$AMC #AMC Personal prediction for today and start of next week Hello all,
Here a little technical analyse about $AMC #AMC. Why? Because i love the stonk. Am i biased? Absolutely! Is this financial advice? Absolutely NO. I'm just a crayon eating Ape who loves to draw lines and like you can see in my last predictions, an average gorilla can predict better.
What does the chart tells me? I see an Apish break out once the price breaks out of this pattern. After the breakout normally it will followed with a little retest of the pattern or support at our latest high. Once that retest is done and you see Apish momentum going up, this might be the time for me to get some more moon tickets. Need my paycheck to grab some more. More then all-in will be in debt and one thing we learn from all this what hedge funds are doing is, don't gamble with money you don't have. It can go well for a while, but one day it will go bad and then its gonna be really bad.So be wise and spend what you can miss for a while. By the way, read the book 'The Richest man of Babylon'. Great inspirational book about everyone can create more financial wealth for itself.
Back to the chart.
When the breakout will go the bearish path, don't be scared. As long the hedge funds haven't covered and closed their short position there is absolute no doubt, that the price will go back up higher. I call those moments even good opportunities to grab some moon tickets with a discount. Main thing to focus on, is the number of stonks short by the hedge funds. We only can see what is known, and that is there are 513 million shares outstanding. 18% of that number, so 90 million shares, are used to short this beautiful company. After this week and the second interview of CEO Adam Aaron with Trey Trades, we know 2 things for sure.
1) AMC has raised approximately 750 million US Dollar, with selling 20 million stocks. This isn't a bad thing for a so-called 'meme-stock'. Right now there 46.000 stocks left to use for AMC to raise more capital. That's why they want an extra 25 million stocks, so they can use them to raise more capital, but they will not use them before 2022. And because of that there is not a good reason to believe AMC will go bankrupt soon, with all the re-openings after Covid-19.
2) The management of AMC has chosen to use these 20 million stocks, which were intentionally meant for the management as kind a salary/bonus, but instead paying them to their selves, they have chosen to really help the company and used it for strengthen its position. Because you all know, the business where they are in is a though one the last decade and Covid-19 hit hard. They are going to use this capital so lower debt with a discount and if they see an opportunity to expand their business, they will grab it.
An other good qoute, which helps me in this Ape journey is from Charlie Munger. I assume you all know he is, and if not DYOR.
'The big money is not in the buying and selling, but in the waiting.'
Well, i'm in since January and that's for an investor pretty short term, but for a continuous battle with hedge funds i can tell you it is intensive. But the good thing about this whole Ape thing is, I am not alone. You are not alone. In March there were already 3,2 million shareholders, only accounted in the USA and Canada. That was in March and that was only counting the USA and Canada. I think we can say that by the day of today, there are probably around the 5 million shareholders, only in the USA and Canada. And well there is more in the world then the USA and Canada. It may have bin started in the USA, but like myself, im from Europe and already in it for 5 months now. And i know there are many, many Europeans just like me in it since January. And i know also that since March i've seen growing this population bigger and bigger, week after week. I think we can take a little guess and say there are approximately 7,5 - 10 million shareholders by today.
Just simple math
Outstanding shares 513 million
Shares short -90 million
Institutional shareholders -40 million
That will make approximately 380 million shares for the other shareholders.
380 million shares / 7,5 million shareholders is 50 shares on average for each shareholder.
I don't know if you all have bin following some Apes on Twitter, Reddit or other social media platforms, but people with 50 or less stocks are a minority. Don't forget when the stimmy did kick in, the average price was 11/12$ and most of the people who spoke about it used their complete stimmy, which gave them already 100 shares. That's the good thing about the share count. So make sure you going to vote for the shareholders meeting and ask your broker how you can vote. It wouldn't surprise me that total outstanding shares will be multiplied. Understand good, this is against the law. When it comes out that their will be not 513 million shares, but 1 billion shares or 2 or 3 billion shares are outstanding, someone or a few more peoples are in big trouble, really big trouble, when the price will keep going up and they get a margin call. Because when you are trading with money that's not yours, the day will come that the owner wants his money back and above all don't want to lose his own money because of your risky trades. On top of that if SEC and FINRA will do their job, which they didn't really do after the 2007 crash, the punishment can be bigger and much bigger then only losing money. JAIL.. But.. don't know if you have watched 'The Big Short' and if you haven't you certainly should do, this financial world is kinda scaring.. It is a bubble. They are living in a bubble and the average Joe can pay the bill for it. In 2007/2008 millions of people lost their houses, jobs, family and above all they have seen an decrease of their health. Don't forget what money troubles do to a person. If you have to take care for your family and you are paying the rent every month, but your landlord is in trouble, you are in trouble. It is that simple. Shouldn't be like that, but in the USA it was that way in 2008 and maybe still. So sincerely I do hope my Ape family is right and we will see the biggest transfer of wealth in history. Because I do believe a lot of Apes can make their lives and the lives of their loved ones a little bit better with some gains. The difference between 1 or 10 million USD on your account is not that big, but the difference between $ 100,- and $ 1.000.000,- is huge!
Uhm.. Wait the chart.. Well one last thing about the chart..
After the Apish breakout from this pattern and have retested it 100$ is a region where we can find a nice area with probably some accumulation before it will continue. This is based on the price action we have seen this week. When HF's starting to cover it all will no make sense and the moon is the limit. Anyway, no advice, but i'm holding those stonks with diamond hands!
Let me remind you, this NO financial advice, nor am I a financial advisor. I just love the stonk, love to eat crayons and draw lines.
Make everyday some smiling, give every day something extra and you make the world a better place!
#ApesStonkTogether
#MOASS is inevitable
#AMCARMY
BTW This all above is also for #GME.
I'm holding both and I love both! #ApeNoFightApe
Amcentertainment
Trade Idea💡: Ticker (BB) Black Berry 🚀Ticker: (BB) Black Berry : Eyes on BB Above 16.25 with volume .
✅As you can see here we have formed a bullish pennant on the 1 hour backed with strong volume .
The red spinning top at supply closed with over 144 million volume . After a healthy retracement to
the downside, we were able to find support just below the 9MA (blue curve) where we formed
an engulfing bullish pinbar .
✅We also have a double doji inside holding the 9MA (Circled Angle). This tells me that a big move to the upside
or downside is approaching. Based upon the previous trend and unusal order flow. I am anticipating
a strong impulse to the upside in the near future.
✔️Confirmation: I would like to see BB gain strong volume above 16.25 for an upside move to 18.
🎯Anticipated Targets & Stop loss:
Target 1: 16.25
Target 2: 16.50
Target 3: 17.00 - 18.00
Stop Loss: 15.75
🤝Contracts:
High Risk- 17.5 BB 06/04 EXP
Low Risk - 15 BB 06/11/21 EXP
Ticker: (BB) Black Berry - Swing Trade Idea: June 3, 2020 🚀Ticker: (BB) Black Berry : Eyes on BB Above 16.25 with volume.
✅As you can see here we have formed a bullish pennant on the 1 hour backed with strong volume.
The red spinning top at supply closed with over 144 million volume. After a healthy retracement to
the downside, we were able to find support just below the 9MA (blue curve) where we formed
an engulfing bullish pinbar.
✅We also have a double doji inside holding the 9MA (Circled Angle). This tells me that a big move to the upside
or downside is approaching. Based upon the previous trend and unusal order flow. I am anticipating
a strong impulse to the upside in the near future.
✔️Confirmation: I would like to see BB gain strong volume above 16.25 for an upside move to 18.
🎯Anticipated Targets & Stop loss:
Target 1: 16.25
Target 2: 16.50
Target 3: 17.00 - 18.00
Stop Loss: 15.75
🤝Contracts:
High Risk- 17.5 BB 06/04 EXP
Low Risk - 15 BB 06/11/21 EXP
AMC Stock up 3,000%!What is going on with AMC Entertainment?
I'm sure you've heard the news:
Defying all forms of fundamental analysis and business logic, AMC Entertainment AMC once again finds itself climbing higher.
AMC is up 200% advance since last week and almost 3,000% since the beginning of the year.
This is another coordinated short squeeze event by retail investors - especially the users of the Reddit Forum /WallStreetBets or "Apes" - as they call themselves.
Back in January, AMC Entertainment and fellow Meme Stock, GameStop GME , were the focus of an attack on institutions and hedge funds that held substantial short positions in the stocks.
"Being short" means that the investor believes that the price of the stock will fall and that the underlying business does not deserve its current valuation.
A short squeeze occurs when the price of a stock climbs and goes against the short position, forcing the short sellers to buy existing shares to "cover" their positions.
When a stock has an unusually high short percentage, like AMC and GameStop, investors can actually force the price to go higher by buying up shares at the current price.
From there, it is simple economics: the supply of shares falls as the demand increases, driving the price of the equity higher.
Just exactly how much have short-sellers lost on AMC?
On Wednesday, June 1st, short-sellers betting against AMC lost $2.8 billion, bringing their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3 Partners.
The idea of short squeezing these stocks was fueled on social media, Reddit to be exact.
The subreddit r/WallStreetBets made AMC and GameStop its darlings, and along the way has amassed an army of Apes numbering over 10 million.
Since then, the hashtag #SqueezeAMC has trended all over the internet.
Daily trading volume for AMC has topped a staggering 650 million shares over the past few trading sessions, indicating that retail investors are all in!
Why Is AMC Stock So High?
Mark Twain once said, "history does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes" .
AMC and GameStop are once again being squeeze by r/WallStreetBets and other traders that are growing tired of the market manipulation by institutions like hedge funds.
There are other catalysts as well though, including the great re-opening following the COVID-19 pandemic.
AMC operates nearly 1,000 movie theaters around the world and announced that all of its U.S. locations are back open following an aggressive vaccination rollout.
Early indications from both the Easter and Memorial Day long weekends are that movie fans are ready to return to theaters.
We are also nearing the summer blockbuster season that will see the return of big-name movies like Space Jam 2, F9 the latest Fast and the Furious movie, and the Suicide Squad sequel.
Who is buying AMC stock?
AMC CEO Adam Aron is a genius: He has also been hitting all the right notes with investors.
Here are just 2 examples:
1.) Aron famously announced that AMC Entertainment was “under attack” by short-sellers, which served as a rallying cry for WallStreetBets.
2.) He additionally revealed that retail investors "own more than 80%" of the company at the last count, meaning a non-institutional base now owns a super-majority of AMC shares.
At the last earnings call. he said: "We work for them. I work for them... and their ambitions and passions are important to me."
3.) And yesterday, he was announcing plans that AMC investors will be rewarded with special screenings and free popcorn.
Contrast that with ex-GameStop CEO George Sherman, who stayed largely quiet while his company's stock price soared in late January.
Did AMC Sell More Shares?
Recently, AMC Entertainment sold 8.5 million shares to an investment firm called Mudrick Capital, which helped the company raise about $230 million.
Shares surged 20% after this news. Interestingly enough, on the next trading day, shareholder Mudrick Capital turned around and sold all those shares for a quick profit.
Mudrick stated that the stock was now overvalued, and given the recent volatility, it's hard to fault them. Had Mudrick held onto the shares, they would now be worth well over $500 million.
This morning, June 3rd, AMC announced that it filed for additional share offerings with the SEC. They said it may sell some of the 11 million shares “from time to time.”
Apparently, that time was now as it completed the offering in about three hours.
AMC said it sold 11.55 million shares at an average price of approximately $50.85 per share - bringing in an additional $587.4 million.
This is on top of the $658.5 million already raised this quarter, resulting in a total equity raise in the second quarter of $1.246 billion.
What's The Highest AMC Stock Has Been?
Yesterday, on June 2nd, AMC rallied an unimaginable 95% to close the trading session at over $72.62 per share, which is the higher it has ever been.
AMC has now gained 3000% year to date, which is a clear illustration of the current hysteria surrounding the stock.
AMC has now surpassed GameStop's market cap, and is clearly the new favorite stock of WallStreetBets.
How High Will It Go? Can AMC really hit 100,000?
Nobody actually knows! Any guess is pure speculation right now, so please do not take anyone's word for an actual price target.
A short squeeze like this is a ticking timebomb, and as we saw in January, the downside comes harder and faster than the ride up.
If you do a quick scan of social media, you will find price targets of anywhere from $100 to $100,000 per share.
Remember, it is all speculation, and there are many people who will take advantage of investors feeling FOMO, by pumping out inaccurate information.
Let's take the popular figure of $100,000 per share as an example.
There are 498 million shares outstanding for AMC.
Simple market cap calculation would place the value of AMC at about $50 trillion, or more than the entire S&P 500 index, which is valued at about $35 trillion right now.
Before we talk about whether you should be investing in AMC or not, let's talk about the fundamentals:
Is AMC losing money?
Yes. 2020 was tough for AMC: The company lost 4.5 Billion Dollars.
AMC is in a tough position:
During the pandemic in 2020, streaming services like Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime, Hulu and others gained a lot of momentum.
And many people upgraded their home theaters.
But with the cash infusion of more than $1.2 Billon, AMC can buy up their competitors, upgrade their theaters and invest in their growth.
And as COVID restrictions are being lifted in the US, people are ready to get "back to normal" , and this includes visiting theaters.
So AMC could be in a good position to stay in business.
Will AMC go up tomorrow?
Who knows?
In their SEC filings, the company said:
"We believe that the recent volatility and our current market prices reflect market and trading dynamics unrelated to our underlying business, and we do not know how long these dynamics will last."
And AMC CEO Adam Aron warns:
"Under the circumstances, we caution you against investing in our Class A common stock, unless you are prepared to incur the risk of losing all or a substantial portion of your investment."
"Should I Buy AMC Shares?"
This is the real question: should you buy AMC?
Is AMC a good buy?
If any other stock gained over 1,100% in less than six months, would that seem like a good time to buy in?
Warren Buffett famously said, "be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy".
And even the CEO himself thinks that the company is overvalued, stay away from the stock!
I can guarantee that much of the FOMO investors buying in now are doing so out of greed.
Now, I'm not saying the stock won't continue to rise.
WallStreetBets has certainly rallied a large enough army to keep the momentum going for now. But realistically how much higher can we expect the stock to rise?
But after last week's gains, most of the move might already be over, and trust me when I say, this is not a bag you want to be left holding.
So you might be asking what about me?
Would I buy this stock?
Heck no!
I tend to steer clear from volatility and this level of risk.
My focus is always on SRC Profits: Systematic, Repeatable, and Consistent .
If you are investing your hard-earned money, there are certainly safer investments to make than a highly speculative social media short squeeze attempt.
How to buy AMC shares?
At the end of the day, if you still want to buy AMC shares, all you need to do is log on to your brokerage and decide how many shares you would like.
With a stock that exhibits as much volatility as AMC does, you may want to consider entering a stop/loss to protect yourself from the downside, which almost always comes faster than you think.
AMC is dropping like a stone, pumpy dumpy! 6.3.21AMC is dropping like a stone, pumpy yesterday dumpy today! Be really careful with this stock, it has yet to turn for the positive, just yet.
Just waiting and see how long it'll go below pumpy happens again today.
Not financial advice, your trades can go to $0.00. Do your own research!
AMC TO 85?We have had an AMAZING RETAIL TRADER RALLY
That has not been solidified as the Main Short squeeze. Hedges have covered their shorts tremendously with not nearly as much shares being sold back than borrowed. So we’re doubling down on this thesis with price action showing confluence over our Fibonacci extension levels with an Ascending triangle (once again, very textbook) this is a Clear sign of ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATION FOR ANOTHER MASSIVE PUSH. TP and SL indicated in the chart Should you want another solid Re-Entry with minimal drawdown In the event we lose the insane and unreal amount of steam we’ve harbored over the past week.
AMC to 40? (Continued)Ascending triangle on the 1HR and Great volume on the day shows more accumulation that’s set to send AMC to the next key level. (Swing high of AMC is the next level of resistance) Very probable this week or next week to rip right through with confirmation from the ascending triangle (giving accumulation of bullish sentiment) . Fibonacci extension shows 127 extension as the next probable level of resistance once 36 is broken.
AMCThis was a stock I alerted at 14 just a few days ago. Last week the stock hit a high of $36.72 before pulling back to 26. There's a high risk we could see more profit-taking ahead. On the chart above, I'm looking at two potential zones of support for trend-followers to watch in the stock. The bull trend will likely not resume unless price can hold these support zones. The stock is still in a ST uptrend and pullbacks are part of the process.
AMC Target HarmonicI originally posted this Chart posted 5-25-2021 1:20 pm but for some reason it was private.. smh
So we have seen some good price action today.. and it is leading me to the conclusion of a price target (as shown on chart). This chart starts where the other one left off. We have our target box.. and should continue up. Once we meet this point we can take profits and relax. Some people who have seen the charts simply think we are day trading this. I have been holding since the first chart posted- a low of 12.00. However the charts are here to give people entry opportunity and a show of skill on how to measure targets and take profits. Everyone is not built for this, but if you been following the charts.. you are taking in money! :)
AMC back at it...Chart posted 5-24-2021 approx 11:30pm As promised. I had to tighten up the chart a bit after today's price action. Very nice price action. I took hefty profits at 13.86- but I am looking to re-enter very soon Tuesday after consolidation completes. There is a chances it rallies right up at the bell if post market settled up.
To the chart: I originally thought we had a crab pattern - but the price action revealed (IMO) a shark- hence why price shot up at the bell. Now we have seen the stalling out.. but I dont think price holds stagnant for long. I think we consolidate and go right back up again Tuesday. Price target around 14.80- 15.15 (see red box). This is an intermediate target. I think we push higher and so- price may not even stop here, but its the area I am wanting to see before we can speak about higher prices. I am presenting this range due to the 2 patterns (shown on chart) - shark and crab- both may play out so the range is provided. Lets see what develops.
I am of the opinion these gains will come swiftly- as of June I think the market is going to take a turn down harshly.. So enjoy what you can- while you can get it. CHEERS! Ill address the general market later.
AMC UpdateChart posted 5-21-2021 8:35am We had a good ride down.. but still bullish. Prepare for new profits :)
Looks like we have new patterns forming inside the macro pattern. Direct your attention to the yellow pattern. Remember previous chart we had a massive bullish shark pattern form- we have been trading inside it- showing good support we now have some embedded harmonics of a bullish crab forming for the bearish crab.. this should ride up today up to 14 dollars if we do not see failure. significant POINTS- 12.15- 12.50 (bounce point for today)- UP TO 13.50 FOR SLIGHT CORRECTION.. THEN 14.00 TO FINISH THIS PATTERN. I suspect we get higher upside, but will revisit once we see things play out. Noted resistance point/ support at 13.18-13.20. Overall BULLISH.