Applied Materials Inc. Technical and Fundamental Aspects.Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor (integrated circuit) chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products.
The company also supplies equipment to produce coatings for flexible electronics, packaging and other applications.
U.S. chip stocks rise on Thursday, January 16th, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co NYSE:TSM , the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported record quarterly profit today.
In technical terms, Applied Materials stock was not among hyped and scorching-hot Trump-a-Rally assets in November, 2024.
However the most important thing is that in December, 2024 AMAT stocks has been supported by 100-week SMA and now is forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure, trying to print the biggest over past twelve months 4-weeks upside swing.
In fundamental terms, Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.12. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of more than 25 for Semiconductors industry peers.
Another Semiconductors industry peers are being trading as follow - a Forward P/E ratio for Nvidia Corp NASDAQ:NVDA is presently 53.30; for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing NYSE:TSM is 34.92; for Broadcom Inc NASDAQ:AVGO is 191.80; for Asml Holding NV NASDAQ:ASML is 40.08; and for Advanced Micro Devices Inc NASDAQ:AMD is 106.63.
The main technical graph for Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ:AMAT indicates on a forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure.
The nearest upside target is considered by our team as a 6-month highs near $ 215 a share, and the far target is considered as a Double Top technical figure around $ 250 a share, that can be achieved over next 6 months.
AMD
AMD coiling to $148-160 range by post-earnings- NASDAQ:AMD is one of the beaten down names. It's not too cheap at the current valuation but it's growth for upcoming 2-3 years are promising which deserves a higher multiple.
- 25%+ growth rate when revenue is in billions is a big deal unlike NASDAQ:PLTR which has high 20s % growth rate on a revenue of 250 mil a quarter.
- Technical supports strong rebound to 148-160 range to test 200 SMA. Good setup for Q1 2025.
- Downside risk is to 94-105 if it continues to meltdown.
AMD - Medium Long Term Potential for circa 25% upside in 2025This one is nice and quiet, and well corrected
Short-Term Analysis (Days to Few Weeks)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Price Action & Support/Resistance:
AMD appears to be trading in a consolidation phase. Recent price action has shown AMD testing a key support level which may be associated with a recently established trend line or the 20/50-day moving averages. A breakout above this consolidation zone could catalyse a short-term upward move.
• Momentum & Volume:
The RSI has hovered near the neutral-to-oversold territory, suggesting that any bounce may be brief if buying pressure fails to accelerate. Conversely, modest increases in volume during upward moves hint at a cautious optimism in the market. Traders might also observe MACD crossovers as indicators for a near-term reversal.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
Should AMD break out to the upside, a conservative target in the short term could be approximately 3–5% above current levels. Conversely, if support fails, a move 3–4% lower is plausible.
• Probability:
There is an estimated 55–60% chance of a modest recovery if support holds, balanced against roughly a 40–45% risk of further decline should the asset lose key support.
Medium-Term Analysis (Several Weeks to a Few Months)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Trend Confirmation & Moving Averages:
On the daily chart, AMD has demonstrated some convergence between the 50-day and, in some cases, the 200-day moving averages. This could hint at an evolving medium-term trend, especially if a bullish crossover (often termed a “golden cross”) is confirmed. A consistent cluster of higher lows in the price action further reinforces medium-term recovery potential.
• Technical Indicator Convergence:
Both MACD and RSI are transitioning away from oversold levels, and support from recent trendlines suggests the build-up of medium-term momentum. Any significant divergence between these indicators and price action should, however, be monitored closely.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
If bullish momentum continues, AMD could target a rise of roughly 10–15% above current levels over the medium term. This projection assumes that key resistance zones act as temporary hurdles rather than insurmountable barriers.
• Probability:
There’s approximately a 50–55% likelihood of this upward move being realised, contingent on sustained trading volume and broad market sentiment supporting AMD’s recovery.
and finally..... the Long Game
Long-Term Analysis (Several Months to a Year and Beyond)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Long-Term Trend & Accumulation:
On weekly and monthly charts, AMD has shown signs of a longer-term accumulation phase. This phase is typified by intermittent pullbacks that have set the stage for a gradual build-up in buying interest. Higher-timeframe moving averages and trend lines indicate that the market may be slowly re-calibrating to a more bullish perspective.
• Integration with Broader Market Trends:
Beyond the technicals, AMD’s performance is also intertwined with sector-specific and broader economic trends. An improvement in macroeconomic conditions, along with sustained institutional interest, could validate the longer-term bullish technical picture.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
In a scenario where the long-term uptrend gathers momentum, AMD might feasibly reach 20–30% above current levels over the coming year. This target assumes a clear breakout from consolidation and the eventual confirmation of a sustained bullish trend on monthly charts.
• Probability:
Given the current accumulation patterns and long-term trend indicators, there is an estimated 45–50% probability for this scenario. However, this likelihood is subject to change based on external market influences and AMD-specific corporate developments.
AMD: Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern with $200 TargetAMD is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a powerful bullish reversal setup. The stock has been making lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines, suggesting accumulation and potential breakout. The pattern suggests strong accumulation phase and the breakout could trigger significant upside momentum.
Key Technical Points:
Clear falling wedge formation with converging trendlines
Declining volume indicating potential trend exhaustion
Entry Point: Current price level
Stop Loss: $100 (key support level)
Target: $200 (psychological resistance)
Risk/Reward ratio is favorable at 1:4, with $80 potential profit against $20 risk.
AMD: Wave (3) of [3]As anticipated, AMD has realized strong sell-offs, breaking below the support at $121.82. We primarily expect the magenta wave (3) to conclude further south, followed by a corrective rise in the subsequent wave (4). Below $121.82, however, the stock should resume the magenta downward impulse and, thus, start wave (5).
Amd - It Comes Down To This Support!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than three years, we have been seeing a quite volatile consolidation phase on Amd. Looking at recent price history though, Amd just came back to retest a massive horizontal support level and if we see bulls taking over, a rally of +100% is very possible.
Levels to watch: $120, $240
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD , wait the buy limit at 70-71 for the long runI strongly believe, thanks to technical conditions of Head/Shoulder reached on the monthly, that it should be bought at 71-70 with target of at least 120 to monetize fully or partially the position. Note: the mentioned point on the axis is placed at random. It is not a time indication.
NVTS TRADE UPDATE - Massive upside potential...STILL!NASDAQ:NVTS UPDATE 💾
The H5 Trade is still intact...for now. We are at an inflection point in the markets and although I believe we get a big bounce higher soon nothing is concrete.
If we do get a bounce and what I believe will be a blow off top in this bull market then this name base on the setup will do very well to start blasting through these profit targets.
- H5 indicator is green
- At volume shelf
- Higher low
- Already successfully retested falling wedge breakout area.
- Broke out of downtrend
-Volume gap to fill
-WCB is formed and thriving
When companies break out and successfully retest it is common for them to consolidate above the breakout area to create new support before continuing higher
Don't make buy/ sell decisions based solely off price action, have a strategy and follow it so you don't get burned up in the massive swings...especially on volatile stocks. This name has given me 70% gains off the initial breakout and after we loaded back up off the retest.
Not exiting this name unless my strategy indicates a correction or crash in the markets is upon us or my strategy tells me to exit this name (Red H5 Indicator/ Break of support on WCB).
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
AMD's Epic Surge or Plunge: Unveiling Key Levels for 2025!Good morning, trading family! Let's talk about AMD today. If the stock price goes above $130, it could go up to $142, then $157, and maybe even $169. But if it goes below $114.12, it might drop down to between $93 and $97.
If you want to learn more about sustainable trading, feel free to join my webinar this Sunday. Send me details to learn more.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap.
1. Trendline
Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now.
3. Horizontal Support
In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions.
4. Descending Wedge
The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close.
5. Gaps
While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels.
Fundamental Reasons
AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI.
Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications.
Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024.
Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency.
EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.
AMD to $200 (61%) – Strong Support ends ConsolidationNASDAQ:AMD weekly charts looks very good. The trendline from March 2023 is intact and we also touched the 61.8 fibonacci from the complete move (starting in October 2023). The descending wedge could be broken to the upside today, which would be a bullish sign for a stronger move towards $200. All in all, many semiconductor stocks are currently on supports or are fundamentally more attractive than they were months ago.
Fundamentally NVIDIA still dominates the AI datacenter market with a market share of over 90%. But Advanced Micro Devices is improving its hardware and software offerings. The recently released MI325X and the upcoming MI350 series could give AMD more market share with faster release cycles. First signs show significant customer interest. In addition, AMD has a more stable revenue stream from other products like CPUs and non-AI datacenters. Given the high prices of NVIDIAs products the market itself should have a deeper interest in more competition.
Target Zones
$135
$160
$200
Support Zones
$117-$120
Potential uptrend for $AMDNASDAQ:AMD has encountered resistance and is now transitioning to a potential uptrend. The price target is set at $160. However, we cannot rule out a decline, which would occur if the resistance is broken to the downside.
Additionally, we currently have neutral news, which should support the price in aiming for an increase, as we see a clear undervaluation.
I just created this $300 Million dollar push in the market $HOTHOops?
Stock doubled in minutes causing huge losses to shortsellers and awesome wins to everyone who bought because of my alert
Volume went from 100 million shares to 270 million shares, stock went from $1.70 to $3.80 both within an hour 🔥
We're just getting started, shortsellers we're coming for you in 2025!
NVIDIA 200 BEFORE 2026 !!! CAFE CITY STUDIO
NVIDIA (NVDA) has been at the forefront of technological innovation, particularly in the realms of AI and graphics processing, positioning it well for significant stock price growth. Here are several reasons why NVIDIA's stock might hit $200 by 2025:
Dominance in AI and Data Center Markets:
NVIDIA's GPUs are the backbone for many AI and machine learning applications. Their leadership in this space, especially with the advent of AI-driven technologies across industries, is expected to keep revenue growth robust. The company's data center segment has seen exponential growth, with analysts predicting a continued upward trend due to the increasing demand for computing power in AI applications.📷📷📷
Strategic Product Roadmap:
NVIDIA's product pipeline, including the Blackwell architecture, is anticipated to propel the company forward. The Blackwell chips, expected to launch in 2025, are designed to push performance boundaries for AI applications, potentially capturing more market share and driving revenue. The expectation around these new architectures creates a bullish outlook for
NVIDIA's stock.📷📷
Strong Financial Performance:
NVIDIA's financial results have consistently outperformed expectations. For instance, Q2 FY 2025 saw a revenue increase of 122% year over year, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain high growth rates. Despite a natural slowdown expected due to tougher year-over-year comparisons, the company's growth is still projected to be impressive at around 43% for FY 2026, supporting a narrative of sustained stock price appreciation.📷📷
High Barriers to Entry and Market Moats:
The complexity and performance of NVIDIA's offerings create high barriers for competitors, ensuring NVIDIA's market leadership. Analysts highlight NVIDIA's 24-month technological lead in AI GPUs, with high switching costs for customers locked into NVIDIA's ecosystem. This moat is expected to support premium pricing and market share retention, which could translate into stock value growth.📷📷
Analyst Optimism:
Numerous Wall Street analysts have set price targets for NVIDIA well above its current levels, with some predicting it could hit $200 or more by 2025. These forecasts are based on NVIDIA's strong fundamentals, technological edge, and market position in AI and computing solutions.📷📷
Market Sentiment and Valuation:
Even though NVIDIA's stock trades at a premium valuation (62 times trailing earnings as of recent data), analysts believe that its growth trajectory justifies this price. If NVIDIA continues to meet or exceed growth expectations, its valuation could expand further, driving the stock price towards $200. However, achieving this target would require either a significant earnings surge or a market sentiment favoring even higher multiples for tech growth stocks.📷
Global AI Adoption:
Posts on X highlight the ongoing global shift towards AI, with NVIDIA at the forefront. The demand for NVIDIA's computing solutions is expected to grow as AI becomes more integral to various sectors, from automotive to cloud computing, thereby supporting stock price growth.
AMD Bullish break-out above the 3-month Resistance.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) opened (and closed) yesterday above the 3-month Channel Down pattern that started after the October 09 2024 High and that is technically a strong bullish break-out signal.
The previous break-out in August 2024, eventually reached the 0.786 Fibonacci extension, which was the October 09 2024 High, before declining again.
Even though we are long-term bullish on AMD, as it even kept clear the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is its multi-month Support, we expect it to reach at least $160.00 (just below the 0.786 Fib) on the short-term.
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Semiconductor Stocks Blast Off as Foxconn's Revenue Takes FlightA perfect storm of positive factors sent semiconductor stocks soaring, with major players experiencing significant gains. Here are the key drivers behind this surge:
1. Foxconn's Record-Breaking Revenue: A 15% year-over-year revenue increase and a 42% rise in December sales ignited investor optimism in the sector.
2. AI Demand Anticipation: Foxconn's strong results underscored ongoing demand for AI technologies, fueling expectations for future growth in the semiconductor space.
3. Microsoft's $80 Billion AI Investment: The tech giant's commitment to AI-enabled data centers further boosted expectations for increased demand for specialized chips, particularly from Nvidia.
The impact on leading semiconductor companies was substantial:
● Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA : Up +3.4%
● Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD : Up +3.3%
● Micron Technology NASDAQ:MU : Up +10.5%
As the demand for AI technologies continues to grow, semiconductor companies are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, driving growth and innovation in the sector.
Market Close Update: AMD Continuation Long PlayAMD continued pushing higher today, alongside NVDA, after gaining $28+ per share over the past 2 trading sessions. The partnership with StradVision on providing chips to support their Perception Based Autonomous AI Systems with the goal of delivering high-performance perception solutions for automated driving systems. Looking for a potential entry around $128.90 with at least a $133.42 Short-Term Price Target, but retesting $144.36, it's most recent High that it tested at the beginning of December 2024. Will setting our Stop Loss around $127.40 moving forward if we're able to obtain a slight pullback to get that $128 entry.
Follow us for more to connect and stay tuned with more at MyMI Wallet. @MyMIWallet #MyMIWallet
AMD for STRONG buyWhy Buy AMD Stock?
Market Leadership in Semiconductor Industry
AMD is a globally recognized leader in the semiconductor industry, producing high-performance CPUs, GPUs, and adaptive computing technologies. Its innovative products cater to a wide range of markets, including gaming, data centers, artificial intelligence (AI), and embedded systems.
Strong Financial Performance
AMD has consistently demonstrated robust financial growth, driven by strong product demand, strategic acquisitions, and efficient cost management. Its competitive product lineup continues to drive revenue growth and profitability.
Growing Market Opportunities
The increasing adoption of AI, machine learning, cloud computing, and 5G technology creates a substantial growth opportunity for AMD's advanced processors and GPUs. The company is well-positioned to capture market share in these rapidly growing sectors.
Innovation and Product Pipeline
AMD’s commitment to innovation is evident in its cutting-edge product releases, such as the Ryzen series CPUs, Radeon GPUs, and EPYC processors. These products provide industry-leading performance and efficiency, making them highly sought-after in the technology market.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
AMD’s acquisition of Xilinx and strategic partnerships with industry leaders like Microsoft, Sony, and Amazon strengthen its product portfolio and expand its reach into new markets like
JUST BUY AND HOLD.
AMD = The Trader Slayer!NASDAQ:AMD
We got a lot going on here with AMD!
- In the volume gap and could fall down to the shelf at $108 or we could have just hit a double bottom with a breakout spot at $174ish.
-H5 Indicator is RED and they are in a downtrend while also forming a Bull Flag (barely).
-Sitting on the bottom of the Wr% and could form a downtrend box or start running to the upside.
It all makes sense to me. This name is an extremely difficult name to trade and has eaten the best traders whole, myself included.
One thing is clear to me! trying to trade this name right now with all of these mixed signals is risky-business! I'm steering clear until we get some certainty!
No price targets because who knows whats gonna happen. 🤣
Not financial advice.
AMD Analysis: Navigating Historical Trends 2025.01.01Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices).
Weekly Chart Analysis
Looking at AMD's weekly chart, the stock has followed a historical long-term trendline since the 1970s. Over the years, there have been four major trendline breaks, each followed by substantial corrections:
87%, 75%, 93%, and 54% corrections from the trendline break points, with an average correction of approximately 77%.
Importantly, these corrections are measured from the trendline break, not the stock's all-time high.
Recently, AMD has broken below its long-term trendline again.
This suggests we should be prepared for the possibility of a 77% correction from this point.
Where Would a 77% Correction Lead?
A 77% correction from the trendline break would bring AMD to approximately $35.
The $35 Zone: Why It’s Significant
The $35 level is particularly noteworthy because:
It aligns with the green box zone, which acted as a resistance area before AMD’s breakout to all-time highs in 2018–2019.
It coincides with a retest zone in the white box, where historical support was tested.
It also matches historical resistance dating back to the 2000s, making it a logical retest zone.
If AMD were to rebound, $35 would be a strong candidate for a turnaround point.
Bearish Indicators
Several factors point to a continued bearish trend:
AMD appears to have completed a symmetrical triangle pattern with a downside breakout.
It has broken below the August 5, 2024 weekly low, a key support level.
The only remaining support is at $116.37, marked by the green box.
If $116.37 breaks, and the pattern turns out to be a descending triangle, the target could exceed 85%, reaching levels even lower than $35.
Currently, AMD is trading within the white box supply zone.
A break below $116.37 opens the door to $93, the lower boundary of the white box.
However, if AMD moves like it did in the red box supply zone in the past, we could see an expanded downward pattern.
Historically, AMD has experienced declines of up to 67% from its highs, which supports the possibility of further downside.
When to Buy?
Based on AMD’s historical behavior:
Optimal Buy Zone:
If AMD drops approximately 70%, reaching $35, it could represent a long-term investment opportunity.
This level aligns with key historical support zones and could serve as an excellent entry for investors looking to capitalize on AMD's growth potential.
Conservative Buy Levels for Upside Momentum:
First Entry: When AMD breaks above the weekly 20 EMA, currently at $140.35.
This level is still far from the current price.
Second Entry: Upon a breakout above the yellow box supply zone, which marks the upper boundary of the descending triangle pattern.
While the pattern and resistance trendline are broken, overhead supply zones remain significant obstacles.
Third Entry: If the purple box (Ichimoku Cloud) on the weekly chart provides support, this could also indicate a potential entry point.
Conclusion
AMD is a unique stock that may not be well-suited for gradual accumulation due to its high volatility and tendency for deep corrections.
While it has been a market leader during bullish periods, the stock’s history shows frequent, severe pullbacks of 70% or more. This makes timing critical for successful trades.
Bearish Outlook: The current trend is downward, and there’s potential for the stock to drop further, possibly to the $35 zone.
Bullish Outlook: For buyers, $35 could represent a once-in-a-decade opportunity to accumulate shares if AMD’s long-term growth narrative remains intact. Alternatively, entering on clear breakout levels with a cautious approach is advised.
Investors must remain patient and disciplined, waiting for either a deep correction or a confirmed trend reversal. Only then can AMD offer the high reward-to-risk opportunities it’s historically known for.
Let’s stay sharp and trade wisely. 🚀
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24
NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50
NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50
NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50
NASDAQ:AMD Trends:
NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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