AMZN - Have we reached the top?Labeled some key levels of significance and used a fib retracement chart to estimate landing zones.
Prior mini-tops retraced to about the .5 fib level. The larger cycle correction could also obey this level but may drag lower to the .618 range, which is why I gave a range for where the price could land.
~1600 is a key level of significance, if it breaks we will be going much lower.
The real question is, can amazon reach ATH? Watch the volume carefully when we have the bounce back up. Should be good indicator for remaining bull strength.
Amazontradingsetup
Amazon Elliott Wave View: Further Upside ExpectedHello Traders,
Amazon near-term ended the cycle from 07/31/18 low (1739.56) at the peak of 08/15/18 (1926.26) in black wave ((i)). The internal structure of black wave ((i)) unfolded as a 5 waves structure with an extended blue wave (iii). It ended blue wave (i) at 01/08/18 peak (1800), blue wave (ii) pullback at 02/08/18 at (1818.61) , blue wave (iii) at 08/13/18 peak (1925.72) and blue (iv) pullback at 08/13/18 (1893.80) and finally it ended blue wave (v) of black ((i)) at 08/15/18 peak (1926).
Below from there, it ended black wave ((ii)) pullback at 08/17/18 low (1855.58). Up from there, it is currently in the progress of another 5 waves structure higher. It ended red wave i at 08/21/18 peak (1898.46), red wave ii pullback at 08/21/18 low (1870), red wave iii at 08/23/18 peak (1920) and red wave iv pullback at 08/23/18 low (1900). Up from that low, it can end soon red wave v of the blue wave (i) before a pullback in the sequences of 3-7 or 11 swings in blue wave (ii) can be seen. As long as the pullback stays above 1855.58 invalidation level we expect it to extend higher due to the right-side tag. The right side remains to the upside. We don’t like the selling.
Amazon test trend lineWe are expecting Amazon to come down and test our very strong trend line that's ben touched 6 times before and bounced every time, then we are expecting a further bullish movement with some good news expected to be released.
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Elliott Wave Analysis: Amazon May Start Another Extension HigherHello Traders,
Let's have a look at the Amazon 1 hour chart.
Short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that pullback to $1646.48 low ended blue wave (2). Above from there, the stock is rallying higher in blue wave (3). The internals of that extension higher is unfolding as Elliott wave impulse structure with sub-division of 5 waves.
Above from $1646.48 low, the rally to $1858.88 high ended red wave 1. The internals of that rally higher took place in another 5 waves impulse sequence in lesser degree cycles. The first leg of a rally to $1725 high ended black wave ((i)) as Leading diagonal structure. Then the pullback to $1682.15 low ended black wave ((ii)) pullback as a Zigzag correction. Up from there, the rally higher to $1841.95 ended black wave ((iii)) in 5 waves. black wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $1791 low, and black wave ((v)) of red wave 1 ended at $1858.88 high.
Below from there, the stock did a 3 wave pullback in red wave 2, which is proposed to have completed the correction against $1646.48 cycle low. After reaching the blue box 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area at $1787.19-$1775.77. However, a break above $1858.88 high remains to be seen to validate this view & until then, a double correction lower in red wave 2 can’t be completely ruled out. Near-term, while dips remain above $1769.99 low and more importantly above $1646.48 low the stock is expected to resume the upside. We don’t like selling it and the right side remains to the upside.
Amazon's current issueAmazon's total revenue has been increasing quarter on quarter since 2012, this is shown by the stock price rise form that point. But the current trend is a head and shoulders pattern. the stock rose against the head and shoulders pattern which is only natural, could this mean a larger reversal is coming for the stock? I have chosen to hedge this earning report. But, AMZN doesn't really have that much volatile in times of earning report - unless the surprise is astronomical. So, I'm going to be cutting short any losses. Also, the 100 MA is providing resistance as of this point, so this may be the volatile we are looking for, as stock usually rise or fall quite bit near moving averages. So, if the stock does boom, will it be enough to over power the head and shoulders pattern?