AMD
AMD Earnings About To PrintTechnical Analysis NASDAQ:AMD
RSI: 🟡 Near overbought but showing strength
MACD: 🟢 Bullish crossover in progress
Support: $96.84 → $93.64 → $90.00
Resistance: $100.75 → $101.72 → $103.96
Key Level to Watch: $100.75 (immediate resistance)
💰 Earnings Play
🎯 Trade Signal: BUY
✅ Justification
Recent uptrend confirmed by bullish MACD crossover with price action above key short-term MAs. Strong momentum heading into earnings with positive sentiment from analysts.
⚠️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: $93.64 (-5.2%)
Expected Range: $93.64 to $103.96
Best AI Generated Signals.
Stay Alpha
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals (5-min & daily): Bullish momentum (price above EMAs, positive MACD, RSI not yet overbought) Sentiment: VIX moderate, upcoming earnings adds uncertainty, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $100 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $3.80 Profit Target: +25%; Stop-Loss: −50% Confidence: 65%
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Intraday slightly bearish, daily bullish Sentiment: Earnings risk, mixed signals, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (90% confidence)
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Short-term bullish but near resistance, daily MACD bullish Sentiment: Elevated IV, earnings event risk, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence) Trade: No trade
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Moderately bullish across timeframes (price above key EMAs, positive MACD) Sentiment: Earnings caution, max pain at $98 may cap downside, premium high Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $109 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $1.00 Confidence: 70%
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong daily bullish, 5-min approaching resistance Sentiment: Muted post-earnings move, max pain at $98, high IV Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (confidence <60%) Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Mixed signals between intraday and daily timeframes Elevated implied volatility around earnings Max pain at $98 may exert gravitational pull High open interest in both deep OTM puts ($90) and calls ($105–$110) Majority of models favor waiting until after earnings or see no clear edge
Disagreement
Grok and Llama see a moderately bullish setup and recommend buying calls ($100 and $109 strikes) Claude, DeepSeek, and Gemini advise no trade because of earnings event risk, mixed technicals, and expensive premiums Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Neutral/Unclear Recommended Trade: None – conflicting signals, earnings overhang, and rich weekly premiums make a high-confidence single-leg trade unlikely before post-earnings clarity.
Entry Timing: N/A (no trade) Confidence Level: 90% in the decision to sit out this week’s expiration Key Risks and Considerations:
Earnings announcement can cause large gap moves Weekly options premiums remain elevated, requiring outsized moves to break even Max pain at $98 may pressure price if post-earnings reaction is muted or negative
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null, "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-06 15:09:34 UTC-04:00" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Leap for AMD to the upside?OptionsMastery:
🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Bearish forecast for DXYWith regards my previous forecast, we have a strong reaction from Weekly and daily premium arrays.
On the weekly TF, we have IOFED of the SIBI and BSL above previous 2 weeks' highs was taken.
Tf: time frame
IOFED: Institutional Order Flow Express Entry Drill
SIBI: Sellside Imbalance, Buyside Inefficiency.
BSL: Buy side liquidity
DXY Bearish Forecast for Quarter 2, 20251. Technical analysis
The idea is based in ICT's PO3; AMD pattern.
We have a rally above the open price of May 2025, to take out BSL above the highs.
It also aligns with Daily tf premium arrays to short from.
The lowest hanging fruit being the relative equal lows at equilibrium of the dealing range.
2. Fundamental analysis
Investor's confidence in the Dollar is low due to POTUS' tariffs.
ICT: Inner Circle Trader
PO3: Power of 3
AMD: Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution
BSL: Buy side liquidity
tf: Timeframe
AMD: Potential Mid-Term Reversal from Macro SupportPrice has reached ideal macro support zone: 90-70 within proper proportion and structure for at least a first wave correction to be finished.
Weekly
As long as price is holding above this week lows, odds to me are moving towards continuation of the uptrend in coming weeks (and even years).
1h timeframe:
Thank you for attention and best of luck to your trading!
AMD to Retest SupportAMD has been in a descending price channel since November of 2024 with clear support and resistance established. On Monday we saw an attempt to breakout however it was rejected at the establish resistance line. Given the rejection and the significant drop that followed I think we will likely see AMD drop to slightly below $80 in the short term and retest the established support line.
$AMD - A Larger Correction Has Begun...NASDAQ:AMD - Breaking the trend channel's lower boundary is additional confirmation the five-wave advance has peaked and a larger correction is underway. Upcoming rallies will probably be B-wave phonies.
Looking for more pain this year before secular bull trend resumes.
MBIO MFI deepest red!!Potential lifetime buying opportunity on this if it is not just another WallStreet scam.
I'm stacking for potential upside targets in 1-3 years are $30, $90, $210 & higher.
Often I buy the deepest red and 50% of the time it works half of half the time.
1. MFI effin deep in the red
2. RSI potential double bottom on both 3 week and higher charts
3. 99.99% of all investors are under and burnt by WallStreet
4. TTM squeeze is showing large potential on timeframes 55D, 21D, 9D, 3D, 10 Hour is a FIRE setup.
5. Accum/Distrib pump is at a healthy retracement on multiple larger time frames.
This can lay flat for months and or go to ZERO.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
April 17, 2025 - Powell, Japan & TrumpHello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors ( NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:ASML ) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone.
In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The CME_MINI:NQ1! tumbled 3%, the CME_MINI:SOX1! lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged.
This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets.
On commodities, BLACKBULL:WTI jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; OANDA:XAUUSD rockets to $3,352 /oz; INDEX:BTCUSD hovers near $83,500.
Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.
Chipmaker Stocks DeclinesChipmaker Stocks Declines
According to the charts, semiconductor stocks underperformed the broader equity market yesterday. While the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by around 2.2%, the drop was far steeper across the chip sector:
→ The bullish semiconductor ETF (SOXL) declined by 15%;
→ Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell by 6.9%;
→ Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped by 7.3%.
In other words, chipmaker stocks dragged down the broader market, raising concerns ahead of the upcoming earnings season.
Why Are Chip Stocks Falling?
The decline stems from corporate assessments of how the escalating global trade war and new tariffs could impact future performance.
According to media reports:
→ AMD expects to face tariffs of up to $800 million on exports to China;
→ For Nvidia, similar levies could exceed $5 billion.
Technical Analysis – Nvidia (NVDA)
The price continues to fluctuate within a downward channel, previously identified in our analysis:
The lower boundary of the channel is acting as support, helping the price close near its opening level yesterday (forming a Doji candle on the daily chart).
Technical Analysis – AMD
A similar picture is emerging on the AMD chart:
The $96 level now appears to be a key resistance zone.
In Summary
All eyes are on today’s earnings report from chipmaker TSMC (TSM), which could significantly influence the currently bearish sentiment in the sector.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:AMD AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is a synthesis of all the reports and our analysis:
─────────────────────────────
COMPREHENSIVE SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
─────────────────────────────
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators show AMD trading below its short‐term moving average and near the lower Bollinger Band.
– Negative MACD histogram and bearish news (export restrictions, potential $800M charge) support a downward bias.
– Recommends a bearish options trade using a near–ATM put – the $89 put at a premium around $1.78 (a higher premium but with a clear bearish thesis).
• Llama/Meta and DeepSeek Reports
– Confirm the bearish bias: price action below key moving averages, negative MACD and extreme moves below support.
– Note that the option chain (and high open interest on lower strikes) points to a greater probability for further decline.
– Both suggest a trade on put options that have a lower premium than the Grok suggestion (with DeepSeek favoring the $85 put at roughly $0.62) for improved risk/reward.
• Gemini/Google Report
– Emphasizes the strong negative catalyst from news and a rapid breakdown below support levels (with current price near $89).
– Technical indicators and volatility (VIX above 30) signal that the underlying is likely to fall further.
– Offers several put strike ideas and finds that the $84 put (premium ca. $0.49) fits the ideal price range; however, liquidity and open interest are better for the $85 strike.
─────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
─────────────────────────────
Agreements:
– All models (except for the one reporting an error) agree that the market sentiment is bearish.
– The negative news catalyst (export controls and potential charges) and the technical breakdown clearly drive the consensus.
– There is broad recognition that options data (with high OI on puts and max pain around $95)
is supportive of a downside move.
Disagreements:
– The primary difference is in the strike selection. Grok favors a put close to the current price (the $89 put) despite its higher premium, while Gemini, Llama/Meta, and DeepSeek lean toward lower strikes ($84–$85) that offer a lower premium (falling in or near our ideal range) and better liquidity for a weekly trade.
─────────────────────────────
CLEAR CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE
─────────────────────────────
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
– The overall view is bearish. All models (apart from the one error) indicate that AMD is under significant downside pressure fueled by both technical breakdown and negative news sentiment.
Recommended Trade:
• Trade Type: BUY single‐leg, naked PUT (weekly option only)
• Chosen Strike: $85
– Rationale: The $85 put (ask at $0.64) offers good liquidity (high open interest of 10,218 contracts) and although its premium is slightly above the preferred $0.30–$0.60 range, its risk/reward profile is attractive given the bearish momentum.
• Expiration: April 17, 2025 (weekly options)
• Entry Timing: At market open
• Proposed Parameters:
– Entry Premium: Approximately $0.64
– Profit Target: Around $1.00 (this represents an attractive move if the bearish trend continues)
– Stop Loss: Approximately $0.45 to limit risk if price recovers unexpectedly
• Confidence Level: ~70%
• Key Risks and Considerations:
– Short‐term volatility may create intraday bounces despite the overall bearish trend.
– An oversold reaction or a temporary return toward the max pain level ($95) could adversely affect the trade.
– As this is a news–driven and highly volatile environment, trade size must be limited relative to account size.
─────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS
─────────────────────────────
The final trade parameters in JSON format are shown below.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "AMD",
"direction": "
put",
"strike": 85.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 1.00,
"stop_loss": 0.45,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.64,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
AMD: Best level to buy since Oct 2022.Advanced Micro Devices are virtually oversold on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 30.639, MACD = -13.430, ADX = 36.312) having hit the bottom (HL) of the 3 year Channel Up. The 1W RSI is slightly even lower it was on the previous bottom of October 10th 2022. This should be the start of the new long term bullish wave, which based on the previous one should make a HH on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, approximately a +300% rally (TP = 280.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$AMD $75 support targetHi, NASDAQ:AMD short may be activated here looking at the daily and weekly. I personally think we are in a bearish trend market wide with the uncertainty and unknowing's of global economics and policies. I believe NASDAQ:AMD will tap into my support zone, in my opinion we have a local resistance of $88-$90.
WSL.
OptionsMastery: SwingTrade on AMD? 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
LONG AMD: Keep it simple trends, time and duration3 Positions in AMD from 2018-2025
Duration of trades: 106 - 1,064 days
Gains: +217% - +917%
Closing in on the trend line, look for a bounce at the line or likely if it goes under, wait for a rally back above the line. This chart is set at the daily timeframe. If you trade on the minor volatility within the major trend, I've found the 2 hour timeframe using a combination of indicators, Relative Trend Index and HH and LL, net favorable results.
$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
#SAND #SANDUSDT #SANDBOX #LONG #SWING #AMD #Eddy#SAND #SANDUSDT #SANDBOX #LONG #SWING #AMD #Eddy
SANDUSDT.P SWING Long AMD Setup
Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named.
This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD SETUP ))
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing Setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
By scratching the price and time bar, you can see the big picture and targets.
Note: The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 50%-100% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.