Amd - Please Look At The Structure!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to retest massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For about 5 years Amd has been trading in a decent rising channel formation. That's exactly the reason for why we saw the harsh drop starting in the beginning of 2024. But as we are speaking, Amd is about to retest a massive confluence of support which could lead to a beautiful reversal.
Levels to watch: $100
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD
AMD: Bottomed and can rally by as much as +140%.AMD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.266, MACD = -4.630, ADX = 52.178) but technically appears to be forming a new multi-month bottom after exactly 1 year of downside. The 1D RSI hit the S1 level, which priced the October 10th 2022 bottom. The outcome of that bottom was a +142.42% rally, same as the October 23rd 2023 Low, whose +142.42% rally formed the March 2024 ATH. This time this week's low has come very close to the S1 level, which is the strongest support level on the long term. A new potential +142.42% rally from the current levels would make a marginal ATH (TP = 230) and that's our current target for the end of the year.
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From Boom to Bust? Nvidia Warns of a Potential 50% DropAfter an incredible rally, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has finally hit a wall at its all−time high of $140, failing to secure a strong monthly close above this critical resistance level. This stagnation at the peak is a red flag for the stock’s near-term momentum.
Since the rally began in 2016, the monthly chart has been overwhelmingly bullish, with only a few exceptions: 2018, 2022, and now 2024, where the monthly chart has printed a bearish engulfing candle. Historically, when this pattern has appeared, it has led to steep retraces. Based on the median pullback from the past two occurrences, we could see a 50% decline by mid 2025 from current levels, a potential bloodbath for unprepared investors.
Is this a guaranteed outcome? Of course not. But higher timeframes carry significant weight in macro price action, and this bearish signal is too significant to ignore. Stay alert—volatility ahead!
While a short-term pump toward the $140s is more than likely, it’s important to recognize that this move will feel more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. For those considering a short position, this potential bounce could offer the perfect entry point.
However, unless NVDA can achieve a strong break above $150 and successfully flip this level into support, there’s no compelling reason to turn bullish here. The macro warning signs remain intact, and the risk of a deeper retrace increases.
BANGER $5 to $8+ on steadiest uptrend of 2025 so far!BANGER $5 to $8+ on steadiest uptrend of 2025 so far! 📈
Buy & Hold 💬
Told you about it in chat while it was still in $6's
Doesn't get any easier than this, just waiting for the money to pile as it keeps uptrending NYSE:BBAI
Everyone that listened got paid, it was the only stock bought and held yesterdy 1/1 for a fat win.
AMD Bottom pricing inside 3 weeks. MASSIVE BUY.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have been on a downtrend for exactly 1 year, every since the March 04 2024 Top. That was a technical Higher High on the 5-year Channel Up.
With the price trading below even its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), there is a massive underlying buy opportunity on the stock for the long-term. That's because this 1-year downtrend is the technical Bearish Leg of this Channel Up, whose previous one bottomed 2 weeks after breaking below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, contained at the same time above the 0.786 Fib.
As you can see, the price is just above the current 0.618 Fib and the 0.786 Fib is just below the Channel Up, where the ultimate macro Support of the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) is headed.
With the 1W RSI almost oversold and on the exact level where the previous Channel Up bottom (October 10 2022) was formed, the stock is technically entering its long-term buy opportunity zone.
Based on this pattern, the R/R is already on excellent levels for a buy and we expect the bottom to be formed within the next 3 weeks. If the new Bullish Leg imitates the previous one and rises by +315%, we can expect AMD to have its next Top at $320.
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Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26/02/2025Last week the Judas Swing strategy had another action-packed week! As we took four trades across our selected currency pairs ( FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , FX:EURUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ), securing two wins and two losses, but still closing the week with a solid 2% gain.
Given the strategy’s consistency over the past few weeks and months, we were eager to see how it would perform this week. On Monday, we waited for a setup on FX:EURUSD , but it fell just a few pipettes short of meeting all the criteria on our checklist. Since one key requirement wasn’t met, we stayed disciplined and skipped the trade. Now, here’s the important part—although that trade ended up being a winner, it didn’t bother us. Why? Because it didn’t align with our strategy, and we don’t risk our hard-earned money on trades that don’t check all the boxes. If you find yourself entering random trades, it’s time to create a checklist and stick to it. Discipline is what separates consistent traders from gamblers.
Fast forward to Wednesday, we spotted a promising setup on FX:AUDUSD and we were eager to see how the session would unfold. After a sweep of liquidity at the lows, our focus immediately shifted to potential buying opportunities. Once we got a break of structure to the upside, all that was left was a retrace into the FVG before executing the trade. But patience was key—we reminded ourselves of Monday’s setup, where a similar scenario played out, yet the retrace never came. That trade had to be left behind, and we weren’t about to force an entry this time either
Finally, price retraced into the FVG, and as soon as that candle closed, we were ready to execute the trade. We risk 1% per trade with the goal of securing a 2% return ensuring our wins outweigh our losses over time. With this strategy’s win rate hovering around 50%, sticking to our rules keeps us on the path to long-term profitability
After entering the trade, we experienced a slight drawdown for less than five minutes, dipping just 2 pips nothing out of the ordinary. Our entry candle had closed in our intended direction, so we stayed patient. Soon after, price moved decisively in our favor, hitting our target in just 1 hour and 10 minutes. Our patience paid off this time with a solid 2% return on a trade where we had only risked 1%.
NVDA XABCD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 30% gains🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for NVDA.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for NVDA bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Speculative XABCD defined by points: X 150, A 115, B 140, C 120, D 160.
most points validated already, C/D pending.
🔸Well defined swings in progress, so expecting a low near 120 before
reversal and new swing higher.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 129 usd in March 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 160 USD, 30% upside from point C/buy entry. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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AMD Analysis: Shorting to $100 as Cup & Handle Pattern FormsHello Traders,
I'm sharing a weekly chart analysis for AMD, where I’ve identified a Cup & Handle pattern. The current price is $148, and it's retesting the broken red trend line.
I suggest considering a short position targeting $100. I've also included a back test for the two previous patterns, which support the validity of the middle red trend line.
It's important to note that if AMD reaches the $100 level, the Cup & Handle pattern above the blue trend line will become valid, potentially targeting even lower levels around $55, or possibly further down.
Additionally, pay attention to the downtrend progression channel in cyan. The current price of $148 is positioned around the resistance of this channel's middle line.
If these scenarios play out, a harmonic pattern may also form, which I will define at a later stage.
Stay cautious and manage your risk!
$AMD trying to breakout on the daily!NASDAQ:AMD being bought heavily by institutions for past 3 days straight. It’s looking like it wants to breakout on the daily. There could be added excitement for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings coming up in the semi-conductor space. I have been accumulating NASDAQ:AMD April 17 115Calls @ 7.00
*Not financial advice
AMD: Hit rock bottom. Huge upside potential from here.Advanced Micro Devices Inc turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.032, MACD = -2.460, ADX = 22.524) signaling a potential reversal of the long term bearish trend. This month the price hit the 1M MA50 and if it managed to close the 1M candle over it, we expect to have a market bottom formed much like October 2022 and April 2018. A rally of at least +275% started following both of those bottoms. We believe the risk of buying here is low and the reward high and thus turn bullish (TP = 390.00).
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AMD Longterm Idea...So it's been in the falling wedge on the weekly, If you go back in the chart every time a wedge breakouts and goes on its next run. we have multiple confluences of support giving AMD A fuel tank full of gas ready to ignite. watch this breakout on the weekly and retest resistance as support to see the next run.
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) Key Breakout Levels to WatchAMD is forming a potential ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart, signaling a possible breakout if momentum continues.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zone: The stock needs to hold above the $108-$109 range for the bullish setup to remain intact.
✅ Breakout Level: A push above $114 could confirm upside continuation.
✅ Target Levels: If AMD breaks out, we could see a move toward $117-$120.50 in the near term.
The yellow 20-day WMA and SuperTrend resistance are key hurdles. A strong close above them would confirm a shift in momentum.
💬 What’s your outlook on AMD? Do you think it can break out, or will it face resistance? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
$INTC Nice Long Base – Ready to Breakout?NASDAQ:INTC oh how the mighty fall from grace. But so much for nostalgia. INTC has been basing since August 2024 for over 6 months. It looks like it has support around $19. It has tried to get moving a few times but no go.
Today it has tested both the longer term and shorter-term downtrend lines (DTL). It is testing today on the news that JD VANCE said AI will be built in the US. I have tried this name before and have been stopped out for a small loss. I have an alert set on the long term DTL. Should that trigger, I will want a convincing close above it. Looks to me, risk is well defined with a stop under $19. At current price that is about an 11% Stop Loss. Too much for me, so I would go to a lower timeframe to see if there is a better Risk Reward stop. All TBD.
I am only posting this because I like the longer base and thought you might want it on your watchlist as well.
This is my idea, if you like it, make it your own to fit “your” trading plan.
$AMD Analysis: Profitable Structure! 2/13/2025
Another profitable structure is currently in progress, after completing the last leg of the correction at $106.50 (MY STOPLOSS!)
The targets of the uptrend swing (wave C) are displayed on the chart, and it has the potential to exceed the projected levels.
Start point of wave c= $106.50 (Stoploss)
Targets:
T1=$206
T2=$268
T3=$367
NASDAQ:AMD #AMD
Good Luck
Ever seen a more beautiful uptrend than this? $BBAIEver seen a more beautiful uptrend than this 15 min gem? 💎📈
And yes I alerted to buy it
And yes still holding and riding it for as long as uptrend continues to support 🤑
Simply doesn't get any better than being in fat profit already and continuing to stay PAYtience for as long as it wants to give more into uptrend
NYSE:BBAI
ACCUMULATION MANIPLUTION DISTRIBUTION EXPLAINED SMCHere i explained how you can use accumulation manipulation distribution trade . As a smart money concept trader you need to under when price is ranging and when is manipulating so you can take advantage of distribution. Using this can maximize your profit and reduce loss.
Your Most Requested Stocks Are Here - 15 Stocks, 15 Analyses!Hello readers,
Just a few days ago, I ran a "poll" - huge thanks to everyone who participated in the comments! The response was amazing: 130 mentions, 80 different stocks, and 15 tickers that stood out with multiple mentions. Stay tuned as I break down the most requested ones!
I initially planned to let this run longer, but interest has cooled off a bit, so I’ve decided to wrap it up and start summarizing the results so you can analyze them through the weekend.
Now, let’s get to it:
✅ A technical breakdown of 15 stocks.
✅ Key price levels and volatility zones to watch.
✅ Possible scenarios and setups based on the charts.
Some charts tell a clear story, while others… well, let’s just say not all price action is tradable and I’ll explain why.
Which stocks made the list? Scroll down and let’s dive in!
15. Microsoft (MSFT)
Looking at Microsoft's price movements, I wouldn’t rush into a position just yet. The stock has been stuck in this price zone for more than a year. While buying at the current levels could work out, there is also a risk that it remains in this range for another year.
Instead, I see two scenarios that offer a better approach:
1. This scenario relies on waiting for a pullback. A better price = better future returns. If the price drops to $290–$355/360, I would be ready to buy. Lower price levels often offer new liquidity, providing stronger momentum in the years ahead.
2. Wait for confirmation instead of guessing. Let the market show that investors are willing to push MSFT to higher levels before entering. Over the past year, the price action has established a resistance zone at $450–$460. A monthly close above this level would provide confirmation. However, patience is still key because the round number $500 could act as an obstacle. After a breakout, you have another two options:
Buy immediately after the breakout is confirmed - monthly close needed - or wait for a rejection from $500 before entering. This could provide an opportunity to buy at a similar price but with more confirmation and a stronger support level. This approach increases the chances that investment starts working more efficiently and from a better technical position.
14. Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
There isn’t much to say, the stock is flying. However, to add an educational perspective, these small pauses in the movement can create liquidity zones after a pullback.
If the stock pulls back and you find yourself wondering “Where is the right spot to enter?”, these pause areas provide potential opportunities. While this isn’t necessarily a setup, using these pullbacks effectively can help scale up your position in the stock or initiate a new one.
Many traders hesitate, thinking, "It's too expensive, it's too expensive," suddenly the price pulls back to a pause area. When that happens, you already know what to do - set your alerts.
13. Salesforce (CRM)
Confirmed Breakout:
We have three clean previous yearly highs - we mark them.
As investors, not traders, we focus on the strongest zone - we connect them.
Within this zone, there is a minor round number at $300, and for me, the strongest retest area is currently at $270–$300.
This level could serve as a key support zone for potential future entries.
12. Intel Corporation (INTC)
This is quite a difficult chart with poor price action, making it challenging to navigate. Personally, I wouldn’t take any action until one of these two scenarios becomes valid.
Deeper pullback for liquidity – The drop has been strong and intense and we could see lower prices as in 1996. A move below the current support level could attract new liquidity and hopefully, make the stock more attractive to investors.
Break above the strongest resistance – This scenario is highly time-consuming. Right now, the stock is trading below a major resistance area, and recovering won’t be easy, especially after such a sharp drop from a 2023 positive price trend. A break above $28 would make it more attractive for me.
For those already holding INTC, selling could be a strategic move. You could potentially buy back at lower prices, reducing the risk of having your investment stuck for several years. Given the current price action, breaking back above resistance will be a difficult battle - there are much better opportunities.
11. Novo Nordisk (NOVO_B)
I mentioned this stock on TradingView a few months ago, as well as at a financial conference in Estonia. The price has moved a bit but here is the initial technical thesis:
The key area remains 500–600 DKK, with the following criteria:
- A small pause in price movement, similar to what I discussed in the HOOD analysis.
- 50% retracement from the all-time high—for large-gap stocks, this level can offer strong volatility, if the fundamentals, in general, remain stable.
- The round number at 500 DKK, which could act as a psychological support level.
10. Coinbase (COIN)
A year and a half ago, I posted an analysis on TradingView about COIN, currently up almost 300% , highlighting an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. That pattern is also present today but on a much larger scale. Hopefully, history repeats itself and the outcome will be the same ;)
Currently, we have a massive Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern becomes valid only after a breakout from the neckline. Which has already happened! The price has also tested the neckline, but the movement has remained limited due to the strong resistance zone at $260–$290. Despite this, there has been a minor breakout above this level and from a technical standpoint, the price is currently trading within a potential buying zone for those interested.
Key criteria:
- A bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is in place.
- The neckline breakout has already occurred.
- A minor breakout above the strong $260–$290 zone suggests further potential.
9. Meta Platforms (META)
"Pause areas" – If someone randomly picks stocks each month, for example, Apple this month, Amazon or Meta next month, then these price levels can be extremely useful for deciding what to buy.
For META, the key picking areas are marked on the chart as reference points for potential pickers:
8. NIO (NIO)
Mentioned three times, and I feel sorry for those expecting a useful analysis on NIO - I don’t have one. Technically, there is nothing to work with here.
The price action is basically dead, moving randomly without any clear structure. Yes, I could draw lines and mark support levels but that would be misleading for both - you and me.
Volume has dropped significantly compared to previous movements. When volume declines this much, previous price levels become irrelevant. As I mentioned at the beginning, if there’s something to analyze, I’ll share it. Right now, there isn’t.
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Closing Section (For TradingView Post), that wraps up the first eight stocks from the picks! I hope you found this analysis valuable but that's not all!
The remaining 7 stocks are now live on my Substack-ENG, including:
🔹 Tesla (TSLA) – Will history repeat itself?
🔹 Amazon (AMZN) – Smart entry levels instead of buying at all-time highs.
🔹 Palantir (PLTR) – The high-risk, high-reward case.
…and four more stocks that were highly requested!
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Disclaimer:
This post is not investment advice, and the ideas presented are not recommendations to buy or sell any securities. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes, reflecting my personal view of the current market situation. Every investor should conduct their own independent analysis and consider the risks before making any decisions.
AMD (ADVANCE MICRO DEVICES INC) BULISHAs you can see on the chart and drawing, AMD is showing bullish signals. The upper price levels are our take profit (TP) targets, while the lower levels will serve as correction points.
The danger zone and stop loss levels are crucial for deciding whether to stay in or exit this trade.
Note: My ideas are not intended for any type of scalping or scalpers!
You can find the full list of my ideas here: www.tradingview.com
Here are some of my ideas: