Amcapes
AMC BreakdownWe can now see a clear head and shoulders pattern executed on the weekly time frame. The stock has bounced slightly off the 55 weekly moving average currently finding support at around $29 which was the previous swing low from August. The technical target from the head and shoulders pattern would bring the price to around $16.
Levels of support :
If we fail to hold support at $29 and lose the weekly 55 moving average we have $20 which is a previous swing high as labeled (top of previous pendant wick) and $14.33 ( previous swing high from first pendant.
AMC Update: What to expect in the next 1-2 Wk's 9/13This Chart has been a work in progress but let me tell you, the process has been great.
Price has hit Pt's but now we begin to get close to the Squeeze.
We have hit a very important line of Resistance (LoR). 52.06 was a LoR that I see started back in the symmetrical triangle that was prevalent when price wanted to touch the Upper or Lowe lines of the symmetrical triangle.
Now that we are back at the low of that range, I believe we are going to see a lot of volatility in/near this range (Red Box)
Inside the range of the Red Box, I have 2 other ranges that I believe are significant Reversal or Continuation areas but Ultimately, we should be seeing Volatility and Upward momentum in/near the bigger range.
The way I see for the immediate short term to play-out is reversal's to the downside at ranges 1 or 3 to the Green line Labeled "2. Green Line". Once we see this range, for us to begin a healthy trend to the upside we need to see a bounce to the upside off that green line. For us to break 2. and assume we are going to the upside still, we would need to fall under the green line directly into a pattern (We wont know from the day that we break the green line to the downside that we will reverse to the upside until a few days plays out for the pattern to form itself) So if we do break the green line when we come back down to re test it to the downside give a few days for the market to do its thing and find entrance opportunities in the case that w do form a pattern.
If we do bounce to the Upside off the retrace to the green line, The best case scenario for us would be a test and breakout above the 52.04 orange dotted line which will send us on a Price Target Path of range 72.92-75.22. How we play-out after the breakout of 52.04 will give us a little more insight on how long it will take and what move we should be expecting to get to that range in the early to mid 70's
NOTE THIS: I stress this LoR soo much because it was the W pattern that we broke out of between the 9th and 10th of September. This is a strong resistance point so anytime price crosses it, many strong moves can take place (Reversal/Continuation with heavy momentum, Dump-Worst Case Scenario, Pattern Beginning- My Personal belief upon crossing the LoR.
Below is the Prediction I made for AMC at the Purple Resistance Line on the 2 Hr Tf.
Happy Trading and remember!
Scared money don't make no money (;
AMC is the sell-off imminent? Harmonious Gartley + Elliot wave German translation below
Symbol / name of the stock / time frame / trading place / currency / precision
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AMC / AMC Entertainment / daily chart / NYSE / USD / 1/1000
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Notice.
All texts as well as the notes and information in this idea do not represent any investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell securities according to (§ 85 WpHG).
Expressly again no buy / sell or hold recommendation no investment advice or the like.
You bear the sole risk for your actions.
As the name already says this is only an idea on my part the expressly not to the imitation call is.
Basis / starting points of this analysis
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All time low 1.910
All time high 72.620
On 05.08.2021, countermovement (wave A) at the 61.8% retracement.
RSI 65.30
XABCD Gartley Pattern
Elliot Waves
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XABCD Gartley
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X= 1.970
B= 72.620
C= 55.953
D= 17.061
X-B= 0.618
X-D= 0.786
A-C= 0.618
B-D= 1.44
C and D are still in execution!
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Elliot waves
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wave 1= 20.360
wave 2= 5.260
Wave 3= 72.620
Wave 4= 20.400 ?
Wave 5 ?
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Description of the idea
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1. after reaching the last all-time high and the formation of wave 3 on 02.06.2021 the price is in a correction phase (ABC) 0= 72.620 A = 28.910 B=? ( 55.829 - 63.322 ) C= ? ( 21.673 - 7.687)
2. on 05.08.2021 the price formed wave A at 28.910
3. with the formation of wave B, I expect in the range of 55,829 - 63,322 (Gartley C)
4. possibility of a short position in the area of wave B SL at 65,000 - 70,000 TP= 21,673 - 7,687 (consider CRV, risk and money management)
5. target areas of the downward movement:
Yellow = Harmonizes with the Elliot wave theory whereby 20,360 Optimally should not be undercut. XABCD Would not be in the range in perfection
Orange = Harmonizes with the Gartley formation, whereby 17,215 would perfect the formation. Elliot wave 4 would already be below wave 1 here.
Red = Lowest area for side D of the Gartley formation, Gartley and Elliot would not have performed Harmonious or Perfection in this area.
6. after reaching the target area of the downward movement, short positions should be closed, when leaving upwards from one of the target areas, long positions could be opened.
Since there is a very large margin here in the downward target range, one should watch closely here and think carefully about how to position.
One possibility here would be that one uses in each case the middle value of the respective area (yellow, orange, red) as an entry, and the spaces between the respective target areas as SL.
7. take profit zones:
The respective colored lines (Yellow Orange Red) in the Take Profit areas, are dependent on the respective entries, from the downward target areas. (Yellow = Yellow, Orange = Orange, Red = Red)
38.2% Range Take Profit Zone 1 32,492 - 41,232
61.8% Range Take Profit Zone 2 47,825 - 53,098
127% Range Take Profit Zone 3 86.257 - 90.144
8th Elliot waves 5 target areas:
Target 1 39,264
Target 2 52.899
Target 3 72,620
Target 4 86.746
Target 5 105.834
9. since the RSI did not fall in the oversold area of 30 on 05.08, my assumption is confirmed that in the target area of the current upward movement (Gartley C), the RSI will be in the oversold area and a strong sell-off will follow.
and a strong sell-off will follow.
I hope you liked the analysis, you should be of a different opinion, and or they have created their own analysis feel free to post it in the comments.
German Version
AMC steht der Abverkauf bevor? Harmonisch Gartley + Elliot Welle
Symbol / Name der Aktie / Zeitfenster / Handelsplatz / Währung / Präzision
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AMC / AMC Entertainment / Tageschart / NYSE / USD / 1/1000
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Hinweis!
Alle Texte sowie die Hinweise und Informationen in dieser Idee stellen keine Anlageberatung oder Empfehlung zum Kauf oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren nach (§ 85 WpHG) dar.
Ausdrücklich nochmal Keine Kauf / Verkauf oder Halte Empfehlung keine Anlage Beratung oder ähnliches.
Ihr tragt das alleinige Risiko für euer Handeln.
Wie der Name schon sagt ist dies lediglich eine Idee meinerseits die ausdrücklich nicht zur Nachahmung aufrufen soll.
Basis / Ausgangs Punkte dieser Analyse
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Allzeit Tief 1.910
Allzeit Hoch 72.620
Am 05.08.2021, Gegenbewegung (Welle A) am 61.8% Retracement.
RSI 65.30
XABCD Gartley Muster
Elliot Wellen
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XABCD Gartley
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X= 1.970
B= 72.620
C= 55.953
D= 17.061
X-B= 0.618
X-D= 0.786
A-C= 0.618
B-D= 1.44
C und D sind noch in der Ausführung!
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Elliot Wellen
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Welle 1= 20.360
Welle 2= 5.260
Welle 3= 72.620
Welle 4= 20.400?
Welle 5 ?
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Beschreibung der Idee
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1. Nach dem erreichen des Letzten Allzeit Hochs und die Bildung von Welle 3 am 02.06.2021 befindet sich der Kurs in einer Korrektur Phase (ABC) 0= 72.620 A = 28.910 B=? ( 55.829 - 63.322 ) C= ? ( 21.673 - 7.687)
2. Am 05.08.2021 Bildete der Kurs Welle A bei 28.910
3. Mit der Ausbildung von Welle B, rechne ich im Bereich von 55.829 - 63.322 (Gartley C)
4. Möglichkeit einer Short Position im Bereich von Welle B SL bei 65.000 - 70.000 TP= 21.673 - 7.687 (CRV, Risiko und Money Management beachten)
5. Zielbereiche der Abwärtsbewegung:
Gelb = Harmoniert mit der Elliot wellen Theorie wobei 20.360 Optimalerweise nicht unterschritten werden sollte. XABCD Wäre in dem Bereich nicht in Perfektion
Orange = Harmoniert mit der Gartley Formation, wobei 17.215 die Formation Perfektionieren würde. Elliot Welle 4 wäre hier bereits unter Welle 1
Rot = Tiefster Bereich für Seite D der Gartley Formation, Gartley und Elliot hätten in diesem Bereich keine Harmonische bzw Perfektionierte Ausübung geleistet.
6. Nach erreichen des Zielbereichs der Abwärtsbewegung, sollten Short Positionen geschlossen werden, beim verlassen nach oben aus einen der Zielbereiche könnten Long Positionen eröffnet werden.
Da hier im Abwärts Zielbereich ein sehr großer Spielraum herrscht, sollte man hier genau beobachten und sich genauestens überlegen wie man sich Positioniert.
Eine Möglichkeit hierbei wäre, dass man jeweils den Mittleren Wert des jeweiligen Bereiches (Gelb, Orange, Rot) als Einstieg nutzt, und die Zwischenräume zwischen den jeweiligen Zielbereichen als SL nutzt.
7. Take Profit Zonen:
Die jeweiligen Farbigen Linien (Gelb Orange Rot) in den Take Profit Bereichen, sind abhängig von den jeweiligen Einstiegen, aus den Abwärts Zielbereichen. (Gelb = Gelb, Orange = Orange, Rot = Rot)
38.2% Bereich Take Profit Zone 1 32.492 - 41.232
61.8% Bereich Take Profit Zone 2 47.825 - 53.098
127% Bereich Take Profit Zone 3 86.257 - 90.144
8. Elliot Wellen 5 Zielbereiche:
Ziel 1 39.264
Ziel 2 52.899
Ziel 3 72.620
Ziel 4 86.746
Ziel 5 105.834
9. Da der RSI am 05.08 nicht im Überverkauften Bereich von 30 gefallen ist, bekräftigt sich meine Vermutung das im Ziel Bereich der Aktuellen Aufwärtsbewegung (Gartley C), der RSI im über kauften Bereich sein
wird, und ein Starker Abverkauf folgt.
Ich hoffe Ihnen hat die Analyse gefallen, sollten Sie anderer Meinung sein, und oder haben sie eine eigene Analyse erstellt fühlen sie sich frei diese in den Kommentaren zu Posten.
AMC Wed Update: RetraceSo yesterday we saw a close breakout on the Technical Analysis. Unfortunately did not play to plan.
What I do believe though is that we could see a bounce off of the 41.98 resistance line OR the Neckline to the M pattern seen on Monday (Blue Dotted line). With the direction going lower, let's remember that we are more than likely re tracing to a previous resistance forming a new higher low and to continue. Not entirely DOWN trending to new lower numbers.
I believe we haven't changed directions and are still retracing. But, based off the T.A., does anyone else think we are near the bottom of the retracement, or Consolidating in a range (If we were to I'd say consolidation in the range of 48.12 and 41.98)
Retracements are very important and if seen and understood properly, They can be a great buy signal at the bottom of the retrace as-well. Wheres the bottom? MACD
My Thoughts are a bottom near the 41.98 and a green week next week.
Happy Trading everyone and remember... don't sell w/ Hedge funds!! The shares you sell ARE the shares they use to short. The less shares they have the better it is for us!
Side Note: I don't want to hype anyone up, but I truly think we could see the squeeze starting this new beautiful month of September.
AMC Pattern Update for the week and maybe even nextQuick little update for this week.
Wednesday morning should be good.
In the case we don't go back down to the downside. We should see a re-test of 46.88 and a bounce to the upside off that. In the case we do go below the resistance (46.88) to the downside, The bottom to that trend should be in the range of 46.08 to 45.31.
IF we drop below resistance, what I believe we could see happening is a lot of volatility and consolidation for the week and into the next week as-well.
Side Note: Im still very bullish for the week and even next week but once we hit price targets referenced in my first AMC post linked below. We will see red days in a reteracement towards previous resistances which will be posted here once we get there.
We are doing absolutely amazing everyone.
Happy trading and remember, don't sell w/ the Hedge funds!!!
Edit: The green dotted line is the resistance at 46.88. Referenced because that's the re-test line mentioned above.
Short Term AMC Update: Are we Breaking 50 this week?Short term price movement should give us a test at 46.79 and then a break out to 53.76. Then, Retrace + Consolidation to 52.12. Finally, we wait and see what the chart tells us what the following moves could be.
Side Note: Still believing in the long term approach to my AMC Prediction.
This post is a day to day break down on the 30 min.
Short Term AMC Update: Are we breaking 50.00 this week?Short term price movement should give us a test at 46.79 and then a break out to 53.76. Then, Retrace + Consolidation to 52.12. Finally, we wait and see what the chart tells us what the following moves could be.
Side Note: Still believing in the long term approach to my AMC Prediction.
This post is a day to day break down on the 30 min.
AMC PredictionKeeping it short and simple. Called the 48.20 Top and based on the T.A. next hit is 56.95 and then a best case scenario retrace down to 52.07. After that were looking at a tap between 73-75.27 and retrace no lower than 57.
My Prediction for the tap before flight is 117.65.
The charts there, take a look.
Happy trading and HODL at all cost's. Don't help the Hedge Funds by selling w/ them.