Get started

Amcshortsqueeze

AMC SHORT SQUEEZE FINALLY OTW? If we take a look at the Jan-May cycle we can calculate the amount of days it took from the first squeeze to the second. So from Jan 27th - June 2nd was 87 trading days. In that cycle, the bottom happened a few days after the squeeze. The cycle we are in now from June 2nd - now, the bottom has been placed exactly 2 times of 87 so 174 trading days after. If you look at the volume for each cycle, you realize it took 87 days trading days to get 14 B in volume in the first cycle. Well in the second cycle it took 174 also the double amount of trading days. IMO the bottom is in for AMC I think some wild days are coming soon for memestocks.
NYSE:AMCLong
by stupidman12212
5
$AMC: 600% Gains Incoming!AMC has had a wild week. I managed to open a long position on 14.85$ which was basically the bottom of AMC. Since that we have broken this large descending wedge. This break is confirmed with a large amount of volume. This volume was significantly larger than previous trading days which is a good indication of bullish action. As of now we are in the making of a Bullish TK-Cloud below the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart. Last time this happened was before the run-up of May 2021. This movement was around 600% from the TK-Cross. A confirmation of this TK-Cross is made when AMC closes a daily close above 20$. This needs to happen with 100M Volume + to be confirmed as a valid move. This will cause bullish calls to get ITM which will bring bullish price action to AMC. We also managed to mount a strong support level at 18.2-18.4$ level. This level is supported by a massive VPVR node. This level was previously being held as strong resistance. This level has now turned into a support. On the micro time frames this level has been respected with significant volume. A break of this level will make AMC retrace to lower levels once again. Personally I have confidence in this level due to the fact that it has bounced the price throughout the day. We are also overbought on almost all of the Micro time frames. This could cause AMC to retrace to the 7.86 Fib which is located at 17-17.2$. This would be a quick move which should bounce the price above the large VPVR node at 18.2.18.4$. This retracement could happen to cool down the MFI which has been increasing a lot. One thing to be aware of is the emergency fed meeting on monday. This could cause the market to retrace which would make AMC follow the downrend. If the fed meeting is a "relief" for the investors the indices should be fine and bounce. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading.
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
$AMC: Rocket Ready to Launch!On the 3D chart of AMC we are forming a red 9 on the TD-Sequential. This finishes in 2 trading days. We can wick below the 14$ level to grab more liquidity. Although buyers seem to appear at this level. This is supported by the large VPVR node that is located at 14.5-15$. MFI is in a downtrend that has a tendency of breaking out. We are mounting the .786 Fib which is a sign of strength. A close below 14$ would be really bad and it is most likely not going to happen. For the upswing we need to see a clean break of the 18$ level. This is a large level of resistance confirmed by a trendline that consists of 11 touch points making it valid. We also have a negative channel building resistance at 20$ with 5 touch points making it a valid pattern. The 18-20$ level are large nodes on the VPVR which indicate that there is a lot of selling pressure to be found at these levels causing AMC to retrace. These levels are really important to reclaim for the reversal of AMC. A break above 20$ with a significant amount of volume will be a great sign of reversal. Last time we had a red 9 on the TD-Sequential AMC had a rise of 80%. If this occurs once again the options activity will become crazy. A lot of bullish options will get in the money which will help AMC to break this insane downtrend and reverse. Most likely the pain on AMC is over. A lot of reversal signals are to be found in this chart. A break of 14$ is not a likely scenario. We will have to check what the options look like mid-week to be able to predict the price of AMC. Options below 14.5$ have really low open interest and volume which is a good sign that AMC wont break this strong support level. The only thing keeping us down is the overall market making large retracements which brings selling pressure to AMC. When the S&P 500 becomes stable and starts reversing AMC will follow. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
4
$AMC: Bullish Inverted Hammer Should Cause a 50% Bounce!A bullish inverted hammer has been spotted on the weekly chart of AMC. This candlestick pattern is known to be a signal of reversal. Following with a red 9 on the TD-Sequential indicates that we are near or at a bottom. AMC is at a oversold state and is set to bounce. We are also at the bottom of the Donchian Channel. This indicates that a large reversal should be near. Everytime we are at the bottom of the Donchian channel AMC finds a large amount of support causing a 50% bounce. For me it would be really weird if this bullish inverted hammer failed to reverse the price of AMC. This candlestick pattern is really reliable and tends to reverse the trend of a stock, especially if located on larger time frames (weekly chart). To support this we are also seeing bullish divergence on the MFI making higher lows. The week also closed above the large VPVR node located at 14-14.5$. This level is important to be held as support. A daily close below this level is going to delay the upswing of AMC. Volume also seems to be increasing which is a sign of strength. If every index is strong throughout the week i am expecting a quick move to 20$ which will cause AMC to go wild. We also need to see bullish options activity to help AMC reach higher levels. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading.
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
4
$AMC: A Breakout of This Downtrend Will Send AMC to 45$Today AMC managed to make a large move to the upside testing the high 18's. AMC is most likely going to have a retracement to 16$ to close the premarket gap. This doens't need to happen but it could be a likely scenario. The 18$ range has become a large resistance confirmed by selling volume and a large VPVR node. This resistance is also confirmed by the MFI which is displaying bearish divergence once the 18$ range is being tested. This level of resistance is also confirmed by the Ichimoku Cloud. Today we almost got a bullish TK-Cross on the Ichimoku Cloud but we didn't make it. The 2 chart displays a slight retracement by the rejecting MFI and Ichimoku Cloud and the candlestick formation being a one-body candle which often indicates a beginning of a new downtrend. Watch for 16.6$ to be a strong level of support. A daily close below this level will cause AMC to consolidate. We almost broke out of our largest downtrend that has been forming since early november. This trendline has been touched 5 times making it a strong level of resistance. These pattern are bullish and once a breakout is confirmed it will send the price back to where it started which is in this case at the mid 40$ level. AMC also managed to break above a short term downtrend which is a sign of strength. A close above 18$ will indicate the new uptrend of AMC. One good thing to note is that volume is starting to pick back up which could mean that institutions are loading up long positions. The options chain indicates that AMC will trade within 17-20$ for this week. We have 37k Volume + 12k Open Interest at 18$. We also have 40k in Volume and 13k Open Interest on at 20$. The option activity below 17$ is very poor. That makes a daily close below 17$ less likely. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading.
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
HELMET ON WE GOING TO THE MOON!As you may know AMC has been my primary focus of stocks that I analyse. Not only do I have shares but I believe that best and most explosive stocks have the biggest corrections before having a huge upswing or reversal. Look at TSLA it went from 300 to 180 then to 2000. GME went from 483 to 38 back to 350. SAVA from 10 to below 1 then to 146. The thing is AMC is not the best company and does not provide revolutionary benefits to its sector like tesla but AMC has the highest short interest, biggest retail back up, most media coverage etc... we can keep falling but nothing changes. Be greedy when others are fearful. HELMET ON WE ARE GOING TO THE MOON
NYSE:AMCLong
by stupidman12212
2
$AMC: Don't Miss This!AMC seems to have bottomed out at 13.40$. The market was very slow at the start of the day. Although it caught up at the end of the day. This caused AMC to retrace to 13.40$ before bouncing to 15$. The TD-Sequential displays a red 9 on the weekly chart. This means that AMC is at a very oversold state. If the market starts recovering, so will AMC. The weekly MFI is showing bullish divergence making higher lows. 13.40$ was below the large VPVR node which is located at the mid to low 14$ area. A close below this VPVR node would eliminate AMC and cause a large consolidation. Luckily we managed to close above this VPVR node which indicates that AMC is still bullish. We also managed to close above R1 which is a strong level of support. Next week i see AMC retesting R2 (Block of resistance) which is supported by little VPVR nodes. If the market bounces AMC will break these levels and start trading back in the 20$ range. For the reversal of AMC to be confirmed we need to close a weekly candle above 22$. This will engulf the previous bearish candles and put us one step closer in to bullish price action. The weekly volume was bearish and it managed to engulf 5 weeks of trading. For next week i am looking for this volume to be eliminated by buying pressure. A confirmation of bullish price action is a break of the R2 block which is located at the 20-23$ level. This move needs to be confirmed with a large amount of volume. From a technical standpoint this could be the end of the bear market. We have had 10 weeks of havoc and we still managed to close above the largest VPVR node confirming it as a support level. I am still bullish on the stock and hoping for upside. Most of the options activity by volume and open interest is located at 15-20$. Most likely we will trade within this range. If the markets perform well these levels are going to be broken causing a rally for AMC Stock. We need to push to higher levels so that bullish options get in the money which will cause an upswing for AMC. If the market recovers next week i am expecting AMC to teleport to the 20$ range once again. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you reading!
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
The Ultimate Reversal of $AMCThese last 2 months have caused a lot of uncertainty for stock holders on the market. This has caused shareholders to exit their positions due to fear of losing capital. The stock market has had a large retracement that is now about to reverse. In approximately 1h we have the Fed meeting. This meeting is going to be crucial for the stock market. If we get bullish news the stock market should see a large bounce. I am expecting AMC to follow this reversal. As of now AMC has been trading in a descending channel since the 8th of November 2021. This pattern is very bullish and is set to break out very soon. On Monday AMC made a retracement to test liquidity at the 14$ level. This level was the breakout level in May 2021. Old resistance becomes new support. This 14$ level bounced the price a signifficant amount with good volume making it reliable support. This level was also the .706 Fib level if measured at the breakout level of January 2021 at 5$. At the current state i am not expecting a further retracement. AMC will in my opinion trade far above 14$ per share if the Fed meeting turns out in our favor. A slight retracement to 16.64$ might happen to confirm it as support. If we close daily and 4h candles below 16.64 i am expecting AMC to turn bearish again retesting the high 15$ range. A close above 17$ is a good sign of a bullish reversal. The TD Sequential is printed a red 9 at the 18$ range indicating that this level was the bottom. The TD-Sequential is printing a green 1 engulfing the previous candles. This is an indication of an uptrend. This move is also confirmed by the MFI consistently making higher lows. A short term resistance level is the 18$ level confirmed by a large VPVR node. We also managed to establish strong liquidity at the 16$ range (confirmed by a VPVR node). We also have resistance at 20$ (confirmed by a VPVR node). A break above these levels need to happen quickly so that we reclaim these important levels. I also noticed that the volume keeps engulfing selling volume which is a bullish signal for a potential reversal. If we got an engulfing selling volume at these critical levels i would be bearish on AMC stock. AMC also printed a bullish hammer on the 4h chart + the daily chart. This has caused AMC to close above that candle. This is a sign for a bullish reversal. If AMC closed at or below the bullish hammer it would be bearish causing the stock price to plummet. The largest confirmation of this bullish reversal would be a 4h TK-Cross on the Ichimoku Cloud. This movement would have to be confirmed with a signifficant amount of volume. As long as the Ichimoku Cloud is being used as resistance AMC will remain trading under a bear market. Looking at the options chain there is 25k Volume and 7k Open Interest at the 17$ level. We also have 40k Volume + 8.5k Open Interest at the 18$ level. At the 19$ level there is 21k Volume + 11k Open interest. We also got 33k Volume and 13k Open interest at the 20$ level. This options chain hints that AMC will be trading at or above these levels to keep these options in the money. The 14-15$ level are unlikely to be revisisted due to the fact that these options do not have a lot of Volume and Open Interest (3.7k Volume, 2.8k Open Interest, 15$). If the Fed meeting goes well my conservative price target of the week is the 22$ level. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading.
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
3
The Rise of AMC! (HUGE UPSWING LOADING!)AMC has been trending in a descending channel with descending support and resistance. This channel was formed on the 8th of November 2021. The descending formation is valid due to the fact that we get selling pressure once the line of resistance is toutched causing a dip with bearish volume. The lower lines are levels of support. Notice the fact that these lines tend to bounce the price for AMC to hit resistance. As of now AMC has filled the gap at 16.50$. This level caused AMC to bounce all the way to almost an 18$ close. That level of support is valid and supported by a good amount of bullish volume. The daily volume engulfed the recent bearish volume which is a bullish reversal sign. We also wicked below the .786 Fib which later caused the price to have a short term bounce and we managed to close a daily candle above this Fib level. The bad thing about this is the fact that the S&P 500 dropped signifficantly at the end of the day bringing selling pressure to AMC. We need to start pushing back up to the 20$ range which is a large VPVR node that indicates resistance. This level needs to be reclaimed as support to keep AMC moving to the upside. If all of the indexes are strong AMC should follow nicely causing a pretty decent upswing. Currently we are bearish due to the fact that we are trading below the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200SMA. I also noticed the fact that the MFI is at a really low level. Last time the MFI was this low AMC had a nice 50% upswing before being rejected by the 200SMA. The minimum price target of this descending channel is where it started which puts us at the mid 40$ range. There is also a slight possibility that we see a short term retracement to the 14$ range. This level is the largest VPVR node which would be the strongest level of support on this chart. A touch of this will make AMC bounce 5-15$ on the same day. A retest of this area would occur if the markets see a continuation of the current downtrend. Bad news on the FED meeting could cause the stock market to continue the bearish trend which could lead AMC to 14$ causing a massive spike in the price to the upside. I am not of the belief that this is going to play out due to the fact that the daily MFI is already really low. We also got an engulfing bullish volume on the 21st of January which eliminates all of the previous selling pressure. Looking at the options chain we have a lot of volume and open interest at the range of 18-20$. Most likely AMC will be trading in this region if the stock market doesn't bounce. Closing daily candles above these levels will cause bullish options heading in to the money which will cause the uptrend of AMC. There is a good amount of volume and open interest at the 25$ range set to expire on the 28th of January. Hopefully we reach this level so that we begin a new uptrend. A confirmation of the AMC bull run will be if we see a bullish TK-Cross above the Ichimoku Cloud with a large amount of buying volume and the MFI making higher lows. If the market starts to recover this week i am expecting AMC to retest the 22$ range. A break of this level and a daily close above 23$ will put us in a good position for an upswing. As mentioned in the previous thread my long term conservative price target of AMC is 145$/share. *WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading!
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
4
The Battle of the Apes, AMCThus, where to begin? Following the Option trades and putting together an Excel sheet on a daily basis for AMC to get an understanding WHAT the numbers are telling you. The trading volume was higher than usual. Yesterday about 180,000 contract and today about 190,000 contracts. Even though the apes could not break through the resistance level of $39-40. What happened on Monday? Yesterday after market the Earning report for AMC came out. Their sales are up but only 10% of what it was pre-pandemic. And the uncertainty about the DELTA variance also has its negative impact on going to the theaters. AMC was losing big money pre-pandemic with a revenue of 5.5 billion Dollars. AMC reported 22 million ticket sales in the first quarter, up sharply from its 7 million ticket sales in the first quarter and well below a record 97 million ticket sales in the second quarter of 2019. AMC reported $1.8 billion in cash and $2 billion in liquidity as of the end of June. Dan Nathan said the thing that's unique about AMC is that 80% of the company’s stock is owned by retail investors rather than institutions. “If I look at it from an institutional perspective, it’s uninvestable. They were losing money in 2019 before the pandemic when their sales were more than $5.5 billion,” Nathan said. “Retail sees something very different in this than institutions.” You sell the rumor and you buy the facts. AMC spiked briefly and that was it. Price target for the most analysts did not change. 12 months target is averaged at $5.85 with a high target of $20. WHY is it that the Apes cannot drive the stock price up? Think about it, what they do. They are not investors. They are not day traders. They are not gamblers. They are lottery ticket buyers. The modern way of winning the lottery and hanging all your dreams on that ticket. Buy a ticket every week. One week we will go to the moon, bro. They buy one week terms only, 95%, which means their call options expire a few days down the road. Very few calls have a longer time horizon. You buy a call and the market maker buys the underlaying asset to cover his position. It is a married call or married put, if you bought put options. Now every week your calls expire and the MM sits on your shares!!! How many week does it take to fill up a truck with shares? None. They own already all the shares from mid of June and they only have to cover your calls very little or not at all. WHY?? Because they own them already. AMC is range trading and the market maker and your broker love it. You pay commission to the broker and the MM wins on the spread and slippage and keeps your money at the end of the week. Lovely job!!! You are just tossing money down their throat. Look at Goldman and Sachs earnings and where they make their money. With a dwindling trading volume and a range trading in place the stock goes nowhere. You have to buy more shares than the Market Makers are holding. Thats why I say the downside is more promising because there were never too many Put options. Also to consider, the apes went to other stocks, Like Hobin Rood, another scam. Conclusion and the take outs. In the beginning of the squeeze there was the surprise! There was momentum. There was trading volume. There was "All Apes on board we are going" I made good money too but I cling on the outside with a parachute and let go when momentum goes down. Then you play the other side. Now we have to have patience, There is no momentum, it is dwindling. The trading volume is falling. Apes go to other banana trees. This week, Trading volume is up big time but still not enough. We will see tomorrow. This I think will be the biggest thing to watch. There are more PUT Options out there this week than we saw it before. the ratio is 1.5, which means for every Call there are 1.5 PUTs. But as before their perspective is base on a one week horizon. Cheapies. They have no money or they dont believe in their own trading skills. Maybe there are none? The Market Maker Sweet Spot The market maker will try to keep the price within the Sweet Spot. And they easily can do that. Even with a huge volume Monday and Tuesday, which drove the price up because also the MM need to react and coordinate with their buddies, they drove the price right down where they want to have it. This game is rigged against the retail trader and there is nothing to complain about it. Learn it and deal with it. Do not buy short term options. Only if you hedge them with a calendar spread. Outlook and conclusion So we can say that the huge trading volume this week establish the Avenger Apes. Those Apes who turn their back on the Ape Army. The level at $34 is important and then $30 and then $26. But when you look at next week they all disappear. The levels are not strong either. We have seen three times open interests at those levels. 24,000 contracts. Now we dont make 8,000 and the week is half way in. I believe even with this higher trading volume, that the price cannot break $40. The Apes need a March on Rome, like in the beginning. They dont have it. Fact. They could have done it in the past six weeks. They didnt do it. This week we have a lot Avenger Apes. I dont think we will break below $30 this week. Probably we will stay right in the MM Sweet Spot trading volume permitting! But before you take my word do your own analysis. Images are missing and can be found at hedgingstocks.blogspot dot com
NYSE:AMCShort
by Option_Crusader
4
AMC 600% SWING INCOMING? (TARGET 145$!)AMC has been having a weekly bearish trend since the june run-up 2021 which saw its stop at the 70$ territory. As of now we are trading in a huge bull-flag which is a bullish reversal pattern. A breakout of this bullish pattern would cause AMC to go wild. For this breakout to be valid it has to be confirmed with an engulfing volume. The trading volume needs to close above all of the bearish volume to be sure that a big move is on the way. At the current state we are trading below the 200SMA and the EMA Ribbons are used as heavy resistance. Once the EMA Ribbons are toutched we are receiving bearish volume which creates bearish divergence on the MFI and causes the price to plummet. The weekly chart is looking very promising due to the fact that we are seeing a red 8 on the TD Sequential. This indicator has been very accurate on the weekly chart of AMC. Once these numbers are displayed on AMC it often causes a large swing in the price to the upside. The TD Sequential red 8 i am looking at is the previous level of AMC which is marked with a green arrow (before the huge run up). At that current moment we had "dead volume". The MFI was in a large downtrend which is identical to the current state of AMC. By viewing this i am getting a clear insight of how the stock is going to move. I am of the belief that a large run up is getting very close. It is going to be unexpected for a lot of people. It will cause a shock in the market. This upswing could come out of nowhere. I also did a Fibbonacci measurement from the old red 8 (old bottom of AMC) to the new top (72$). This indicates that the price has room to go to a minimum of 145$. At that level we will face a lot of resistance due to the golden trendline. Last time weekly chart displayed a red 8 AMC 600%. The only thing stopping us right now from reaching higher levels is the current option chain that expires Jan 21 (2022). We have heavy options in the money with a signifficant amount of open interest holding the price of AMC in a bearish territory. If AMC manages to close the week above 21$ these options will be useless and the shorts will be screwed. Once the bullish 40$ and mid 30$ options with a high open interest start getting in the money we will break the EMA Ribbons and the 200SMA and then AMC will go to the moon! LFG APEARMY! *WARNING* This thread and analysis is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading!
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
7
AMC "No Moon"This is what i can see to AMC, as much I would like to be wrong, there is just too much selling pressure. The lines you see are Order Blocks and not "Supply and Demmand" the abrupt Bull Climb in May created a gap, that more then once in anything "Forex, Stocks, Crypto" its allways filled. Shape Ratio its negative since 30 November, and keeps on going. The reversal that everyone waits an want I dont see it before going down to 10 or iven 8. There is some recover to Happen in the next weeks towards 28. Again im analysing what I see, not what I want it to be. Best Regards
NYSE:AMCShort
by ArraisJesus
5
AMC Santa Claus rally Incoming?AMC is starting to break the descending channel that has been ongoing since the 16th of November (2021). AMC has been trading under descending resistance and descending support. That has pushed the price below the 200SMA which has made AMC enter a bear market. Right now AMC had a short term retracement to the high level of 26$-27$. Price does not want to get rejected at these levels. The price 26-27 remain strong support levels confirmed by volume. As of now AMC is looking to break the VPVR node which is located at 29.5-30$. That is a large resistance to break. Once broken witch a significant amount of volume and respected for a good amount of trading hours it will become a stong support level. On the 2h Chart AMC is looking very bullish due to the fact that we have a bullish TK cross above the Ichimoku Cloud. This is usually a signal of a strong uptrend. As mentioned in my previous idea about AMC we are in a inverse head and shoulder formation. The right shoulder of the pattern is right now under construction almost at the finish line. Next resistance from here will be the 200SMA + bearish OB (Orderblock) resistance at 32-34$ which could drop the price for a slight retracement back to 30$. The MFI is indicating bullish divergence which means that AMC has started a potential reversal to the upside. It also looks like AMC has formed a good amount of support at 28.5$ which is a large VPVR node that needed to be broken today for AMC to enter a bull market. So far everything looks fantastic. I am hoping that AMC pushes to 32$ by the end of the year to put a lot of options in the money which will later push the price above the 200SMA and confirm a large upswing on AMC. The indexes are still looking strong (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, US30) which will help AMC break resistance and enter a bull market after being bearish for over a month. In my opinion January is going to be an amazing month for AMC share holders. My pricetarget of the inverted head and shoulders is still 40$ as mentioned previously if we break the 200SMA + the bearish OB which is at the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders. *WARNING!* This idea should not be taken as financial advise. I am not a financial advisor. Thank you for reading.
NYSE:AMCLong
by Patriick2jz
8