997, etc., are screaming about recession and the Federal Reserve not pivoting.
FAANG Is about to go higher!Traders and Investors, FAANG index has reached an FCP zone which is also a previous structure level. This can create a good bounce up (BULL) opportunity for all FAANG stocks.
Facebook (Meta)
Apple
Amazon
Netflix
Google
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The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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Buying Amazon lows.Amazon - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 103.11 (stop at 97.97)
101.26 has been pivotal.
101.43 has been pivotal.
We look to buy dips.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Support is located at 102.00 and should stem dips to this area.
Our profit targets will be 116.16 and 119.16
Resistance: 117.00 / 121.50 / 125.50
Support: 110.00 / 105.50 / 102.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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✅AMAZON BREAKOUT CONFIRMED|SHORT🔥
✅AMAZON was trading above the key level
But we are finally seeing a bearish breakout
And the daily candle closed below the level
Which means that the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased now
And after the pullback and retest
We will be expecting bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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AMAZON Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON is trading in a falling channel
And the stocks is yet again trading at the very edge
Of the horizontal support so I am bearish biased
And I think that IF we see a breakout of the support
Then the price will keep falling inside the channel
Towards the lower demand levels
Sell!
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See other ideas below too!
Bitcoin looks to be repeating the Amazon Potential Bottom.Bitcoin is graphed here to be repeating the Amazon movement but at an accelerated pace, what took years for Amazon to reach a bottom could have taken Bitcoin only months.
If this trend continues it could be on the way to exploding in adoption faster than Amazon but in the same manor.
Ruling out traditional markets / black swan events, if you're holding Bitcoin for longer than 2 + years | would be a nice spot to collect some, without catching them all.
32K for BTC is this pattern plays out!Adam and Eve bottom on the making?
For this pattern to work, Bitcoin needs to stay above 20K and gradually keep rising to the next downtrend and the latest top of 24.4K
This price action on weekly timeframe is looking more and more live a type of W bottom.
The dollar had been rising and Bitcoin had been stable on its range low of 18K-19+K recently it broke 20Kand retested it. Bullish*
AMAZON long term support line, with pre covid boost accounted for, 101 ideal buying opportunity, with 85 as a possible swing Low, investment levels, not day trade, 35% - 80% upside 3 year projection when expected layoffs, cost cutting & lease of excessive ware house space have been implemented & benefits materialised.