Amazon
Amazon - Double bottom on the Nasdaq 100 index and AMZN too?Yesterday, Amazon broke above resistance at 3 276.69 USD. This is a particularly bullish development for the stock and it strengthens the case for uptrend revival. On 24th January 2022, AMZN marked a low of 2 707.04 USD. Then on 8th March 2022, AMZN saw another low of 2 671.45 USD. These two lows are resemblant to the double bottom formation which is a trend reversal pattern. Since the second low was formed, technical indicators have improved for Amazon. Indeed, on the daily time frame, they turned bullish. Currently, this time frame points to more upside for AMZN. Because of that, we would like to set a new price target for AMZN to 3 500 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily time frame of Amazon stock. It also shows two recent bullish breakouts.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. The same applies to Stochastic and MACD. Indeed, just recently, MACD performed a bullish crossover above 0 points; that is very bullish. DM+ and DM- point to bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX declines; that suggests that the prevailing trend is turning neutral. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish. Although, relatively weak ADX might translate to sideways moving price action in the short term.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD is due to perform crossover above 0 points. If it manages to do so, then it is going to bolster a bullish case for AMZN even more. DM+ and DM- are still bearish. ADX declines which suggests that the prior bearish trend is losing momentum. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.02
Double bottom resemblance can be found also on NQ1! (Nasdaq continuous futures).
Support and resistance
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Double Bottom Chart PatternCompany info
Amazon.com, Inc. is a company that engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions internationally and North America. It sells merchandise and content purchased for resale from third-party sellers. The company also manufactures a range of electronic devices.
Sector analysis
The main ETF that tracks this sector is the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF. Over the last four months, the ETF has been on a decline. Mainly led by inflation worries. AMZN has also been following a similar pattern. So, I would keep an eye on this ETF. If you see the ETF falling, you can expect AMZN to possibly follow suit.
Double Bottom Analysis
Type:
Eve and Adam
Length between Valleys:
5 weeks
Volume Trend:
None
Breakeven Failure Rate:
12%
Throwback Rate:
67%
Average Rise:
42%
Price Target:
3677.06
Percentage Change:
14%
The length between the two valleys is 5 weeks. This is ideal. As it means the strength of this double bottom could potentially be stronger. There isn’t a volume trend for AMZN between the two valleys. The volume seems to be higher on these two valleys compared to prior price movements but that’s it. Also, just like the stock above, AMZN is near its all-time high which could pose some issues concerning potential upward movement. However, this is a major blue-chip stock. This means two things. The positive is that the stock is are already near the confirmation line and has great volatility to break through and maybe reach the price target. The negative is that you will have to look out for any news concerning this stock to see if there is something that could lead to a throwback or a breakeven. Furthermore, as stated above, the stock has been on a decline along with the ETF, so there could be a rebound upward and this double bottom could be profitable, or the stock could rebound now and fall downwards after hitting the confirmation line that can act as a resistance level. So, I would pay attention to the ETF. Watch any news concerning Amazon and inflationary issues so gauge if the stock will break through the confirmation line and if this chart pattern will work. Henceforth I am giving this double bottom a pattern strength of 2/5
AMAZON Lookin to Advance Higher - Elliott WaveHi Elliotticians, Amazon.com is making a bullish impulse on the weekly time frame, and can currently be ending a corrective wave IV of a higher degree near the Fib. ratio of 0.382 and 0.50.
A completed three-wave correction in IV, followed by an impulsive rally above the 3762 lvl. would be a confirmation that wave V us underway.
Alternate scenario indicates a completed bullish impulse at current highs, which means we may expect a minimum three-wave reversal.
Trade well.
Amazon: Weekly Moving Average Resistance Amazon - Short Term - We look to Sell at 3219 (stop at 3346)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 3200.00. 20 1week EMA is at 3167. The 50% Fibonacci retracement is located at 3219 from 3762 to 2671. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 2768 and 2635
Resistance: 3200 / 3500 / 3700
Support: 2700 / 2500 / 2200
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AMZN Potential Bearish Reversal | 17th March 2022We expect price to dip from our Sell Entry of 3084.43 in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement to our Take Profit level of 2718.60 in line with Fibonacci confluence (127% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection), along with the horizontal swing low support. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading under Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternatively, price may break our entry structure and head for our stop loss of 3270.02 in line with the 100% Fibonacci projection level and horizontal swing high resistance.
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Amazon flowing down the river. AMZNGoals 2697, 2542. Invalidation at 3637 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
The Beauty of 50% Retracement FractalsThis is my third post about Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN in a week but I find the price action to be one of those rare, textbook, beautiful moments where 50% Retracements work in fractals. From the pullback on March 8th, to the pullback on March 14th, to the pullback at the open today March 15th... the patterns repeated on smaller timeframes.
Amazon 50 in 50Following Amazon stock NASDAQ:AMZN hitting the COVID low to ATH 50% Retracement on March 8th, 2022 prior to the split announcement I have been waiting for a pullback to enter on both the Retracement Level and in preparation for the pre-split (May 27th) rally I expect. Success will come from patience.
Amazon to regain some ground. AMZNImmediate targets 3244, 3366. Invalidation 2721.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Amazon move below 2700 implies more losesBuyers stepped out of this item at 3757 first on July last year then it retested the same price point on November 21, since it couldn't move above it then sellers took charge and now they are trying to push price below 2700. If 2700 gives way then it falls towards 2000 given that monthly RSI reading is at 49 implying that there's space to the downside.
Amazon 50% PRIOR to announcementThis is a maximum facepalm where I neglected to set an alert. PRIOR to the split announcement the 50% Retracement level for Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN was 2699.56. Price hit this Support level and held on March 8th, 2022 - two days before the announced split which will likely setup a rally. The split date is May 27th so to atone for my mistake I will be watching this like a hawk to find a risk defined entry to play the potential split rally.
AMZN has multiple paths it may takeI drew out basically all possible directions amazon could go. Neither bullish nor bearish at the moment (in my opinion), but according to the aroon-based strategy indicators, it may go down a bit before picking back up.
Note: all movement predictions are relative, may not be exact.
No advice here, just identifying possibilities.