AMD
AAPL: 2025 Strategic Outlook: 75%+ BUY/HOLD🔸Time to update the AAPL outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in AAPL
going forward.
🔸AAPL price action is contained within rising bullish price channel
established since 2021. Havin said that we've entered premium / overprice
zone and I'm expecting limited upside going forward over the next few
month. Risk/reward is favoring a pullback/correction before a healthy
uptrend can resume in 2025.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback/correction to start
in Q1 2025, 20/25% pullback is normal and therefore we may hit
170/180 USD in the correction stage of the bull market in AAPL. Bulls
should wait for better prices / reload zone near 170/180. TP BULLS
is 260/280 USD. this is obviously a setup for patient traders, do not
expect overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NIFTY (PO3) A++ Bearish Setup Power of 3 Strategy (PO3) also know as AMD Strategy
This strategy has three primary phases
1. Accumulation
2. Manipulation
3. Distribution (Range Expansion)
Key elements
1. HTF PD Array
2. Daily Open
3. Fibonacci Price Projection Tool
4. Standard Deviation ( -2 to -2.5 )
Process
1. Accumulation is where big players accumulate large quantity of shares forming a range bound price consolidation.
2. Manipulation is where big players move price against their intended direction towards nearby HTF PD Array with a standard Deviation of -2 to -2.5 to sweep the liquidity to for order pairing.
3. Distribution is the real momentum where retail traders enter along with big players and ride the trend with range expansion.
NIFTY (PO3) A++ Bearish Setup Power of 3 Strategy (PO3) also know as AMD Strategy
This strategy has three primary phases
1. Accumulation
2. Manipulation
3. Distribution (Range Expansion)
Key elements
1. HTF PD Array
2. Daily Open
3. Fibonacci Price Projection Tool
4. Standard Deviation ( -2 to -2.5 )
Process
1. Accumulation is where big players accumulate large quantity of shares forming a range bound price consolidation.
2. Manipulation is where big players move price against their intended direction towards nearby HTF PD Array with a standard Deviation of -2 to -2.5 to sweep the liquidity to for order pairing.
3. Distribution is the real momentum where retail traders enter along with big players and ride the trend with range expansion.
$INTC In Uptrend?NASDAQ:INTC It is looking like this old dog might be ready to move higher. Since the August 24th ER Gap Down, Intel has been putting in a nice base. In doing so it has established an uptrend and is well into the gap. I have an alert set just above the 21 DMA (teal blue).
If it triggers, I will take a long position with a stop under the most recent low which will give me a great risk reward entry. Let’s see what happens.
$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
Better alternative for Nvidia NASDAQ:AMD might be a better alternative to NASDAQ:NVDA right now. Here are a few reasons why:
1. AMD has recently demonstrated stronger data center growth compared to Nvidia.
2. Nvidia appears to have reached a peak, with its revenue growth unlikely to remain as significant as before.
3. Nvidia's growth margins are slowing and even showing slight declines.
4. Nvidia's high stock price lacks a clear outlook for substantial gains.
Considering these points, I believe AMD has the potential to outperform Nvidia in the coming months. However, AMD first needs to break out of its current downtrend. If that happens, I plan to reduce my Nvidia position and allocate it to AMD.
AMD CALLSCould it be the best moment in almost 3 months to buy AMD?
Seems that way as the price decline stopped at a significant demand zone and has been accumulating for quite some time.
Im expecting the price the reverse from this area and test $152. And if successful, we will see a continuation to $169.
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
AMD: Final shot to rise in this Channel. $290 if successful.Advanced Micro Devices are bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 38.717, MACD = -4.560, ADX = 33.691) but just under neutrality on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 43.494, MACD = -3.840, ADX = 18.724). This indicates that this is the final support long term to reverse the medium term bearish sentiment and this is quite evident on this chart where the price is at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up.
Roughly every November inside this Channel (2022, 2023 and 2024), it is on a corrective wave (or has been the month before), so the symmetric structure on this pattern is very strong. Another reason to see a massive bullish wave next. The previous two peaked approximately 160 days after that low, completing a +141.24% rally from the HL. Consequently, we are aiming for a similar rally (TP = 290.00) by late April 2025.
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AMD going for a FLUSH to 94 levelsThe chart for AMD is displaying a large symmetrical triangle formation , with the price breaking below the lower trendline. Symmetrical triangles often signify indecision in the market, but this breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control. The broader trend leading into the triangle and the breakdown signal a bearish continuation pattern. Oscillators and momentum indicators are skewed bearish, with no signs of reversal at this stage. Strong selling pressure confirms the potential for further downside. Declining volume during the triangle’s formation and a likely volume spike on breakdown signal a bearish continuation. Weakness in the tech sector or macroeconomic pressures could exacerbate the downward trend for AMD, watch closely for NVDA earnings to push this even lower.
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Enter a short trade if the price stays below $134.90 with sustained volume confirming the breakdown.
Aggressive Entry: Traders could scale into shorts immediately, as the price has already breached the triangle support line.
Profit Target Calculation:
Triangle Height: $140.90 (top of the pattern) - $128.37 (bottom of the pattern) = $12.53.
Breakdown Target: Subtract the height ($12.53) from the breakdown point ($134.90):
Primary Target: $122.37
If bearish momentum continues, the price could retest the major support level at $106.48.
Further bearish extension may lead to $94.59 as a long-term target.
Place a stop-loss above the breakdown level, at $138.50, to account for potential false breakdowns or whipsaws.
A confirmed breakdown is expected to gain momentum within the next 1–2 weeks.
Watch for increasing volume to validate the breakdown.
I am going to take a position on Wednesday before NVDA ER.
Will AMD ever break out? Let's see!Will AMD ever break out? Let's see!
We have a massive one year bull flag on the charts.
We are still sitting on the bottom of a volume shelf in which we need to hold if we want to keep this name on the watchlist.
To enter, all we need is a flip to green on our H5 Indicator and a breakout of the bull flag pattern.
Measure Move is: $300 (2x)
Measured Time: FEB2026
NFA
Can AMD hit 240 USD in Q1 2025? 100% BUY/HOLD for the bulls.🔸Time to update the AMD trade setup, this is a speculative bull flag
with pole setup in progress, with 100% upside potential.
🔸AMD massively trailing behind NVDA entire year in 2024, expecting
AMD to catch up next few months. Currently price action compressing
withing bull flag, based on measured move projection expecting price
target is 240 USD, so this 100% upside from the entry price for the bulls.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback to complete near 120 USD in December going into holiday seasons, limited downside beyond 120 USD. BUY/HOLD near 120 TP bulls is 240 USD, which is 100% upside. Expecting target to get hit in Q1 2025. good luck traders.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
75% gains TSLA Best Level to BUY/HOLD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12hour price chart for TSLA.
Recently we gapped up on higher volume, we got two liquidity
gaps below market overall this indicates strength, having said
that there is heavy fresh overhead supply zone so expecting pullback.
🔸Fresh supply zones at 400/375/305 usd will provide liquidit for
a potential pullback in TSLA. fresh demand zones located below market
at 230/235 usd and 190 usd. most likely limited downside below fresh
liqudity at 230/235 usd.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting measured move pullback
once we trigger fresh supply zone near 300/305 usd, bulls should
wait for the pullback to trigger fredh demand/liquidity zone at/near
230/235 USD. BUY/HOLD after pullback TP1 375 USD TP2 400 USD.
75% gains potential for patient traders. good luck!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
AMD’s Earnings Stumble | A Golden Opportunity for Investors?Post Earnings Dip, Is AMD ready for a 2025 Comeback?
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices dropped over 10% after releasing its third quarter FY2024 earnings report, which fell short of investors’ expectations. Although the results were not poor, the market had high hopes given AMD's premium stock valuation. The company did surpass revenue projections, but its non GAAP EPS matched market expectations plus the midpoint of its fourth-quarter revenue forecast slightly missed estimates.
In my prior analysis, I upgraded AMD from a sell to a buy after a 20% dip, which realigned market expectations. Since that upgrade, the stock has climbed 15%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index by 9%. The recent earnings-driven decline has brought AMD's stock price close to my previously mentioned level.
While the gaming segment saw a sharper decline in revenue in 3Q, the Data Center GPU division continued to exhibit strong growth, boosting overall revenue growth and improving margins. I believe AMD is still in a strong position to further accelerate revenue growth and margin expansion in the fourth quarter and beyond. As a result, I see the post-earnings dip as a buying opportunity and maintain my buy rating on the stock, supported by its anticipated growth phase justifying its premium valuation.
For 4Q FY2024, AMD projects 21.6% YoY revenue growth at the midpoint of its guidance, with a $300 million potential variance. This growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in Data Center GPUs. Although the midpoint guidance is slightly below market consensus, I believe AMD could exceed this number, given its track record. My estimate suggests a 24% YoY revenue increase, or $150 million above the midpoint.
3Q EPS Analysis Shows Margin Pressure
AMD has shown consistent margin improvement since 4Q FY2023, though the pace in 3Q didn't meet expectations. EPS aligned with estimates despite revenue exceeding forecasts, indicating margin challenges. Non-GAAP gross margin rose by 50 bps sequentially, while non-GAAP EBIT margin showed strong improvement, rising by 350 bps QoQ.
AMD forecasts a 4Q non-GAAP gross margin of 54% and operating expenses of $2.05 billion, driven by a favorable mix from its Data Center segment, which now represents 52% of total revenue. Management noted that gross margins in the Data Center segment are below the company average, focusing on customer needs and market growth for future gains. This contrasts with NVIDIA (NVDA), which reportedly has higher Data Center margins, though specific figures are not disclosed.
With a 4Q revenue consensus at $7.65 billion, AMD projects a non-GAAP EBIT margin of 27.2%, suggesting an additional 200 bps sequential increase. The company appears well-positioned for both revenue growth and margin improvement, despite its valuation declining after the recent stock pullback.
4Q EPS Outlook Signals Continued Growth
Although 3Q non-GAAP EPS met expectations, AMD’s growth accelerated from 18.1% YoY in 2Q to 32% in 3Q. However, the selloff post-earnings implies that investors anticipated even higher growth. Based on 4Q guidance, I estimate AMD’s non-GAAP EPS at $1.10, marking a 44% YoY increase.
AMD's FCF profile also improved, generating $496 million in 3Q, a 13% QoQ increase despite a one-time acquisition-related expense of $123 million. Higher capital expenditures are expected in FY2025 to support MI300 growth and maintain momentum.
Market Expectations and Valuation Impacts
Before the 10% post 3Q selloff, AMD’s EV/EBITDA TTM was higher than NVIDIA’s, but they are now on par, despite AMD’s margins and growth trailing NVIDIA's. AMD’s non-GAAP EV/EBITDA forward multiple is 46.3x, compared to NVIDIA’s 42.6x, and its forward P/E ratio is 50.4x, 17% above its 5-year average and higher than NVIDIA’s 49.7x.
While AMD's premium valuation can be justified given its growth acceleration, NVIDIA’s triple-digit EPS growth is not expected to continue. Moreover, NVIDIA’s gross margin recently declined, reinforcing the case for AMD’s valuation as it expands its growth in FY2025.
AMD’s stock has retraced to a 0% YTD return due to margin concerns and underperformance in Gaming and Embedded segments, though the latter is gradually recovering. However, the company’s strong Data Center gains and continued margin expansion indicate a solid growth phase. The recent selloff has recalibrated market expectations, and with ongoing AI-driven demand, AMD’s growth is likely to extend into FY2025, making the pullback an attractive buying opportunity.
What you think, Are you Moonish on AMD?
AMD Can it survive this horrific week?On August 13 (see chart below) we called the start of the new long-term Bullish Leg on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as a week before it entered the 2-year Higher Lows Zone and rebounded:
Still, the road (green Channel Up) isn't without its hurdles, and one of them is this week where the price is again being brutally sold towards the Higher Lows Zone. Notice that during the previous 2-week correction (August 26 - September 03 1W candles), the Zone's top was tested and held.
As a result, the multi-year trend remains bullish and will be this way for as long as the Higher Lows Zone holds.
It is interesting to observe at this point that the Bearish Phase of this pattern (March 04 - August 05) was in the shape of a Bearish Megaphone and can be compared to the one that bottomed on October 10 2022 and practically started the new Bull Cycle.
Notice also that so far each Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) rose by +141.87%. Within this comparison, and if we plot the Fibonacci levels from the Leg's bottom to top, we can see that the first Bullish Leg also had a rejection on the 0.618 Fib level and pull-back below the 0.786 into the Higher Lows Zone.
Obviously the current correction isn't ideal but it is not something we haven't seen and is within the tolerance levels of this 2-year pattern.
We expect another +141.87% rally to be concluded on this Bullish Leg, so our Target is straight up $295.00.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Amd - Break, Retest And New All Time Highs!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to start another +100% rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amd just retested and rejected a major previous horizontal structure and is starting the next major bullish wave towards the upside. Looking at previous cycles and the rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that Amd will follow Nvidia and create new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $130, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Stock Analysis: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) – October 30Technical Analysis and Price Targets
Following AMD’s Q3 2024 earnings release on October 29, the stock is still positioned within a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout. The updated earnings data, along with key technical indicators, provide a refined outlook on AMD’s likely price movement.
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $170 could push the stock toward two main targets:
Target 1: Around $186, aligning with previous resistance, would likely confirm buyer strength and signal renewed upward momentum.
Target 2: Around $225.50, which would represent a multi-year high, indicating strong investor confidence in AMD’s growth potential within the AI and data center markets.
Bearish Scenario: If AMD fails to hold support at $140, a breakdown could target lower levels:
Target 1: Around $128.66, representing an initial support level that may signal sustained selling pressure.
Target 2: Around $93.62, which would suggest a significant downtrend if broader tech market sentiment or sector-specific risks intensify.
Key Technical Indicators
Moving Averages: AMD’s 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day average, forming a “golden cross,” suggests a potential bullish trend. Confirmation, however, is needed through a breakout above resistance.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index is at 43, suggesting neutral-to-slightly oversold conditions. This leaves room for a potential bullish move if positive sentiment gains traction.
ADX: With an ADX of 17, the current trend lacks strong direction. A rising ADX following a breakout would confirm the strength of the next move.
Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
-AMD’s Q3 earnings exceeded Wall Street estimates, with revenue reaching $6.82 billion compared to the expected $6.71 billion
SHACKNEWS
-The revenue increase was largely driven by the data center segment, which recorded $3.5 billion in sales—a year-over-year growth of 122%
MARKETBEAT
-This performance highlights AMD’s successful expansion in high-growth areas, particularly with its EPYC server processors and products geared toward AI applications.
Despite the strong earnings, AMD’s stock reaction was mixed. The stock rose by $6.33 during regular trading hours on October 29 but fell by over $10 in after-hours trading. This cautious response likely reflects broader market concerns, including rising interest rates, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical factors such as U.S.-China trade tensions that may impact supply chains and production costs for semiconductor companies
Sector and Economic Context
AMD’s data center success comes amid a semiconductor industry facing complex conditions. Demand for AI and high-performance computing continues to drive growth opportunities. However, recent U.S. restrictions on chip exports to China and efforts to relocate manufacturing to the U.S. add layers of uncertainty. While reshoring may benefit companies like AMD in the long term, it could also lead to near-term logistical challenges and added costs.
Macro factors, including high interest rates and potential economic slowdowns, also pose risks to tech stocks. Growth stocks like AMD are often more sensitive to rate hikes, as higher borrowing costs reduce the appeal of future earnings.
Investment Strategy
For Bullish Traders: If AMD breaks above $170 with high volume, it could signal a buying opportunity, targeting $186 and potentially $225.50. Given the company’s recent performance in AI and data centers, such a move would reflect confidence in its strategic direction and growth potential.
For Bearish Traders: A breakdown below $140 could indicate a bearish setup, targeting $128.66 initially, with a possible extension to $93.62 if selling pressure intensifies. This approach may be favorable for traders looking to capitalize on downside risks associated with economic uncertainty and sector-specific challenges.
Long-Term Investors: Those with a long-term perspective may see AMD’s current price consolidation as an opportunity to accumulate shares at a reasonable price, especially given its strong positioning in AI and data center markets. A cautious, dollar-cost averaging approach could mitigate short-term volatility while taking advantage of AMD’s growth potential in the semiconductor industry.
Conclusion
AMD’s Q3 2024 earnings highlight the company’s strength in high-demand sectors, yet the stock’s mixed response indicates investor caution. The anticipated breakout from the current triangle pattern will be crucial in setting the next trend. As AMD navigates a rapidly evolving industry landscape, investors should stay vigilant for both technical signals and broader economic developments to inform their strategies.
AMD (AMD): Trendline test coming - crucial for bullish case!Following the completion of wave 3, NASDAQ:AMD has also completed wave 4 with a near-perfect correction at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The rapid V-shaped recovery after the drop validates our count and points to continued bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold.
AMD’s earnings report on Tuesday aligned with forecasts but projected slightly weaker revenue than expected for the upcoming quarter. This led to a 6% decline in after-hours trading, raising concerns about potential deceleration in AMD’s overall business, even as the company remains a key player in the AI chip sector alongside its competitor, Nvidia.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD now faces a crucial test. The stock must break through the resistance zone between $162 and $174 to confirm further upside potential. Failing to do so could result in a pullback to the trendline, a level that has been respected several times since early 2023. As long as the stock remains above the $120 level, we maintain our bullish outlook. However, losing this level would confirm a bearish trend shift.
We expect continued volatility, particularly post-earnings, and will monitor for a potential move higher or consolidation around these resistance levels. We are optimistic about AMD’s prospects but await further developments at this critical juncture.