Time for an $AMC run?AMC has broken out of it's bottoming formation, has reclaimed the 200DMA and now price is retesting the support level.
Assuming price can continue to hold support here, I think we could see a run to the $6 resistance levels.
Amcentertainment
AMC PullbackAMC coiling here near a key moving average after pullback from its initial move. Our premium indicator has giving 2 blue continuation signals + GME looks to be in a similar position.
Besides the risk of how volatile this name is, this play also has significant overnight risk. A realistic stop on the position is around 15-25% meaning the sizing has to be very low.
AMC, series of price growth expected.AMC is registering significant net buying at the current levels -- conveying accumulation for a higher valuation.
On the 4h data, 3rd higher lows was created suggesting upside continuation.
Volume has also also steadily increased this past few days.
Spotted at 5.0
TAYOR
Safeguard capital always.
GME Bullish Setup Jun 6-7th Update#GME had a very strong close today, hitting my Main Target box to the penny!
#TTR was long #GME (again) from $24.54, we are 50% out today, near the highs, holding the rest for Friday.
#TTR was also long GME from $13.01 and we exited the most at 64.54, 57 and 51 on the main gap up day!
#TTR is also long #AMC, all the targets were posted
AMC pumps price and volume into fair value zone LONGAMC is on a 4H chart with a set of VWAP bands overlaid In the past two trading sessions price
and volume have pumps and so also the PV Trend indicator. There is no fundamental
footprint on this move. it is a pure meme much like a similar move of GME. I will go long
here hoping to ride the momentum and capture profit. I will set a stop loss fo 10% n
recognition of the volatilit The final target is the $ 120 range pivots of April and
August 202. The initial target is the $35 range of the ranging zone of August 2023. Upon
reaching the first target I will cut the position to 50% for the leg higher. I will cut the position
if momentum fades especially if the volume fades with it. This will be interesting at the least
and highly profitable at the very most.
AMC Entertainment Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold AMC before the APE merger, after which it went down on share dilution:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMC Entertainment Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 3.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.37.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMC Entertainment Holdings Stock.DAILY ANALYSIS.Hello ladies and gentleman,according my analysis To AMC Entertainment Holdings STOCK .there is agreat probability long to 10 USD.
GME : Is the GAMESTOP Super Pump OVER?NYSE:GME 🚀 NYSE:AMC
In a single day, GameStop was able to outperform an entire year of BTC.
GameStop stock and AMC shares soared Monday after Keith Gill, who sparked the meme stock rally during the pandemic, made his return to social media for the first time in three years. The New York Stock Exchange temporarily paused trading on GME stock 34 times.
Short sellers are estimated to have lost over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in tow days.
One thing that is very evident (except for massive whale plays and no doubt insider trading) is the gap that formed around $20-$25. The price is known t return to fill the gap, so I am SHORT until that zone is filled, calling this entire scheme one big pump-and-dump.
AMC will soon fall to pre-pump lows as well, as the price levels fails to hold for even 12h:
Sellers are now dominating lower timeframes and the price continues to fall fast. The price COULD fall or wick as low as the trendline on the technical indicator:
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AMC and GME Gamma Squeeze vs Short Squeeze durationYou are surely wondering how long this rally on GME and AMC could go!
Let's look at the 2021 short / gamma squeezes to find out!
GME rallied from Jan 13 to Jan 28 for 15 days and went up 24X at its peak! That was a gamma squeeze!
AMC, on the other hand, rallied from May 13 to June 2 for 20 days, during which it went up 6X at its peak. That was more of a short squeeze!
A gamma squeeze and a short squeeze are both market phenomena, but they operate in different ways and involve different types of trading strategies.
Short Squeeze:
In a short squeeze, traders who have sold a stock short (i.e., they've borrowed shares and sold them with the intention of buying them back later at a lower price) are forced to buy the stock back at higher prices to cover their positions. This buying pressure drives the stock price even higher, causing more short sellers to cover their positions, thus further increasing the price. It creates a feedback loop where rising prices force short sellers to buy, further increasing demand, and thus prices.
Short squeezes often occur when there's significant negative sentiment or speculation about a stock, and a sudden positive development causes the price to rise sharply, catching short sellers off guard.
Gamma Squeeze:
A gamma squeeze, on the other hand, involves options trading. It occurs when option sellers (who are often large institutional investors or market makers) have sold call options (contracts that give the holder the right to buy a stock at a certain price) and need to hedge their positions by buying the underlying stock. As the stock price rises, they need to buy more stock to maintain their hedge, which further fuels the price increase.
Gamma squeezes are typically triggered by a sharp rise in the underlying stock price, causing the delta (the rate of change of the option price with respect to the price of the underlying asset) of the call options to increase rapidly. This forces option sellers to buy more stock to adjust their hedges, leading to a feedback loop similar to a short squeeze but driven by options trading.
We could be entering a cycle here, let's see!
AMC Prepares for Q1 Earnings Amidst Hollywood StrikesAMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., ( NYSE:AMC ) the renowned movie theater chain based in Leawood, Kansas, recently preannounced its first-quarter results, providing insights into its financial performance amidst challenging industry conditions. Despite headwinds caused by Hollywood strikes and reduced box office releases, AMC anticipates its Q1 results to exceed analyst estimates, showcasing resilience in a turbulent market environment.
Challenges Amidst Hollywood Strikes:
The 2023 Hollywood writers and actors strikes have adversely impacted the box office, leading to fewer movie releases and affecting theater chains like $AMC. Despite these challenges, CEO Adam Aron noted that AMC outperformed expectations, exceeding consensus estimates for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, net income, and diluted EPS. The preannouncement revealed expected revenue of $951.4 million and a net loss of $163.5 million, highlighting the company's ability to navigate through difficult market conditions.
Financial Outlook and Stock Sale Update:
NYSE:AMC anticipates adjusted EBITDA for Q1 to be negative at $31.6 million, reflecting a wider loss compared to the previous year. The company also provided an update on its stock sale activities, revealing the sale of 12.8 million shares and raising gross proceeds of $41.8 million as of April 25. Despite the challenges, NYSE:AMC remains committed to its turnaround efforts and debt repayment obligations.
Ebullient Outlook and Forward Guidance:
Looking ahead, CEO Adam Aron expressed optimism about the upcoming film slate and expects a strengthening box office performance as the year progresses. While acknowledging the continued impact of Hollywood strikes on Q2 box office revenues, NYSE:AMC remains optimistic about its future prospects. The company's strategic focus on adapting to evolving market dynamics and leveraging its retail investor base underscores its commitment to long-term growth and sustainability.
Conclusion:
AMC's preannouncement of Q1 results provides valuable insights into its financial performance amidst industry challenges and ongoing turnaround efforts. Despite facing headwinds from Hollywood strikes and reduced box office releases, NYSE:AMC remains resilient, exceeding analyst expectations and showcasing its ability to navigate through turbulent market conditions. As the company prepares to release its first-quarter results on May 8, investors remain vigilant, anticipating further updates on AMC's financial performance and strategic initiatives.
AMC Stock Surges 10.29%: A Glimmer of Hope Amid TurmoilIn a surprising turn of events, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. ( NYSE:AMC ) saw its stock surge by 8.46% on Wednesday early Market trading, marking its 2nd most significant single-day gain since February 6. This unexpected rally comes amidst a period of volatility for the movie theater chain, which has endured a series of record lows and a steep decline of 55.6% in 2024 alone.
Despite recent challenges, including speculation about possible bankruptcy, AMC's Chief Executive Adam Aron remains steadfast in his confidence about the company's future. Aron dismissed the notion of Chapter 11 bankruptcy, emphasizing AMC's resilience and strong position prior to the pandemic.
Indeed, NYSE:AMC has been actively addressing its debt burden, with measures such as completing an equity offering and filing to sell additional stock. These efforts, coupled with a strategic focus on cash management, reflect AMC's commitment to navigating through turbulent times.
Analysts, too, are cautiously optimistic about AMC's prospects. While acknowledging the debt challenges, Benchmark analyst Mike Hickey points to AMC's strengths, including its prominent presence in the Imax market and potential growth opportunities in premium viewing formats.
Despite ongoing speculation, Hickey believes that an immediate collapse for NYSE:AMC is unlikely. As the cinema sector prepares for blockbuster releases and the domestic box office shows signs of improvement, AMC's recent stock rally could be a glimmer of hope amidst the uncertainty.
As NYSE:AMC continues to navigate through the evolving landscape of the entertainment industry, investors and stakeholders alike are closely watching for signs of recovery and resilience. With each milestone and strategic move, AMC is writing a new chapter in its story, one that reflects resilience, adaptation, and the enduring spirit of cinema.
This latest surge in NYSE:AMC 's stock price serves as a reminder of the company's resilience and the potential for brighter days ahead in the world of entertainment.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:AMC stock surged 10.29% in early Wednesday Market trading marking its highest gains since February 2024. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose to 38.90 from a record low of 19.98.
The 4-month price chart indicates a morning star pattern further ascertaining to the bullish trend of NYSE:AMC stock.
AMC Entertainment's Stock Plummets 16% on Proposed Stock SaleAMC Entertainment ( NYSE:AMC ), the nation's largest theater chain, is facing turbulent times once again as its shares plummet over 16% in response to a proposed stock sale of up to $250 million. The company cites a soft first-quarter box office and increased cash burn as reasons behind the move, leaving investors concerned about the chain's financial stability.
The decision to raise capital through stock sales comes amid ongoing challenges for NYSE:AMC , exacerbated by last year's Hollywood strikes and subsequent cash flow disruptions. Despite a slight bounce in premarket trading, AMC's stock remains down significantly, highlighting investor skepticism about the company's ability to weather the storm.
The pandemic dealt a severe blow to AMC's financial health, pushing it to the brink of bankruptcy. While its meme stock status provided a temporary reprieve, the underlying debt burden and operational challenges persist. CEO Adam Aron has emphasized the importance of bolstering liquidity to navigate the uncertainties ahead, even as retail investors express concerns about dilution of their stake.
The company's recent fourth-quarter numbers offered a glimmer of hope, with improved performance attributed in part to successful film releases like Taylor Swift's The Eras Tour. However, Wall Street analysts remain cautious, citing AMC's significant financial leverage and the looming specter of potential balance sheet restructuring.
Moody's Investor Services has underscored the precarious nature of AMC's debt capital structure, warning of the possibility of further distressed exchanges or restructuring. As AMC charts its course forward, investors are left grappling with the uncertain future of the iconic movie theater chain in an ever-evolving entertainment landscape.
In the face of mounting challenges, AMC's resilience will be put to the test once again. Whether it can successfully navigate these turbulent waters and emerge stronger on the other side remains to be seen.
Stay tuned as NYSE:AMC Entertainment continues to navigate the highs and lows of the movie industry, with investors eagerly watching for signs of stability amidst the storm.
AMC Earnings Build-upQuick disclaimer, I've posted many Ideas for this stock expecting an uptrend and they haven't panned out, but I'm going to pull out my inner Michael Burry and claim that I don't think I'm wrong, I'm just early.
AMC is currently being pinched in two downtrends that date back to Aug 24th and 25th.
The closer resistance would require the stock to break/stay above 4 dollars (as of tomorrow, Feb 8th). That number goes down every day after that.
The support on this downtrend would have AMC needing to stay above 3$ at the time of earnings on Feb 28th
But TA has let us down before, so let's talk about earnings:
Analysts' expected revenue is 1.046B.
AMC has met or beaten revenue expectations every single quarter since the initial COVID quarter, which hints to the possible re-occurrence for Q4 2023.
Maybe analysts don't exactly know how to calculate/predict AMC's revenue.
Even less now that AMC released their own movies (T. Swift + Beyonce). Nobody knows exactly how much they made from those.
On top of that, there's all the new merch they've been coming out with, popcorn at new stores, their own candy line (which according to Twitter and Reddit, Apes went out and bought like mad for the holidays) AND the AMC VISA Credit Card, of which it is pretty much impossible to predict the revenue from (and I'm optimistic considering VISA destroyed their last earnings)...
I strongly expect an Earnings Beat.
In terms of future outlook, which is also very important in determining the direction of a stock price post-earnings, Q1 will be the absolute weakest of the year for sure. But that doesn't mean it'll be terrible, or even bad. It's kind of too bad Dune 2 isn't released until after earnings. Having just one weekend before the call would give us a greater idea of how the quarter will finish but, if anything, a successful first weekend for Dune 2 immediately after a positive earnings call will just keep the momentum going. The rest of the year has many more blockbusters to come.
This will be my last Idea for AMC, I'll just keep expanding on it from here.
I'm so bullish that I am absolutely sure that we are hovering around the bottom. Once we start going up, there's no looking back.
AMC Entertainment Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold AMC before the APE units merger:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMC Entertainment Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $1.44.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMC Faces Uphill Battle Amidst Dwindling Box Office & Debt Woes
As the curtain falls on another tumultuous year for AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ), investors brace themselves for what could be a defining moment in the company's trajectory. With AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) stock plummeting to new lows and a bleak outlook for the cinema industry, CEO Adam Aron finds himself navigating treacherous waters filled with debt obligations and shifting consumer preferences.
The recent plunge in AMC's stock price, hitting a new 52-week low of $3.63 per share, reflects the harsh reality facing the cinema giant. Despite the optimism surrounding the industry's recovery post-pandemic, AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) struggles persist, exacerbated by external factors such as the lingering effects of the 2023 Writers Guild of America strike.
The impact of the strike on the 2024 box office cannot be understated. With projections suggesting a staggering decline of at least $1 billion in domestic box office revenue, AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) and its peers face an uphill battle to reignite consumer interest in traditional moviegoing experiences. The rise of streaming platforms continues to pose a formidable challenge, forcing AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) to reimagine its business model and adapt to an evolving landscape.
One of the key concerns weighing on AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) performance is its ballooning debt. The company's aggressive measures to pay down debt, including dilution through share offerings, have left investors wary. AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) outstanding shares surged by 29.52% in 2023 alone, reflecting a pattern of dilution that threatens to erode shareholder value over time.
The recent $350 million at-the-market offering, coupled with additional share issuances to service debt obligations, underscores the urgency of AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) financial predicament. As the company strives to strike a delicate balance between debt reduction and shareholder interests, the path forward remains fraught with uncertainty.
Against this backdrop, AMC's upcoming earnings report for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023, assumes critical importance. Investors eagerly await insights into the company's performance and strategic initiatives to navigate the challenges ahead.
The earnings webcast scheduled for February 28, 2024, offers a platform for stakeholders to gauge AMC's prospects and pose pertinent questions to company executives. Amidst mounting concerns, CEO Adam Aron faces the daunting task of restoring investor confidence and charting a course towards sustainable growth.
However, amidst the gloom, there are glimmers of hope for AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ). The company's relentless pursuit of innovation, including initiatives like AMC Theatres Distribution and partnerships with leading artists, demonstrates a commitment to diversifying revenue streams and enhancing the cinema experience.
As AMC endeavors to weather the storm, it remains to be seen whether the company can emerge stronger from its current challenges. With the global cinema landscape undergoing seismic shifts, AMC's fate hangs in the balance, with stakeholders eagerly awaiting the next chapter in this unfolding saga.
Expecting volatility this week and nextAMC is currently testing the macro resistance for the 4th time.
The stock is currently getting pinched between the Bollinger Bands.
RSI is oversold on all timeframes.
In 2021, AMC started making moves after MLK day.
Hell of a lot of options expiring on Friday.
Impossible to say if it will be a bullish or bearish move considering everything we've seen with this stock. If it does reject this macro resistance again, AMC is hitting 0$ at the end of the month/start of Feb.
(White dotted lines are just historical support and resistances I'm keeping an eye on)
It's allll good (perhaps)Above you can see AMC's 4h chart.
As you can see, we have broken above the heavy macro resistance , which dates back to April '22. We even retested it and found support today.
No dates, no price targets. Just showing you the TA I'm seeing here.
RSI is also oversold on the 4h and volume is picking back up.
AMC Entertainment (NYSE: AMC) Stock: Buy or Sell? AMC shares are currently trading near their all-time low, despite the fact that the company's fundamentals are at their strongest since the onset of the pandemic.
AMC Is Trading at an All-Time Low
AMC Entertainment (AMC) - would be classified as a penny stock right now if it weren't for the 1-for-10 reverse stock split that the company implemented at the end of August. In fact, if it hadn't been for the reverse split, AMC — which trades for around $6 — would be worth 69 cents per share today.
AMC reached an all-time high of $551 per share in 2021 (adjusted for the reverse stock split). However, the stock has experienced a significant decline in value since August. This decline can be attributed to the substantial dilution that resulted from the conversion of preferred shares into common stock.
This downward trend contrasts with the sustained high share price levels that AMC enjoyed over the past two years, supported by its loyal retail shareholders, affectionately referred to as the "Apes."
The technical indicators reveal significant selling pressure on AMC shares in recent months. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 29, indicating oversold conditions. In such a situation, a reversal becomes more likely if a catalyst emerges to alleviate the selling pressure and propel the shares into a bullish trend.
AMC's Business Is in the Best Shape Since the Pandemic
Paradoxically, at the same time that AMC shares have sharply declined, the company has begun reporting its best financial results since 2019 — before the COVID pandemic.
For the third quarter, AMC disclosed record-breaking revenue and EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), surpassing even pre-pandemic numbers. This success was attributed to the release of international blockbusters such as Barbie and Oppenheimer.
Despite a recorded 16% decrease in theater attendance compared to 2019, a remarkable 30% increase in per-patron spending significantly contributed to AMC's robust revenue results.
However, AMC still grapples with a substantial debt burden. The company's long-term debt stands at $4.75 billion, and its current ratio (total assets divided by total liabilities) is 0.46, raising some concerns.
The company's decision to raise equity to address this issue has been well-received. With the recent sale of $350 million worth of shares, AMC is poised to raise approximately $700 million this year. This infusion of capital will help strengthen its liquidity position, facilitate debt write-offs, and alleviate any short-term survival concerns.
Price Momentum
AMC is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price lower, and the stock still appears to have downward momentum. This is a neutral sign for the stock's future value.
AMC Entertainment Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMC before the Gamma Squeeze:
or sold before the approved combining AMC shares & APE units:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMC Entertainment Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 10usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $1.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. I`m still bearish for the long run. Might end up in bankruptcy after all.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMC Already up +30% since our buy call. Still hold?AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) went up yesterday +30% since our buy signal 2 weeks ago (September 26) as it rose from $8.14 to $10.52 (see chart below):
Our long-term target remains $25.00, which is under the long-term Resistance of the 1W MA50 but what to do on the shorter term? The 1D RSI just turned neutral at 46.37 while the 1D MACD is on a Bullish Cross but still under the 0.0 mark. Those two indicate that there is still more upside left to this 2-week rally, which was to be expected considering the previously oversold condition of the time-frame.
As a result, the short-term target is $14.00, which is exactly on the Resistance 1 level and where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed to. Complimentary to that, the 1D RSI has a clear Resistance Zone for selling purposes. If it enters it before the price hits 14.00, we may consider taking the profit earlier.
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AMC Entertainment Holdings Stock.Swing TradeHello ladies and gentleman,according my analysis To AMC Entertainment Holdings STOCK.there is agreat probability long to 13 USD.
AMC Forming a bottom. Huge investment opportunity?AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has been trading sideways for the past 2 weeks following this month's bottom after the August price drop. The 1D RSI turning flat in oversold territory while the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross marginally above the -0.500 level, the deepest it has ever been historically.
The above setting is an early call of a long-term bottom formation. A similar pattern, Lower Highs price sell-off into an oversold RSI and Bullish Cross MACD can be seen on AMC's previous market low during March 2020. The price then recovered, hitting both the 1D MA50 and MA200, extending as high as the Lower Highs trend-line. As a result, we consider the current levels a sound investment, targeting at least $25.00 (projected contact with the 1D MA200).
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AMC LONG TF M15, TP = 5.36On the M15 chart the trend started on July 28 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 5.36
But we should not forget about SL = 4.51
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
