From Prime to Subprime: Why December Could See AMZN Fall
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
AMZN could see a modest correction this December. It's at an all time high, and well into two Wave 5 sequences on the 4h. It's also overbought on an least two oscillators.
We see a 5%+ correction to the $215 price range in the coming 3-4 days .
SUPPORTING OBSERVATIONS:
Recent Rapid Stock Appreciation:
AMZN has seen a significant rise, gaining 14.1% since November 29, 2024. Such swift increases can lead to overvaluation, prompting investors to take profits, supporting the reversal to $215.
Seasonal Competitive Pressures:
Ho ho ho. The holiday season intensifies competition, often leading to increased discounting and promotional activities. This can compress profit margins, potentially impacting Amazon's financial performance and investor sentiment.
Investment in New Ventures:
Amazon's substantial investment in initiatives like Project Kuiper, its satellite internet project, involves significant capital expenditure. While promising long-term, these ventures may pressure short-term profitability, causing some investors to reassess their positions.
Be alert.
Trade green.
Amazonshort
Amazon (AMZN) - Potential H&S Reversal, Watch for BreakdownOverview:
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is often a bearish reversal indicator. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly defined, with the neckline situated near the $180-$176 zone. If the price breaks below this area, it could signal a larger move downward.
Technical Setup:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Neckline Support: ~$180 - $176 (critical support area)
Trendline: Red ascending trendline, currently serving as additional support
Target Zone: Potential drop toward $168 or lower if the pattern confirms
Price Action:
The recent pullback from the right shoulder aligns with the overall pattern, and a daily close below $176 could confirm the reversal.
Watch for a bounce off the neckline for a potential short-term trade; otherwise, a breakdown could lead to a deeper correction.
Risk Management:
A sustained move above the right shoulder (~$190) would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation of the uptrend.
Catalysts:
Upcoming earnings and market sentiment around consumer spending could influence the stock’s direction, potentially acting as a catalyst for the breakdown or reversal.
Amazon - Buying Pullbacks & Cyclical High Expected SoonHere is what I am watching on Amazon.
-We need to be aware that there is bearish divergence setting up on the quarterly, monthly & weekly charts. HOWEVER, this divergence is not yet confirmed, and is therefore not actionable trade intel at the present moment. We need to monitor these divergences, because if they confirm, they imply significant price moves in Amazon share price.
-MAC strategy for the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts remain bullish. Any pullbacks into the bottom of the MAC are BUY opportunities. I do not blindly buy the bottom of the channels, but utilize lower timeframe entry techniques at these levels to trigger into a position. We are still BULLISH Amazon.
-Cycles suggest that Amazon could put in a cyclical high any time between now and October 10th, before putting in a major cyclical low at the end of October. I would like to see this play out to provide us with nice buy opportunities at the bottom of the MAC's.
AMZN / AMAZON 🔍 AMZN Analysis: Strategic Dates for Long-Term Accumulation 📈
The AMZN chart reveals key dates that could shape your investment strategy:
December 29, 2025 & August 16, 2027 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, making them ideal for accumulating AMZN shares. Investors should consider these as prime opportunities to position themselves for the next major upward trend in the stock.
By planning around these dates, you can optimize your long-term investment strategy and take advantage of potential market corrections.
#AMZN #StockMarket #InvestmentStrategy #NASDAQ #SNP500 #MarketTiming #Amazon
Amazon Layoff 172 Employees at The Facility Near SeattleAmazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is closing a warehouse in Tukwila, Washington, just south of Seattle, following a layoff of 172 employees at the facility, known as UWA5. Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) spokesperson Sam Stephenson said employees will be offered opportunities to transfer to other nearby facilities or support if they choose not to stay with Amazon. The company is always evaluating its network to ensure it fits its business needs and improves the experience for employees, customers, partners, and drivers.
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) employs 75,000 people in the Seattle region, many of them corporate and tech workers, as part of its workforce of 1.52 million people worldwide. Global headcount rose 4% year-over-year, as of March 31. Amazon's warehouse-related operations have driven the year-over-year growth in headcount. Last month, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) announced new records for Prime delivery speeds in the first three months of this year, citing a shift to regional fulfilment centers. Amazon has plans to double the number of its smaller Same-Day Delivery facilities in the coming years. Last year, Amazon laid off 27,000 corporate workers, but warehouse jobs were not affected.
Amazon channel is turning bearish to $134.51 watch outAmazon has had an incredible run. It's moved from $118 to $188 since November 2023.
But now it looks like the momentum is starting to slow down.
We haven't got a confirmed signal but we see a slow down in buying and the market is at the bottom of the channel.
There is still a gap to close and for the this reason, I'm anticipating a fall in Amazon in the next few weeks. THe first target will be at $134.51 and will be a medium term analysis.
This Could be the VERY TOP for AmazonI'm getting feelings around the things are about to hit the fan and Amazon might have topped longterm. RSI hit a major resistance, bear divergence, largest FED fund sale ever yesterday, things are just lining up for me, this will get NUTTY if true. Hard to fade this trend of course but a lot of things are lining up for me.
AMAZONIt's quite interesting because there's a gap that hasn't been recharged yet!!! In theory, it should recharge, but I don't think it will happen now; we will go down first, and then the recharge might come later. So, be cautious with the entry. Those with less money should wait for the recharge and only then get in."
Amazon (AMZN) Breaking the RED line and 100$ wall was a big short signal and now we heading to another big support level which is 80$
Wall Street equities were in the red on Monday with Nasdaq leading declines as investors worried the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tightening campaign could push the U.S. economy into a recession.
while Amazon workers will go on formal strike for the first time in the UK, The three major U.S. stock indexes were on track for the fourth straight day of declines since Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell took a more hawkish tone than expected when the central bank raised interest rates. Powell promised further increases even as weak data showed signs of a weakening economy.
The S&P 500, the Dow Industrials and the Nasdaq have sold off sharply for December, on track their biggest annual declines since the 2008 financial crisis.
Im not close my shorts till we back to 70$ level
are you READY for 2023?
AMZN breaking down (30 min)As we see Amazon break through the cloud to the downside we should expect more downside to come into next week.. I would play this to the downside until, or if we break the horizontal line which is resistance to the upside. It is possible we test that line and then break down or we just see it keep breaking down from the price it is at now. The good thing is we have broken out of the cloud and should see momentum continue to the downside. Always have a stop loss and it tight.
Amazon -> Kind Of Left BehindHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
Just recently Amazon stock perfectly retested and also rejected a quite obvious previous weekly support zone which was turned very strong support again.
After this first initial bounce, Amazon stock then created a rejection of a long term downtrend-line and is once again approaching the weekly support area from which I do expect another rejection towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for the market to retest the previous support area and if we then have some bullish confirmation on the lower timeframes, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term rejection towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Amazon Call or Puts ? The Saga Continues Today Amazon broken out of a important trend line. Im bearish on the stock due to the dominant down trending pattern. it also has created a ascending Triangle Pattern at level $94.79 being the top and bullish support developed at $92.29. Please share what do you think?
Major support levels Im watching for a bounce
NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:AMZN
$92.29
$91.62
$90.39
$87.02
Amazon short in the near-termNASDAQ:AMZN
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While Amazon seems to be forming a falling wedge on the weekly timeframe, it can be expected to fall in the short-term…..
Daily timeframe seems to suggest a potential H&S pattern playing out.
Multiple gap-ups beginning of the year (including a weekly gap up) kicked-off the beginning of the H&S pattern start of 2023.
AMZN seems week enough to go back to fill those gaps. If that happens, we can see Amazon hitting mid-80s in the coming days and weeks. Plus, for Amazon needs to decline in the short-term to build on the falling-wedge pattern.
Lastly, Feb monthly candle-stick seems to suggest a bearish trend and set to test the 100-period MA on monthly timeframe.
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