$AMC retracement to 27$ before the break of the 200SMA?AMC has seen a huge rally the past couple of days. This large movement got rejected by the 200SMA at the 32$ range. This is heavy resistance due to the fact that this level contains a bearish OB (Orderblock). The 3h chart indicates that AMC will remain in a bear market a short period of time due to the fact that we haven't gotten a single 3h candle closing within or above the Ichimoku Cloud. The Cloud is being used as resistance. I am looking for a retracement to the 26.85-27.75$ range to hopefully bounce the price and close a candle within or above the Ichimoku Cloud on the 3 chart. Todays dip was driven with low volume which indicates that people are holding their shares.
AMC also closed below a large VPVR node at the 29-30$ level which is seen as strong resistance. The MFI indicator looks to be overbought which could lead to some minor bearish divergence. I would be surprised if AMC bounced from here due to the fact that the there are no reversal signals. We could have a short term runup to get rejected by 29.5$ which could later lead to a deeper retracement. My hopes are that this retracement happens quickly so AMC can get out of the 20's and hopefully break the 200SMA at 32$.
26.8-27.8$ has been heavy resistance before the move to 20$ confirmed with a signifficant amount of Volume. A retest of the previous top (resistance) would be a healthy retracement for AMC. I personally have buy-orders set at 26.85$. If this zone doesn't get hit my order will be adjusted.
A safe entry for AMC would be a daily close above the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200SMA. When the 200SMA is used as support with large volume backed up by the MFI and the Ichimoku Cloud this would indicate that AMC is trading in a bull market. This would lead to the next bull-run up to the 50's.
Also keep an eye on the options. There are some interesting calls out there that could be driving AMC to a new uptrend. The days to cover are rising according to Fintel which could indicate that a short squeeze is near. The short interest of AMC seems to be above 20%.
This analysis should not be seen as financial advise. I am not a financial advisor.
Thank you for reading and feel free to give me your thoughts on AMC.
Amcstock
AMC Held SupportNice hold at the 28.79 area. Next test is the 30.50 area then TL with major resistance right behind it at 31.74 area. Good luck out there. Ape strong
P.S. - This is the first time I've noticed a check box to abide by the house rules. For any sick asshole that attacks other people online, whether it a moderator or not, should do some soul searching and be a better human. Don't like what you see? Click away and move on.
AMC Cup with Handle (Target 36$)AMC made a perfect bounce of the 0.786 Fib level (20$ level) earlier this week. This lead to a technical breakout above the 25-26$ level of resistance. We have established strong support at the 25-26$ range with signifficant volume spikes. We are at the micro times frames trading above the VWAP which was previously seen as resistance becoming new support. I am looking at a healthy retracement to the low 28's or 27.7$. These levels should hold. Otherwise i am expecting 26.7$ as a strong support zone which should lead to a good bounce.
At the current time we are overbought on the MFI and the Stochastic. We also haven't managed to close above a huge VPVR resistance node at the 29.7$. This could push the price for further downside but is in my opinion unlikely due to the fact that AMC has started to trade with higher volume. AMC is currently on a short term uptrend with increasing volume. Remember the trend is your friend and that volume predicts price.
We are on the 2h chart seeing a cup and handle formation. This is a very bullish pattern. I am expecting a little dip for the creation of the handle towards the high 27$ range. Tis would create the handle and bounce the price to 34$. If this level of resistance is broken (34$) with a high amount of volume making it new support we are going to trade above the 200EMA which is a bullish reversal sign. The cup and handle formation could lead to a break of 36$ which would make us fill the gap at 38.8$. At this point of time i am expecting a signifficant amount of FOMO-Buying which could bounce the price even more up to the daily VPVR level of 40$. If the overall market sees a bounce AMC should follow nicely which could lead to the continuation of the uptrend.
The target of 17$ that a lot of people in the AMC community have been speculating is not likely at the current state.
*WARNING* (This article should not be seen as financial advise. I am not a financial advisor.)
Thank you for reading
AMC potential countAs all Elliott Wave counts can be interpreted different, this is just one I have been going over and one that I like.
A lot of confluence with the count; with it needing one more leg down for an orange wave 5, bringing it to the overall red ABC count down to $21. Orange 5 waves down has a potential target of $20.74. Red ABC count down C has potential target of $21.02. I like finding as much confluence or "makes sense" counts. To add to it, the overall larger count, from going from the $4 range to the rocket up to $70, the .618 fib retrace overall in White comes to $19.90.
With the Elliott count, there is also the trend lines, and currently per one we have falling down and under support. I'm leaning slightly bearish with targets of first $25 to retest the low, and if fails, then test of $20. I think if $25 holds and a higher low is put in, it could try to go back up to the $37 range to regain trend support. As of right now, I'm leaning lower and any trades I would do I would keep low risk.
$AMC Trade IdeaAs per the current analysis and wave trend, AMC is not looking to go back into $40 or higher anytime soon. Yes, There is a possibility it will rise and touch the last wave low around $34.51, but then it looks like going down to $29.43 followed by $24.35 or even lower. Long term short trend persist.
Wait for the breakout at 32.06 if that happens, yes it's going to $34.51 latest or max.
AMC Expect more downside to $24.30 next weekRemember, There is no V-Shape recovery in the market, After this much downside expect price to drop further more to $24.30 as many users enters here hoping to recover, but market makers always try to knock them out here.
Be careful, its new range $26.82 - $30.93.
AMC BreakdownWe can now see a clear head and shoulders pattern executed on the weekly time frame. The stock has bounced slightly off the 55 weekly moving average currently finding support at around $29 which was the previous swing low from August. The technical target from the head and shoulders pattern would bring the price to around $16.
Levels of support :
If we fail to hold support at $29 and lose the weekly 55 moving average we have $20 which is a previous swing high as labeled (top of previous pendant wick) and $14.33 ( previous swing high from first pendant.