AMAZON: Small pullback expected. Buy the dip.Amazon is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4H timeframe, supported by both the 4H MA50 and the 4H MA200 and almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.804, MACD = 6.500, ADX = 38.620). The 4H RSI is printing a sideways pattern which was a sell signal when the previous bullish waves peaked. The first pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, the second to the 0.5 Fib. Consequently we expect a quick pullback here but technically the dip should be bought on the 0.382 Fib. Our target after that will be near the top of the Channel (TP = 230.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Amazontrading
Amazon: Significant Breakout!The resistance at $189.76 has recently been a major hurdle for the AMZN stock. Since April, the price has essentially been moving sideways along this level, with each breakout attempt being sold off. As envisioned by our primary wave count, the stock has now managed a breakout above $189.76, developing a first impulsive move toward a new all-time high. We expect a more substantial correction only after the larger beige wave III has found its top at a higher level. An earlier sell-off remains possible as part of our 30% likely alternative scenario: this alternative count suggests that the recent peak was the top of the beige alt. b wave, which would lead to a pullback below $145.86 and a fresh low of the overarching blue wave alt. (IV).
AMAZON: Crossed over the 1D MA50, best buy trigger you can getAmazon crossed today over the 1D MA50 for the first time since August 1st and effectively validated the buy signal that was triggered on August 5th at the bottom of the Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook just got over neutral grounds (RSI = 56.780, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 15.410) so being slightly bullish along with the 1D MA50 cross, is the best buy trigger you can get.
The MACD pattern is almost the same as on every Channel Up bottom. The rallies that started on those bottoms printed +62.30% and +64.82% rises. We are targeting at another +62.30% rise (TP = 245.00).
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AMAZON: Testing the 1D MA100. Will it hold?AMAZON is on the third straight day where it respects the 1D MA100. Holding this level translates into a rebound base as the long term pattern is a Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook hasn't been lower thought (RSI = 40.739, MACD = -0.760, ADX = 35.289) since December 28th 2022, so the slightest cross below, should extend the downfall under the Channel Up and towards the 1D MA200.
The Huge Buy Zone is inside the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range. Those will be the two buy entries and our target on the medium term is the R1 level (TP = 145.90).
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Amazon is in a long short race!Amazon is in a long short race!
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Amazon stocks over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section of July 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, the low point of Amazon stock in early January 2023 hit the 2.000 level of the golden section in the figure, and is now in the second largest wave of rebound, breaking through the 1.000 level of the golden section! The next strong pressure level for Amazon stocks is at 0.618 on the golden section in the graph!
AMAZON: Is starting the new buy wave to 144.50.Amazon is trading inside a Channel Up for the last 2 months on balanced bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 65.517, MACD = 3.080, ADX = 16.131). Yesterday's low and reversal into today's strong 1D candle, looks like the start of the 2nd wave of buying inside the Channel.
As long as S1 holds, we are buying with a target just under R1 (TP = 144.50). If the S1 breaks (candle closing under it), we will take a quick sell targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 127.00).
Important observation: The 1D RSI is inside a Channel Down, hence a bearish divergence to the price's Channel Up. If it crosses above it, buying is favored. Otherwise, it should cause a bearish reversal sometime soon.
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AMAZON Loosely supported. Buy but careful if this level breaks.Amazon / AMZN hit yesterday and is rebounding today exactly at the bottom of the late April Channel Up.
This remains a bullish trend for as long as the Channel Up holds, so buy and target Resistance A at 136.50.
If it breaks downwards, sell and target the 1day MA50 and Rising Support at 123.50.
It is crucial to mention that the 1day RSI has already crossed under its Rising Support, issuing an initial bearish warning.
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