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M2 Adjusted FAAMNG Tutorial/AnalysisThe current FAANG symbol does not have a very long history. Depending on the symbol, you get a chart that either starts from mid-2019 or 2016. We get couple more years of data in this chart, back to early 2014. I weighted each stock equally according to its 60 month average, and adjusted for M2 expansion, which gives us a very consistent support line. There's also a horizontal resistance line that extends from 2018 onward that is currently being tested as support, which raises the questions: Is historical support now resistance? Is the resistance line now support? Or will we drop below the resistance line once again? It wouldn't surprise me if we got a bounce here to once again test that the Support line is *actually* now resistance and the drop in price wasn't a fluke. Which, maybe it was. But on the other hand, smaller caps have gotten completely crushed, look at the M2 Adjusted Russell 2000 for example: We're getting close to the "value" zone, but we're still at the bottom range of wholesale prices. I wouldn't be surprised if there's even more stop-loss style liquidations at these prices. There are many many unprofitable companies, roughly 50%?!, that are feeling the pain in the Russell. It's not crazy to think that once the smaller caps fall, the rest of the larger dominoes fall. First, there were drops in sort of intangibly valued companies like Netflix/Peloton. Market shrugged it off. Then we saw a single day -0.25 trillion$ valuation drop in Facebook. Market shrugged it off. Now in the past few weeks, Amazon is finally looking terrible, and this is the first time in YEARS that the market seems to be taking it seriously. How long until Apple/Tesla bite the bullet? The market can only shrug off so much localized losses before it becomes systemic. It's only a matter of weeks or months, in my opinion, until we see the remaining FAANMG and others reflect the state of rest of the market. So how did i manage to get the symbol on the chart? This method is not perfect. There's lots of ways to do this. I decided to equally weight each stock by their 60 month SMA, given that mean reversion is a well known phenomenon. But you can use any anything you wish, as long as it normalizes the price in a way that you like. Literally anything. First, I wrote down the SMAs like this: 60 month SMA: FB = 221.34 AMZN = 2250.99 AAPL = 85.60 MSFT = 173.64 NFLX = 380.58 GOOG = 1585.70 Notice that AAPL has the lowest average, 85.6. We can use AAPL as our "benchmark". Divide every SMA by 85.6: FB = 2.5857 AMZN = 26.296 AAPL = 1 MSFT = 2.0285 NFLX = 4.4460 GOOG = 18.524 Now we can add each price together, and divide by our adjuster that we just calculated, to get a fairly crude, but accurate enough, equally average-weighted basket: AAPL+ FB/2.5857+ AMZN/26.296+ MSFT/2.0285+ NFLX/4.4460+ GOOG/18.524 Mash it all together, you get: NASDAQ:AAPL+NASDAQ:FB/2.5857+NASDAQ:AMZN/26.296+NASDAQ:MSFT/2.0285+NASDAQ:NFLX/4.4460+NASDAQ:GOOG/18.524 And adjust for M2 if you want: (NASDAQ:AAPL+NASDAQ:FB/2.5857+NASDAQ:AMZN/26.296+NASDAQ:MSFT/2.0285+NASDAQ:NFLX/4.4460+NASDAQ:GOOG/18.524)/FRED:WM2NS This looks ugly though. The value is so small, there's no horizontal bars on the chart because of a display bug in TV or some other problem. So we can simply multiply the entire series by a value. in this case 15, until we get something that looks good. (NASDAQ:AAPL+NASDAQ:FB/2.5857+NASDAQ:AMZN/26.296+NASDAQ:MSFT/2.0285+NASDAQ:NFLX/4.4460+NASDAQ:GOOG/18.524)/FRED:WM2NS*15 There's a lot of ideas fairly similar to this out there, but I hope this helps someone who might be curious how people came up with these crazy long symbols. Try it with your favorite sectors! Make your own sector benchmarks. You can combine up to 10 symbols at once! Here we only used 6 symbols (7 if you include WM2NS). Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets :)
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by fringe_chartist
5
Amazon a good buy at $2000I feel there are some good setups coming in this bearish market. Amazon being one of them for you large cap players. I have a zone between $2150-$2000 which is a monthly fib level. 90% back to the highs from $2000. Even if it dips lower, you know Amazon will perform come a bull market again and go make new highs eventually. Set aside cash to average down if it drops below $2000. The next level down would be the monthly 500ema at $1700. Unsure we will get that far though. Let me know your thoughts.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by allout06
Amazon key points May 5 2022We can estimate with a 85% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 4.23% For this the market will stay within TOP 2625 BOT 2412 At the same time We can estimate with a 81% confidence that the volatility for today is going move more than 0.6% For this the market will stay above the TOP 2533 BOT 2503 From the fundamental point of view, yesterday we had the release of the interest rates, so I believe currently we are in a short relief moment, where we can have for some days/weeks a small bull trend For today we have no big volatility news, so we cant expect big surprises.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by exlux
AMZN - Attractive Area!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. AMZN is overall bullish trading above the brown trendline and now approaching it again acting as non-horizontal support. Moreover, the blue area is a demand zone as we previously had an aggressive movement upward from it. So the highlighted purple circle is a very strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand zone and the brown trendline. As per my trading style: I will be looking for potential bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes (like a double bottom , trendline break , and so on...) Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by TheSignalyst
9
AMAZON LONG TERM PRICE ZONE CHANGING Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It sells merchandise and content purchased for resale from third-party sellers through physical and online stores. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablets, Fire TVs, Rings, and Echo and other devices; provides Kindle Direct Publishing, an online service that allows independent authors and publishers to make their books available in the Kindle Store; and develops and produces media content. In addition, it offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products on its websites, as well as its stores; and programs that allow authors, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, the company provides compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as fulfillment, advertising, publishing, and digital content subscriptions. Additionally, it offers Amazon Prime, a membership program, which provides free shipping of various items; access to streaming of movies and series; and other services. The company serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, and content creators. For 2 years, from 2018 to 2020, price range between 1596 - 2038 zone. With the insane money printing of FED, price range increased to a lot higher zone between 2883 - 3752. This zone lasted for 1.5 year. Price breakdown from that zone to the 2448 support but this is not a strong support. If price cant go back up to the 2883 - 3752 zone it will retest 2448 and probably breakdown to the 2038 zone. Below 2038 price will consolidate and go back to the last zone of 1596 - 2038. Important support levels for long term targets 2448 if price cant hold it and breakdown below, price can go much lower. 2038 1723 1596 1344 Important resistance levels for long term targets 2696 2883 Upward price movements will be limited because FEDs actions and investors should very careful with long positions. Thanks. Follow for more ideas and charts.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by thegreatwall38
AMZN Back to 1300, Nasdaq Back to 7000Back at the end of 2018, I made an attempt to call a longer term bear market for big tech. Linked below are some of those posts. I was new to markets, and all I did was look at the chart. Even back then, the charts for Apple and Amazon looked ridiculous, but now it's undeniable that they've seen parabolic growth. This is the AMZN chart zoomed further in, where you can see how I was dead wrong at the end of 2018, as the money printer and QE kicked in again, taking the market to new highs shortly before the pandemic hit. Then, the pandemic hit and the Fed exhausted the last of its firepower. Will they save the market again? Above, I marked the 1600 and 1300 levels as areas of support, should the current level fail. Also shown on my Amazon chart is the long term uptrend, which has now been broken and confirmed as resistance. I expect markets to fall back to pre-stimulus levels, as the 2021 rally was largely "fake." Even though some of these companies may continue to remain profitable, I think some disappointing earnings will start to trickle in, signaling a depressing outlook for growth in the near future. Take Netflix, for example. It's already getting closer to testing some of those earlier levels. Perhaps it's a "canary in the coal mine" situation. What's especially concerning is that even companies that have exceeded expectations (like Tesla) cannot sustain a rally. Look at that earnings pump and dump: This implies that market participants are exiting regardless, and booking profits after many years of easy economic policy. Now here's something truly hilarious. Elon Musk and Bill Gates claim to be shorting each other's companies! What happens in this scenario? They both still profit. Billionaires are just playing games. Here are some levels marked for Tesla. If Elon continues to innovate and do well, TSLA may not drop quite as much as some others, but that's still a lot of profit on the table. He's even sold some of his own shares himself: And Microsoft: Why Would the Fed Just Let It Happen? The easiest way to fix inflation is perhaps to just simply let things unwind. As big corporations lose profits, smaller businesses close, and people lose their jobs, their homes...a big financial crunch occurs that shocks the living daylights out of our systems. New solutions will need to be found, some of which may seem obvious, such as taxing the wealthy and corporations much more heavily. Some we haven't even dreamt of yet. Here's a speculation: Community living becomes more desirable, and new small businesses will need to emerge to tailer to those communities. A world owned by corporations already causes pressure on communities and small businesses, where your boss is forced into implementing oppressive working conditions to stay afloat. All the while, your next door neighbor begins trading Dogecoin and digital images to finally have a glimpse at paying off his debt or buying a home. It's an escape into a black void that consumes your soul, and the soul of society. Ready for the collapse? Let's see what happens. This is meant for speculation and entertainment only. -Victor Cobra
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by VictorCobra
15
AMZN slowest growth since 2001 EPS far below analyst predictionsIf you haven`t bought this bounce: then you should know that AMZN revenues rose 7% in the first Q of the year to $116.4bn, slowest growth in two decades! Earnings per share (EPS) were -$7.56 vs $8.55 analyst predictions, first quarter it has posted a net loss in at least four years. My price target is now the $2400 support, with a possible bounce by the end of the year due to the stock split enthusiasm. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by TopgOptions
3
Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN) Touches 0.5 Fib Region For 3rd Time! 3️⃣Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It sells merchandise and content purchased for resale from third-party sellers through physical and online stores. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablets, Fire TVs, Rings, and Echo and other devices; provides Kindle Direct Publishing, an online service that allows independent authors and publishers to make their books available in the Kindle Store; and develops and produces media content. In addition, it offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products on its websites, as well as its stores; and programs that allow authors, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, the company provides compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as fulfillment, advertising, publishing, and digital content subscriptions. Additionally, it offers Amazon Prime, a membership program, which provides free shipping of various items; access to streaming of movies and series; and other services. The company serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, and content creators. Amazon.com, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Bullishcharts
3
Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN): Best Company In The S&P 500?! 🏆Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It sells merchandise and content purchased for resale from third-party sellers through physical and online stores. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablets, Fire TVs, Rings, and Echo and other devices; provides Kindle Direct Publishing, an online service that allows independent authors and publishers to make their books available in the Kindle Store; and develops and produces media content. In addition, it offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products on its websites, as well as its stores; and programs that allow authors, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, the company provides compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as fulfillment, advertising, publishing, and digital content subscriptions. Additionally, it offers Amazon Prime, a membership program, which provides free shipping of various items; access to streaming of movies and series; and other services. The company serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, and content creators. Amazon.com, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by RedHotStocks
2
Amazon and on?Amazon - Short Term - We look to Buy at 3080 (stop at 2962) A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming. A break of 3416 is needed to confirm follow through bullish momentum. The medium term bias remains bullish. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Our profit targets will be 4162 and 4622 Resistance: 3172 / 3416 / 3762 Support: 2992 / 2805 / 2671 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Saxo
1
$BABA, $AMZN 's dirty little secret.NYSE:BABA Anyone paying attention to $BABA? Are you considering buying into the $AMZN stock split? Are you concerned about chinese stock delisting? Geopolitics, Index fund Managers, lobbying, market reset by the FED's and technical analysis (the psychology of the investor) have a lot to do with what happens in the future. Did you know that as of 2021, China-based sellers represented 75 percent of new sellers on Amazon, according to a report by Marketplace Pulse. This marks a significant increase from 47 percent in the previous year. This large segment of China-based sellers on Amazon has not yet impacted the gross merchandise volume (GMV) market share. Domestic sellers are responsible for most of the total sales. Three-quarters of new sellers in the top four core Amazon markets — U.S., UK, Germany, and Japan — are based in China. That percentage is the calculated average of the four marketplaces, according to Marketplace Pulse analysis of more than 40,000 sellers that joined those Amazon marketplaces so far in 2021. So what does this mean for the future of $AMZN prices? Simply, if BABA gets delisted; the revenge from the Chinese government will be major; you think logistical issues, trucker shortages, and inflation is affecting prices? You've not seen nothing yet! My assumption is that the market reset is going as planned with major impact on Chinese stocks to limit the momentum of Chinese GDP (#2) against the U.S. (#1). The U.S. needs China just as much China needs the U.S. so the lobbying power of $AMZN and the rest will ensure the continuity of Chinese presence in the U.S. (those max profits are critically needed). Oooh before I forget, technical analysis: Daily Chart EMA (Exponential Moving Average): 20/50/100/200 EMA (everyone and their mama) are pointing downwards ! This spells bad news, especially going into May (a slow market month) TTM Squeeze: Squeezing to the bottom; momentum to the downside for both $AMZN and $BABA. Fib Levels: $BABA - with the current red candle crossing below the .618, there is very high probability that the price action will aim for the 1 fib. This will take us to the previous support and low of $73.28 or a possibility of going below that. Candle Stick: Summary of last 5 candles equate to a bearish movement. The last pairs look like a Bearish engulfing Pattern: Down by the sea ... off to the Falling Wedge for both $BABA and $AMZN News: Do I need to add more to the above? Well, with $NFLX taking a whooping on recent price increase policy, do you think $AMZN may face the same fate? History: The last 2 earnings have resulted in a downward trend even with great numbers. Everyone and their mama is talking about this stock... Company is worth Trillions and the consumer base love them... hmm... I really need to be buying the bottom.
NYSE:BABALong
by STAKKNATION
6