Analysis of AMD Share Price Ahead of Today's ReportAnalysis of AMD Share Price Ahead of Today's Report
The earnings season is in full swing: over 200 companies in the S&P 500 index (SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) have reported their current cycle results, with average earnings up 6.5% year-on-year and revenue growth of 4.1%, according to a client note from Oppenheimer Asset Management published on Monday.
This week, investors are awaiting reports from mega-cap companies, including Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook (META), and Amazon.com (AMZN). Among other major brands are Intel (INTC), Boeing (BA), Pfizer (PFE), Exxon Mobil (XOM), as well as chipmaker AMD, whose second-quarter earnings report will be released today after the close of the main trading session.
Analysts expect AMD's earnings per share to rise from $0.62 to $0.68.
What does the AMD chart indicate?
Despite the S&P 500 index (SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rising approximately 15% in 2024, AMD's share price remains near its January start price.
Technical analysis of AMD's share chart shows that the price was in an uptrend (shown in blue) in the first half of 2024, but the trend turned downwards (shown in red) after the price exceeded the psychological level of $200.
Today, AMD's share price is near a support block formed by:
→ the long-term trend line (shown in orange);
→ the lower boundary of the downward channel;
→ the current yearly low around $135 per share.
It is possible that today's earnings report could provide a fundamental driver (e.g., higher-than-expected earnings per share) for a reversal upwards from this support block.
Meanwhile, forecasts remain optimistic. According to predictions from 34 Wall Street analysts surveyed by TipRanks, 28 recommend buying AMD shares. On average, they forecast AMD's price to reach $194.93 (nearly +40% from current levels) within 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD
Types of Entry Models in SMC ConceptsIn Smart Money Concepts (SMC) trading, there are different types of entry models that traders use to enter the market. These include aggressive entry, actual entry, and order flow entry models. Here’s a simple explanation of each:
1. Aggressive Entry Model (15m): @Manipulation
Entry Criteria: During Liquidity (LQ) Sweeps at Killzones + Stack Entries at Lower Time Frame (LTF, 1m)
Description:
Traders enter trades during significant liquidity sweeps, particularly in key market zones known as killzones (high-activity periods).
They stack their entries by analyzing the 1-minute chart to find optimal entry points.
This approach aims to catch early moves by entering immediately after liquidity has been swept, indicating potential reversals or strong market moves.
Order Type: Market Order(post candle confirmation)
Traders execute a market order as soon as their entry criteria are met on the 1-minute chart, entering the trade immediately at the current market price.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
2. Actual Entry Model (15m): Post Manipulation
Entry Criteria: At Valid Supply or Demand or Flip Zones
Description:
Traders enter trades at well-defined supply and demand zones or flip zones (areas where the market changes from supply to demand or vice versa).
They wait for the price to reach these significant zones on the 15-minute chart, providing a more confirmed entry point that aligns with market structure and potential reversals.
Order Type: Limit Order
Traders place a limit order on the 1-minute chart at a specific price level they believe the market will reach, ensuring a better entry price.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
3. Order Flow Entry Model (15m): @Distribution
Entry Criteria: At Unmitigated Order Flow
Description:
Traders look for areas of unmitigated order flow on the 15-minute chart.
Unmitigated order flow refers to price levels where significant orders have not yet been fully absorbed by the market, indicating potential areas of strong buying or selling pressure.
Traders place their entries at these levels, often waiting for a candle confirmation to ensure the validity of the order flow analysis.
Order Type: Limit Order (post candle confirmation)
Traders wait for a candle confirmation on the 1-minute chart before placing a limit
order.
They analyze the order flow and wait for a confirming candle that aligns with their analysis before setting a limit order to enter the trade.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $13.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Power of 3 - ICT Concept ExplainedIn this video I cover the topic of Power of 3 or otherwise known was PO3. This concept is also the same as AMD, which is Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution.
PO3 is the basis in which Smart Money approaches the market. As we have covered before, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market. To maximize efficiency for Smart Money, liquidity is engineered for the purpose of trapping uninformed money on the wrong side of the market and assuming the counter-party to their trades.
At the open of a candle, Smart Money is accumulating positions, usually in some sort of range. The next stage is the manipulation, where price makes a fast run towards liquidity, usually in the opposite direction of where price is intended to go, and then reversing rapidly.
The final stage is distribution, where Smart Money is offloading their positions above or below the marketplace depending on whether it is a buy or sell program.
The whole purpose of understanding this concept is to be able to anticipate the future direction of price, and to ideally buy below or above the open of a candle, again depending on what type of candle it is. I show how I anticipate the PO3 in this video.
- R2F
AMD ONGOING DOUBLE BOTTOMHi, I just want to share my thought on AMD. It might going to blow the price up to 200 or more but when is a mystery ><
Last week 8-12 July Volume is quite significant
RSI showing a strong upward momentum
News regarding AMD buying its SILO AI
If there is something that i missed or wrong please do share with me so that we can learn together.
Thanks
AMD a great stock to have in your portfolio to the end of yearLast time we looked at the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), we made a short-term call (June 20, see chart below) at the bottom of the Bull Flag, with the price responding flawlessly, and is currently on its way for a Higher High on our $190.0 Target:
Before that, it was on May 15 (see chart below) where we called for a buy exactly at the bottom of the cyclical correction/ Bearish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up:
Just a quick reminder, it was back in March when we waved the strongest 1W sell signal on AMD and it surgically delivered (chart below):
In any event, back to today, the price has just broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and established the last two trading sessions there. With the 1D RSI approaching the 70.00 overboughr barrier, we are on the exact same level that AMD was during both previous Bullish Legs (circle).
This suggests that we are only at the very start of the new Bullish Leg and based on the Sine Waves, it should start peaking end of December - start of January 2025. We are moving our long-term Target higher to $320.00.
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As you see, we couldn't have gotten a more efficient long-term buy entry than that and the stock has basically confirmed the start of the new uptrend/ Bullish Leg
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AMD 200 BY SEPTEMBER !AMD Long 200 BY SEPTEMBER
Forecast: According to Long Forecast, AMD’s stock price is expected to start September 2024 at around $174 and reach a maximum of $177, with an average price of approximately $167 by the end of the month. This projection suggests a -5.7% change from the initial value.
PandaForecast: The weighted average target price per AMD share for September 2024 is $151.81, with a possible monthly volatility of 6.201%. The pessimistic target level is $146.28, while the optimistic target level is $155.95.
Personal Finance Freedom: Their forecast indicates an average price of $170 for September 2024, reflecting an expected increase of approximately 14.8% during that month.
StockScan: The average price target for AMD stock in 2024 is $180.52, with a high forecast of $227.30 and a low forecast of $133.74. This represents a +10.14% change from the last recorded price of $163.90.