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Amazon | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Earlier this year, Amazon made the shocking statement that founder Jeff Bezos would step down as CEO starting in Q3 2021. According to Amazon's announcement, the post will be filled by Andy Jassy, who earlier managed the company's fast-growing cloud computing business. Given that Bezos will have to live up to his class, the pressure is on. Next week, when the e-commerce giant reports its third-quarter results, investors will be able to see how well the company operated under Jassy's leadership during his debut quarter as CEO. Ahead of Amazon's critical Q3 earnings update, here's a preview of the earnings report and a look at how attractive growth stocks could be in the run-up to that update. When the e-commerce and cloud computing heavyweight presents its earnings report this Thursday, investors will be watching closely to see how well Amazon can match the performance of a year ago, when revenues rose sharply as many consumers around the world were forced to stay home. In its second-quarter earnings statement, Amazon executives projected third-quarter revenues of $106 billion to $112 billion. That explicates to revenue increase of 10 percent to 16 percent, a significant slowdown from 27 percent growth in the previous quarter and 37 percent growth in the year-ago quarter. Analysts seem mostly convinced that the midpoint of Amazon's forecast range was too conservative. On average, analysts are predicting that third-quarter revenues will be at the high end of the company's forecast range. While the company's reported earnings growth rate is certainly worth checking out, the bigger question that probably worries many investors is whether the stock is a good buy today. While it's difficult to say where the e-commerce giant's stock will move anytime soon or even after its third-quarter earnings report is released, investors can take a look at Amazon's stock valuation to see if it seems attractive relative to the e-commerce giant's long-term potential. Despite the company's tremendous market cap of more than $1.7 trillion, a case can be made that the stock looks like a good buy at this level. Consider that Amazon's price-to-earnings ratio of about 60 is actually quite cheap, given the company's top-line performance and its firmly growing operating margins. Thanks to strong revenue growth and rising operating margins, Amazon's business model exhibits significant operating leverage. This means that over the long term, earnings per share could grow faster than revenues. In fact, that's exactly what analysts expect. According to the analysts' consensus forecast, Amazon's earnings per share will grow at an average annualized rate of 37% over the next five years. Given management's outlook for strong double-digit revenue growth in the third quarter - even if Amazon faces tough comparisons to last year - and the company's clear operating leverage, Amazon stock looks like a good long-term buy today. No doubt, investors should keep a close eye on Amazon's revenue growth rate. If it slows faster than projected, it could mean that analysts (and investors) are overestimating the company's long-term potential.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by FOREXN1
45
AMAZON FORMING HEAD & SHOULDERS PATTERNAMAZON INC has formed on a Daily chart huge H&S pattern. Which makes bearish mood on the stock And the price is about to retest the neckline. IF we see a breakout of the neckline, analysts expecting bearish continuation.Towards the support line below. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carry a high-risk level. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, needs, and trading signals. Therefore, it cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
CAPITALCOM:AMZNShort
by legacyFXofficial
AMAZON distribution schematics!Hello my beauties. I see a distribution schematic travelling towards completion on amazon. If the prediction is right, the price will quickly move towards the bottom of the range, and give us a couple of LPSYs (last points of supply) before marking down. If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair. Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value. Peace. Luca, TrickleDownFX
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by TrickleDownFX
AMAZON:FULL FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|SHORT SETUP SCENARIO 🔔Amazon's stock price fell almost 8% on July 30 after the company released its second-quarter earnings report. The company's revenue growth did not meet analysts' expectations, and the company reported a lower-than-expected earnings outlook for the third quarter. Amazon's fall weighed on other e-commerce and cloud stocks, as the company is considered an indicator of both markets. Many Wall Street analysts have also quickly decreased their price targets on the company's stock, citing difficult upcoming market comparisons in the wake of the pandemic. Let's take a look at the major conversations surrounding Amazon, find out who has the upper hand, the bulls or the bears, and whether the company is still a worthy investment. Amazon's revenues increased 27% year over year in the quarter to $113.1 billion, but they fell short of Wall Street's average forecast by nearly $2 billion. The company anticipates its revenue to rise only 10%-16% year over year in the next quarter, while analysts were expecting 24% growth. Amazon attributes the slowdown to difficult comparisons with the pace of online shopping growth caused by the pandemic a year ago. During a conference call, Amazon Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky said that since last May, revenue growth "jumped to 35% to 45% and stayed at that level until the first quarter of this year, when growth was 41%." But starting in the second quarter, Amazon "began to slow down during a period of strong sales last year, and the rate of revenue growth for the year has declined." Olsavsky foresees the slowdown to continue as "vaccines are becoming more available in many countries and people are getting out of their homes." He also noted that Amazon's average spending per Prime member "is down from the spending seen during the peak of the pandemic." Amazon's accelerated growth during the pandemic and its subsequent slowdown make it difficult to estimate the company's near-term growth. So instead of focusing on hard year-over-year comparisons over the next few quarters, Olsavsky advised investors to look at the two-year annualized growth rate. Olsavsky noted that before the pandemic, Amazon's earnings were up 21% for two years. But after smoothing out the volatility associated with the pandemic, Olsavsky still expects Amazon's two-year annual growth rate to be 25%-30%, indicating that its core businesses are still strong. Amazon's long-term growth seems stable, but the main drivers of growth are changing. In the e-commerce segment, third-party sellers accounted for 56% of total paid units in the second quarter -- up from 53% a year ago -- and they continue to bring significantly higher sales growth than primary sellers. This change is troubling because Amazon has already faced quality control problems in its third-party marketplace and persistent complaints about counterfeit products from overseas sellers. Amazon's second-quarter revenue growth would have been even slower without the help of Amazon Web Services (AWS), the world's largest cloud infrastructure platform, and its advertising business. AWS revenues rose 37% year over year to $14.8 billion, which is 13% of Amazon's total revenues, and its operating income rose 25% to $4.2 billion, which is 54% of Amazon's total operating income. Revenue from the "other" segment - which mostly consists of advertising revenue - rose 87% year over year to $7.9 billion, or 7% of Amazon's total revenue. If you exclude AWS and the "other" segment from both periods, Amazon's second-quarter revenue would have grown only 22% year over year. Going even further and excluding all third-party vendor services, the company's revenue would have grown only 17% year over year. Andy Jassy became new CEO in early July, but he has yet to provide a clear plan for the company's growth. Jassy previously led AWS, so Amazon's main profit driver - which subsidizes the growth of its low-margin retail business - is clearly in good hands. Amazon's retail business, however, still faces serious challenges. Supermarkets like Walmart and Target have gotten better at matching Amazon's pricing and delivery capabilities, reliance on third-party sellers remains a double-edged sword, and the company is under pressure to raise wages and improve warehouse conditions. Shopify remains a major threat as it effects independent sellers to set up their online stores, and niche marketplaces like Etsy are pulling away shoppers who want more unique gifts. Amazon also needs to expand aggressively overseas to drive new growth and reduce its reliance on an oversaturated U.S. market - but it is struggling to draw customers away from entrenched regional leaders such as MercadoLibre in Latin America and Sea Limited's Shopee in Southeast Asia. Jassy may have to address these problems over the next few quarters to assure investors that Amazon is not losing its edge in the burgeoning e-commerce market.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by FOREXN1
2
AMZN 50 Fib Hold Or Fold?Looking at AMZN the last time it was at its low-end support, using that as an anchor then plotting out the fibs actually revealed some pretty clear levels. Mainly this 50 fib line has remained a "high traffic" pivot for the stock this year. Even with Friday's gap down, AMZN stock briefly broke below it but held RIGHT at it by the closing bell. Also on the 1 hr, 30 min, and 15 min timeframes, the final candle was a dragonfly doji. Will it hold true to its usual bullish continuation definition or more pullback still in store? COVID and reopening will likely be supporting "cast members" to determine where the follow-through comes from. Delta cases continue picking up but at the same time, AMZN is somewhat of a hybrid both as a reopening play and a lockdown survivor. More: Top Reopening Penny Stocks to Buy in August 2021? 3 to Watch
NASDAQ:AMZN
by PennyStocks101
Amazon (also) Appears to be in Wycoffian DistributionThe main chart has the Wycoffian distribution spelled out and if you want to check it against the criterion you can follow the link below, hit ctrl-f and search for "Distribution: Wyckoff Events" and you will be right there. Not everything is annotated, the chart would be way too cluttered. school.stockcharts.com www.ltg-trading.com As it stands I am still waiting for my entry to buy some OTM puts( I do have some SPXU and SQQQ calls that are going well but I don't feel the stress is worth it). Very often when the price breaks through the ice there is a low volume rally to the ice, or at the lower end of the ice range and that gives you the best chance for an entry into an impulsive move. In other words almost any continuation pattern around the ice should have a high probability of breaking down bearishly and any bearish patterns (like rising wedges) are definitely bearish. On the weekly chart we clearly see that the price action has been rangebound almost straight sideways but the On Balance Volume itself and the EMAS have been trending downward with the 20EMA bearishly over the 10. What remains to be seen is if the 100 OBV EMA will hold the OBV or the 10 and 20 OBV EMAs. If the obv EMAs stack fully bearishly then the price will look like a cat swiped it off the table. We can also see that the MACD has a lot of bearish divergence as well as the MACD histogram. The MTF VSTOP reinforces the trend as being bearish by providing resistance that is automatically and dynamically drawn, so I can't mess it up. The monthly chart below confirms that the ice isn't some random price action I observed, it was the long term VSTOP support. Back testing the chart shows that when the MTF VSTOP gets broken on the monthly we can expect some wicking below the 20 period SMA. Likewise, when the MACD crosses the signal line bearishly or goes red the 20 period SMA is a good place to accumulate. Even in late 2014 when we closed a monthly candle below the 20 we were fine. I have not shown the OBV in the chart below because it does not have any serious signals except the OBV has been trading around the 10 EMA. Some Macro stuff The only way we go much below the 20 period SMA is if we have a the NASDAQ bubble completely pop or a financial crisis like 2008. That scenario is certainly on the table given how horrific the news cycle appears to be and if international trade slows and the news picks up about supply chain problems Amazon is going to be hit particularly hard. Then we start looking for a long term value buy at the monthly bollinger band which is conveniently right around the ascending triangle. It is also rather convenient that the price is distributing right above the target of the ascending triangle. Pure support and resistance traders would be looking for the top of the triangle to be tested as support anyway. Debt is also getting expensive and so there is less easy money for firms and with inflation picking up there should be less items consumed at a higher price, which means less orders from Amazon Please have a look at my Wycoff chart on the NASDAQ Futures if the subject interest you.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by This_Guhy
3
Amazon inc Short Entry on next weekWelcome Back to Amazon chart. Red round highlighted area are the clear sign of price are getting rejected on those points. There a is good chance that price will get rejected again and it will push back down to to support area before it reach the resistance zone. look for a entry when market pushes up again toward the resistance zone we can try out multiple entry with one stop loss at 3593.42 first target of take profit 3144 2nd target of take profit at 2867. Risk Reward ratio 2.65 Thank you and trade safe.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Priceaction776
3
Mostly waited trade🔥Through back to stocks, wolves🔥 We already shared this idea with you, guys. Now finally breakout has happened and the price started to retest the level. No more words. Follow the chart and look for the best price to enter carefully. _____________________________________________________ If you enjoy my FREE Technical Analysis , support the idea with a big LIKE👍 and don't forget to SUBSCRIBE my channel, you won't miss anything! Feel free to leave comments✉️ And always remember: "we don't predict, we react".
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Berzerk_invest
AMZN Amazon Bearish Signals on Bullish Fundamentals In the Q4 institutional buys were 124B compared with 7.69Bil sells. On 10/30/2020 JPMorgan Chase & Co. Boosted Price the Target price from $4,050.00 to $4,100.00 The Pharmacy business will be a long term growth catalyst for Amazon. Their cloud service is growing too. The Holyday sales will most likely surpass the last year`s. The indicators are still bearish, i won`t buy yet, but wait for a breakout. If you are interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TopgOptions
Amazon's CollapseHow are giants/bosses defeated in video games? There's always a weak spot. Amazon's weak spot happens to be in its core foundation. This essentially means they're founded on demand-side economics. However, in the real world, the economy can only function off of supply-side economics. But with the role Big tech, the Deep state, the Liberal agenda, and all of these business tycoons are playing in our politics, they may be able to synthesize a false reality & force us into a Socialist state. That's a BIG "if" though, and in the end, nature ALWAYS wins. They may be successful at doing this in the beginning, but it will be short-lived and we will rotate back to Capitalism as it's the only way reality (on God's terms) works. A rotten pillar will always be a rotten pillar, no matter how much you bandage it up. And you can't buy an apple, without that apple first being grown. 1+1 always equals 2 and NOTHING can change that. The bigger they are, the harder they fall. Remember this a few years from now.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by r1chAl