Ambev - Breaking Trade 12/03/2024There was a great breakout trade opportunity on Ambev's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key resistance level where the price struggled to break through. Eventually, a breakout occurred with a strong bullish candlestick, confirming buyers' strength. However, instead of entering immediately at the breakout, the ideal entry point would be on the pullback to the red zone.
After the breakout, the price retraced back to the resistance zone, which then acted as support. Notice how the price tested this zone but failed to close below it, indicating that buyers remained in control. The optimal entry would occur when the price breaks above the high of the retracement candle, confirming the continuation of the bullish move.
This approach allows for a more precise entry, reduces risk by setting a stop-loss below the support zone, and offers a better reward-to-risk ratio as the trend resumes upward. It’s a textbook example of a breakout-retest setup with confirmation.
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Ambev
$ABEV: Bullish Gartley Visible on Higher TimeframesAmbev after bouncing from the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley has held and consolidated marginally above the PCZ and while doing so has shown signs that it could continue up higher from here without a secondary retest of the 0.786 as it has Recently Broken out of a Bullish Dragon and Bounced from a smaller Bullish Shark on the Daily as well as holding the POC of the overall Harmonic Range. It has also Bullishly Broken out of a Bull Flag pattern on its ARS pairing. It could always still come back for a secondary test of the 786 retrace anyway, but due to the reasons above; I think there is a high probability that ABEV will not be going any lower than it has over the last few months and that much higher prices are in play.
Ambev is drunk. ABEVAnd likely dropping in value. B Wave with B wave of a grander consolidation pattern. DMX, RSX support this notion. It is ironic that the majority of our positions are shorts. Could this be a canary in the coalmine for a major collapse on the equity markets in the first half or a third of next year?
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!