Trade 1: AMD, long, Entry: 158.90, Stop: 156.20, Timeframe: dail*Trade Type:** long
**Ticker:** AMD
**Entry Price:** 158.90
**Stop Loss:** 156.20
**Take Profit 1:** 164.12
**Take Profit 2:** 168.82
**Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1.97
**Timeframe:** daily
**Trading idea only, not financial advice. Any use of this information is solely at the user's own risk.**
Amdlong
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD Team RED is READY
As with any competitor, a quarterly earnings report from a peer can provide great insight into the market. For Advanced Micro Devices, the Q2'23 earnings report from Intel provides great views on the surging demand for AI chips and a rebound in PC demand crucial for AMD
The most immediate signal from Intel beating Q2'23 estimates and guiding up for Q3 is the rebound in PC demand. Most importantly, the inventory correction appears over with OEMs no longer digesting chip inventory.Back in Q3'22, AMD shocked the market by cutting PC revenue estimates by $1 billion. The company quickly went from $2 billion in quarterly CPU sales for PCs to less than $1 billion.
Intel still reported Q2 Client Computing revenue was down 12% YoY to $6.8 billion, but the number was up $1.0 billion sequentially. The chip giant guided up Q3 revenue to $13.4 billion, up $0.5 billion sequentially.In Q1'23, AMD reported that client revenues had fallen further to only $739 million. AMD CPU revenues are now far over $1 billion per quarter below the peak levels providing substantial upside potential when the PC market normalizes.
Intel discussed a mixed picture for their business in the near term due to AI. The chip giant is seeing a wallet share shift from the sever CPU spend towards AI chips.The move is both good and bad for AMD. The company has the MI300 AI GPU chip hitting the market in Q4 providing a strong competitor to the booming demand for the H100 from Nvidia, but the chip isn't out on the market yet.
In the near term, AMD may see some suppressed data center demand while heading into 2024. Ultimately, the company should see upside from AI demand for the MI300 along with the Alveo AI accelerator.On the Q2'23 earnings call, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger suggested the AI pipeline for 2024 had surged to $1 billion: In my formal remarks, we said we now have over $1 billion of pipeline, 6x in the last quarter.
Going back a few months, Morgan Stanley had estimated the AI potential for AMD was only $400 million with upside potential to $1.2 billion. The Intel forecasts would suggest the AI potential for AMD is far higher next year when the MI300 is in full-scale production.
Nvidia guided up current quarter sales estimates by 50% to over $11 billion. The company suggested data center sales would reach $7+ billion in the quarter.
AMD has only seen data center sales reach $1.3 billion in quarterly sales leaving a huge gap from Nvidia. Even Intel still hit $4.0 billion in data center sales during Q2'23, though the amount is down nearly 20% form 2022 levels due in part to losing market share to AMD.
The big issue for AMD is whether data center sales growth stalls causing a miss to 2H sales targets while booming AI demand ultimately boosts sales starting in Q1'24, or maybe Q4. The chip company peaked at quarterly sales of $6.6 billion back Q2'22 and the current quarterly analyst estimates aren't very aggressive.
A rebound in PC demand to more normalized levels places AMD back at the Q4'23 revenue target of $6.5 billion alone. A PC rebound to normal digestion ($2 billion quarterly run rate) along with higher data center or AI demand leads to vastly higher revenues in 2024.
The current analysts aren't even factoring in much growth in the Q2'24 revenue estimate of $6.76 billion. The amount is just 4% upside from Q2'22 despite potentially surging demand from AMD entering the AI GPU space.
AMD is set to report earrings after the close on August 1. Investors should focus less on the Q2 numbers or even Q3 guidance and focus more on a return to more normalized revenue levels plus the upside from AI.Our view has long held that AMD has the earnings potential of $5 to $6 and the AI opportunity is all upside to this view.
The key investor takeaway is that AMD is still $50 below all time highs while Nvidia has soared over $100 above the late 2021 highs. Investors should use the current weakness in AMD to load up on the stock while leaving some capital to buy any weakness following Q2 earnings due to the potential for near term disappointment leading to long term opportunities.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 184.94On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug.8 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 184.94
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
Amd - Targeting New All Time Highs! Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is targeting new all time highs:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
This month Amd perfectly retested and already rejected the previous resistance which was turned support after the bullish breakout. Following the overall swings inside of the rising channel formation, I do expect Amd to create new all time highs over the next months.
Levels to watch: $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD Skyrockets Over 9%, Nvidia Rises: What’s Driving the Surge?Overview
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) saw its shares soar over 9% in premarket trading on Wednesday, following an impressive second-quarter earnings report that exceeded expectations. The strong performance has also positively impacted rival Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), which experienced a rise in its stock price. Here’s a detailed look at what’s happening and why AMD is grabbing headlines.
Record-Breaking Q2 Performance
NASDAQ:AMD ’s second-quarter results were stellar, with revenue and earnings surpassing Wall Street's expectations. The highlight was a record surge in data center revenue, which soared to $2.8 billion, marking a 115% year-over-year increase and a 21% sequential growth. This surge was driven by high demand for AMD's Instinct, EPYC, and Ryzen processors.
CEO's Optimism
Lisa Su, AMD's CEO, expressed confidence in the company’s trajectory, stating, “Our AI business continued accelerating and we are well positioned to deliver strong revenue growth in the second half of the year led by demand for Instinct, EPYC, and Ryzen processors.” This positive outlook has further fueled investor confidence.
Strong AI Business Growth
A significant contributor to AMD's success has been its AI business. On the earnings call, Su mentioned that leading cloud and enterprise providers expanded the availability of Instinct MI300X solutions, and quarterly revenue for MI300 exceeded $1 billion for the first time. This milestone underscores the robust demand for AMD’s AI and data center products.
Impact on Rivals and Sector-Wide Rally
The positive sentiment generated by AMD's strong quarterly results has extended to other semiconductor companies, particularly Nvidia. Nvidia shares rose 5.40% to $109.40 in premarket trading, buoyed by the anticipation of its upcoming earnings report on August 28. Qualcomm also experienced gains, as AMD’s success provided a boost to the overall sector.
Geopolitical and Sector-Wide Factors
The semiconductor sector received additional uplift from reports suggesting potentially less severe U.S. export restrictions on China. According to news sources, new U.S. chip export restrictions might exclude allies like the Netherlands, Japan, and South Korea, which alleviated some concerns in the market. This news, combined with positive earnings, contributed to the rally in semiconductor stocks.
Global Semiconductor Rally
Shares of global semiconductor firms rallied on Wednesday, boosted by the strong earnings in the sector and favorable geopolitical developments. Samsung’s shares rose significantly after a notable jump in operating profit, and ASML also saw gains following the Reuters report on U.S. export restrictions.
AMD Stock Performance
NASDAQ:AMD stock, which had been down over 6% year-to-date, climbed 9.40% to $151.45 in premarket trading. If these gains hold, NASDAQ:AMD could erase its year-to-date losses. This strong market reaction reflects the confidence investors have in AMD’s growth trajectory and its ability to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI and data center technologies.
Conclusion
AMD's exceptional second-quarter performance, driven by record data center revenue and robust growth in its AI business, has significantly boosted its stock price and positively impacted the broader semiconductor sector. The appointment of CEO Lisa Su and the company’s strategic focus on high-demand areas like AI and data centers have positioned NASDAQ:AMD for continued success. As the semiconductor industry navigates geopolitical challenges and market fluctuations, AMD's strong fundamentals and growth prospects make it a standout player.
AMD ONGOING DOUBLE BOTTOMHi, I just want to share my thought on AMD. It might going to blow the price up to 200 or more but when is a mystery ><
Last week 8-12 July Volume is quite significant
RSI showing a strong upward momentum
News regarding AMD buying its SILO AI
If there is something that i missed or wrong please do share with me so that we can learn together.
Thanks
AMD CALL Bought AMD Call
Strike $180
Expiry 14 Jun
Entry $2.50
Expecting AMD to reach
1st Target $184
2nd Target $193
Analysis as below:
Weekly TF:
1. Uptrend -- Above SMA200
Day TF:
1. Structure -- Inverse Head and shoulder (broke out of neckline, now retesting)
2. RSI -- bullish divergence
4hr TF:
1. MA -- Price closed above EMA 25 (blue)
2. Fib R -- Price closed above 0.618 Fib R aka $158 (uptrend in tact)
3. Confirmation candle -- printed green body candle after bouncing off EMA 25 and 0.618.
4. RSI -- not overbought yet/no bearish divergence (More room for upside)
Remarks:
Price is currently testing the resistance of SMA100(purple) for the 5th time.
The frequency of price testing to break SMA100 becoming shorter (Weaker selling pressure)
If price is able to close above SMA50(green) and SMA100(purple), expect AMD to rally in no time.
AMD Set for Major Processor Launch As it Grabs 33% of CPU MarketAdvance Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ), a leading player in the server CPU market, claims a 33% share. The company is preparing to launch its next-gen "Turin" processors and unveils a GPU roadmap following the MI300 product line. NASDAQ:AMD 's CFO, Jean Hu, highlighted the company's growth in servers, CPUs, and GPUs, highlighting partnerships with Microsoft and strong double-digit growth in server CPUs and desktop/laptop segments.
AMD's strategic focus on power efficiency and cost-effectiveness makes it a compelling choice for enterprises facing power and space constraints. Notable clients like American Express, Shell, and STMicroelectronics are transitioning to AMD-based infrastructure. NASDAQ:AMD plans to launch a next-generation AI PC in the second half of the year, potentially refreshing the PC market. The company also sees long-term growth potential in the embedded processor market through synergies with Xilinx.
NASDAQ:AMD 's performance in the desktop and laptop markets is also highlighted. Analysts expect NASDAQ:AMD and peers to drive semiconductor industry optimism after their earnings beat, but caution against AMD's MI300 supply constraints, gaming segment weakness, and aggressive pricing from Nvidia Corp.
Technical Outlook
Advance Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) stock is up 3.43% on Tuesday's Market day trading. The stock daily price chart depicts a trend reversal from a falling wedge or bullish flag pattern.
Advance Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 61.94 which makes it poise for further growth in the long term.
AMD Continuation Wedge Bull FlagAmd continuation wedge momentum and bull flag can see NASDAQ:AMD Hit the 162/165 level in the short term this week and 180/190 level in the next few weeks. Add in NASDAQ:NVDA earnings and we could see a good pop . These are just technicals anything can invalidate them like fed actions or fed speak, tariffs, literally anything can invalidate them.
AMD - Correction And LongsHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of AMD.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After the massive triangle breakout on AMD in 2016, we saw a rally of more than +7.000% towards the upside. After the recent bear market in December of 2021, where AMD perfectly retested previous structure, we saw another rally of +250%. I am now waiting for a retest of the triangle breakout level mentioned in the analysis and then I will look for even more long setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
AMD GO HIGHERHello fellow stocks traders, currently working and watching this stock before it fall, my assumptions to the highest level is 220-243$ before it retrace.
Were on the 2nd moves for distribution type.
Betting the highs is not optional on shorting. best case is that we dont know whats happen next.
This is only my assumptions before it dump.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more Stocks to trade.
Trading is risky, dont trade it own it.
AMD's Meteoric Rise: Pioneering AI RevolutionAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMD ) continues its meteoric ascent, with shares surging to new record highs, propelled by the chipmaker's pivotal role in the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. As NASDAQ:AMD 's market capitalization surpasses the $300 billion mark for the first time, investors are bullish on the company's prospects in the burgeoning AI market and its ability to outperform competitors.
The chipmaker's stellar performance in recent months reflects its status as a primary beneficiary of the AI boom, with demand for AI processors driving significant revenue growth and market expansion. Optimism surrounding NASDAQ:AMD 's new AI processors has fueled investor confidence, leading to a remarkable recovery from earlier setbacks and a surge in stock valuation.
Analysts at Citigroup Inc. underscore the bullish sentiment surrounding semiconductor stocks, particularly in light of the expanding AI market. NASDAQ:AMD stands out as a favored pick alongside industry giants like Nvidia Corp. and Broadcom Inc., highlighting its pivotal role in driving innovation and delivering cutting-edge solutions to meet evolving market demands.
However, despite NASDAQ:AMD 's impressive growth trajectory, concerns linger about its valuation, with shares trading at a premium compared to industry leader Nvidia. While the stock commands a higher multiple of nearly 50 times estimated earnings, analysts remain broadly positive, with the majority recommending buying NASDAQ:AMD shares.
With the semiconductor industry poised for continued growth and innovation, AMD's leadership in AI-driven technologies positions it for sustained success and market dominance. As businesses and organizations across various sectors increasingly adopt AI solutions, the demand for high-performance chips is expected to soar, further fueling NASDAQ:AMD 's growth trajectory.
While NASDAQ:AMD 's stock may appear richly valued relative to its peers, the company's strong fundamentals, technological innovation, and strategic positioning justify investor optimism. With shares trading just below the average price target, there remains potential for additional upside, signaling continued momentum and growth prospects in the foreseeable future.
In conclusion, NASDAQ:AMD 's remarkable journey to new record highs underscores its leadership in the semiconductor industry and its pivotal role in driving the AI revolution. As the company continues to innovate and capitalize on emerging market trends, investors can expect NASDAQ:AMD to remain at the forefront of technological advancement and deliver long-term value creation in the dynamic semiconductor landscape.
AMD begins journey towards $213 in wave v of 3.AMD is all set to rise in wave v of 3.
The projected target for the wave is expected to be around $213.
$164 marks an important swing low for the stock and the SL too can be set around this level.
The way volume has picked up in the stock from JAN, it is also possible for the current wave to out-beat the expected target level.
Looking Bullish on AMD for a swing!Thank you as always for watching my analysis! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Make sure to let your loved ones know how much you cherish them and appreciate them! They are the ones that love and care about you the most in this harsh world! You are loved and appreciated!