AMD
Big Tech - Head & Shoulder Pattern Galore These four big tech stocks are on thin ice.
A break of these necklines suggests more downside. These levels likely indicate around 11,900 on the Nasdaq as the line in the sand.
Question is, does this lead to capitulation or a longer duration downtrend. TBD...
Nasdaq 11,900 level = red line
Elliott Wave View: AMD Rally Expected to Fail in 3, 7, 11 SwingShort term Elliott Wave view on AMD suggests the decline from 8.5.2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 8.5.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 90.9 and rally in wave 2 ended at 97.60. The stock resumes lower in wave 3 towards 78.52 and rally in wave 4 ended at 83.80. Stock resumes the final leg lower in wave 5 towards 77.74 which ended wave (A).
Wave (B) rally ended at 86.05 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave (A), wave A ended at 80.80, wave B ended at 79.24, and wave C ended at 86.06. The stock has turned lower in wave (C) with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse.
Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 83.46 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 85.45. Stock resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 76.80 and wave ((iv)) ended at 77.37. Final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 75.87 which completed wave 1 of (C). Wave 2 rally is in progress to correct cycle from 9.12.2022 peak towards 78.67 – 80.03 where sellers can appear for 3 waves pullback at least. As far as pivot at 86.06 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
AMD trade setup idea 15-september-2022AMD is in a downward channel since Jan this year. Partly because of the Semiconductor issue.
The current support level is an important level(75-77) for AMD. It has already tested this level twice.
We would have to wait for the price to show us the direction.
If we cross 78.5, we could take a long position with the first target around 83.5 levels.
If it penetrates the support levels of 75, we could take a short position with a mid term target of 60.
Double Bottom Pattern / AMD $110-120Hey, AMD is forming a good looking double bottom pattern and is primed for a breakout leading up to earnings 10/25 if the stock can get through the $94 range. AMD has strong support at the $70-75 range and has rallied upwards of $100+ when that resistance is tested, which it has been recently. I believe AMD has been beaten down more than the other comparative semi stocks and is due for an upward correction. Obviously this is dependent on the FED rate hike, however the market has priced in a full basis point and I strongly believe we will actually get a .75 considering we haven't had a full point hike done in a very long time. I see Powell playing it safe and not shocking the market, causing the market to react similarly to the July-August transition, which in turn sparked a huge bull rally. With all that being said... AMD is cheap with good call options prices.
AMD to $110-120
AMDDumper nicely since I last posted this chart. Weekly RSI breaking down again on the weekly chart and daily RSI rolling back over. I expect this to continue to dump and come down to the .786 and possibly the .886 which is the COVID high. May build out support at the COVID high around $60 or possibly dump more. I think the former is more likely though. I expect this to follow the rest of the semiconductor market given they have sold off extensively. Time will tell.
NVDA DAILY WOLFE WAVE SETUP OVER THE WEEKENDOn Sept 2, 2022, a daily wolfe wave entry was triggered. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. Since there is no apex associated with the daily wolfe wave, an alternative price objective would be required using gaps, previous support levels or time. If there was an apex formec, then the projected target is defined by identifying the apex location and projecting a vertical line toward the green perforated projection tgt which is extending from left to right. Short term target is near gap at 150 or 21 day ma which is 164. Conservative level would be 155. I hope this helps.
AMD, WeeklyAMD Weekly
Disclaimer : I am not a financial advisor nor a registered investment professional. This content is for entertainment purposes only and is not investment, tax, or financial advice. Always do your own diligence and research. You are solely responsible for all investment, tax, and financial decisions that you make.
AMD - Buy Point I know we're not supposed to be buying stocks right now. Just ask Powell.
What can I say....I'm a rebel...
AMD Testing the top side of the descending trendline. I like this set-up. Good risk-defined buy point.
Could be a good long call option play. Risk to sub .786 Fib retracement @ $78.50
Zoomed out Daily LOG Scale
Monthly LOG
AMD (Daily): Are we setting up for a fierce rally?Short update for those following along. We are closing in on circle wave ii support. As previously shown in the chart below:
So, we have a five wave impulse into wave circle i with a three wave corrective moving dropping down in the the wave circle ii support. Can it go lower? Sure. Another low to test the longer term .382 retracement of wave 3 is not off the table (see yellow 4 on chart and/or post about AMD Big Picture). Can we chop sideways for a bit in a protracted wave circle ii before we start wave (i) of wave circle iii. Sure. So what was the plan again? I believe I wrote:
"It might not be a bad idea to start layering into a position from around $87 to $80.00 with a stop around $80-$76. But it is probably best to wait for the (i)-(ii) of circle iii for the highest probability trade (again, not shown yet). Although this price action deserves some respect and a close eye, caution is warranted until price holds circle wave ii support and makes a new high for wave (i) of circle wave iii."
Since then, price made a slightly higher high in wave (v) of wave circle i, so the support is a bit higher than the last chart. But those confines still seem pretty applicable. Layering into an entry with a stop set between $80 and $77 seems like a good risk management plan. Assuming price can hold wave circle ii support, we could be getting ready to rally something fierce. If not, your stops are set and in place to limit the pain of another low. It's a purely objective plan based on price action and Elliot Wave Theory.
Overall, this chart still looks solid. I'll map out waves (i) through (v) of circle wave iii once/if price tests its last near term high of $104. If I have time, I'll probably post one or more additional charts showing smaller time scales or progress in the comments section below.
#LongAMD
#WaveTheory
#NotAdvice
#NotRecommendation
#MeasuredMoves
#PriceIsKing
#GoodLuck
AMD Thoughts I set a target of $200 for AMD on this analysis based on the Fibonacci circle movement
(2),(3) are comparable areas, both aligning along 1.618. They can be interchanged as (2),(3)
(4) is the price reached at 2.618. Using this 2.618 reach we can apply it to the bullish situation saying price will again touch this level.
I am bullish on AMD .
$AMD Inverse Head & Shoulder - Bring the dip ill buy the chips!Semi-conductors/chip stocks took a big dip this week after more negative earnings reported.
I am watching this inverse head & Shoulder pattern for a reversal with huge upside potential.
Declining selling volume.
Near oversold RSI
High risk (manage risk) as we are at a major support level. If we lose this level, the weight could get really heavy back into the 70's range.. are you catching my drift?
NVDA possible Breakdown before EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA on the daily chart appears to have formed a flat top triangle
with the trendlines drawn onto the chart. Price appears to
be falling outside the ascending support line before upcoming
earnings. Will NVDA rise to regain support or breakdown further?