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AMD’s Earnings Stumble | A Golden Opportunity for Investors?Post Earnings Dip, Is AMD ready for a 2025 Comeback? Shares of Advanced Micro Devices dropped over 10% after releasing its third quarter FY2024 earnings report, which fell short of investors’ expectations. Although the results were not poor, the market had high hopes given AMD's premium stock valuation. The company did surpass revenue projections, but its non GAAP EPS matched market expectations plus the midpoint of its fourth-quarter revenue forecast slightly missed estimates. In my prior analysis, I upgraded AMD from a sell to a buy after a 20% dip, which realigned market expectations. Since that upgrade, the stock has climbed 15%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index by 9%. The recent earnings-driven decline has brought AMD's stock price close to my previously mentioned level. While the gaming segment saw a sharper decline in revenue in 3Q, the Data Center GPU division continued to exhibit strong growth, boosting overall revenue growth and improving margins. I believe AMD is still in a strong position to further accelerate revenue growth and margin expansion in the fourth quarter and beyond. As a result, I see the post-earnings dip as a buying opportunity and maintain my buy rating on the stock, supported by its anticipated growth phase justifying its premium valuation. For 4Q FY2024, AMD projects 21.6% YoY revenue growth at the midpoint of its guidance, with a $300 million potential variance. This growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in Data Center GPUs. Although the midpoint guidance is slightly below market consensus, I believe AMD could exceed this number, given its track record. My estimate suggests a 24% YoY revenue increase, or $150 million above the midpoint. 3Q EPS Analysis Shows Margin Pressure AMD has shown consistent margin improvement since 4Q FY2023, though the pace in 3Q didn't meet expectations. EPS aligned with estimates despite revenue exceeding forecasts, indicating margin challenges. Non-GAAP gross margin rose by 50 bps sequentially, while non-GAAP EBIT margin showed strong improvement, rising by 350 bps QoQ. AMD forecasts a 4Q non-GAAP gross margin of 54% and operating expenses of $2.05 billion, driven by a favorable mix from its Data Center segment, which now represents 52% of total revenue. Management noted that gross margins in the Data Center segment are below the company average, focusing on customer needs and market growth for future gains. This contrasts with NVIDIA (NVDA), which reportedly has higher Data Center margins, though specific figures are not disclosed. With a 4Q revenue consensus at $7.65 billion, AMD projects a non-GAAP EBIT margin of 27.2%, suggesting an additional 200 bps sequential increase. The company appears well-positioned for both revenue growth and margin improvement, despite its valuation declining after the recent stock pullback. 4Q EPS Outlook Signals Continued Growth Although 3Q non-GAAP EPS met expectations, AMD’s growth accelerated from 18.1% YoY in 2Q to 32% in 3Q. However, the selloff post-earnings implies that investors anticipated even higher growth. Based on 4Q guidance, I estimate AMD’s non-GAAP EPS at $1.10, marking a 44% YoY increase. AMD's FCF profile also improved, generating $496 million in 3Q, a 13% QoQ increase despite a one-time acquisition-related expense of $123 million. Higher capital expenditures are expected in FY2025 to support MI300 growth and maintain momentum. Market Expectations and Valuation Impacts Before the 10% post 3Q selloff, AMD’s EV/EBITDA TTM was higher than NVIDIA’s, but they are now on par, despite AMD’s margins and growth trailing NVIDIA's. AMD’s non-GAAP EV/EBITDA forward multiple is 46.3x, compared to NVIDIA’s 42.6x, and its forward P/E ratio is 50.4x, 17% above its 5-year average and higher than NVIDIA’s 49.7x. While AMD's premium valuation can be justified given its growth acceleration, NVIDIA’s triple-digit EPS growth is not expected to continue. Moreover, NVIDIA’s gross margin recently declined, reinforcing the case for AMD’s valuation as it expands its growth in FY2025. AMD’s stock has retraced to a 0% YTD return due to margin concerns and underperformance in Gaming and Embedded segments, though the latter is gradually recovering. However, the company’s strong Data Center gains and continued margin expansion indicate a solid growth phase. The recent selloff has recalibrated market expectations, and with ongoing AI-driven demand, AMD’s growth is likely to extend into FY2025, making the pullback an attractive buying opportunity. What you think, Are you Moonish on AMD?
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by moonypto
3
Earning report Today! Can $AMD breakout the downtrend line? Technically, AMD is closing to the downtrend line again. There was a FAKEOUT three weeks before.So will NASDAQ:AMD truly breakout the downtrend line this time? It will depends on the earnings report today! Here are 3 Things I'm Watching in NASDAQ:AMD 's Earnings on Tuesday 1. MI300 Series: Flagship AI GPU • Their new Instinct MI300 series GPUs are built to compete directly with NASDAQ:NVDA H100 chips, supporting both training and inference for large-scale AI models. The MI300 offers high memory capacity and multi-chip module (MCM) architecture, making it suitable for AI workloads that require massive data processing. Early deployments include partnerships with key cloud providers like NASDAQ:MSFT Azure -- which is leveraging AMD’s GPUs for its AI infrastructure. 2. AI-Powered Accelerated Processing Units (APUs) • Their APUs, which combine CPU and GPU capabilities on a single chip, are designed to handle AI tasks efficiently in edge computing and consumer applications. For instance, AMD’s latest Ryzen AI-powered APUs provide AI acceleration directly in laptops -- aiming to improve tasks like image processing and natural language interactions. 3. Capturing AI Market Share • Their approach is centered around capturing a larger share of the rapidly growing AI semiconductor market, which is projected to surpass $400B by 2030. As AI models become more sophisticated, they require increased computational resources. AMD’s focus on energy efficiency and competitive pricing allows it to offer alternatives to Nvidia, making it more appealing to enterprises managing rising energy costs and budget constraints. Unlike Nvidia, which has historically focused on high-end GPUs, AMD’s diverse product mix, including CPUs, APUs, and data center GPUs, enables it to serve a broader range of AI use cases. This could lead to more consistent revenue growth as AI applications proliferate beyond just data centers -- spreading into edge devices and personal computing.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by xugina78
AMD Short Trade Opportunity - Very Overbought in a Greedy MarketNASDAQ:AMD is currently above a resistance level, and I think the price is very overbought here. There is still some bullishness short-term, but shorts have been getting wrecked and I wouldn't FOMO here. Maybe there could be a short trade setup once AMD stops trending up. I like the current price levels for shorting. I believe semiconductor chip stocks have been extremely bullish, and I haven't wanted to be against them. However, they seem very overvalued at current prices, and I think the market could get a pullback soon. I think the AMD stock price and RSI will need a correction within the next few weeks. The correction could put AMD around $140 price levels.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by realchartchamp
$AMD Quarter 3 (Q3) AnalysisAMD is playing out as planned since the initial Q2 prediction with a dip into the buy zone. I’ve been saying that AMD is an excellent buy opportunity under $100, and the bearish August and September price action has helped to send AMD down to this price level. I have $158.53 as a key price target for Q4, and I believe that AMD will form a new all-time high afterwards. Long-term I think AMD will be a $400-500 stock. The yellow trendline has been acting as a support level and AMD just formed a bullish bounce off this support. The red trendline will act as short-term resistance on the way up.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by realchartchamp
Advanced Micro Device Symmetrical Triangle Break/ Swing Hi guys this is a Technical Analysis on a Swing Trade opportunity for Micro Advanced Devices (AMD) on the 1 Day Timeframe. Crruently, we are in the process of breaking out of the Upper trend line of the Symmetrical Triangle. Notice how we are coinciding with the previous candles WICK. Now before taking any trades, make sure that the breakout is CONFIRMED. Which i will update on the confirmation. If would be positive for this breakout if we test SUPPORT on this Upper trendline of the Triangle. KEEP WATCH of FAKEOUTS, where we enter back into the triangle*** Our 1st Target = $125 - $132 range Our next target and what i'd love to see is if we get ABOVE this range and act as SUPPORT on the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" line. This MAJOR RESISTANCE line coincides with our TOP on Novemeber 2021. Lets look at some more CLUE that will help strengthen this breakout in the INDICATORS: RSI -> Notice how the RSI is coiling up in this range between the BLACK lines. -> If we break above the UPPER line, this would indicate a trend change and will be a catalyst we need. STOCH RSI -> Is showing a BULLISH CROSS. This would inject momentum into the breakout and help it move towards Target 1. MACD => Is also showing that we have BULLISH momentum coming in, with the print of the GREEN histogram and BUllish cross inching towards the 0 level. -> If we get above this 0 level with the cross, it will further the Bullish Momentum case. TRADE IDEA: STOP LOSS 5% below the Upper Trend Line of the Symmetrical Triangle Scale in your buy orders CONCLUSION: We are in the process of breaking a Symmetrical Triangle which will require confirmation for validity. The first target is highlighted on the chart, with the best course of action being us breaking ABOVE the MAJOR RESISTANCE line and having it act as SUPPORT. Our indicators are either showing signs of a bullish case or is in the process of exhibiting such signs. Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by SafofAllTrades
20 Reasons for long AMD 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: In 2016, the stock started its bullish run and created its first multi-year Bullish Order Structure (BOS) and also set an All-Time High (ATH). After a correction move last year, an important point to note is that the Point of Interest (POI) area held, indicating that bulls still have power and the stock is showing strength. It is now poised for the next impulsive move towards a new ATH. 2:📆Monthly: In October 2022, the correction move confirmed a Lower High (LH), signaling the end of the correction. Now, the price may either consolidate sideways or take a reversal impulse move. We need to consider both possibilities. If the price consolidates, the range between 98 and 110 is important, and we should only look for buying opportunities within this range. 3:📅Weekly: A very strong bullish structure has already formed, and the price has made a BOS and almost completed its corrective move. The corrective area ranges from 100 to 104. Here, we need to wait for a strong reversal signal to confirm the buying opportunity. No further signals are needed, only one confirmed reversal signal. 4:🕛Daily: A well-established bullish trend is evident, with a strong inducement and a corrective move that has filled the gap and window. The price is now approaching the most recent support area after the inducement. The most important thing to watch carefully is the confirmation of today's pro-gap. If the price closes above 112 for the next two or three days, or even today, it will provide a buying confirmation. 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: Daily 5: 1 Price Structure: Extremely bullish 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: Pro-gap 7: 3 Volume: High selling volumes indicate the end of the correction, and now a confirmation of the long position is needed. 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL RSI: Holding above the 40 area, indicating a middle strength bullish zone. 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Volatility is starting to squeeze, which may lead to a temporary calm or sideways movement before a bullish move. The breakout of the squeeze will provide final confirmation. 10: 6 Strength ADX: Completely sideways. 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: ✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily 12: Entry TF Structure: Bullish 13: Entry Move: Initial impulsive move 14: Support Resistance Base: The most recent Order Structure (OS) after the inducement acts as strong support. 15: FIB: Not activated yet. Additionally, a breakout of the hourly trend line will provide an additional confirmation. ☑️ Final comments: Buy at confirmation. 16: 💡Decision: Go long. 17: 🚀Entry: 112 18: ✋Stop Loss: 104 19: 🎯Take Profit: 148 20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:6.5 🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Optimum369
AMD to close its gap?Advanced Micro Devices - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 115.68 (stop at 122.08) Bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower. We have a Gap open at 25/5 from 108.27 to 117.31. A higher correction is expected. We are trading at overbought extremes. In our opinion this stock is overvalued. Our profit targets will be 100.68 and 97.68 Resistance: 125.00 / 132.83 / 135.00 Support: 115.80 / 108.00 / 102.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by VantageMarkets
AMD bullish move? - $AMD continues to push higher, along with the broader tech sector, amid overall market strength. - AMD broke through its tough resistance at $90 and is currently closing around $97. - Technical indicators are signaling that it's overbought, so don't be surprised if the stock pulls back. Bulls need to hold AMD above $85-90 to continue its bullish momentum. - $AMD average price move per day is $2-$6 per day depending on market volatility. - Below are my price levels for AMD. Calls: buy above 99.69 sell at 103.69+ Puts: Buy below 94.99 sell at 93.29 ================================================================= SIDE NOTE: - make sure that you setup a price alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move. and always to take your profits as you see one. - sometimes, the fist 30 minute after of the opening bell is always volatile. is either you can catch the move there. or wait for an 1 hour for better or cheaper price. - as always if you have any question feel free to leave me a comment here. if you're enjoying my ideas please don't forget to follow me or give the idea a boost or like. thank you see you all soon.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by CHRIS_B58
AMD -> It Is Over For Bears!Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that AMD stocks currently looks extremely bullish in my opinion. We just broke above a key down-trendline, we also created and already confirmed a weekly double bottom and the next resistance area at the $105 area is quite far away so from a weekly perspective I just do expect more continuation towards the upside. On the daily timeframe you can also see that with today's candle we are breaking above a previous daily resistance area, so I am now just waiting for the retest and some bullish confirmation and then also the daily timeframe looks ready for the next rally towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
40
AMD -> Preparing The Rally?Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe AMD stock is currently retesting the neckline of the very obvious weekly double bottom as predicted in my last video analysis which is linked below. Since we are now retesting previous weekly resistance which is now turned support and we are also having a bullish ema crossover, I do expect at least a short term rally towards the upside from here. On the daily timeframe, market structure is still overall bearish so I am now just waiting for a deeper retest of the zone and some bullish confirmation before AMD stock will then start the next pump towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
43
AMD -> The Breakout Happened As PredictedHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . In my last video analysis of AMD, linked below, I explained all the reasons for which I do expect the market to provide further continuation towards the upside and actually breaking above the neckline of the very obvious weekly double bottom. With todays price action, this is exactly what happened, we are seeing a massive breakout to the upside, which could definitely lead to a significant short covering rally. I am now just waiting for a small retracement on AMD and bullish confirmation to enter a long to also participate in this very bullish momentum. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AMD
by basictradingtv
31