AMC Entertainment Holdings | AMC | Long at $3.66First, I'm not an " NYSE:AMC APE" and have zero interest in becoming one. Second, don't trade NYSE:AMC unless you are fully aware the investment could go to zero or the company may devalue your trade via share dilution or other means (i.e., don't simply do as I do or blindly follow anyone else's moves, for the matter).
With that aside, I started a position/gambling play today in NYSE:AMC at $3.66. The reason is 80% technical analysis and 20% fundamentals.
Technical Analysis:
The blue line on the chart represents an average true range (ATR) from a historical simple moving average (SMA) that I use for trading. For simplicity, the historical SMA is not show on the chart - just the ATR. This blue ATR line has historically been a major line of resistance and support. When it breaks through and holds, the stock goes bull - but history may not repeat. The price recently broke the blue ATR line, fell below, and the broke out again today. This may be a sign that the downward trend (overall) is changing - perhaps furthering the accumulation phase in the $3s or a gradual rise from here. And with today's breakout, I grabbed shares at $3.66.
Fundamentals
Since 2020, NYSE:AMC has shown major gains in revenue and net income (loss reduction, that is). Revenu: $1.24 billion (2020); $2.53 billion (2021); $3.91 billion (2022); 4.81 billion (2023); $4.4 billion (2024, Q1-3 only). Net Income: -$4.5 billion (2020); -$1.27 billion (2021); -$973 million (2022); -$396 million (2023); -$399 million (2024, Q1-3 only). The company is not expected to become profitable until Q4 of 2026 , but the improvements are what one would like to see.
Counter-arguments and statements the stock is junk are totally valid. But the chart is quite interesting as the company moves toward profitability (maybe...).
Targets:
$4.30
$6.00
Squeeze/mass hysteria: $18.00, $40.00, and ridiculousness: $85.00
Amcidea
AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS STOCK.WEEKLY / DAILY ANALYSIS.Hello ladies and gentleman.The intrinsic value of one AMC stock under the base case scenario is 10.4 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.35 USD, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is undervalued by 68%.so the is a great probability long to 5 usd.
AMC - Week of June 17, 2024Its been a while since I published anything. I have been working on getting better at my skills and TA, just to be honest.
Two years later and AMC looks attractive again. Why?... Well it derives from a bunch of degenerate cultist (like myself) who believe in the stock / company, the evolution of what we know as the theater industry, and same fractal patterns reoccurring. Oh yeah, and the correlation of GME and AMC being exact.
So I will approach this PROJECTION (because thats all this is & NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!) as a sympathy play to GME. See GME analysis on the next post.
I begin doing a top down analysis. Here is the Monthly view on AMC. Currently price closed at 4.99 on June 14, 2024. lol Cant make this up!
I simply see a Dumb Money sequel - Hedgies Getting Wedgies -
Coming to an AMC theater near you.
When we squeeze I see it AMC going to 174 - 154 per share price before it is met with great resistance and pulls back. Here is where the real test comes, we will see if with enough force AMC breaks this wall of Hedgies. Shall it have a blow the top off moment, it needs to stay above 195 to get to All Time Highs!
I could be completely wrong and it goes to zero....
NYSE:AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold AMC before the APE units merger:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMC Entertainment Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $1.44.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMC LONG TF M15, TP = 5.36On the M15 chart the trend started on July 28 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 5.36
But we should not forget about SL = 4.51
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
AMC Next Breakout $we had a good pump the last few days , now we inside a consolidation area between (5.50$/4.66$), once we break our current resistant at the 5.50$, we going to witness another pump towards the 6$ and the 6.70$.
on the other hand if we broke our support around the 4.66$, it's mean the short will drop the price to new low this year just above the 3.26$ first then to the bottom price for this year at the 1.26$.
$AMC: Long Target 24.64$⚡Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern forming?
⚡Neckline resistance 13.5$ Supported by Ichimoku Cloud resistance
⚡Bearish Divergence on the MFI, watch for a bounce at the 5.85$ area (huge liquidity zone)
⚡To confirm the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern a break of EMA 1 resistance is needed (8.6$ along with EMA 2 resistance, 10$)
⚡Strong VPVR resistance to the 12$ level
⚡Target of the Inverted Head & Shoulders i 24.64$ measured from the head to the top of the neckline
⚡Confirmation of this pattern is once the Ichimoku Cloud is broken forming a right shoulder (engulfing volume)
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
$AMC: Breakout to 15$?⚡200 Weekly level mounted (huge resistance now became support)
⚡Support trendline held with a bullish engulfing + volume + bullish divergence on the MFI
⚡Golden pocket fib resistance
⚡Ichimoku Cloud broken
⚡VPVR support mounted at 9-9.7$
⚡10.86$ resistance confirmed by 0.5 fib + VPVR node
⚡12$ resistance confirmed by 0.382 fib + VPVR node + Ichimoku cloud resistance at 11.5$
⚡Moving towards the upper trendline which is located at the 15$ level
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
$AMC: Price Target 15.5$🔥Bottoming signal on monthly (4-month bottoming pattern consolidation) + Bullish MFI
🔥Monthly Ichimoku low confirmed as bottom followed by TD-Sequential 9
🔥200 Weekly Moving Average Resistance at 9.45 (This should be reclaimed due to the open interest at this level)
🔥Monthly resistance at 11.6$ confirmed by Ichimoku Cloud
🔥7.86 Fib retracement at 8.3$ confirmed by volume
🔥Price target 15.5$ (surpass 2.36 fib to retest resistance at 15.5$)
🔥VWAP broken o daily chart (Bullish signal)
🔥Vix Fix indicator strong bottoming signals on daily chart
🔥Watch for an engulfing amount of buying-volume
🔥VPVR support at 8-8.80$
🔥VPVR resistance at 10$ confirmed by EMA - Ribbons
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
Thank you for reading.
AMC Stock Technical AnalysisThe Idea would be to follow the trend, therefore find a signal to sell as the trend is downward.
Option One Sell only if in the next day the resistance of 28 USD will not be broken.
If the 28USD will be broken just HOLD.
If you are long maintain the position if the 28 USD will be broken. You should not be long on a bearing market.