Amcsqueeze
HELMET ON WE GOING TO THE MOON!As you may know AMC has been my primary focus of stocks that I analyse. Not only do I have shares but I believe that best and most explosive stocks have the biggest corrections before having a huge upswing or reversal. Look at TSLA it went from 300 to 180 then to 2000. GME went from 483 to 38 back to 350. SAVA from 10 to below 1 then to 146. The thing is AMC is not the best company and does not provide revolutionary benefits to its sector like tesla but AMC has the highest short interest, biggest retail back up, most media coverage etc... we can keep falling but nothing changes. Be greedy when others are fearful. HELMET ON WE ARE GOING TO THE MOON
AMC Trade IdeaIt looks AMC bottom out and you can take entry if it crosses above 16.64 and hourly candle close above 16.64, if that's the case you can ride till 19.73 and take profit there and wait, If it crosses channel's middle dotted line then ride till 26.00 and take profit. but play within channel and 2 green bands for now and do not gamble big in the hope of Squeeze.
AMC 40$ incoming?Amc has been forming a huge inverse head and shoulders pattern. This pattern is very bullish. A breakout of this pattern could lead us back to 40$. AMC has a gap in the chart at 39$ which could be filled in the near future. The confirmation of this technical pattern is a break of the neckline which is on a very critical zone. We have the neckline resistance, the 200SMA and a bearish OB (Orderblock) all together at the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders. To confirm bullish activity a break of the neckline at 33$ would need to happen with a large amount of volume making the 200SMA, the bearish OB and the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders a strong level of support. A bullish TK cross above the Ichimoku cloud would also be needed to secure the trade.
At the current state the MFI indicates that a short term downtrend is forming. This could lead us to the lowest point of the Ichimoku cloud which is at 25.4$. That would complete the right shoulder of the pattern and would probably bounce the price above the neckline 33$. Once the MFI shows bullish divergence and is making higher lows with a signifficant amount of volume breaking the 200SMA and the bearish OB at 33$ it could lead to a big breakout. The options activity will be the largest factor of a breakout. If a lot of bullish options are in the money it will drive the price to higher levels. THE S&P 500, US30 + Nasdaq look bullish which is a good boost for the price of AMC. We are at the current state below a large VPVR node which is used as resistance at 29.5$. This level is strong resistance which pushes the price down once it is touched. AMC is also in the end of a downtrend which is very close of being broken. This downtrend is strong resistance. Once this line is touched we see large selling pressure confirmed by volume which drives the price to lower levels.
This technical analysis should not be seen as financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. The analysis is only for entertainment purposes.
Thank you for reading.
$AMC retracement to 27$ before the break of the 200SMA?AMC has seen a huge rally the past couple of days. This large movement got rejected by the 200SMA at the 32$ range. This is heavy resistance due to the fact that this level contains a bearish OB (Orderblock). The 3h chart indicates that AMC will remain in a bear market a short period of time due to the fact that we haven't gotten a single 3h candle closing within or above the Ichimoku Cloud. The Cloud is being used as resistance. I am looking for a retracement to the 26.85-27.75$ range to hopefully bounce the price and close a candle within or above the Ichimoku Cloud on the 3 chart. Todays dip was driven with low volume which indicates that people are holding their shares.
AMC also closed below a large VPVR node at the 29-30$ level which is seen as strong resistance. The MFI indicator looks to be overbought which could lead to some minor bearish divergence. I would be surprised if AMC bounced from here due to the fact that the there are no reversal signals. We could have a short term runup to get rejected by 29.5$ which could later lead to a deeper retracement. My hopes are that this retracement happens quickly so AMC can get out of the 20's and hopefully break the 200SMA at 32$.
26.8-27.8$ has been heavy resistance before the move to 20$ confirmed with a signifficant amount of Volume. A retest of the previous top (resistance) would be a healthy retracement for AMC. I personally have buy-orders set at 26.85$. If this zone doesn't get hit my order will be adjusted.
A safe entry for AMC would be a daily close above the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200SMA. When the 200SMA is used as support with large volume backed up by the MFI and the Ichimoku Cloud this would indicate that AMC is trading in a bull market. This would lead to the next bull-run up to the 50's.
Also keep an eye on the options. There are some interesting calls out there that could be driving AMC to a new uptrend. The days to cover are rising according to Fintel which could indicate that a short squeeze is near. The short interest of AMC seems to be above 20%.
This analysis should not be seen as financial advise. I am not a financial advisor.
Thank you for reading and feel free to give me your thoughts on AMC.
AMC Held SupportNice hold at the 28.79 area. Next test is the 30.50 area then TL with major resistance right behind it at 31.74 area. Good luck out there. Ape strong
P.S. - This is the first time I've noticed a check box to abide by the house rules. For any sick asshole that attacks other people online, whether it a moderator or not, should do some soul searching and be a better human. Don't like what you see? Click away and move on.
AMC Cup with Handle (Target 36$)AMC made a perfect bounce of the 0.786 Fib level (20$ level) earlier this week. This lead to a technical breakout above the 25-26$ level of resistance. We have established strong support at the 25-26$ range with signifficant volume spikes. We are at the micro times frames trading above the VWAP which was previously seen as resistance becoming new support. I am looking at a healthy retracement to the low 28's or 27.7$. These levels should hold. Otherwise i am expecting 26.7$ as a strong support zone which should lead to a good bounce.
At the current time we are overbought on the MFI and the Stochastic. We also haven't managed to close above a huge VPVR resistance node at the 29.7$. This could push the price for further downside but is in my opinion unlikely due to the fact that AMC has started to trade with higher volume. AMC is currently on a short term uptrend with increasing volume. Remember the trend is your friend and that volume predicts price.
We are on the 2h chart seeing a cup and handle formation. This is a very bullish pattern. I am expecting a little dip for the creation of the handle towards the high 27$ range. Tis would create the handle and bounce the price to 34$. If this level of resistance is broken (34$) with a high amount of volume making it new support we are going to trade above the 200EMA which is a bullish reversal sign. The cup and handle formation could lead to a break of 36$ which would make us fill the gap at 38.8$. At this point of time i am expecting a signifficant amount of FOMO-Buying which could bounce the price even more up to the daily VPVR level of 40$. If the overall market sees a bounce AMC should follow nicely which could lead to the continuation of the uptrend.
The target of 17$ that a lot of people in the AMC community have been speculating is not likely at the current state.
*WARNING* (This article should not be seen as financial advise. I am not a financial advisor.)
Thank you for reading
$AMC Trade IdeaAs per the current analysis and wave trend, AMC is not looking to go back into $40 or higher anytime soon. Yes, There is a possibility it will rise and touch the last wave low around $34.51, but then it looks like going down to $29.43 followed by $24.35 or even lower. Long term short trend persist.
Wait for the breakout at 32.06 if that happens, yes it's going to $34.51 latest or max.
Crucial SPY test ,MEME counter argument The Fed..
Scholars running the show are now, after denying the fact that the Evergrande mess was contained, are now admitting that the ramifications could spill into the U.S. Economy.
The Fed..
Also sent out a WARNING that the act of holding a meme stock threatens the stability of the U.S. Financial system.
I would like to point out that holding meme stocks isn't the actual problem. Though I am very biased on this, as I am, and have been accumulating AMC for about a year now, the issue is what has happened to make "MEME" stocks an issue along with why it's being called a "MEME" stock.
In my early 20's I worked as a crane rat, learning everything from mechanical to electrical engineering along with ladder logic programming, how to diagnose an issue with a piece of machinery crucial to any random company that needed one repaired on the fly.
If it was a mechanical problem, MOST times it was an easy fix. However when it was an electrical problem there was a lot of wire chasing looking for a short , an issue with software, a bad high or low voltage coil. If it was a fuse, what made the fuse , or circuit pop? Was it a short, or was there a mechanical problem like a bad bearing that led to an overdraw of current that popped or blew the circuit?
In the event that it was certainly a mechanical issue it was fixed by replacing a bearing or what not.
Let's look at the accusation of holding a "MEME" stock as a disruptor in our beautiful financial system.
Let's compare our Financial system as an electrical circuit , which it basically is. You work, you get paid, you spend, money goes back to the manufacturer and you get paid again. The more efficiently you spend your money, you develop a savings and invest in a stock that seems to be doing really well, in the hopes you can increase your nest egg.
When the circuit is broken the fuse blows and the system goes down, not just because of a mechanical issue but it could also be a software issue.
Let's look at the mechanics of the financial system as well.
(1) From Investopedia, "Individual and institutional investors come together on stock exchanges to buy and sell shares in a public venue. Share prices are set by supply and demand as buyers and sellers place orders. Order flow and bid-ask spreads are often maintained by specialists or market makers to ensure an orderly and fair market."
Seems legit right? Everyone is happy, everything works, and best of all its cyclical . I absolutely love this system! It is FLAWLESS! It works, the machine is in tip top order, clean and ready to rock.
It's only when one of the 3 main and/or 6 sub parts of this machine goes bad that we find issues in the circuitry, mechanical and software end of it, and it fails.
These 3 main and 6 sub parts are as listed in the quote above from Investopedia:
1.)The Electrical;
I.) Individual
II.) Institutional Investor
2.)The Mechanical;
III.) The buyer
IV.) The seller
3.)The Software;
V.) The Specialist
VI.) The Market-Maker
Let's test my in the field diagnosis of this machine:
1.) Looks like the Electrical is working just fine. Stocks have been bought and sold by both investors and institutional investors on a day to day, month to month and year to year basis. Heck I even know a guy who has held Microsoft for 35 years. He keeps reminding me how it "IPO'd at 21 bucks a share". Seems legit to me, This is how it's supposed to work.
(2) From the "Wall Street and the Stock Exchanges: Historical Resources web page:
" Stock exchanges have a long history in the United States. In 1790, the Philadelphia Stock Exchange, originally named the Board of Brokers of Philadelphia, was founded. Two years later saw another big competitor—the New York Stock Exchange."
If "1" is working, let's check the mechanical end of this machine: The buyer and seller
III.) Looks like the BUYER end of this machine is working. I can certainly see it's been heavily used and may have had some problems along the way, which I can certainly hope have been repaired. {Robinhood} . Further diagnosis is needed. In this case I would write a note to myself and carry on with the diagnosis.
IV.) The seller. This looks pretty good, minor wear to it, but it is functioning as intended. Certainly not as bad as the "BUYER" end of it.
the Electrical end of this machine has had some problems, a note has been added but overall still seems to be functioning correctly.
This puts me at my third stage of diagnosis. If the electrical and the mechanical aspect of this machine are working, and I haven't overlooked anything, the problem must be in the software.
Let's analyze first the directions of in which the market is supposed to work:
From the instruction manual :
(1) "Individual and institutional investors come together on stock exchanges to buy and sell shares in a public venue. Share prices are set by supply and demand as buyers and sellers place orders. Order flow and bid-ask spreads are often maintained by specialists or market makers to ensure an orderly and fair market." ~ Investopedia
Well, would you look at that!?!? Seems We found the glitch in the machine.
"Order flow and bid-ask spreads are often maintained by specialists or market makers to ensure an orderly and fair market." AND
"Order flow and bid-ask spreads are often maintained by specialists or market makers to ensure an orderly and fair market."
Seems we found the issue, it also seems why we may have found why the "Buyer" showed some defectiveness as well.
This is why no one singular person or anybody should feel singled out for ruining a perfectly working machine. It is when "Special instructions" are issued to a machine without the engineers approval that the warranty is void.
The repair is very very simple. As a field tech, I would simply allow the machine to fail, remove the software and build upon the roots that established it as a working machine.
Let's start with a buy is a buy. what does this mean? This means no dark pools. Not for you, me or God. A lit exchange is necessary to have an open and fair market. A buy is a buy and a sell is a sell . There isn't a loop hole in that. what it does bring to light is a buyer beware and ensure stop losses are set.
T1 settlement. My electric company has the ability to shut my power off remotely, we have high tech machines that do transactions at light speed, but it takes 3 days to transfer money from one place to another? come on, this i T# and T2 settlement shit is rubbish.
Abolish PFOF. This actually should be placed at the top of the list. With todays applications on the Cellular networks, there is absolutely no reason PFOF should exist! Want free trades? Deal with this advertisement first. Or subscribe to our non advertisement plan for blah blah blah a month.
a system much like Bitcoin or Ethereum, where every transaction can be placed recorded and viewed publicly. Which is tied hand in hand with the anti-dark pool update.
Here is your machine from the 1790's working as intended, more efficient and more transparent. When something goes wrong you know exactly where the error occurred.
I am thinking of doing a Yellen , Pelosi essay next. It will be titled Cybernetic Untrustworthy Network Tyrants as soon as I finish some well deserved solitude from the markets and my working life.
Credits :
(1) Investopedia.com "How does the Stock Market work"
(2) Https:guides.loc.gov "Wall Street and the Stock Exchanges: Historical Resources
(1)