AMD
AMD broke above the 3-week Bull Flag. Major buy signal!On March 13 (see chart below) we issued a major sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as we saw the stock topping at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 2-year Channel Up:
Our projection was materialized as the price corrected significantly by -37% and has almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was the level that held, formed the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up and made us give a new long-term buy signal a month ago (while also the 1W RSI reached the symmetrical Support level of the October 2023 bottom (45.50)).
Today the buy sentiment got stronger than ever as AMD not only broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the giant Bull Flag pattern that started on the May 28 High. With the 1D MACD about to form a Bullish Cross, a very strong long-term buy signal emerges that call for a new Bullish Leg similar to at least the May 02 - 28 one.
If the prevailing structure is a Channel Up then expect a +23.65% rise, which puts our Target at $190.00 (just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
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AMD: Daily and Weekly Chart Analysis.Daily Chart: Support Levels and Fibonacci Retracement
The daily chart of AMD highlights key support levels and Fibonacci retracement zones. The price recently bounced from a double support level at 153.49, which is both a gap support and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the prior uptrend. This level's resilience suggests a strong buy zone.
The 21-day EMA at 161.47 is acting as a dynamic resistance. If it closes above this level could push the price towards the next resistance at 174.55. The support at 153.49 remains crucial, as a break below this could signal further downside towards 148.00 and 142.00.
Weekly Chart: Ascending Trend Line and Pivot Point
The weekly chart shows AMD trading above a long-term ascending trend line, indicating a sustained bullish trend. The 21-week EMA at 162.06 provides additional support, and it is very close to the 21 EMA on the daily chart, reinforcing the important of a breakout of this key point.
The price has a pivot point of 174.55. Holding above the trend line suggests bullish momentum, with the potential for the price to retest the resistance at 174.55. A break above this level could target the next resistance at 187.00, while a failure to hold above the trend line might lead to a pullback towards the 150.00 level.
Conclusion: Key Levels to Watch for Bullish Continuation
On the daily chart, the double support at 153.49 is critical. The weekly chart's ascending trend line and pivot point at 174.55 will guide the broader trend. Maintaining support above the key levels on both charts will be essential for a continued bullish outlook.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
AMD Investigating Potential Data Breach by Hacking GroupChipmaker AMD is facing a potential data security breach after a hacking group known as IntelBroker claimed to have stolen sensitive information. This information allegedly includes details on upcoming AMD products, customer databases, and internal documents. While leaked screenshots provide some evidence of a compromise, AMD is working with law enforcement to determine the full scope of the breach and mitigate any potential damage.
Investor Jitters and Competitive Risks: The news caused a slight dip in AMD's stock price as investors grappled with the potential consequences. If confirmed, the stolen data could significantly impact AMD's competitive edge, especially if information about future product lines and proprietary technologies is compromised. This wouldn't be the first time AMD has faced such a challenge – the company previously dealt with a data breach in 2022.
Cybersecurity Concerns in the Tech Sector: This incident underscores the escalating threat of cyberattacks within the technology industry. With a reported 78% increase in data breaches from 2022 to 2023, the need for robust cybersecurity strategies and vigilant monitoring is paramount.
Beyond AMD: Broader Implications: The potential breach highlights the far-reaching effects of cyberattacks. Stolen data sold on the dark web can be used for various malicious purposes, impacting not only the targeted company but also its partners, customers, and the entire industry.
Looking Forward: Lessons from the Investigation: As AMD investigates the claims, the outcome will be closely watched not just for its impact on the company's future but also for the broader lessons it offers in the ongoing fight against cybercrime. This incident serves as a stark reminder for all companies to remain proactive and continuously strengthen their cybersecurity defenses against increasingly sophisticated threats.
AMD: Survival ModeWill AMD be able to recover from this down-move? With Ichimoku crossing bearish and a lower high being placed, there is a high chance of the trend shifting bearish. With NVDIA booming and the tech sector on fire can AMD recover and start a new bullish move? Personally I'm waiting to see if we can gain some strength here as this area has served as support previously
Looking for a bullish possibility on AMD soon.🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
The limits of silicon have been reachedNASDAQ:AMD
The limits of silicon have been reached, and computing machines have hit their maximum potential for many decades. There have been no real achievements since 1984; that was the year when the ceiling was reached. The supposed development has ended. Ray tracing and all sorts of AI crap based on thrice-recycled garbage are no longer suitable for consumption.
Advancements in computing technology have stalled, and innovation seems to have plateaued. Despite the hype around new technologies like AI and ray tracing, these developments rely on rehashed concepts and fail to deliver groundbreaking results. The industry needs a fundamental shift to overcome these limitations and achieve true progress.
AMD CALL Bought AMD Call
Strike $180
Expiry 14 Jun
Entry $2.50
Expecting AMD to reach
1st Target $184
2nd Target $193
Analysis as below:
Weekly TF:
1. Uptrend -- Above SMA200
Day TF:
1. Structure -- Inverse Head and shoulder (broke out of neckline, now retesting)
2. RSI -- bullish divergence
4hr TF:
1. MA -- Price closed above EMA 25 (blue)
2. Fib R -- Price closed above 0.618 Fib R aka $158 (uptrend in tact)
3. Confirmation candle -- printed green body candle after bouncing off EMA 25 and 0.618.
4. RSI -- not overbought yet/no bearish divergence (More room for upside)
Remarks:
Price is currently testing the resistance of SMA100(purple) for the 5th time.
The frequency of price testing to break SMA100 becoming shorter (Weaker selling pressure)
If price is able to close above SMA50(green) and SMA100(purple), expect AMD to rally in no time.
ICT's Market Maker Model - An Easy to Understand GuideIn this video I try to explain ICT's Market Maker Model as simply as I can.
This model basically depicts how smart money efficiently facilitates their positions in the marketplace. It is important to understand some concepts beforehand, such as liquidity, AMD/PO3, market efficiency, crowd mentality, and the fractal nature of price.
I hope you find the video insightful and that it helps you utilize Market Maker Models in your trading.
- R2F
AMD introduces new MI325X AI chip, enhancing AI infrastructureAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) has announced significant advancements in its processor architectures, including unveiling the new CPU, NPU, and GPU processors designed to power AI infrastructure from data centres to PCs. The highlight of the announcement was the introduction of the AMD Instinct MI325X accelerator, which boasts advanced memory capacity and is slated for release in Q4 2024.
In the future, AMD's roadmap includes the AMD Instinct MI350 series, which will incorporate the next-generation AMD CDNA™ 4 architecture expected in 2025. This new series promises up to 35 times better AI inference performance than the current AMD Instinct MI300 series with AMD CDNA 3 architecture. Additionally, AMD plans to continue its innovation streak with the CDNA 'Next' architecture for the MI400 series accelerators, for release in 2026.
In terms of investment opportunities, let's analyse the technical aspects of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD):
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, AMD's stock has formed a resistance level at 174.55 USD and support at 157.90 USD. Although an uptrend is beginning, the stock is testing the support line. The next target could be 140.50 USD if the stock enters a downtrend.
However, if the uptrend resumes and breaks through the resistance at 174.55 USD, the short-term target is 203.30 USD. If the upward momentum continues, the price might rise to 227.70 USD for a medium-term investment strategy.
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Elliott Wave Analysis on AMD Suggest a Double CorrectionShort Term Elliott Wave in AMD suggests the rally from 5.01.2024 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 5.01.2024 low, wave (1) ended at 174.56 as the 30 minutes chart below showing. Wave (2) pullback is currently in progress. The internal subdivision of wave (2) takes the form of a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (2), wave ((a)) ended at 168.75 low and wave ((b)) bounce ended at 171.51. The stock extended lower in wave ((c)) towards 162.91 which completed wave W.
The market rallied starting wave X also taking the form of a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave W, wave ((w)) ended at 168.75 and pullback in wave ((x)) ended at 164.00. Wave ((y)) higher is in progress. We are looking a bounce in 3 swings to 169.88 – 173.51 area to end wave ((y)) and also wave X connector. Near term, as far as pivot at 174.56 high stays intact, expect the stock to extend lower.
AMD Set for Major Processor Launch As it Grabs 33% of CPU MarketAdvance Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ), a leading player in the server CPU market, claims a 33% share. The company is preparing to launch its next-gen "Turin" processors and unveils a GPU roadmap following the MI300 product line. NASDAQ:AMD 's CFO, Jean Hu, highlighted the company's growth in servers, CPUs, and GPUs, highlighting partnerships with Microsoft and strong double-digit growth in server CPUs and desktop/laptop segments.
AMD's strategic focus on power efficiency and cost-effectiveness makes it a compelling choice for enterprises facing power and space constraints. Notable clients like American Express, Shell, and STMicroelectronics are transitioning to AMD-based infrastructure. NASDAQ:AMD plans to launch a next-generation AI PC in the second half of the year, potentially refreshing the PC market. The company also sees long-term growth potential in the embedded processor market through synergies with Xilinx.
NASDAQ:AMD 's performance in the desktop and laptop markets is also highlighted. Analysts expect NASDAQ:AMD and peers to drive semiconductor industry optimism after their earnings beat, but caution against AMD's MI300 supply constraints, gaming segment weakness, and aggressive pricing from Nvidia Corp.
Technical Outlook
Advance Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) stock is up 3.43% on Tuesday's Market day trading. The stock daily price chart depicts a trend reversal from a falling wedge or bullish flag pattern.
Advance Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 61.94 which makes it poise for further growth in the long term.
Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
AMD caching the knife for desperate
down turn is drying out
price has reached the fair value
this week all the optimists from last week were scared
sentiment is good
today or monday I want to see a Wyckoff reversal
I suggest to build up position in range 144,5$ - 140$
SL as on chart
Exit probably 180$ somewhere, where the bitch scared me out of my down position
Earnings Strength before Slight PullbackHello everyone, happy Monday. Here I am presenting my idea of a strong bullish continuation by NASDAQ:AMD going into tomorrow's earnings. Despite the already strong momentum upwards, I believe we see further buying action after tomorrow's earnings into the lower $200s along with strong buying action across broader tech in $PYTH:QQQ. I believe both these securities will top out short-term in the upcoming 4-6 weeks before a brief pullback to the $149 price point before a further continuation upwards.
Position: Shares (added between 2018-2020); holding long-term.
Please let me know your thoughts and feedback and happy trading!
🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI INFRASTRUCTURE STOCKS GO BANANA Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993.
Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems.
Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency.
It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers.
"Supermicro continues to lead the industry by meeting the ever-growing needs for AI systems and modern data centers around the world," said Charles Liang, President and CEO of Supermicro.
AI-optimized racks powered by Supermicro's latest product lines, including server product lines from AMD, can be quickly created from standard engineering templates and easily customized to meet unique user requirements.
The ultra-modern GPU liquid cooling server includes dual processors from NASDAQ:INTC or NASDAQ:AMD and four or eight interconnected NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) HGX H100 Tensor Core GPUs.
The use of liquid cooling systems can reduce the energy consumption of data centers by up to 40%, which in turn leads to lower operating costs.
In addition, both systems significantly outperform previous generation NVIDIA HGX GPU-powered solutions, delivering up to 30x performance gains and improved efficiency of today's Transformers with faster connections between GPUs and networks and storage built with PCIe 5.0 standard.
The technical picture illustrates the possibility of continued explosive growth in Supermicro shares, which are up more than 160 percent since the beginning of the year.
AMD GOING UP TO 169 ? NASDAQ:AMD 169 TP THIS WEEK ?
6 REASONS WHY
Strong Financial Performance: AMD's financial performance has been a significant contributor to its stock price surge.
The company's earnings per share (EPS) and forward dividend & yield figures have shown considerable improvement, reflecting a robust financial health that has instilled confidence in investors.
Superior Product Offerings: AMD's product portfolio is another reason for its success. The company offers a diverse range of microprocessors, graphics processing units (GPUs), and other semiconductor products that cater to a wide range of industries.
This versatility has allowed AMD to tap into multiple markets, driving its revenue and stock price upwards.
Market Share Gains: AMD has been steadily gaining market share from its competitors, particularly in the high-growth sectors of data centers and AI chips. The company's innovative products and competitive pricing have enabled it to outperform its rivals, leading to an increase in its market share.
Positive Market Sentiment: The overall positive market sentiment towards the semiconductor industry has also played a role in AMD's rally. As the demand for semiconductor products continues to grow, driven by emerging technologies like AI, IoT, and 5G, companies like AMD are well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: AMD's strategic partnerships and collaborations with other leading technology companies have also contributed to its success. These partnerships have allowed AMD to leverage its partners' resources and expertise to develop innovative products and expand its market reach.
Effective Management: Finally, AMD's management team has been instrumental in driving the company's success. Under their leadership, AMD has successfully navigated the challenges of the semiconductor industry, positioning the company for long-term growth.