AMD - continuation patternHi traders
AMD has been in a bullish market.
The price has been consolidating in a falling wedge which is a bullish continuation pattern therefore we expect the continuation to the upside.
3 targets for bulls are shown on the chart.
However, we won't be surprise if AMD will do new all time high .
What do you think? do you agree?
AMD
AMD's Soaring Stock: Riding the AI Wave with TSMC in Its Sights
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) is making headlines as its stock experiences a remarkable 11% surge, riding high on the coattails of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC), the world's leading chip fabricator. The recent boost in NASDAQ:AMD 's stock price is attributed to TSMC's bullish signals regarding the robust demand for AI semiconductor production. This surge not only underscores the vital partnership between NASDAQ:AMD and TSMC but also positions NASDAQ:AMD as a significant player in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry.
TSMC's Impact on NASDAQ:AMD 's Trajectory:
NASDAQ:AMD , heavily reliant on TSMC for chip manufacturing, finds itself on the brink of a potential record high. TSMC's fourth-quarter results, although flat compared to the previous year, exceeded expectations, signaling a positive momentum shift. The crucial role of artificial intelligence (AI) in driving this growth aligns seamlessly with NASDAQ:AMD 's focus on enhancing its position in the GPU market, where it currently holds a second-place position behind industry giant Nvidia.
TSMC's Q1 fiscal year guidance, with a projected 10% increase in sales compared to the previous year, further cements the positive outlook for $AMD. Despite a potential dip in Q1 revenue, TSMC historically experiences cyclicality, suggesting a return to annual sales growth for the company. This, in turn, bodes well for NASDAQ:AMD , reinforcing its status as a key player in the semiconductor space.
NASDAQ:AMD 's Strategic Moves in AI:
While Nvidia remains the undisputed leader in advanced graphics processing units (GPUs) for AI applications and data centers, NASDAQ:AMD is carving its path with strategic investments and innovations. The announcement of a new chip, positioned to rival Nvidia's H100, indicates AMD's commitment to competing at the forefront of AI applications. Analysts also highlight AMD's efforts to improve its AI software, addressing a historical preference for Nvidia's chips over AMD's.
NASDAQ:AMD 's GPU and CPU Focus:
Beyond the AI segment, NASDAQ:AMD 's prowess extends to both graphics processing units (GPUs) and central processing units (CPUs). As the second-largest standalone GPU maker, AMD aims to narrow the gap with Nvidia by securing performance wins and gaining the favor of major customers. Simultaneously, AMD continues to challenge Intel's dominance in the CPU market for PCs and servers, illustrating a multi-faceted approach to market share expansion.
Investor Sentiment and Technical Analysis:
Investors are increasingly bullish on NASDAQ:AMD , drawn by its strategic positioning in the high-performance semiconductor space. The introduction of a chip challenging Nvidia's stronghold and improvements in NASDAQ:AMD 's AI software contribute to the positive sentiment. From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:AMD 's stock is in a rising trend channel, indicating sustained positive development and growing investor interest.
Conclusion:
As the demand for high-performance semiconductors, driven by AI applications, continues to grow, NASDAQ:AMD stands out as a compelling investment. The partnership with TSMC, strategic focus on GPU and CPU advancements, and positive technical trends position AMD as a formidable contender in the semiconductor industry. Investors eyeing long-term growth and exposure to the AI wave may find AMD to be a sensible addition to their portfolios, with the potential for further gains in the evolving landscape of high-performance computing.
AMD Surges as AI Optimism Fuels Stock Rallysemiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is experiencing a significant surge in its stock value, driven by growing optimism in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. Analysts are revising their price targets upward, reflecting a bullish outlook on AMD's future prospects. This surge is part of a broader trend in the industry, where companies are strategically positioning themselves to capitalize on the burgeoning AI market.
Key Catalysts:
1. Barclays' Bullish Stance: Barclays has named NASDAQ:AMD a "Top Pick" for the "2nd Wave of AI," boosting investor confidence. The investment bank raised its price target for NASDAQ:AMD shares from $120 to an impressive $200, suggesting a more than 30% premium compared to the stock's trading levels at the time of the upgrade. This move follows Barclays' observation that 2024 is poised to be a pivotal year for AI, with chipmakers like NASDAQ:AMD gaining market share.
2. Supply Chain Dynamics: With supply constraints impacting the industry, customers are reportedly opting for NVIDIA's entire platform to secure priority shipments of accelerators. This scenario has inadvertently benefited NASDAQ:AMD , contributing to a notable 7.5% surge in its stock price to $157.57, reaching its highest level in more than two years.
3. AI Market Expansion: As the AI market continues to expand, NASDAQ:AMD is strategically positioning itself to challenge NVIDIA's dominance in the sector. In response to tightened U.S. export rules, NVIDIA plans to commence mass production of an AI chip designed for its Chinese customers later this year. Meanwhile, in December, NASDAQ:AMD announced two new AI data center chips, signaling its commitment to competing with NVIDIA's flagship microprocessors.
Analyst Perspectives:
Analysts from KeyBanc have also revised their price targets, with NASDAQ:AMD receiving an increase to $195 from $170. NVIDIA's price target has been raised to $740 from $650 by the same analysts. These adjustments reflect a positive sentiment towards both companies, positioning them as attractive investment opportunities. The industry-wide PHLX semiconductor index is up 1.15%, further emphasizing the positive momentum in the semiconductor sector.
Market Reflection:
The market's response to these developments is characterized by the notable volatility in NASDAQ:AMD 's shares, with 22 moves greater than 5% over the past year. However, today's 5.8% jump suggests that while the news is deemed meaningful, it may not fundamentally alter the market's perception of $AMD. The company's shares have experienced significant moves in recent weeks, notably gaining 5.2% just eight days ago, indicating a dynamic market environment.
AMD's Strategic Moves:
NASDAQ:AMD 's recent announcement of the Radeon RX 7600 XT graphics card ahead of CES 2024 adds another layer to its strategic positioning. The graphics card, equipped with features like AMD FidelityFX Super Resolution and HYPR-RX, aims to provide seamless gaming experiences and cater to content creators, enhancing productivity and quality.
Conclusion:
In a landscape where AI-powered technologies are gaining prominence, NASDAQ:AMD 's strategic moves and the bullish outlook from analysts signal a compelling narrative for investors. The company's ability to navigate supply chain challenges, coupled with its advancements in AI-centric offerings, positions it as a key player in the evolving semiconductor industry. As the market continues to recognize NASDAQ:AMD 's potential, investors may find this juncture an opportune moment to delve into the promising prospects that the company presents.
AMD INV H&S ( SHORT TERM BULLISH )
AMD Inv. H&S, high chance of another bullish leg up to capitalize off of. The reasoning for short term bullish is due to the fact that the weekly time frame is over extended with a similar historial pattern to the previous "top" of AMD's weekly high before falling to correct.
AMD?interesting chart. i have the AVWAP at the 52 week low showing confluence with the support trend line. after earnings and fed speak we broke out the channel. were coming close to geting above the 0.68 fib retrace from last high 132/133ish area.
were also tradin above the 200-100-50 moving averages
that can also be a giant bull flag and cup and handle and all those measured moves take you to key areas. idk if it gets there or when. but just a text book looking chart right now.
✨❄️🌟 The Tutorial How-To Find a Magic on TradingViewFinancial markets just finished its memorial 2023.
Whatever the numbers at the “Closing bell”, on your monitors and in your portfolios, there is no doubt that 2023 year’s Santa Rally will go down in history as one of the most outstanding in many years.
In November and December, 2023 the U.S. stock market was rallying for the 9th consecutive week in a row.
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Well.. just try to answer what happened with the market the past one time.
Happy New 2024 Year!
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AMD Correction expected on this Double Top.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has given excellent pull-back buy opportunities since our last analysis (December 12 2023, see chart below):
We believe though that it is time to take profit on those buy positions as the short-term Channel Up has made a Double Top similar to the June 13 2023 pattern, which started a prolonged correction. Even though the new correction doesn't have to be that long, even a shorter one is plausible as the same 1D RSI Bearish Divergence (on Lower Highs) that we currently have, was seen on all corrections within the 18-month Channel Up, with the shortest of them being -15%.
Assuming this worst case scenario, we turn now bearish and target 129.00 (-15% from the Top). Then as long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, or even if broken when it gets reclaimed, we will buy again for the long-term.
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AMD's Strategic Moves & Innovations
Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is making waves in the tech industry, unveiling an array of groundbreaking products set to redefine the gaming and desktop computing landscape. With the launch of the Radeon RX 7600 XT graphics card and the Ryzen 8000G series desktop processors, AMD is strengthening its position in the market, challenging competitors, and signaling a promising future.
Radeon RX 7600 XT: A Game-Changer in Graphics Performance
NASDAQ:AMD 's latest graphics card, the Radeon RX 7600 XT, is set to revolutionize gaming experiences with its impressive features. Boasting 16GB of high-speed GDDR6 memory, the graphics card supports next-generation AI and content creation workloads. This move enhances AMD's competitive edge against industry giant NVIDIA, particularly the GeForce RTX 2060.
What sets the Radeon RX 7600 XT apart is its compatibility with AMD FidelityFX Super Resolution and HYPR-RX, along with AMD Fluid Motion Frames. This combination promises up to 1.9 times faster gaming and raytracing performance compared to the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 2060, showcasing AMD's commitment to delivering cutting-edge technology to its user base.
The graphics card is slated for release on January 24, 2024, through leading NASDAQ:AMD board partners such as Acer, ASRock, ASUS, Gigabyte, PowerColor, Sapphire, and XFX. This strategic move positions AMD as a key player in the gaming hardware market, ready to cater to the demands of enthusiasts and professionals alike.
Ryzen 8000G Series: Unleashing Desktop Power
The introduction of the Ryzen 8000G series desktop processors for the AM5 platform is another testament to AMD's commitment to innovation. The Ryzen 7 8700G, with its world-leading built-in graphics, features up to eight cores and 16 threads, offering a powerful solution for desktop users.
NASDAQ:AMD is also bringing Ryzen AI to the desktop, unlocking new possibilities for consumers in the AI space. Additionally, the Ryzen 5000 processors, including the Ryzen 7 5700X3D with 3D V-Cache technology, further solidify AMD's position as a leader in high-performance CPUs.
Riding the Wave of Success: AMD's Strategic Vision
NASDAQ:AMD 's success story is closely tied to its strategic decisions, particularly under the leadership of CEO Lisa Su. Over the past few years, NASDAQ:AMD has shifted its focus to its core competency – high-performance CPUs and GPUs – resulting in significant market share gains over competitors like Intel. The company's CPU market share has surged from 18% in 2017 to an impressive 36% in the fourth quarter of 2023.
The company's expansion into AI is a strategic move to tap into the growing market, projected to reach a trillion-dollar valuation by 2030. While Nvidia currently dominates the AI GPU sector, NASDAQ:AMD 's upcoming MI300X AI GPU is poised to challenge that dominance, offering a fresh and competitive alternative.
Technical Outlook: Riding the Rising Trend
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD 's stock is on an upward trajectory, showcasing investor confidence and a positive outlook for the company. Breaking through resistance levels and presenting a lack of immediate hurdles in the price chart, NASDAQ:AMD appears poised for further growth.
Conclusion:
As NASDAQ:AMD continues to unveil innovative products like the Radeon RX 7600 XT and Ryzen 8000G series, the company solidifies its position as a key player in the tech industry. With a strategic vision, strong leadership, and a focus on high-performance computing, NASDAQ:AMD is set to capture the gaming and desktop markets while venturing into the lucrative field of artificial intelligence. Investors and tech enthusiasts alike are keenly watching NASDAQ:AMD 's journey, anticipating further success in the ever-evolving tech landscape.
AMD - Approaching All Time HighsHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of AMD.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After the massive breakout in 2016 we saw a rally of more than 4.500% on AMD. This rally was perfectly followed by a correction of 70% in 2022. As mentioned in my analysis, I am now waiting for a retracement back to the previous structure and if we have enough bullish confirmation, I will then look for potential trading opportunities.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
🚀 TIA: Analyzing the AMD SetupTIA has made a dynamic entry into the cryptocurrency market, showcasing an impressive and rapid upward trajectory. On the 4-hour timeframe, a distinct Accumulation and Manipulation Distribution (AMD) pattern, based on Wyckoff principles, has taken shape. This pattern is often indicative of strategic accumulation before a substantial price surge.
📉 Technical Analysis:
🚀 AMD Pattern:
The Accumulation and Manipulation Distribution (AMD) pattern is characterized by a series of phases:
Accumulation Phase: Smart money accumulates assets quietly.
Markup Phase: A breakout and significant price appreciation occur.
Distribution Phase: Smart money distributes assets to the broader market.
Markdown Phase: A decline in prices as distribution completes.
📈 Trading Dynamics:
💹 Strategic Accumulation:
TIA's price action reflects a phase of strategic accumulation, with informed investors quietly acquiring positions. This often sets the stage for a powerful markup phase.
🚀 Potential for Price Surge:
Following the accumulation phase, the market may experience a sudden and substantial price surge. This is particularly anticipated after the completion of manipulation and distribution.
📉 Breakout Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish Breakout:
With the completion of the AMD pattern, a bullish breakout is anticipated, driving TIA's price upwards. Traders should watch for confirmation signals and favorable market conditions.
🔽 Watch for Distribution Signs:
Caution is advised as the asset progresses through the distribution phase. Signs of distribution may precede a potential markdown phase, and traders should be vigilant for shifts in market dynamics.
📝 Trading Strategy:
🧐 Confirm Breakout Signals:
Traders are encouraged to confirm the bullish breakout by utilizing technical indicators, volume analysis, and other relevant tools.
📈 Risk Management:
Implement sound risk management strategies to navigate potential market fluctuations during the transition from accumulation to markup.
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EOY review $AMD explosive move up, still inside year NASDAQ:AMD what a move, bright green year, but still inside year
outside quarter, inside year
extended? maybe, who knows, but....
always room for a further move up, especially given the highs of '22 and '21
both, not taken out yet....
let's see how semi conductors will move from here, in the A.I. era
AMD, Worst Case Scenario and it still suggests making a new ATH!It seems madness to talk about making a new ATH these days with such a panic in the market due to FED's decision to raise the rates .Please follow the analysis to see if this is really a madness or just being realistic without caring to much about emotions , feelings and NEWS !.
What I am proposing here on the chart as wave count is what I can see as worst case scenario however, I welcome and embrace any more pessimistic wave count which anyone can suggest. So, If you have such a wave count please let me know and let us share our ideas.
I divided the chart into two sections with a vertical line to keep the chart clean and being focused on details of latest moves. I called the left side of the chart as territory of cycle degree wave 1 and 2 which means we are currently in cycle degree wave 3 started on 27th July 2015 at 1.61 USD.
Why I call this wave count as WORST CASE SCENARIO? Since, I considered a completed cycle with start point at 9.04 USD on 4th Apr 2018 and end point at ATH with extended wave 5s in all subdivisions ! As we know extended wave 5 is usual in commodity not stock market . What is common in stock market is extended wave 3 . I remarked extended wave 5s in different wave degrees on the chart. It is really a pessimistic wave count. Yet it is valid .
Considering this wave count as a true one , We are in primary degree correcting wave 4 (circled) and still there is one leg up to new ATH around 180 USD to make cycle degree wave 3 complete. Possible buy zone for this scenario is shown on the chart by green box. If this scenario happens , We will have a big correction at new ATH, Then another massive bull run and after that a big crash ! but, It is to soon to talk about.
In upper left corner of the right side of the chart , I showed a schematic drawing of an extended wave 5 with it's typical retracement. Typically, retracement of an extended wave 5 ends is top of wave 3 or wave 1 of 5. This guideline makes our suggested buy zone even stronger.
WORST CASE SCENARIO implies that we may have more optimistic scenario . Is there any? Of course there is . Since bodies of candles of current down going wave more than likely will enter to the territory of what labeled as wave 3 of (5) of circled 3 in daily time frame, we can consider wave cycle started at 72.5 USD on 13th May 2021 to be completed at ATH on 30th Nov 2021 with extended wave 5 .( There is alternative wave count which also considers this cycle a completed one but makes no difference in terms of price target in broader view). Also , extended minor degree wave 5 for intermediate degree wave (1) can be acceptable since both retracement and correcting pattern satisfies extended wave 5 pattern (See schematic drawing once more ).
But , What about extended wave 5 of (3) starting at 36.75 on 18th Mar 2021 and ending at 99.23 at on 11th Jan 2021? Neither amount of retracement nor the correcting pattern confirms this to be extended wave 5 !. If so, It can be considered as wave 3 of a different cycle with last up going wave (from 72.5 to ATH) being extended wave 5 of same degree and up going wave from 27.43 to 59.27 being wave 1 of same degree. In even more optimistic wave count this can be wave 1 of a new starting smaller degree up going wave cycle ! Try not to be confused ! All of these means that we may have more optimistic scenario with more up going waves with successive new ATHs one after another.
All in All, I assume that in worst case scenario, cycle degree wave 3 is yet to be completed. There are even more optimistic scenarios. Please let me know if you can make a more pessimistic yet valid wave count. As I previously emphasized , I believe AMD will see unbelievable targets in long term.
Hope this analysis to be helpful.
AMD Reached to a good buying zone as shown on the chart NASDAQ:AMD reached to a fair price to enter right now and I think it is going to reverse up soon ,so i am buying AMD now now at 108.9 and my target in mid term is 125 and the final target at 156 .
What do you think? Please, comment on what's you opinion
AMD laying path to the All Time High.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit our 133.15 target that we called for a month ago (see chart below):
The price is now extending the rise within the multi-month Channel Up, approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level. This is where the March 23 High was made with the rejection that followed, approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as the short-term Channel Up (as you see it is a very common pattern within the wider structure) holds, we will be bullish, targeting 160.00 (Fibonacci 0.786 and close to the All Time High). If the short-term Channel Up breaks, we will sell and target the 0.236 Fibonacci and 1D MA200 at 110.00 (or if contact is made higher, then close on that price).
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Can Nvidia Be Knocked Off The AI Top Spot?AMD's recent launch of the Instinct MI300X AI chip marks a significant entry into the AI chip market, challenging Nvidia's dominance. Supported by Microsoft and Meta, this innovative chip positions AMD as a strong competitor in the sector. Analysts predict AMD could capture about 10% of the AI chip market, a notable achievement considering Nvidia's current market stronghold.
Following the announcement, AMD's stock witnessed a nearly 10% surge, indicating strong investor confidence in the new product's market potential. In contrast, Nvidia saw a modest 2.4% increase in its shares. Despite this, Nvidia has experienced a substantial 2.15% increase in its stock value over the past year, showcasing its robust market presence.
AMD's ambitious goal to achieve $2 billion in AI GPU sales by 2024 underlines their commitment to the Instinct MI300X's success. Meanwhile, Nvidia, currently in a consolidation phase, fluctuates between support and resistance levels of $400 and $500, respectively.
The introduction of the Instinct MI300X by AMD heralds a new era in the AI chip market, setting the stage for an intense competition between these tech giants.
AMD Surges After Launching AI chip that Could Challenge NvidiaAMD unveiled its MI300X chip, an AI-centered semiconductor designed to challenge Nvidia's global market dominance.
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) shares jumped in early Thursday trading after the semiconductor group unveiled an AI-focused chip for the data-center market, which it says could be valued at as much as $45 billion over the coming years.
AMD, which in June pegged the total addressable market for data-center chips at around $30 billion, launched the MI300X chip, designed to support generative-artificial-intelligence technologies. And it unveiled a next-generation semiconductor focused on supercomputing, the Instinct M1300A.
The MI300X, analysts say, could challenge Nvidia's NVDA dominant H100 graphics-processing-unit chip in the large-language-model AI market. Last month, AMD said the new chip could generate $400 million in fourth-quarter sales while the broader family of MI300 semis are expected to see sales of more than $2 billion over the whole of 2024.
Large language models "continue to increase in size and complexity, requiring massive amounts of memory and compute,” CEO Lisa Su said during last night's launch event at the company's Santa Clara, Calif., headquarters. “And we know the availability of GPUs is the single most important driver of AI adoption.”
Advanced Micro Devices shares were marked 2% higher in premarket trading to indicate an opening bell price of $119.12 each. Such a move would nudge the stock into positive territory for the past six months.
AMD last forecast fourth-quarter sales in the region of $6.1 billion, plus or minus $300 million, with gross margins of around 51.5%. That outlook following a mixed third-quarter-earnings report that showed big gains in PC revenue had partly offset the ongoing decline in gaming.
"While AMD acknowledged that its software can be further improved, it has reached the point of being 'good enough' for volume deployment," said KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst John Vinh. He reiterated his overweight rating on the stock following last night's launch event.
"We're encouraged that AMD has released a competitive AI GPU within a massively fast-growing (total addressable market), with endorsements by many high-profile customers," he added.
Technical Analysis
The RSI (14) is at 56.52, indicating a bullish momentum. The MACD (12,26) is at 0.68, suggesting a positive trend. AMD is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.