Is NVDA done correcting? LONGNVDA shot up on earnings two months ago and more or less went sideways until
mid July when it trended up for a week and then reversed downward.
On the 2H chart, I have placed both a VWAP anchored to the earnings date as
well as a volume profile. Price is currently above the 0.5 Fib level as well
as at one standard deviation above the mean VWAP and above the POC line of
the volume profile. The mean VWAP and POC are confluent at about 422.
I suspect that it is at this level that volatility will be the highest and at where
buyers will step in to open a trade shares of NVDA that have been oversold
and are undervalued. Because of that, I will place NVDA on my watchlist for
a long trade when it trends down approaching 422. The stop loss will be
418 or about 1% while targeting the recent double top of 475 and so a zone of
horizontal resistance confluent with dynamic resistance in the red line of
two standard deviations above the mean VWAP. Confirmation of an upcoming
reversal is the histogram of the zero-lag MACD going red to green. NVDA has
had a great run this year (220%) and its heavy presence in the AI megatrend
bodes well for a good continuation.
AMD
AMD Long will Go to 260$ or higher
New 52-week highs this week, powered by the Dow which, on Friday, extended its streak of positive days to ten — something the blue chip index has not done in almost six years. The Dow has been powered by, among other things, a slew of corporate financial results, particularly from the banks, which showed not only improved profitability, but also strong guidance for the next quarter and full year.
I have explained 2 bullish scenarios,1 bearish(worse case).
Bullish:
higher highs higher lows
poc uprising
volume increasing
capital flow rising
In case the Take profits hit, and we have increased volume, I will ride the trend.
I will only take profit 10% of the AMD portfolio and let the profit run.
Exit :Stop loss or trend change signal
The mid and long term horizon is bullish. If any Profit taking level reaches, and trend continuation is signalizing that the uptrend will be continued, I will increase agressively my positions and take only 10% profits of each position.I will let the prfoits run.
This trade setup is only for trend followers and on daily TF.
NVDA- the frontrunner in the new AI revolutiongives some room to its cousin UPST. They took off from the same runway and the blue sky
awaits them. There are others in the same squadron. The flight show will be unprecedented.
Buckle yourself in. Make sure you can find your oxygen mask because there will be some
high-altitude flying. Enthusiastic traders will provide the fuel. Itwill be awesome for sure.
- Avani
NVDA Breaking Out from Consolidatiom LONGNVDA has been in consolidation for two weeks. On the 1H chart, yesterday, the MTF RSI
indicator shows that the lower TF RSIc rossed over the 50 level and then crossed over
the higher TF RSI a clear and convincing sign of rapidly increasing relative strength.
Price is in a VWAP breakout now having crossed from the mean VWAP anchored into mid- June
and up crossing over the one and two standard deviation lines.
The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram occurred in the after-hours trading
on Tuesday evening. Price has crossed over the POC line of the visible range volume profile yet
another sign of bullish buying pressure and momentum. Overall, my analysis is that NVDA is set
up for a long swing trade which I will take today.
AMD stocks experienced range fluctuations in 1.382 and 1.618AMD stocks experienced range fluctuations in 1.382 and 1.618 positions
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of AMD stocks over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, AMD stocks experienced range fluctuations in May and mid June of this year after retreating to 1.382 and 1.618 positions, following the 1.000 position of the golden section in the upper test chart! The weekly chart for the past two weeks has shown a long upward shadow and a steady downward shift in center of gravity! In the future, the probability of AMD stocks weakening is expected to return to the bullish starting point in May 2023 as shown in the chart!
$AMD the 2nd fiddle fizzle?Looking at NASDAQ:AMD , you can see that AMD struggles to hold above $125. This brings up the question, "Will it be able to catch up to NASDAQ:NVDA ?" It appears that more time is needed. AMD remains a solid company with the potential to continue capturing more market share. Although AMD's chips are not primarily used for AI, it doesn't mean the company won't try to enter this race. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC hasn't made substantial progress but continues to hold on to most of their legacy market share. Therefore, I like where AMD stands as it continues to close in on Intel.
Bullish Case - At present, AMD has tested the $125 level twice, suggesting that it is searching for more support. Let's see if AMD can find support and take a third shot at it soon. I see a great opportunity to monitor the levels to determine if we can make a lower high or accumulate below in a consolidation phase before breaking out to challenge the $125 level again.
Bearish Case - Let's be serious, there is a reason for this double top. It's time for it to make a significant pullback. It needs to pull back to the .618 Fibonacci level. Fine, bulls, you are in an uptrend, but enough of the parabolic move—let the ticker breathe.
Conclusion - Being below the CheatCode Swing 0 line favors the bear case to provide support in a commonly targeted area of Fibonacci retracement, yet looking at the CheatCode Squeeze momentum indicates a potential continuation of the bullish trend. This could leas to chop and indecision.
Bullish above $125.39
Bearish below $107.35
AMD - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout short-term resistance be POSITIVE signal with support at 100 and resistance at 130.
🔹Price increases on high volume and decreases on low volume.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
ASML - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Forming inverse head and shoulders pattern.
🔹Breaking resistance at 793 indicates further rise.
🔹POSITIVE signal from Rectangle formation breakout resistance at 668; Next resistance at 762.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Opening (IRA): AMD August 18th 90 Short Put... for a .91 credit.
Comments: Grinding through my single name IV screener to sell premium in high IV single name here, targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike to emulate dollar cost averaging into the underlying. Here, the top 10 are: SABR, SNAP, TSLA, CCL, META, NFLX, TEVA, AMD, CLF, INTC. I'm already in TSLA, META, and NFLX and some of the others are too small to be worthwhile from a dollar and cents standpoint (i.e., SABR, 3.22/share; TEVA, 7.58).
As usual, I'm perfectly fine with taking assignment of shares, selling call against if that happens, but primarily just looking to augment the amount of theta I have on, since my usual broad market go-tos (IWM, QQQ, SPY) aren't exactly paying buckets in shorter duration.
AMD -> New Major Bullish CycleHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of AMD 💪
As you can see on the monthly timeframe AMD stock perfectly retested the 0.618 fibonacci retracement level of the previous bullish cycle and already started a quite nice rejection.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that AMD retested the 50% fibonacci level and also filled the gap which was created a couple of weeks ago so everything is pointing towards more bullish growth.
Finally I am waiting for an entry signal on the daily timeframe - specifically AMD breaking above the current resistance at the $115 area and then I also do expect another daily push higher.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
AMD Chart Reading - 7.9.23Howdy Traders!
This is just another super-short chart reading. In this case, NASDAQ:AMD is creating a parallel channel (blue one) within a larger parallel channel (the green one). The green channel has been valid since last year since it's really long term, and the price respects it. If NASDAQ:AMD breaks out of the blue channel upwards, then it will be tested by the green channel before continuing on higher. If NASDAQ:AMD breaks downwards, then it will most likely continue to drop.
This chart pattern has a value of $8.63 (about a 7.3% move). This means that if it breaks upwards, you add $8.63 to the price of where it broke-out to create the price target, and vice versa.
Bona Fortuna!
Semiconductors in Focus: Top or Not?NASDAQ:NVDA has shifted sideways since the huge earnings breakaway gap, a pattern that tends to provide strong support for profit-taking. Unlike NASDAQ:AMD , the trend doesn't appear to be at risk of shifting into a downtrend at this time.
While there has been some negative news pertaining to China for NVidia, the chart patterns don't indicate any concern from the largest Buy Side Institutions yet.
NVDA reports again near the end of August. By the end of this month, the big Buy Sides will have made adjustments to their holdings depending on their expectations for earnings, a time to watch for any shift in the technical patterns.
AMD reports early August. This short-term M top is at risk of testing support level highs below.
We are Eventually Going to Make it Bitcoin MinersHOLDINGS:
SMSN LI 80 86,080.00
TSM 711 53,723.16
NVDA 577 87,300.10
RIOT 26,791 121,363.23
AMD 1,146 86,351.10
ARBK 101,865 424,777.05
BITF 225,762 264,141.54
88,278 123,589.20
CIFR 98,267 149,365.84
CLSK 97,259 393,898.95
19,309 31,087.49
DGHI 89,753 94,240.65
DMGI CN 607,264 116,409.92
GREE 26,792 66,712.08
HIVE 77,495 250,308.85
HUT 58,605 80,874.90
INTC 2,394 88,554.06
IREN 38,126 125,815.80
MARA 12,540 70,851.00
MIGI 105,920 112,275.20
SATO CN 116,864 20,162.10
SDIG 72,314 125,826.36
27,681 38,753.40
Cash & Other 2,826 2,826.01
The Fund is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund (“ETF”) that will invest at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowings for investment purposes) in securities of companies that derive at least 50% of their revenue or profits from bitcoin mining operations and/or from providing specialized chips, hardware and software or other services to companies engaged in bitcoin mining. The Fund will not directly invest in bitcoin, or indirectly through the use of derivatives or through investments in funds or trusts that hold bitcoin.