$NVDA Bearish Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern + ETH Merge$NVDA forming a bearish Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern
Demand for GPUs has recently dropped by 15%, but is likely to drop further and farther after the Ethereum merge era.
Almost tens of millions of GPUs purchased in the past four years to mine ether, this just shows how much losses are going to be for companies that make GPUs ($AMD, $NVDA) 📉
AMD
$AMD Bearish head and shoulders pattern formation + ETH merge $AMD forming a bearish head and shoulders pattern, a break of the neckline activates the pattern (daily candle close below the neckline)
Demand for GPUs has recently dropped by 15%, but is likely to drop further and farther after the Ethereum merge era.
Almost tens of millions of GPUs purchased in the past four years to mine ether, this just shows how much losses are going to be for companies that make GPUs ($AMD, $NVDA) 📉
AMD shortNASDAQ:AMD
AMD is losing ground in the graphics card market. According to an Analyst, AMD's share of the discrete graphics processing unit (GPU) market stood at 8% in the third quarter of 2022. That was a big drop from the prior-year period's market share of 17%. Also Nvidia's server processors are going to pose another challenge for AMD. It will be an interesting first quarter for AMD. We expect that we will see the last lows. Thats why we made the following setup:
Trading Idea / Shortterm:
Entry Sellshort: 65 $
Exit:
Stoploss at 74.00 $
Target: 55.03 $
Advanced Micro Devices Analysis 12.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis:
AMD bearish classicfirst target has already been hit that i drew up a while ago, looks like a rejection incoming from the current levels. theres the untested orderblock sitting above but it doenst look like theres much momentum to get us up there. seems like lower in my opinion to find liquidity in that lower order block before a turnaround. with the global economy crashing this aligns with those thoughts. good luck out there if youre long
Advance Micro Devices (AMD) to reach 70 by November 22I'm going out on a limb again, only because it motivates me to stretch the limits of my analytical skills.
As I was perusing my watch list last week, I noticed that AMD seems to have reached a support level of 56.
I've zoomed out on the daily chart to show you the huge downtrend AMD has been following for the past 12 months.
If the price continues to oscillate downwards in this slowly narrowing channel, it stands to reason that the price should rally to 70-73 by the end of November as it tests the previous support level that has now become the new potential resistance level of 73.67. It could even reach 78 if it continues to touch the top trend line.
It's not obvious while zoomed out so far on the daily chart, but the intraday price moves taking place with AMD are insane. I bought AMD on October 28 pre-market, with the expectation that the price would rally, but I didn't know it was going to rocket straight up for a 1:6 risk-reward ratio. This is the advantage of pre-market trading. It's easier to board the rocket when it's on the launch pad than it is when it's lifting off.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
AMD: Around a CRITICAL support area!• AMD is trading at a critical support level today, as we just hit the 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement + Red Line at $70.16 (previous bottom);
• In addition, AMD lost the 21 ema, therefore, in order to avoid a bearish continuation sentiment, it must react as soon as possible above this key support;
• If a bullish reaction materializes (there’s none so far), it would seek the next resistance around $79 again, possibly breaking it;
• On the other hand, if it loses the critical support, the next target would be around $63 - $64 – The 61.8% retracement + Gap;
• Usually, when AMD respects the first retracement but loses it in sequence, it ignores the 50% and seeks the 61.8% in one single movement;
• Regardless of what happens, AMD looks quite good, as it has plenty upside/downside left. I’ll keep you posted on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
AMD in a bear flag.Advanced Micro Devices - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 55.48 (stop at 59.11)
Price action is forming a bearish flag which has a bias to break to the downside.
A break of the recent low at 57.17 should result in a further move lower.
Daily signals are bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels.
Our profit targets will be 46.46 and 43.46
Resistance: 64.00 / 69.00 / 78.00
Support: 57.20 / 54.60 / 50.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
$AMD will we go for the gap?Still inside week but the trigger to the upside is at 78.24, target 79.24. Gap is at 83.63. Keep in mind that this is also the outside quarter trigger. There is only one month of "quarter" left, but a santa rally could push it. Also we see the big inverse h/s on the day. There is no strat actionable signal for a put unless on the 1 hour.
Nasdaq Up 4% After Dovish Fed CommentsSeveral tech & healthcare sector stocks making an early bullish run such as AMD, KLA and DXCM after a dovish Federal Reserve comments on slowing down interest rates hike. However, Fed mentioned interest rates may floating around the 5% level until they see interest rates remain low within the next quarter.
NVDA, AMD Bottom FormationsNVDA continues to work on its bottom. The Reversal Candlestick in October signaled the end of this stock's correction. The stock has plenty of growth for the future.
The red line is the bottom completion level for this chart, a strong resistance level. There's strong point gain potential when the current sideways action breaks out upward.
Volume-based indicators are showing slow but steady hidden accumulation.
If the current sideways action breaks down, support from the buy zone is quite close.
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AMD is waffling around the U-Shaped Bottom's completion level, which is usually a quick short-term bottom.
Once it can sustain within the prior trading range, it can start to develop a range that can then compress and break out. So, it has a couple of areas to work on.
Meanwhile, it has sufficient past swing-style runs to be considered for a swing trading watchlist when the short-term bottom completes.
If it breaks down to retest the bottom lows, beware of the support at the buy zone.
AMD in a triangle.Advanced Micro Devices - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 79.22 (stop at 74.41)
Short term momentum is bullish.
Price continues to trade within the triangle formation.
The bias is to break to the upside.
79.15 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 79.15 should result in a further move higher.
Our profit targets will be 91.48 and 93.48
Resistance: 77.00 / 79.20 / 81.00
Support: 72.50 / 70.00 / 68.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
S&P 500 Price Action & Economic Data An overview of the market technical analysis from the major indices on the first day of the week prior to major economic data, the NFP. What will impact the market movement this week? We will be looking closely at the commodity market, bond yields, US Dollar and the Gold markets. We also touch on AMD stocks as our watchlist for this week.
Advanced Micro Devices Analysis 27.11.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NVDA STOCK BEGINS MAJOR DRAWDOWN - ELLIOTT WAVE SCIENCEThroughout the past 2 decades (22 years), NVIDIA has made impressive runs, increasing its share value by 822% over that timeframe. With 5 overlapping and continually extending waves being complete, the beginning of the 3 wave breakdown is already underway. From November 2021 until October 2022, this major market player experienced a 69% ($242) drawdown for what will likely prove to be Wave A of the 3 wave correction (3 wave corrections are labeled as ABC in Elliott Wave Science).
With A wave trending downwards, we can expect B wave to go against the direction of A wave, usually by 38-79% (in the form of another smaller, 3 wave move). This B wave corrective move is in motion at this very moment. (Knowing that B wave is a 3 swing move), considering the strength of its first (A) wave, it seems unlikely that a 38% retracement will satisfy the need for this form. Buyers are still adamant that the stock can see a higher price in the months ahead. The true test of this sentiment may come near $221 or $272.
Should the bulls fail to ascend above $221 and/or $272 and convert it into a supportive zone, price action suggests that the share value of this company will plummet. Within a 3 wave correction, specifically a 5-3-5 zig-zag type wave, we can expect the length of Wave's A and C to lean towards equality, its also fairly common for C wave to become slightly longer the length of Wave (by 1.618%). The main catalyst for NVDIA's market structure (being the 5 wave overlapping diagonal move seen in orange) suggests that its highly common for the correctional move/retracement to return down to the 0.618 fib level. The fibonacci tool shows that this level would equate to roughly $5.06.
The timing of Wave A within Wave 2 took approximately 11 months. We can expect a similar timeframe or slightly longer for the completion of Wave C. Wave C should be at least $242 in length but indications are that it will likely be longer.
There is good chance that NVDA drops below $10/share before/during the 2025 calendar year. This timing depends on how long the B wave correction takes to reach the final upside battle-zone.
AMD: A TOP sign under a MAJOR RESISTANCE! What if it corrects?• AMD is stabilizing in a resistance area, as seen in the weekly chart;
• However, the trend is still bullish, as AMD is still doing higher highs/lows;
• From the previous top to the previous bottom at $70.16, AMD corrected nearly $10;
• It is important to notice that the $70.16 (red line) is very close to the 1st retracement at 38.2%;
• If AMD loses the 38.2%, frustrating the bullish reaction seen yesterday, then the momentum would be strong enough to drag it to the 61.8% near $64;
• This would reinforce the top sign seen in the weekly chart;
• For now, let’s pay attention to the $70.16, as this is the most critical point on AMD for now, in my view. I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
Bullish Spike on Intel (INTC)This morning's 10am scan yielded bullish price action spikes on both AMD and INTC. I like the level that Intel NASDAQ:INTC is holding to for a swing trade. The first target will be a retest of this week's high.
In the longer term after a very long bearish trend the chip makers have begun to turn. It is somewhat "late" in the turn from October but there are now confirmed signs of a possible reversal. Daily chart:
Log Chart Paints Bleak Picture for NVDAPrimary Chart: Daily Chart on Log Scale with Down Trendlines, VWAPs, and Key Price and Fibonacci Levels
Some may be feeling a bit giddy over the fact that NVDA has rallied 28% off the lows. But look at those other bear rallies since the all-time highs shown on the Primary Chart. How do we know this time will be different? Expecting it to be different before a dramatic shift in the macro environment, or before a serious change in trend structure, is like hoping a lottery ticket will somehow beat the astronomical odds against it.
This post is not asserting that traders can't make money on a bear rally. Countertrend trades, though lower probability trades that remain very tricky, can be a profitable part of a traders approach. For traders willing to see both the bearish and bullish side of markets this year, some of the bear rallies could have been exceedingly profitable even if only a portion of those rallies was caught by the trade.
A logarithmic chart of this former stock market leader NVDA reveals an even bleaker picture than the linear chart. A linear chart shows that NVDA is contending with some limited degree of success with a shorter-term down TL from March 29, 2022 through the mid-August 2022 highs.That has some validity and can be watched as well going forward. But given the sheer magnitude of the decline this year, it's worth paying heeding the log version (shown on the Primary Chart) as well. The log version shows the shorter down TL being some distance above where price is currently trading, meaning that NVDA has a fair amount more work to even start to *begin* to change its trend structure.
For comparison, here is the linear chart with the shorter of the two major down TLs shown:
Supplementary Chart A: Down TL from March 29, 2022
Sure, NVDA is rallying nicely off the YTD lows from mid-October 2022. And that rally should continue to be respected until it's confirmed to be complete. A good way to gauge the rally off the lows is to use an upward trendline—here a parallel channel is used, and the lower boundary of the channel is the upward trendline off the lows. Consider the following "zoomed-in" version of the chart using an intraday 130m price bar:
Supplementary Chart B: Parallel Channel from October 2022 Low
For now, price is well contained within that channel. Shorting does not make sense until good confirmation arises that this bear rally is finished. The VWAP anchored to YTD lows (orange) also may work as a guide for the short-term bear rally. It is prudent not to fight the rally until it's weakened or has reached a major resistance level and shown signs of weakening momentum or negative divergences.
SquishTrade will be continuing to monitor both NVDA and AMD for potential shorts should this rally gather a bit more steam. A key tell is that semiconductors have decisively undercut YTD lows in June, which creates a bearish pattern generally speaking.
What are some logical price targets for this rally? Before discussing targets, a bit of a disclaimer. Countertrend targets can be a little silly to discuss—a countertrend rally can fail at any time, so picking a price target is a bit like tossing a dart with one's eyes closed. But given the parallel channel and VWAP remain supportive of the rally so far, NVDA could continue to climb until it gets squished by the FOMC presser, CPI report, or disappointing earnings.
NVDA closed at $135 today, November 1. SquishTrade thinks NVDA has a reasonable probability of reaching $140.55 (the blue line on the Primary Chart that coincides with a major swing low). Only if $140.55 is exceeded, the next price target can come into play—which is $144.36, a key Fibonacci level. After that is the $145-150 gap fill area which will also coincide with the down TL from March 2022 (on a log chart) in the next week or so.
Just because these targets make sense does not mean that they should be traded, which depends on a person's risk tolerance, time frame, ability to use stops and manage risk as well as understanding of volatility.
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Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.