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AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and GloomSomething I am aware of is that traders get trapped primarily because they get laser focused on one specific side of the market and one specific price target. This happens either because of greed in wanting to get it allllllll from a winning position or simply being caught underwater. Amazon, a formerly $1+ trillion company by market cap, lost 30% of its value in the course of literally two weeks, but yet, still does not count as "cheap." Weekly At $91, this thing is still pushing a $982 billion market cap, and this is a company that more or less exists as a cesspool of fake Chinese product reviews and as a western import hub for junk effectively siphoned from the Chinese Communist Party's Aliexpress. Looking at the monthly, after two years of post-Coronavirus Disease 2019 distribution, nobody in their right minds should be bullish on Amazon. It's no longer a buy, it's a sell, and has been all year. It's not that Amazon is a bad company, it's that the market structure clearly seeks to drain all that coiled tension from two years of selling inside a (relatively) narrow range. But that being said, you can also tell from the monthly that there's huge ranges playing out while it makes its way downwards. The monthly also shows that Amazon is trading at a deep discount level of its total COVID-era structure. While it could run from here and take out the lows with great ease, or run towards them another 10% and double bottom, I feel it isn't likely to play out so easily for bears, who already just had a big meal, and should not be overly greedy. When we look at the Daily, it gives us a lot more perspective and some things to be realistic about. Namely, the September gap is above equilibrium and counts as a breakaway. Amazon will trade back there one day, but only after the market operator has achieved its downside objective, for it already played with equilibrium twice and had no interest in filling the gap. But Amazon lost almost $20 on its earnings call to end October, and then bounced hard before proceeding to lose another $10 in short order. The notions of "oversold" and "overbought" shouldn't be measured in terms of indicators, for those are just math-based lagging lines. Overbought and oversold should be measured based on price action, for in reality, when the trading desk at JP Morgan and Citadel sit down in the morning, they're looking at dollar values, just like you are. "How much do I have to spend? How much can I make? How much do I stand to lose?" But unlike you, they aren't looking at trendline astrology or squiggle lines and Elliot wave superstitions, because when it comes to taking risk and calculating for potential reward, if you lose, you can't really tell your shareholders things like "But meh Williams %R hit 42 while the wave count was a 16(a)(c)42. I don't know what went wrong!" Based on today's overall wild price action it seems that indexes are poised to stop trying to make lows and rally. This is congruent with the timing we face, with the US midterms being Tuesday of next week and CPI printing on Thursday. During today's manipulation, Amazon also made three consecutive hourly lows before finally pivoting. This should indicate the operators will seek short term upside. What's good in this trade is a most conservative upside target is 10%, slightly over $100. Yet, if Nasdaq rips even 60 or 70% as hard as the Dow just did, upside targets in the $107 range are likely to be fulfilled. If Nasdaq really goes crazy bull trap to sucker in retail and gamma squeeze, then $120 is on the table. These are big opportunities one can take advantage of, but it's hard to take advantage of them if one has their eyes on the $81.30 COVID low because Fintwitt, your signal service Discord, some guy with a Pepe avatar who claims he worked for Goldman Sachs in 1997, etc., are screaming about recession and the Federal Reserve not pivoting.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by LordWrymouth
15
FAANG Is about to go higher!Traders and Investors, FAANG index has reached an FCP zone which is also a previous structure level. This can create a good bounce up (BULL) opportunity for all FAANG stocks. Facebook (Meta) Apple Amazon Netflix Google Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
FX:FAANGLong
by vikinsa
Buying Amazon lows.Amazon - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 103.11 (stop at 97.97) 101.26 has been pivotal. 101.43 has been pivotal. We look to buy dips. We look for a temporary move lower. Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. Support is located at 102.00 and should stem dips to this area. Our profit targets will be 116.16 and 119.16 Resistance: 117.00 / 121.50 / 125.50 Support: 110.00 / 105.50 / 102.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Saxo
3
Bitcoin looks to be repeating the Amazon Potential Bottom.Bitcoin is graphed here to be repeating the Amazon movement but at an accelerated pace, what took years for Amazon to reach a bottom could have taken Bitcoin only months. If this trend continues it could be on the way to exploding in adoption faster than Amazon but in the same manor. Ruling out traditional markets / black swan events, if you're holding Bitcoin for longer than 2 + years | would be a nice spot to collect some, without catching them all.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by UnknownUnicorn7947829
SPY to New LowsMarket Makers are selling off large caps and shifting funds into Indexes in order to hold the market up for a complete exit on large caps since they'll be hit the hardest by a crash event and another rate hike. Apple earnings are today after hours, and appear to be the last decider for this earnings weak, amazon and apple both hold the largest weight for SPY. Meta down, Microsoft down, Tesla down, Google down, Apple & Amazon are Spy's last hope, and based on not going against the trend, I'd assume these two giants do like Meta, Google, Microsoft, & Tesla. Slight chance this gets manipulated since apple is the largest holding of a lot of investors but I believe they must be exiting apple shares while pumping the indexes to maximize the exit position. GDP was higher than expected, which can add fuel to the fire of another rate hike that can tank the market further down, US Dollar needs to go up from here, very overextended to be honest, and could lead to a ripple effect, a huge parabolic sell off.
AMEX:SPYShort
by kibakilla33
3