AMD
AMD ONGOING DOUBLE BOTTOMHi, I just want to share my thought on AMD. It might going to blow the price up to 200 or more but when is a mystery ><
Last week 8-12 July Volume is quite significant
RSI showing a strong upward momentum
News regarding AMD buying its SILO AI
If there is something that i missed or wrong please do share with me so that we can learn together.
Thanks
AMD a great stock to have in your portfolio to the end of yearLast time we looked at the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), we made a short-term call (June 20, see chart below) at the bottom of the Bull Flag, with the price responding flawlessly, and is currently on its way for a Higher High on our $190.0 Target:
Before that, it was on May 15 (see chart below) where we called for a buy exactly at the bottom of the cyclical correction/ Bearish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up:
Just a quick reminder, it was back in March when we waved the strongest 1W sell signal on AMD and it surgically delivered (chart below):
In any event, back to today, the price has just broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and established the last two trading sessions there. With the 1D RSI approaching the 70.00 overboughr barrier, we are on the exact same level that AMD was during both previous Bullish Legs (circle).
This suggests that we are only at the very start of the new Bullish Leg and based on the Sine Waves, it should start peaking end of December - start of January 2025. We are moving our long-term Target higher to $320.00.
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As you see, we couldn't have gotten a more efficient long-term buy entry than that and the stock has basically confirmed the start of the new uptrend/ Bullish Leg
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AMD 200 BY SEPTEMBER !AMD Long 200 BY SEPTEMBER
Forecast: According to Long Forecast, AMD’s stock price is expected to start September 2024 at around $174 and reach a maximum of $177, with an average price of approximately $167 by the end of the month. This projection suggests a -5.7% change from the initial value.
PandaForecast: The weighted average target price per AMD share for September 2024 is $151.81, with a possible monthly volatility of 6.201%. The pessimistic target level is $146.28, while the optimistic target level is $155.95.
Personal Finance Freedom: Their forecast indicates an average price of $170 for September 2024, reflecting an expected increase of approximately 14.8% during that month.
StockScan: The average price target for AMD stock in 2024 is $180.52, with a high forecast of $227.30 and a low forecast of $133.74. This represents a +10.14% change from the last recorded price of $163.90.
AMD broke above the 3-week Bull Flag. Major buy signal!On March 13 (see chart below) we issued a major sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as we saw the stock topping at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 2-year Channel Up:
Our projection was materialized as the price corrected significantly by -37% and has almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was the level that held, formed the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up and made us give a new long-term buy signal a month ago (while also the 1W RSI reached the symmetrical Support level of the October 2023 bottom (45.50)).
Today the buy sentiment got stronger than ever as AMD not only broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the giant Bull Flag pattern that started on the May 28 High. With the 1D MACD about to form a Bullish Cross, a very strong long-term buy signal emerges that call for a new Bullish Leg similar to at least the May 02 - 28 one.
If the prevailing structure is a Channel Up then expect a +23.65% rise, which puts our Target at $190.00 (just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
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AMD: Daily and Weekly Chart Analysis.Daily Chart: Support Levels and Fibonacci Retracement
The daily chart of AMD highlights key support levels and Fibonacci retracement zones. The price recently bounced from a double support level at 153.49, which is both a gap support and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the prior uptrend. This level's resilience suggests a strong buy zone.
The 21-day EMA at 161.47 is acting as a dynamic resistance. If it closes above this level could push the price towards the next resistance at 174.55. The support at 153.49 remains crucial, as a break below this could signal further downside towards 148.00 and 142.00.
Weekly Chart: Ascending Trend Line and Pivot Point
The weekly chart shows AMD trading above a long-term ascending trend line, indicating a sustained bullish trend. The 21-week EMA at 162.06 provides additional support, and it is very close to the 21 EMA on the daily chart, reinforcing the important of a breakout of this key point.
The price has a pivot point of 174.55. Holding above the trend line suggests bullish momentum, with the potential for the price to retest the resistance at 174.55. A break above this level could target the next resistance at 187.00, while a failure to hold above the trend line might lead to a pullback towards the 150.00 level.
Conclusion: Key Levels to Watch for Bullish Continuation
On the daily chart, the double support at 153.49 is critical. The weekly chart's ascending trend line and pivot point at 174.55 will guide the broader trend. Maintaining support above the key levels on both charts will be essential for a continued bullish outlook.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
AMD Investigating Potential Data Breach by Hacking GroupChipmaker AMD is facing a potential data security breach after a hacking group known as IntelBroker claimed to have stolen sensitive information. This information allegedly includes details on upcoming AMD products, customer databases, and internal documents. While leaked screenshots provide some evidence of a compromise, AMD is working with law enforcement to determine the full scope of the breach and mitigate any potential damage.
Investor Jitters and Competitive Risks: The news caused a slight dip in AMD's stock price as investors grappled with the potential consequences. If confirmed, the stolen data could significantly impact AMD's competitive edge, especially if information about future product lines and proprietary technologies is compromised. This wouldn't be the first time AMD has faced such a challenge – the company previously dealt with a data breach in 2022.
Cybersecurity Concerns in the Tech Sector: This incident underscores the escalating threat of cyberattacks within the technology industry. With a reported 78% increase in data breaches from 2022 to 2023, the need for robust cybersecurity strategies and vigilant monitoring is paramount.
Beyond AMD: Broader Implications: The potential breach highlights the far-reaching effects of cyberattacks. Stolen data sold on the dark web can be used for various malicious purposes, impacting not only the targeted company but also its partners, customers, and the entire industry.
Looking Forward: Lessons from the Investigation: As AMD investigates the claims, the outcome will be closely watched not just for its impact on the company's future but also for the broader lessons it offers in the ongoing fight against cybercrime. This incident serves as a stark reminder for all companies to remain proactive and continuously strengthen their cybersecurity defenses against increasingly sophisticated threats.