1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings | AMC | Long at $3.66First, I'm not an " NYSE:AMC APE" and have zero interest in becoming one. Second, don't trade NYSE:AMC unless you are fully aware the investment could go to zero or the company may devalue your trade via share dilution or other means (i.e., don't simply do as I do or blindly follow anyone else's moves, for the matter).
With that aside, I started a position/gambling play today in NYSE:AMC at $3.66. The reason is 80% technical analysis and 20% fundamentals.
Technical Analysis:
The blue line on the chart represents an average true range (ATR) from a historical simple moving average (SMA) that I use for trading. For simplicity, the historical SMA is not show on the chart - just the ATR. This blue ATR line has historically been a major line of resistance and support. When it breaks through and holds, the stock goes bull - but history may not repeat. The price recently broke the blue ATR line, fell below, and the broke out again today. This may be a sign that the downward trend (overall) is changing - perhaps furthering the accumulation phase in the $3s or a gradual rise from here. And with today's breakout, I grabbed shares at $3.66.
Fundamentals
Since 2020, NYSE:AMC has shown major gains in revenue and net income (loss reduction, that is). Revenu: $1.24 billion (2020); $2.53 billion (2021); $3.91 billion (2022); 4.81 billion (2023); $4.4 billion (2024, Q1-3 only). Net Income: -$4.5 billion (2020); -$1.27 billion (2021); -$973 million (2022); -$396 million (2023); -$399 million (2024, Q1-3 only). The company is not expected to become profitable until Q4 of 2026 , but the improvements are what one would like to see.
Counter-arguments and statements the stock is junk are totally valid. But the chart is quite interesting as the company moves toward profitability (maybe...).
Targets:
$4.30
$6.00
Squeeze/mass hysteria: $18.00, $40.00, and ridiculousness: $85.00
1/6 Weekly Watchlist + NotesIndexes - SPY had a really interesting start to the year this past week. For starters, we went 2-1-2d and hit magnitude on Thursday before seeing price retrace back through all of the weeks previous range before making new weekly highs, and closing green. We now have 1-2-2U potential on all indexes, as well as a LOT of names off my scanner. Its also worth noting that we poked through previous month lows on all indexes before seeing a reversal back into previous range. This now opens up the potential for outside months on all indexes (AKA engulfing bars) which will be evidenced by our weekly setups triggering the 1-2D-2U and targeting the previous month's midpoint on all indexes to trigger the SSS50% rule (Which essentially says when you break one side of previous range and then retrace more than 50% of the previous candles range, you are now closer to taking out that other side than you are to reclaiming the side that was already taken out. It doesn't necessarily mean price is more likely to go to the other side, but it does mean that there is less room to the other side than their is to the one side broken, which means it is fundamentally less difficult to achieve since it would require less effort from one group (in this case buyers) to reclaim one side vs the effort it would take the other group (Sellers) to reclaim the level broken already.
This week it is evident we have all the setups and evidence needed to start heading back towards ATH on the indexes, but it will depend on whether we can actually take out previous week highs, and then remain above them. Simply put, if price is above previous week highs, we are seeing an attempt to reclaim the previous weekly highs all the way up to ATH. If we break above previous highs and fail to stay above, then we are seeing a failed attempt from buyers, and we can look to target previous week lows. If inside week, we just rely on what is happening each day to see where daily participants are attempting to take price. If price is stuck inside previous week range, trade something that isn't.
The watchlist for the week will include the best bullish setups, and also looking for relative weakness in what is currently a strong market (as evidenced by the majority of stocks on all indexes being green on the previous day and week).
Bullish:
NYSE:LUV - Big hammer daily that took out a lot of daily pivots below on friday. Hammer week as well, but having mother bar issues on the week as well as M being inside despite large drawdown Friday. Sort of expecting a big move or big fail this week.
NASDAQ:AMD - Revstrat hammer week at M/Q Exhaustion level
NASDAQ:SMCI - 2-2U weekly to counter M going 2D. Daily BF looking to expand. (played this 2 weeks ago for downside, now we have evidence to go long back through range)
NYSE:NET - 3-2U W to target ATH
NASDAQ:MSFT - 2-1-2U D to trigger W hammer 2-2 to negate monthly 2-2 rev. Daily PMG as well
Bearish:
NYSE:KO - 3-1-2d shooter D, 2-1-2 W, 2-1-2 M. 3 Actionable signals that could all trigger and hit targets easily this week, if not all on Monday alone
NYSE:DG Revstrat shooter W to trigger monthly 2-2D. Nice weekly Broadening Formation
NASDAQ:DLTR - Failed 2U Week that triggered SSS50% rule. Looking to quickly drop back through previous range to take this month failed 2U to 3. DG also looking weak so slight industry support here too.
Neutral:
NASDAQ:AVGO - 2x Inside week. No daily AS, but seemingly making a new BF within the combined range of the 2 days after their recent ER. Weekly participants lacking control since then and currently showing evidence of sellers trying to take out LOD from ER gap up day. Can trade this either way since compound inside bars typically result in outside bars following.
12/22/24 Weekly Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Huge sell off across the board from FOMC news on Wednesday. SPY sold off down through previous Broadening Formation range reclaiming previous downside pivot just below 684. So with that in mind, we expand out of the BF below that pivotal low, or come back through range above it. With SPY currently setup to potentially go 3-2 daily, we look to see whether fridays high or low gets taken out. Being above the pivot at 684, we are looking to come back through that BF range and make new ATHs as of now. Of course this can all change depending on whether our W is green or red, but for now we are closer to making a daily HH than a LL. With Christmas being this week, the markets close 2 hours early on Tuesday, and re open on Thursday. Being a short week like this, we need to be extra cautious as there will be lower than normal volume, and simply less time for the weekly candle to form, so expectations on a large move this week as most seem to be predicting, may not happen for the prior reasons. Personally will not be trading Tuesday and possibly not at all this week if I don't see absolute A+ setups.
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NASDAQ:NVDA - Pot. 1-3-2U Daily to trigger failed 2D hammer week. Swept BF lows this past week. Looking to come back through range. This is a big name for the markets, so I expect that if the markets are recovering, this will lead the way or follow with it
NASDAQ:MU - 2-2U reversal potential daily to target gap fill from ER. We took out weekly BF mag on friday, hitting exhaustion levels after finally escaping the motherbar it was stuck in for the last 11 weeks. One side gets toasted, magnitude is hit for W and M. All the ingredients for a big recovery. Only issue is being stuck in last weeks range
NASDAQ:PLTR - potential 3-2D for a simultaneous weekly 2-1-2U trigger. Nuclear green on all TFs. Slight room to go to target ATH again, but mainly looking for the weekly inside up measured move, meaning if we go 2-1-2U, we can expect the same move up as we had in the week prior to last weeks inside bar week.
Cruise Lines: NYSE:CCL + NYSE:NCLH Weekly hammers. NYSE:RCL Not a clean weekly AS, but similar daily to other names in the industry.
Bearish:
NASDAQ:TSLA - 3-1 4Hr to trigger MoMo shooter Daily to trigger Shooter Weekly 2-2. Daily PMG to target from ATH Exhaustion. (Big green day for most names Friday, why was TSLA so bearish with such relative strength lately?)
NASDAQ:AVGO - Shooter 2U Day to trigger 2-2 shooter week. Huge gap up from earnings. Looking to attack the gap.
NYSE:KO - MoMo Shooter 2D day to trigger 2-1-2D week. Having issues making range lately, but daily BF is targeting lower still, and weekly 2-2d has yet to be negated. Inside week will confirm more downside to target our BF magnitudes on the D and W, or it will be negated by a 2U week. Simple plan here. Short under prev week low, exit if back above.
NYSE:UBER - MoMo shooter 2d Weekly to reconfirm M 2D and Q 2U going 3. Check Monthly for the BF. Wanna see continuation lower to Q mag at 54.84. No daily AS but 3-1 4HR. May be a slower mover on the list. Basing all my decisions on the weekly as the momo shooter should simply just trigger and work
AMC Stock: Reversal in Sight? Long Opportunities Ahead!Hi fellow traders! 🚀
AMC has been tunneling down in a steady downtrend on the 1H chart, but things are looking up! Recently, AMC broke out of its range, found solid support, and respected a new bottom – a promising sign that a reversal pattern is forming.
Here’s the current technical setup:
Support Levels: $4.00
Resistance Levels: $4.30, $4.63, and $5.00
$5.00 aligns with a higher timeframe Point of Control (POC), making it a critical level to watch.
The stock has shown strength at the $4.00 support, suggesting a good base for long positions. The price action is beginning to favor the bulls, and if momentum builds, we could see AMC test higher levels in the coming sessions.
📈 Trade Idea:
Look for long entries near $4.00 with a tight stop below this level.
Target the resistance levels sequentially: $4.30, $4.63, and $5.00.
Watch for volume confirmation and further signs of bullish momentum to validate the move.
🌟 Sentiment: Positive
The technicals suggest we may finally see a shift in trend. Keep an eye on $5.00 as a significant hurdle, but the path to the upside looks promising. Let's ride this potential reversal to the moon! 🚀
What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments! 💬
#AMC #StockTrading #Reversal #BullishTrend
AMC Stock Watch: Potential Breakout OpportunityAMC Entertainment (AMC) is showing signs of a potential breakout. Currently hovering near the critical resistance zone of $4.80-4.95, monthly close above $5.35 - $ 5.50 levels could ignite strong upward momentum.
Given the technical setup and market interest, a breakout could propel the stock toward the $11–$12 range, representing a significant upside. This move would likely attract both retail and institutional traders, further fueling the rally.
Key levels to watch:
Support: $4.80–$5.00
Resistance: $5.31–$5.35
Target: $11–$12
SL: $ 4.25
As always, monitor volume and broader market conditions to confirm the breakout. A strong close above resistance, especially on high volume, would validate this thesis.
AMC, December 2024Close one, with the timing of the Debt for Equity at 5.66, GO plan, big box office movies and a peaking stock market, there's a bullish lotto play short term with at least a 100% returns. Up to the $9 - $13 range. Could last until January, but we all know AMC runs quickly, then falls as quick. The reason for that fall would likely be economic conditions getting worse and the market finally falling.
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It is safe to assume that AMC will also feel the effect of a recession although it has proven in the past that it could care less (check out defunct symbol : AEN, October 2000).
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Still it is wise to remain cautious and expect rejection near $11 and be ready to catch the dip. As AMC is poised to recover along with the movie business through 2025 - 2029.
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If their mission is successful and AMC can survive through harsh months coming up, then this ticker will play a major role in a potential movie bubble that is brewing.
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Nothing is guaranteed, there is always a lot of risks investing in non-profitable and debt ridden companies. Thankfully AMC has seen a slow but solid return to balance sheet cleanliness.
Less expenses, more streams of revenues and debt is being pushed out and actively paid.
There are probably more rounds of dilution coming up along the way, this is when you should have your cash ready. Because when the box-office numbers start popping up again and resume their pre COVID climb, AMC won't spend much more time down there.
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This is not financial advice.
3 PRIMED SHORT SQUEEZE NAMES 🔥 3 SHORT SQUEEZE NAMES ABOUT TO SQUUEEZZZEEEEE 🔥
1⃣ NASDAQ:MBLY
2⃣ NYSE:CRK
3⃣ NYSE:MCW
Check out the video analysis to see the setups, trade ideas, and more! 🎥💡
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CNK - Cinemark - While they focus on AMC, dont forget Cinemark!Even while the rest of the market pulls back, Cinemark is holding strong. Everyone is so focused on AMC that they are missing out on Cinemark. Cinemark beat expectations in the last 2 earnings. Cinemark is turning a small profit as well. Add Cinemark to your watchlist?
$SPY $537 Fair Value Gap fill incoming imoFVG sits below at $541.61-$536.89 ..... Current 6 count could prove bearish into the 7th count on 10D chart. Very interesting chart showing what would essentially be a Bearish Harami off this Inside Doji. The 10D candle starts tomorrow 7/23 and ends 8/7 so basicaally accumlate as many puts as possible between then and now. If we move above the Open on the Doji at $554.54, then we can start talking about bullish behavoir. For now though, the gap above at $566.7 was rejected and I will be looking for a downside move from here to $540 as previously noted in a recent session. Chao.
PULTE GROUP (PHM), THIS DUDE GIVES AWAY LOTS OF MONEYYou can follow the ceo on twitter.
He often has live streams where he obviously talks about his company among other things.
He also gives away a lot of money. It seems he genuinely cares and enjoys giving away money. It seems partly for his image, but imo, he created a win/win. With the amount of money he has given away, he's earned some good publicity.
(I've never received money as a disclaimer, I mention this because a lot of his twitter feed is about giving)
He talks about GME and BBBY often.
Flys a chopper.
Won't give me a ride.
For his stock.
Honestly, he seems awesome, but his stock is getting to the scary zone.
Now, I say this because even though it is a scary zone, there is a lot of potential upside momentum can carry the price to.
So, earnings on the 23th is important to note.
It will likely have an effect on price. I assume from the looks of things, price might see a decent upside movement to 125-145 range and then see a significant downside before recovery.
I think I labeled most of the important things on the chart.
AMC - Week of June 17, 2024Its been a while since I published anything. I have been working on getting better at my skills and TA, just to be honest.
Two years later and AMC looks attractive again. Why?... Well it derives from a bunch of degenerate cultist (like myself) who believe in the stock / company, the evolution of what we know as the theater industry, and same fractal patterns reoccurring. Oh yeah, and the correlation of GME and AMC being exact.
So I will approach this PROJECTION (because thats all this is & NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!) as a sympathy play to GME. See GME analysis on the next post.
I begin doing a top down analysis. Here is the Monthly view on AMC. Currently price closed at 4.99 on June 14, 2024. lol Cant make this up!
I simply see a Dumb Money sequel - Hedgies Getting Wedgies -
Coming to an AMC theater near you.
When we squeeze I see it AMC going to 174 - 154 per share price before it is met with great resistance and pulls back. Here is where the real test comes, we will see if with enough force AMC breaks this wall of Hedgies. Shall it have a blow the top off moment, it needs to stay above 195 to get to All Time Highs!
I could be completely wrong and it goes to zero....
NYSE:AMC